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  1. #1
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    Default Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/9

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, October 9

    Good Luck on day #281 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 5 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Kansas City Chiefs even, 615- W

    5) Buffalo Bills +3, 650- L

    4) Los Angeles Rams -1, 725- L

    3) Houston Texans even, 778- L

    2) Cincinnati Bengals -3, 847- W

    1) Detroit Lions -2.5, 1,053- L

    Season record of top 6 picks: 13-17


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Patriots 19, Buccaneers 14— Tampa Bay missed three FG’s; they’ll have a new kicker next week. Bucs had ball on Patriots’ 15-yard line when game ended, but ran out of time. Both teams gained 400+ yards, but combined to score only 27 points on seven red zone drives. Big improvement for New England defense, but they still allowed 409 yards.

    Chargers 27, Giants 22— Manning was sacked/fumbled on his own 11 with 3:46 left, Chargers scored three plays later for their first win of the year. Giants are 0-5 and head to Denver next week without WR Beckham, who broke his ankle. Four of Chargers’ five games were decided by 5 or less points. Giants never got in red zone in this game; their TD’s were on plays of 23-29-48 yards. Chargers are 23-11-1 in last 35 games as a road underdog.

    Bengals 20, Bills 16— Cincy outgained Bills 388-221, but turned ball over three times (-2); they held Buffalo to 3.8 ypa. Both teams scored 13 points on three red zone drives. Buffalo is now +8 in turnovers for the year, but they need their passing game to drive the bus now and then. For the week, individual team over/unders are 14-12 Under heading to Monday night.

    Jets 17, Browns 14— Cleveland changed QB’s at halftime, trailing 3-0; Hogan went 16-19 for 194 yards in two TD’s in 2nd half, would think he is now the #1 guy. Browns had ball in red zone three times, scored zero points, turning ball over twice in red zone in first half, then losing ball on downs in 3rd quarter. Suddenly Jets have won three games in row and tied for first in AFC East with Bills/Patriots. Browns are 4-11 vs spread in last 15 games when favored.

    Jaguars 30, Steelers 9— While the Giants are 0-5, Tom Coughlin’s Jaguars are 3-2- they picked Roethlisberger off five times in this game (+4), with pair of pick-6’s 2:30 apart in third quarter when Steelers led 9-7. Jaguars are +10 in turnovers already. Steelers lost two of last three games; they didn’t score a TD in this game. Jax ran ball for 231 yards; they’ve run ball for 155+ yards in 4 of their 5 games.

    Dolphins 16, Titans 10— Awful offense on both sides; they averaged 3.1, 2.8 ypa- these are NFL teams!!! Dolphins have three TD’s on 42 drives this season- why are they paying Cutler $10M? Backup QB Cassel was 21-32/119 passing for Titans, who lost 57-14 LW. Titans are 8-34 on 3rd down the last three games- they went 3/out on 16 of last 26 drives. Longest play from scrimmage in this game was 17 yards- very rare there is a game with no plays of 20+ yards.

    Colts 26, 49ers 23 (OT)— All three Indy home games have been decided by 3 points; Brissett threw an awful INT in red zone on Colts’ first possession of OT, but Vinatieri bailed them out on next possession, bitting 51-yard FG to send everyone home happy. Colts had 7 plays of 20+ yards, most of any NFL team this week; they had 11-yard edge in field position, but scored only 13 points on four red zone drives. At 2-3, Colts are still alive with QB Luck expected back soon.

    Eagles 34, Cardinals 7— Philly won this game easily, holding Cardinals to 31 rushing yards- they averaged 9.6 ypa. Eagles are 39-73 on 3rd down this year- they’re up 1.5 games in NFC East. Arizona gave up 12 TD’s in their three losses, one each in their wins, by a FG each over Colts/49ers. Cardinals have run ball for only 51.8 yards a game this year- they lost field position by 15 yards in this game. Hard to win that way.

    Panthers (3-1) @ Lions (3-1)— Carolina is now 3-0 on the road, scoring 23-33-27 points. Cam Newton lit Detroit up; he was 26-33/334 passing, averaging over 9.0 ypa for 2nd week in row. Newton lost his Dannon yogurt commercial because of his comment to a woman reporter last week- Dak Prescott takes his place. Detroit was +9 in turnovers coming in; they were -1 here, and lost field position for first time this year.

    Seahawks 16, Rams 10— Los Angeles in the red zone Sunday:
    1st quarter: Lost fumble on 1-yard line
    2nd quarter: Kicked a 34-yard field goal
    3rd quarter: Missed a 35-yard field goal
    3rd quarter: Threw INT on a screen pass
    4th quarter: Lost ball on downs as game ended.

    Thats five trips to red zone, 3 points, a total of five turnovers (-3). Can’t win that way.

    Ram opponents are 24-49 on 3rd down the last three games.

    Ravens 30, Raiders 17— Baltimore’s season so far:
    First two games: +7 turnovers, won 20-0/24-10. Led 17-0/21-7 at half.
    Second two games: -5 turnovers, lost 44-7/26-9. Trailed 23-0/19-0 at half.
    Sunday at Oakland: 8.5 ypa, no turnovers, led 21-3.

    Raiders lost their last three games; their QB has a broken back, and his backup lost his last six NFL starts. Not good.

    Packers 35, Cowboys 31— Aaron Rodgers drove Green Bay 75 yards on nine plays for the winning TD with 0:11 left, after Dallas had taken the lead with 1:13 left. Cowboys led 21-6 at one point, but Rodgers is a great QB- Packers are 4-1 now. Green Bay is now 7-1 in last eight games against the Cowboys, winning last three visits to Dallas, 37-36/34-31/35-31.

    Chiefs 42, Texans 34— JJ Watt broke his leg, which took the air out of the building early on; Kansas City won/covered its first five games, scoring 17 TD’s on 52 drives. Chiefs are 13-2 as a road favorite under Reid. Rookie QB Watson threw five TD passes in a losing cause; in last two years, Cleveland has passed on Wentz, Prescott and Watson- their QB now is Kevin Hogan. Good thing guy that runs their franchise went to an Ivy League school- an educated imbecile.

  3. #3
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Monday, October 9


    Washington @ Chicago Cubs

    Game 905-906
    October 9, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    (Scherzer) 14.951
    Chicago Cubs
    (Quntana) 15.911
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -130
    No Total
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago Cubs
    (+110); N/A

    LA Dodgers @ Arizona


    Game 907-908
    October 9, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Dodgers
    (Darvish) 14.771
    Arizona
    (Greinke) 17.583
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 3
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -125
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (+105); Over

    Houston @ Boston


    Game 909-910
    October 9, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Morton) 17.515
    Boston
    (Porcello) 16.304
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -120
    10 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-120); Under

    Cleveland @ NY Yankees


    Game 911-912
    October 9, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    (Bauer) 15.814
    NY Yankees
    (Severino) 19.367
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Yankees
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Yankees
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Yankees
    N/A





    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, October 9


    Houston @ Boston
    Astros are 6-4 vs Boston this season; home team won first three series games.

    Morton is 3-0, 1.96 in his last three starts, all of which stayed under. Houston is 5-4 n his road starts this season. He allowed two runs in 5.1 IP in a 3-2 win over Boston 10 days ago.

    Porcello is 2-2, 6.26 in his last five starts; over is 7-4 in his last 11 starts. Boston is 8-11 in his home starts this year. He lost 7-1 to the Astros June 17, giving up seven runs in six IP, and pitched a scoreless inning in relief in Game 2 Friday.

    Red Sox are in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years; they got swept 3-0 by Cleveland in this round last year. Houston is in playoffs for second time in three years; they’ve never won the World Series, losing 4-0 to the White Sox in 2005.

    Cleveland @ New York
    New York is 3-7 vs Cleveland this season; home teams won all three games in this series.

    Bauer is 2-0, 0.92 in his last three starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven starts. Indians are 8-7 in his road starts. Bauer is pitching on 3 days’ rest; he is 3-0, 0.92 vs New York this season.

    Severino got KO’s in first inning of Wild Card game Tuesday; he is 1-0, 6.75 in his last three starts. Over is 3-1 in his last four starts. New York is 12-5 in his home starts; they won his last six starts overall. Severino is 1-1, 3.38 vs Cleveland this season.

    New York is in the playoffs for second time in the last five years; they last made the ALCS in 2012- they beat Twins 7-4 in Wild Card game Tuesday, with bullpen getting 26 of the 27 outs. Indians lost Game 7 of the World Series last year; they haven’t won a World Series since 1948. They’re in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years.

    Arizona @ Los Angeles
    Dodgers won first two games of this season, both of which went over the total. Arizona is 11-10 vs LA this season, 7-3 in Phoenix. Over is 12-9 in Arizona-LA games this season.

    Darvish is 2-0, 0.93 in his last three starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts. Dodgers are 8-7 in his road starts this season; he allowed two runs in five IP in an 8-6 win at Arizona 8-6, his only start against the Diamondbacks this season.

    Greinke is 0-1, 10.80 in his last three starts; over is 4-3 in his last seven outings. Arizona is 15-3 in his home starts this season. Greinke is 1-2, 3.65 in four starts against the Dodgers this year.

    Dodgers haven’t been to the World Series since 1988; this is their 5th year in a row in playoffs. Arizona won the Wild Card game 11-8 Wednesday, lost 9-4 last night; this is the first time they’re in the playoffs since 2011.

    Washington @ Chicago
    Washington is 5-4 against the Cubs this season (over 6-3): Nationals rallied for five runs in bottom of 8th inning Saturday to even this series 1-1.

    Scherzer is 2-0, 1.65 in his last three starts (under 3-0), but left his last start with hamstring cramps. Nationals are 11-5 in his road starts. Scherzer beat the Cubs 6-1 on June 27, allowing one run in six IP.

    Cubs won Quintana’s last six starts (3-0, 2.82); under is 5-3 in his last eight starts. Cubs are 3-3 in his road starts. He hasn’t pitched against Washington this season.

    Cubs won the World Series LY, their first title since 1908; this is their 3rd year in a row in the playoffs. Washington is in the playoffs for 4th time in six years- they lost in this round the previous three times. Nationals have never been in the World Series.

    AL Wild Card
    NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

    NL Wild Card
    Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

    Divisional series
    Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
    Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
    Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5

    Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
    Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
    NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5

    Cubs 3-0 Wash, +$135, U7.5
    Wash 6-3 Chi, -$117, O8.5

    LA 9-4 Ariz, -$270, O7.5
    LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8




    MLB

    Monday, October 9


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1:08 PM
    HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
    Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
    Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

    4:08 PM
    WASHINGTON vs. CHI CUBS
    Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    Chi Cubs are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games
    Chi Cubs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home

    7:08 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
    Cleveland is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
    NY Yankees are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    NY Yankees are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games

    10:08 PM
    LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing Arizona
    LA Dodgers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Arizona is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017 at 12:29 PM.

  4. #4
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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, October 9


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (98 - 66) at CHICAGO CUBS (93 - 71) - 3:05 PM
    MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 26-29 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 25-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
    WASHINGTON is 50-31 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 33-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
    SCHERZER is 26-6 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    CHICAGO CUBS are 93-71 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 904-820 (-157.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 16-23 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 37-36 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 72-56 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 32-33 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

    MAX SCHERZER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    SCHERZER is 3-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.973.
    His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

    JOSE QUINTANA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA DODGERS (106 - 58) at ARIZONA (94 - 71) - 10:05 PM
    YU DARVISH (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA DODGERS are 18-31 (-14.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 88-80 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 7-10 (-11.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
    LA DODGERS are 16-24 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 43-35 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    LA DODGERS are 143-104 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 95-93 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
    DARVISH is 14-17 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    ARIZONA is 94-71 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ARIZONA is 53-29 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    ARIZONA is 30-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    ARIZONA is 46-33 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    ARIZONA is 66-50 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    ARIZONA is 69-52 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    ARIZONA is 36-31 (+7.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GREINKE is 23-10 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    GREINKE is 16-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
    GREINKE is 101-49 (+38.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
    LA DODGERS are 74-32 (+24.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    LA DODGERS are 37-13 (+17.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 11-10 (+4.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    12 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

    YU DARVISH vs. ARIZONA since 1997
    DARVISH is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 0.966.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.6 units)

    ZACK GREINKE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    GREINKE is 4-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.366.
    His team's record is 7-4 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (103 - 62) at BOSTON (94 - 71) - 1:05 PM
    CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 76-51 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    HOUSTON is 103-62 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 26-15 (+9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
    HOUSTON is 53-29 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 37-19 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
    HOUSTON is 80-38 (+24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    HOUSTON is 40-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    HOUSTON is 20-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MORTON is 28-11 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    BOSTON is 1-12 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 48-44 (-9.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    BOSTON is 58-58 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 227-230 (-65.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
    PORCELLO is 2-8 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 6-4 (+1.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

    CHARLIE MORTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
    MORTON is 2-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.74 and a WHIP of 0.968.
    His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

    RICK PORCELLO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.271.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.7 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (104 - 61) at NY YANKEES (93 - 73) - 7:05 PM
    TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 7-3 (+4.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

    TREVOR BAUER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
    BAUER is 4-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.374.
    His team's record is 5-4 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

    LUIS SEVERINO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    SEVERINO is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 0.987.
    His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017 at 12:31 PM.

  5. #5
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    Monday's MLB Division Series Betting Preview and Odds

    All four Division Series matchups will be in action Monday. The Astros will try again to close out the Red Sox and the Indians will look to do the same against the Yankees while the Cubs-Nats and D-Backs-Dodgers will resume after a travel day with a pair or crucial Game 3’s.

    Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros (+107, 10.5)

    Astros lead series 2-1

    Hanley Ramirez struggled through the final two months of the regular season and was left out of the Boston Red Sox's starting lineup in Game 1 of their American League Division Series. The veteran slugger seems to be back in form after an injury gave him another shot and looks to stay hot as the Red Sox attempt to even the best-of-five series at two wins apiece when they host the Houston Astros on Monday afternoon.

    Ramirez, who batted .213 with 45 strikeouts in his final 43 games of 2017, needed an injury to Eduardo Nunez to regain the role of designated hitter and has gone 6-for-10 with three RBIs in the first three games of the series. Houston will try to contain Ramirez while getting its offense going again after being shut out by Boston's bullpen over the last eight innings of a 10-3 loss in Game 3 on Sunday. AL batting champion Jose Altuve continued his torrid hitting by recording three hits for the Astros and is 8-for-11 in the series while Carlos Correa went deep for the second time in two games and has knocked in six runs in three contests. Charlie Morton won a career-high 14 games and will get the start for Houston in Game 4 against Rick Porcello, who went 11-17 with a 4.65 ERA this season after posting a 22-4 record en route to the AL Cy Young Award in 2016.

    TV:
    1:08 p.m. ET, FS1

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Astros RH Charlie Morton (14-7, 3.62 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (Playoffs: 0-0, 0.00)

    Morton won his final three starts of the regular season, including one at Fenway Park, as he allowed just four runs and 13 hits over 18 1/3 innings. The 33-year-old limited Boston to two runs in 5 1/3 frames on Sept. 29 as he improved to 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox. Morton, who has handled Ramirez (1-for-15) and Mookie Betts (0-for-4), went 4-4 with a 4.17 ERA in nine turns on the road in 2017 and 4-1 with a 2.54 mark in September.

    Porcello won his last two decisions and went 7-3 in the final two months of the regular season to get the start despite pitching one scoreless inning of relief in Game 1 on Thursday. The 28-year-old New Jersey native was 7-11 with a 5.43 ERA at home this year after going 13-1 with a 2.97 mark at Fenway Park in 2016. Carlos Beltran is 10-for-27 with a homer and Josh Reddick 3-for-10 with a blast versus Porcello, who gave up seven runs over six innings in a loss to Houston on June 17.

    TRENDS:


    * Astros are 6-1 in Mortons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games.

    * Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 playoff games.

    * Over is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 overall.

    * Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Boston.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is leaning toward the road favorite Astros with 60 percent of the picks and Under is grabbing 55 percent of the totals wagers.

    Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs (+104, 7.5)

    Series tied 1-1

    The Washington Nationals were unsure what to expect from reigning National League Cy Young Award winner Max Scherzer going into the playoffs, but they’ll need their ace to be close to his best when he gets the ball Monday for Game 3 of the NL Division Series against the Chicago Cubs. The series shifts back to Wrigley Field after the teams split the first two games in Washington.

    The Cubs’ pitching staff was dominant for the first 16 innings of the series, shutting out the Nationals in the opener and taking a 3-1 lead into the eighth inning of Game 2 before Bryce Harper and Ryan Zimmerman went deep in a five-run frame that lifted Washington to a 6-3 win. "We've got to win two more games," Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo told reporters. "Doesn't matter how we do it. Doesn't matter the scenario. It starts Monday. With this group, with this experience, nothing's really going to faze us. We've given up way bigger home runs than that before." Chicago hopes left-hander Jose Quintana can put the Nationals back on their heels as he makes his postseason debut. Scherzer left his last start of the regular season on Sept. 30 with a hamstring injury that left his status for the division series up in the air, but he will aim for his first postseason win since the 2013 AL Division Series.

    TV:
    4:08 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Nationals RH Max Scherzer (16-6, 2.51 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jose Quintana (11-11, 4.15)

    Scherzer is 0-3 in his last five postseason starts, but he posted a 3.75 ERA in two outings in last year’s NLDS against the Dodgers. The 33-year-old was pitching well before his injury, going 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his last three regular-season starts. Scherzer is 3-1 with a 2.92 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs, including a win this season in which he allowed one run and two hits over six frames.

    Quintana has gone 7-3 with a 3.74 ERA in 14 starts since the Cubs acquired him from the cross-town White Sox. The Cubs have won the 28-year-old’s last six starts, and he has posted a 2.82 ERA over that span. Quintana has never faced the Nationals.

    TRENDS:


    * Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Cubs are 6-0 in Quintanas last 6 home starts.

    * Under is 11-1 in Nationals last 12 games following an off day.

    * Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 playoff home games.

    * Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a loss.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is leaning toward the road chalk Nationals with 62 percent of the picks and Under is grabbing 60 percent of the totals wagers.



    Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees (-164, 7.5)

    Indians lead series 2-1

    Luis Severino seeks a measure of redemption as he tries to keep the New York Yankees' season alive when he leads them into Game 4 of their American League Division Series against the visiting Cleveland Indians on Monday. The Yankees avoided being swept in the best-of-five matchup by posting a 1-0 victory on Sunday, riding a seven-inning gem from Masahiro Tanaka and a solo homer by Greg Bird to the season-saving win.

    Tanaka allowed three hits and recorded seven strikeouts in the best outing - by far - by a New York starter this postseason, a lackluster stretch for the rotation that began with Severino retiring only one batter in the wild-card game against Minnesota on Tuesday. The Indians, who registered four singles and a triple in Sunday's defeat, will counter in Game 4 with Trevor Bauer on three days' rest. Bauer flummoxed the Yankees through 6 2/3 innings of a 4-0 win in the series opener and has won 11 of his last 12 decisions overall, including three victories over New York. Cleveland played Sunday without cleanup hitter Edwin Encarnacion, who remains day-to-day after spraining his ankle in Game 2.

    TV:
    7:08 p.m. ET, FS1

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Indians RH Trevor Bauer (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (0-0, 81.00)

    Bauer has allowed two runs and 11 hits over 19 2/3 innings in a three-start span dating to the regular season. The 26-year-old posted a 4.54 ERA on the road this year but owns a 2.87 mark in three career turns at Yankee Stadium. Bauer struck out New York slugger Aaron Judge each of the three times he faced him in Game 1.

    Severino made a pair of starts against Cleveland in August, allowing a total of four earned runs and six hits in 13 1/3 innings while recording 18 strikeouts. The 23-year-old was reached for 15 of the 21 home runs he served up this year at home, including three - two by Jose Ramirez - in a loss to the Indians at Yankee Stadium on Aug. 28. Severino, who has worked just 9 1/3 frames in a span of 23 days, owns a 2.49 ERA in four career starts versus Cleveland.

    TRENDS:


    * Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games.

    * Indians are 10-1 in Bauers last 11 starts vs. American League East.

    * Yankees are 14-2 in Severinos last 16 starts.

    * Under is 7-1-2 in Bauers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 Divisional Playoff home games.

    * Indians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.



    Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (102, 9)

    Dodgers lead series 2-0

    The Los Angeles Dodgers have rolled to back-to-back victories over the Arizona Diamondbacks and look to wrap up the best-of-5 National League Division Series when the scene switches to Phoenix on Monday. Los Angeles racked up 17 runs and 24 hits in two easy wins as it resembled the squad that led the majors with 104 regular-season victories.

    The Diamondbacks attempt to remain in the series behind ace Zack Greinke, the right-hander who won 51 games in three seasons with the Dodgers before signing with Arizona after the 2015 campaign. "If you've got to pick one guy to stop this situation we're in, I think we've found the right guy in Zack Greinke," Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said in a press conference. Los Angeles right fielder Yasiel Puig has been one of the hitting stars by going 5-for-9 with four RBIs as the Dodgers appear to have put aside their regular-season struggles (8-11) against Arizona. "We're going to treat it like another game. We've been in Chase Field before," Los Angeles infielder Logan Forsythe told reporters. "I know it's probably going to be a little louder. But we're going up against Greinke, who is their guy, and we're going to do our homework, and go out there and prepare for the game the way we've been playing."

    TV:
    10:08 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (10-12, 3.86 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (playoffs: 0-0, 9.82)

    Darvish finished the season strong by going 2-0 in his last three outings, allowing just one earned run in 19 1/3 innings during the stretch. The 31-year-old from Japan has a 5.40 ERA while losing both his career postseason starts but the Dodgers acquired him from the Texas Rangers to boost up their playoff-caliber pitching. "To have that front-line guy to win a playoff game certainly that's why you acquire a guy like Yu," Los Angeles manager Dave Roberts said in a press conference. "Outside of the first three or four (outings) once he came over, he's been very good and continuing to get better."

    Greinke has been ineffective over his last three turns - giving up 14 runs in 11 2/3 innings - and lasted just 3 2/3 frames in the wild-card contest against the Colorado Rockies. The 33-year-old is 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA in 10 career postseason outings with two of the wins coming during his six postseason starts for the Dodgers. "We've built around him. He set the pace for the entire pitching staff all year long," Lovullo told reporters. "I know he loves challenges like this. Nobody prepares better. Nobody is going to work to make sure that on that day when he takes the mound that he's going to be comfortable, confident and ready."

    TRENDS:


    * Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

    * Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.

    * Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 Divisional Playoff games.

    * Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. National League West.

    * Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is leaning toward the home favorite Diamondbacks with 70 percent of the picks and Under is grabbing 62 percent of the totals wagers.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2017 at 12:32 PM.

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