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Thread: The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

  1. #196
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, November 5


    Cavaliers ended a 4-game skid Friday; they’re 0-7 vs spread as a favorite, 0-5 at home (2-3 SU). Three of their last four games went over total. Hawks won three of last four games with the Cavaliers- road team won five of last six series games. Over is 6-1 in last seven series games. Atlanta lost its last eight games (1-6-1 vs spread); their last three games went over. Hawks are 1-4-1 as a road underdog.

    Clippers won their last four games with Miami (3-1 vs spread); last five series games stayed under. Heat is 2-3 vs spread in last five series games in Staples. Miami lost four of last five games after 1-point loss in Denver Friday; they’re 0-2 on road, losing by 1-7 points. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Clippers are 5-3 to start season, but all three losses were at home (3-3 SU, 3-2 as HF). Five of their seven games stayed under the total.

    Toronto won six of last seven games with Washington; road team won four of last five series games. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Wizards lost four of their last five games but they’re 3-1 vs spread on road. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Raptors won three of last four games, covered four of last five. Both Toronto home games went over the total.

    Celtics won their last four games with Orlando (3-1 vs spread); home teams won nine of last ten series games. Boston is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits here. Celtics won/covered their last seven games, they’re 5-0 vs spread on road. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Orlando won five of its last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five. Magic is 2-2 vs spread at home.

    Jazz won four of last five games with Houston; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six visits here. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Utah won three of last four games; they’re 0-3 on road, 1-2 vs spread- their last three games went over total. Rockets are 7-3 but lost their last two home games (1-2 as home favorite); their last three games went over the total.

    Spurs won nine of their last ten games with Phoenix (6-3-1 vs spread); Suns lost their last five visits to the Alamo (1-3-1 vs spread). Four of last five series games went over. Phoenix won four of last six games; they’re 3-2 as a road underdog. Five of their last six games went over. Spurs lost four of last five games; they’re 3-1 at home- favorites covered all four home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

    Knicks won three of last four series games; under is 7-3 in last ten. Pacers are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Manhattan. Indiana won three of last four games; they’re 3-2 as a road underdog- over is 4-1 in their road games. New York won four of last five games after a 3-0 start; they’re 3-2 at home, 2-0 as a home favorite. Knicks’ last three games went over the total.

    Charlotte won eight of last ten games with Minnesota, covering five of last seven; Hornets are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Charlotte won three of last four games (over 4-0); they’re 1-3 vs spread on road, losing away games by 7-9-12 points. Minnesota won its last four games (3-0-1 vs spread); five of its last seven games went over total.

    Portland won four of last five games with Oklahoma City; home side won nine of last ten series games. Thunder lost last five visits to Portland (2-3 vs spread). Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. OKC split its first eight games this season (under 6-2); they’re 2-2 vs spread on road. Portland is 3-4 in its last seven games, 1-4 vs spread as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went over.

    Lakers won three of last four games with Memphis; home side won seven of last eight series games. Grizzlies beat Clippers in Staples yesterday; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six games vs the Lakers here. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Grizzlies split their last six games after a 3-0 start (under 6-2-1). Memphis is 2-1 vs spread on road. Lakers are 4-5 to start season; they won three of last four at home. Under is 4-2 in their home games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #197
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    NBA

    Sunday, November 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA @ CLEVELAND
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    MIAMI @ LA CLIPPERS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Miami
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami

    BOSTON @ ORLANDO
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

    WASHINGTON @ TORONTO
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

    UTAH @ HOUSTON
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Houston
    Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

    PHOENIX @ SAN ANTONIO
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix

    INDIANA @ NEW YORK
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Indiana's last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games at home
    New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

    CHARLOTTE @ MINNESOTA
    Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games

    OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

    MEMPHIS @ LA LAKERS
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing Memphis
    LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #198
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    Pro Basketball Trend Report

    ATLANTA (1 - 8) at CLEVELAND (4 - 5) - 11/5/2017, 3:05 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 7-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 8-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MIAMI (3 - 5) at LA CLIPPERS (5 - 3) - 11/5/2017, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 119-156 ATS (-52.6 Units) in November games since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    WASHINGTON (4 - 4) at TORONTO (5 - 3) - 11/5/2017, 6:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 6-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    BOSTON (7 - 2) at ORLANDO (6 - 3) - 11/5/2017, 6:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 255-207 ATS (+27.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    UTAH (5 - 4) at HOUSTON (7 - 3) - 11/5/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 4-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    PHOENIX (4 - 5) at SAN ANTONIO (5 - 4) - 11/5/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1008-883 ATS (+36.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 808-688 ATS (+51.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 513-431 ATS (+38.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 339-266 ATS (+46.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 406-326 ATS (+47.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 155-114 ATS (+29.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    INDIANA (5 - 4) at NEW YORK (4 - 4) - 11/5/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    CHARLOTTE (5 - 4) at MINNESOTA (6 - 3) - 11/5/2017, 8:05 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 4) at PORTLAND (5 - 4) - 11/5/2017, 9:05 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 84-57 ATS (+21.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 4-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    MEMPHIS (6 - 3) at LA LAKERS (4 - 5) - 11/5/2017, 9:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #199
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    Hoop Trends - Sunday
    November 5, 2017


    ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

    -- The Heat are 11-0 ATS (11.32 ppg) since Jan 27, 2017 as a road dog.

    OU TREND OF THE DAY:


    -- The Knicks are 0-10 OU (-9.60 ppg) since Feb 01, 2014 at home with rest off a home game in which they shot over 50% from the field.

    PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

    -- The Timberwolves are 12-0 OU (13.00 ppg) since Jan 11, 2017 after a game as a home favorite in which Karl Anthony Towns had a double double.

    CHOICE TREND:

    -- The Cavaliers are 10-0 OU (15.40 ppg) since Mar 14, 2017 at home after Lebron James had more than 30 points.

    ACTIVE TRENDS:

    -- The Rockets are 0-10 ATS (-11.70 ppg) with rest after they scored a least 18 fast break points since Mar 12, 2017.

    -- The Heat are 9-0 ATS (9.89 ppg) since Dec 07, 2016 on the road after Goran Dragic was the high scorer.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #200
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    SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 5
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNIT


    ATL at CLE 03:00 PM
    ATL +12.0
    O 218.0

    MIA at LAC 03:30 PM
    LAC -5.0 *****

    WAS at TOR 06:00 PM
    TOR -5.5
    U 217.0

    BOS at ORL 06:00 PM
    BOS -3.5 *****
    O 208.0

    UTA at HOU 07:00 PM
    HOU -6.5 *****

    PHO at SA 07:00 PM
    PHO +10.5
    O 210.5

    IND at NY 07:30 PM
    O 216.0 *****

    CHA at MIN 08:00 PM
    MIN -5.5

    OKC at POR 09:00 PM
    POR +3.0 *****

    MEM at LAL 09:30 PM
    O 208.5 *****
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-05-2017 at 12:46 PM.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #201
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    NFL Week 9 Essentials
    November 5, 2017

    Here’s all you need to know about Week 9’s slate:

    Sunday, Nov. 5


    Denver at Philadelphia: Turning away from Trevor Siemian after another poor performance on Monday night, the Broncos will hand the reins of their team back to Brock Osweiler. After a tour as the man in Houston, then as a trade chip and clipboard holder in Cleveland, the 6-foot-7 Osweiler will start a game for Denver for the first time since 2015. He's thrown four passes this season but does have plenty of experience, even throwing and running for a TD in a playoff win in January. Head coach Vance Joseph said there will be no scaling back of the playbook this week. A familiar face, WR Emmanuel Sanders, will try to make his life easier against a vulnerable Eagles pass defense. He's getting back to full strength from a nasty ankle injury that has also contributed to the Broncos' poor play, although probably not to the level of degree that the shoddy offensive line and turnover-prone Siemian have.

    Since Week 3, Denver is a minus-10 in turnover differential, so count on a cautious approach against a fierce Eagles front seven. If weather conditions are sloppy on a potentially rainy day, the approach will be downright conservative and we could see a lot of Osweiler trying to keep drives alive with his feet.

    The Eagles do have some of their own issues to be wary of. Carson Wentz's security blanket, TE Zach Ertz, won't play through a hamstring injury that kept him out of practices. He leads all tight ends in most statistical categories for a reason and will be missed against Denver's defense. RB Jay Ajayi is expected to play after joining the team from Miami, so we'll see how he fits in on a day where they should also be interested in establishing the run.

    L.A. Rams at N.Y. Giants: L.A. is favored to improve to 6-2 at the halfway point, and is looking to become the first team to open 4-0 on the road this season. That doesn't even include the Rams' 33-0 win over Arizona in London, so it's clear that this group doesn't mind going out and performing from an opposing locker room. Currently the healthiest team in football, the Rams can't afford a misstep here since they've had one of the lightest schedules thus far, taking advantage to put themselves in this position.

    New York will look to make the best of an awful season that could ulitmately cost Ben McAdoo his job given all the player backlash. Janoris Jenkins failed to show up for practice Tuesday and got suspended, continuing a pattern of defensive players angry with what's gone down this season. Meanwhile, the offensive line continues to be a mess that has hampered continuity, so it's not surprising that thhis line moved to 4.5 after opening 3.5.

    Tampa Bay at New Orleans: Jameis Winston's shoulder is getting healthier, but there's no reason to expect to see him at 100 percent. He's in there because it's in his nature to try to lead his offense in a must-win situation, but the injury has affected his consistency even though he still gives the team a better chance here than Ryan Fitzapatrick. Turnovers could factor in as an issue since he'll be going up against a Saints defense that ranks first in the entire NFL in passing yards per game allowed, passer rating and interceptions since Week 3, forcing 11 turnovers.

    Drew Brees is again leading the league in completion percentage and has flourished despite the Saints running the ball more with Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara, so we'll see if the Bucs defense manages to disrup their rhythm in spite of the absence of top corner Brett Grimes. It's going to be on the front seven to generate pressure on an offense that's humming in spite of constant reshuffling along the offensive line. Tampa Bay must generate pressure or it will add to that ugly number currently seeing them surrendering a 34-point average in road games.

    Cincinnati at Jacksonville: The Jaguars woke up Sunday as a playoff team and could potentially be in sole possession of first place in the AFC North if they get help from the Ravens in Tennessee. Outside of the Texans' line move after Watson's injury news was announced, Jacksonville saw its number move most, going from a 3.5-point favorite to 6-6.5 once star rookie RB Leonard Fournette was upgraded to probable coming off last week's absence due to an ankle injury but was rendered out Sunday due to a violation of team rules. With Chris Ivory in good form, Jacksonville does have a back in place to take pressure off Blake Bortles and will have its offensive line back intact with Brandon Linder returning.

    The Bengals survived at home against Indianapolis to win for the third time in four games but now open a crucial two-game stretch looking to prove that their offense can hold up against a Jags defense that is on a record sack pace. Andy Dalton has proven he can excel against a relentless pass rush before, but he's also melted down in the face of many, making him the x-factor here. Considering how strong Jacksonville has also been against the run, it's Dalton who must make life easier for rookie Joe Mixon and the run game, not vice versa.

    Atlanta at Carolina: Cam Newton complained on Instagram that he'll "never understand" the move to part ways with WR Kelvin Benjamin, but he's also not moping about it. Expect Devin Funchess to get more balls thrown his way and Christian McCaffrey to also find himself more touches. While the trade is unlikely to have an immediate crippling impact, what matters most is that center Ryan Kalil remains out, which means there will be more pressure on Newton to execute while avoiding mistakes. The Panthers are 5-0 when he throws less than one pick and seemingly need him more than ever here since the loser here falls to third in the NFC West.

    Matt Ryan has had a shaky season, but snapped a three-game losing streak in the driving rain in New York and looked more sure of himself than he has in weeks. He'll have to be sharp against the Panthers, who are simply a different defense when Luke Kuechly plays. He was cleared from concussion protocol and instantly dominated in the 17-3 win at Tampa Bay. Ryan will have RBs Davonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman in the mix in addition to a recieving corps that's at full strength, so he's hoping to reverse a trend that has seen the

    Indianapolis at Houston: Tom Savage is 1-2 as Texans starter and couldn't take advantage of the opportunity to take the reins at the beginning of the season, getting pulled after a half against Jacksonville. He should have more time against the Colts than he did against the Jags, so we'll see if he can push the ball down the field, as was the original plan this season before rookie Deshaun Watson had to come in and do that. Given the abrupt nature of how this injury went down, Savage will have to find a way to get his offense on the same page quickly. That task was made easier by the news that CB Vontae Davis stayed behind in Indianapolis, which means a Colts defemse that surrenders over 30 points per game will be without their top defensive back.

    The Colts come off a 24-23 loss at the Bengals and will be playing consecutive home games for the first time. After being shut out the previous week at home by Jacksonville, there were some strides made on offense, but Jacoby Brisett's pick-six proved costly. After opening as a 13-point underdog when it appeared Watson was playing, Houston is now a 7-point 'dog.

    Baltimore at Tennessee:
    Although the Titans are currently vying for the AFC South lead, this could ultimately be an extremly important game as far as the wild card picture goes. They're looking for their third straight home win and host an equally vital game against the Titans next week, so this is a crucial stretch and they're fortunate to be getting healthier as it approaches. Only tight end Delanie Walker's status is much of a mystery, but QB Marcus Mariota is close to 100 percent and the expectation is that we'll see a version of him much closer to the one we saw last season due to a hamstring injury. Top pick Corey Davis, who found the end zone in Week 1 but hasn't been heard from since, is also deemed ready to go.

    The Ravens will have Joe Flacco back off concussion protocol and was looking sharper of late, so the hope there is that he'll be able to put his veteran team in postion to capitalize on a schedule that sees them facing backups the next few weeks in Green Bay and against Houston. If Baltimore can get out of Nashville victorious it's possible it can go on a run. Over the past two weeks, the defense has gotten significantly healthier, though the offense still has major issues with RB Terrance West out, TE Maxx Williams back and only four "healthy" WRs available for this game in Jeremy Maclin, Mike Wallace, Breshad Perriman and Chris Moore.

    Arizona at San Francisco:
    The Cardinals are hoping to flush their brutal performance in London, but it's hard to say they can do that completely since a major issue followed them back across the pond with Carson Palmer sidelined basically the rest of the way. Although they've said the plan will be to feed Adrian Peterson, they're going to need Drew Stanton to be serviceable given the fact that the receiving corps is finally healthy for the first time. Larry Fitzgerald has terrorized the 49ers throughout his career, doing so even with Stanton under center.

    The 49ers have acquired some hope in Jimmy Garroppolo, landing him from behind Tom Brady's shadow with Patriots. He won't play today and may not participate all season with the team in full tank mode. Left tackle Joe Staley, top receiver Pierre Garcon and rookie first-rounders Solomon Thomas and Reuben Foster are among those ruled out for today, so ending a five-game losing streak at the hands of Arizona will be complicated and likely require help from Stanton. The Cards are a 2.5-point road favorite.

    Washington at Seattle:
    Russell Wilson threw for a career-high 452 yards and four scores and has a healthy Jimmy Graham producing, so the addition of an All-Pro left tackle in Duane Brown could yield huge results since the team has been working with the equivalent of scotch tape and just got themselves a quality adhesive. Yes, Brown is starting immediately.

    Washington QB Cousins won't have multiple starting offensive linemen blocking for him, so this is going to be a great test of his ability to work with what he's got in order to make plays against an elite, albeit, banged-up defense. The weather is likely to be a factor too since rain and/or snow flurries are expected, so there are a ton of variables in play here that will likely make this a game-time call or no-play.

    The Redskins won't have Jordan Reed or Jamison Crowder to help Cousins create opportunities and will utilize the elusive Chris Thompson to try and create chunk plays against the Seahawks, who will be missing Earl Thomas due to a hamstring injury that hampered him last year as the Texans had their way with the Legion of Boom. Bradley McDougald will fill in, and Seattle will still have Kam Chancellor (ankle) and should field linebacker Bobby Wagner to try and limit Cousins' exploiting the middle of the field. DT Sheldon Richardson is a game-time decision with an oblique issue that has held him back of late.

    Kansas City at Dallas: Ezekiel Elliott won another battle to play after it looked like the Cowboys would have to make do without him as late as Friday morning. Although his normal practice routine was interrupted, there's no reason to believe that will be detrimental or that Dallas would've been better off with its other two backs. Elliott has been impressive of late, playing himself back into shape, and the line shift that made Dallas a favorite in this matchup was justified given his three consecutive 100-plus-yard games. Since the bye, he's averaged five yards per carry.

    The Chiefs will try to slow down a Dallas offense that has averaged 32.4 points over the past five, welcoming Tamba Hali back to aid the cause. With Dee Ford out due to a back issue, the timing is right, but it remains to be seen how rusty he is. Kansas City isn't likely to intercept Dak Prescott three times like they managed against Siemian, so they'll probably need to continue putting up the points, which makes the high total in this game (53.5) understandable. The Chiefs are averaging 36 points per away game and would be 4-0 if not for that memorable Thursday night loss in Oakland the last time they were on the road.

    Oakland at Miami: Sunday nights are for saving your season if you're the Raiders. Heading into a bye week, their team will be far more likely to be enthused and engaged in preparing for a date with New England in Mexico if they're 4-5 than they would be at 3-6. Attempting to stave off a doomed mind set falls on the shoulders Derek Carr, who couldn't get his offense to do much of anything in their last Sunday night showing, a Sept. 24 27-10 loss at Washington where the receivers couldn't catch and the offensive line couldn't block. After a 2-0 start, the Raiders have dropped five of six, which includes an 0-3 mark on the road where they've been outscored 77-34. Moving on from the disappointment begins tonight. All that's left to be seen is which direction this group is going.

    In swapping Ajayi for a fourth-rounder, the Dolphins are turning the page themselves. While it's true knee issues have kept him from having the impact he had in lifting the Dolphins last season, it's still a disappointment that the work Adam Gase put in leading the team to the playoffs was completely stunted. The '17 version remains magically above .500, but has an extremely difficult schedule over the second half and would do their chances a huge favor picking up a win here. That requires putting a 40-0 nightmare in Baltimore completely behind them, so Jay Cutler's return from broken ribs is a welcome sight. To be fair, that last sentence could definitely have ended with a question mark. He's slated to start instead of Matt Moore.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-05-2017 at 12:58 PM.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NBA roundup: Hawks top Cavs to end 8-game skid
    November 5, 2017

    HOUSTON -- James Harden poured in a career-high 56 points, and the Houston Rockets rolled to a 137-110 victory over the Utah Jazz on Sunday night.

    Harden fell one point shy of the franchise record held by Hall of Fame guard Calvin Murphy. He finished 19 of 25 from the floor, including 7 of 8 from behind the 3-pointer arc, while making 11 of 12 free throws. Harden added 13 assists.

    All five Utah starters scored in double figures, led by rookie guard Donovan Mitchell with 17 points off the bench.

    Hawks 117, Cavaliers 115


    CLEVELAND -- Dennis Schroder scored 28 points and depleted Atlanta stopped its eight-game losing streak by beating Cleveland.

    The Hawks, without five rotation players, built a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter but nearly let it slip away. Channing Frye missed a 3-pointer with one second to go that would have won it for Cleveland, and Dwyane Wade's missed tip-in at the buzzer would have tied it.

    LeBron James scored 10 of his 26 points in the fourth quarter, Kyle Korver had 19 of his 23 in the fourth, and Wade finished with 25 for the Cavs, who have lost five of their last six games.

    Celtics 104, Magic 88


    ORLANDO, Fla. -- Boston won its eighth consecutive game, beating Orlando with another impressive defensive performance.

    Jaylen Brown led Boston's well-balanced attack with 18 points. Al Horford had 14 points and 10 rebounds, and Jayson Tatum scored 13 points for the Celtics, who have built the NBA's best record by allowing the fewest points (99.1 per game).

    Aaron Gordon led the Magic with 18 points and 12 rebounds.

    Knicks 108, Pacers 101


    NEW YORK -- Kristaps Porzingis scored a career-high 40 points, including 17 in the fourth quarter, and New York stormed back from a 19-point deficit to defeat Indiana.

    Tim Hardaway Jr. (16 points) and rookie first-round pick Frank Ntilikina (10) were the only other Knicks in double figures. Porzingis added eight rebounds and six blocks while making 15 of 24 shots from the field.

    Indiana finished with five players in double figures, including Thaddeus Young with 18 points and Myles Turner with 15 points in his return to the starting lineup.

    Spurs 112, Suns 95


    SAN ANTONIO -- LaMarcus Aldridge hit for 21 points to lead seven San Antonio players in double-figure scoring and the Spurs roared back from a halftime deficit to beat Phoenix.

    San Antonio trailed by four points at halftime after a back-and-forth first half but pulled away in the third quarter before leading by as many as 27 in the final minutes.

    Phoenix, ending a five-game, 10-day trip, was led by TJ Warren's 17 points.

    Heat 104, Clippers 101

    LOS ANGELES -- Hassan Whiteside had 21 points and 17 rebounds to help Miami hold off Los Angeles.

    The win allowed the Heat to snap a four-game losing streak to the Clippers. Tyler Johnson scored 19 points for Miami, and Wayne Ellington had 17.

    Blake Griffin led the Clippers with 23 points, and Lou Williams had 22 off the bench. DeAndre Jordan collected 10 points and 19 rebounds.

    Wizards 107, Raptors 96

    TORONTO -- Bradley Beal scored 38 points to lead Washington to a win over Toronto.

    The Wizards led by as many as 19 points in the third quarter before the Raptors trimmed it to three nearing the midpoint of the fourth quarter, but a layup by Beal and a 3-pointer by Kelly Oubre Jr. put the Wizards ahead by 13 points with 4:22 left. Washington guard John Wall (sprained left shoulder) did not play.

    DeMar DeRozan led Toronto with 26 points. The Raptors lost point Kyle Lowry in the second quarter after he was assessed two technical fouls for arguing with the referees.

    Timberwolves 112, Hornets 94


    MINNEAPOLIS -- Jeff Teague had 18 points and 12 assists, Andrew Wiggins scored a team-high 20 points, and Minnesota coasted to victory over Charlotte.

    Jamal Crawford provided a big spark with 15 points off the bench, and Minnesota was 26 of 30 from the free-throw line to win its fifth straight game, the first five-game winning streak for the franchise since Jan. 2-10, 2009. Karl-Anthony Towns had 16 points and Jimmy Butler chipped in 13 as Minnesota led by as many as 23 points.

    Dwight Howard had 13 points and nine rebounds for Charlotte, which has lost two straight games and is 1-4 on the road this season.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #203
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    November's NBA Best Bets And Opinions ( Based on 5 Units )

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    11/05/2017 8-6-0 57.14% +7.00
    11/04/2017 5-2-1 71.43% +14.00
    11/03/2017 10-13-0 43.48% -21.50
    11/02/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
    11/01/2017 12-12-0 50.00% -6.00

    Totals...............37- 35......51.38%....-7.50

    Best Bets:

    Date.................................ATS.......... .....Units.............Over/Under............Units

    11/05/2017.....................3 - 1..............+9.50.................1 - 1.................-0.10
    11/04/2017.....................1 - 1...............-0.10.................2 - 1.................+4.50
    11/03/2017.....................2 - 3...............-6.50.................4 - 3.................+3.50
    11/02/2017.....................1 - 1..............- 0.10.................1 - 1..................-0.10
    11/01/2017.....................4 - 1..............+14.50...............4 - 3 .................+3.50

    Totals............................11 - 7..............+17.40..............12 - 9................+11.30



    *******************************


    SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY NOVEMBER 6, 2017
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    7:30 PM Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Philips Arena
    9:00 PM Brooklyn Nets Phoenix Suns Talking Stick Resort Arena
    10:30 PM Miami Heat Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY NOVEMBER 7, 2017
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    7:00 PM Dallas Mavericks Washington Wizards Capital One Arena
    7:00 PM Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena
    7:00 PM New Orleans Pelicans Indiana Pacers Bankers Life Fieldhouse
    7:30 PM Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Madison Square Garden
    7:30 PM Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Air Canada Centre
    8:30 PM Los Angeles Clippers San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
    9:00 PM Brooklyn Nets Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
    9:00 PM Philadelphia 76ers Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
    10:00 PM Memphis Grizzlies Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter
    10:00 PM Oklahoma City Thunder Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #204
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 9 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Seattle Seahawks -7 (627)- L

    5) Atlanta Falcons +1 (715)- L

    4) Denver Broncos +8.5 (766)- L

    3) Dallas Cowboys +1 (824)- W

    2) Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (944)- W

    1) Indianapolis Colts +13 (1,675)- W

    Season record of top 6 picks: 21-33


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    13) Before we go over this week’s games, some thoughts about today’s shooting in Texas.

    If you can’t go to church and feel safe, something is bleeping wrong. 24 people died in a mass shooting in a Texas church Sunday. Do churches need metal detectors? Is this what our country is coming to? Seriously?

    I’m tired of offering thoughts/prayers to victims; you go to church to pray, but right now, there are little kids in surgery because a crazy person shot up a church. Enough already.

    Jets 34, Bills 21— Buffalo came in to this game +14 in turnovers for season, left +11. Jets ran ball for 194 yards, ended a 3-game losing skid. Jets are only 4-5, but they haven’t trailed at halftime since Week 2. By the way, I vote for the NFL to eliminate Thursday night games and switch to Monday night doubleheaders. Think it would be better for the league.

    Eagles 51, Broncos 23— Tough scheduling spot for Broncos, who played in Kansas City Monday night, then had 3rd straight road game here. Denver has now lost four games in a row, scoring 10-0-3-23 points; they’re also 0-4 on the road, losing by 10-21-10-28 points. Eagles won their last seven games, would be #1 seed in NFC if the playoffs started today.

    Rams 51, Giants 17— Performances like this get coaches/GM’s fired. Rams scored eight of the first nine times they had the ball- they’re 4-0 in true road games this season. Giants have a lot of interesting decisions to make this fall/winter.

    It takes a whole roster for a team to be good; reserve LB Cory Littleton has blocked a punt in two of the Rams’ last three games. Rams’ special teams coach John Fassel is the son of Jim Fassel, who led the Giants to Super Bowl XXXV.

    Saints 30, Buccaneers 10— New Orleans won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); their defense is the story. Saints allowed 8 TD’s on 65 drives during their winning streak. Buccaneers have now lost five games in a row, as teams that were on HBO’s Hard Knocks in the summer continue to struggle that season.

    Bucs are 0-4 on road, losing by 7-5-3-20 points. Jon Gruden’s name will be mentioned a lot in Tampa this week. Jameis Winston sat out the 2nd half (shoulder), which could be really bad news for the Bucs, who didn’t have a play longer than 15 yards in this game.

    Jaguars 23, Bengals 7— Cincinnati ran 37 plays for 148 yards for the whole game- they were 1-8 on 3rd down, Jaguars were 12-18. Total yardage was 407-148.

    Jags de-activated Leonard Fournette for this game because he is lapsing with his off-field responsibilities, like getting his treatments for his ankle, and missing the team picture. Jax’ville hasn’t allowed a second half TD in their last four games, outscoring teams 43-6.

    Panthers 20, Falcons 17— Atlanta/Denver both played their 3rd straight week on the road, neither team won or covered. Panthers allowed only two offensive TD’s in their last three games- they’re 6-3 with a bye week coming up in two weeks. Saints lead NFC South with a 6-2 mark, while the Falcons’ Super Bowl hangover continues— Atlanta is 4-5.

    Colts 20, Texans 14— Loss of star rookie QB Watson was obvious here; Texans’ first TD was scored by their defense. Houston had scored 33+ points in its last five games, but with Watson out, not so much.

    Tom Savage led Texans down field on last drive, getting to the Colts’ 10-yard line, but Savage got sacked/fumbled as time ran out. Indy is now 1-4 on the road.

    Titans 23, Ravens 20— Tennessee allowed only three TD’s on 30 drives in winning their last three games- they’re 3-1 at home. Teams coming off a Thursday night game are now 10-4-1 vs spread; the Thursday winner is 5-2-1 vs spread in their next game, the loser 5-2, with Miami’s result pending Sunday night.

    Redskins 17, Seahawks 14— Seattle ran ball better (148 yards) with new OT Brown in lineup, but they missed three FGs, and lost despite outgaining Washington 437-244. Seahawks also had 16 penalties for 138 yards. Big win for the Redskins, whose OL has been almost totally rebuilt in last couple of weeks. Right now, Seahawks are tied with Dallas for second Wild Card slot.

    Cowboys 28, Chiefs 17— Both teams that played on Monday night last week lost road games this week; tough scheduling spot. Dallas converted 7-12 on 3rd down, ran ball for 131 yards as Elliott keeps skirting the NFL’s suspension during the week and opposing tacklers on Sunday. I’m not a big Alex Smith fan; I know his career won-loss record is 86-68-1, which is very good, just don’t think he takes enough chances to ever be a great QB.

    Raiders 27, Dolphins 24— Oakland won for only second time in last seven games overall, second time in last 10 meetings with Miami; they’ve scored 26+ points in their wins this season, 17 or less in their five losses. Teams that played on Thursday are 10-5-1 vs spread in their next game, when they have three extra days to rest. Dolphins pushed the spread with a late touchdown. Favorites are 8-3-1 vs spread this weekend; over is 5-7.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #205
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, November 6


    Hawks won/covered four of last five games with Boston; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Celtics are 2-4 vs spread in last six games in this building. Boston won/covered its last eight games; they’re 5-1 SU on road, 2-0 as a road favorite. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Hawks won in Cleveland Sunday, anding an 8-game losing skid. Hawks are 0-3 at home, 1-2 as a home underdog. Last three Atlanta games went over the total.

    Nets won/covered four of last five games with Phoenix; over is 3-1 in last four series games. Brooklyn covered three of last four games in this building. Nets lost their last four games; they’re 1-3 vs spread as a road underdog. Last three Brooklyn games went over. Phoenix won four of its last seven games after an 0-3 start; they won their last two home games. Four of Suns’ last five games went over the total.

    Warriors won five of last six games with Miami, but Heat covered the last four. Miami is 3-0-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Oakland. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Heat lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-0 as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. Golden State won six of its last seven games; they’re 0-4 as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over the total.




    NBA

    Monday, November 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON @ ATLANTA
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

    BROOKLYN @ PHOENIX
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games

    MIAMI @ GOLDEN STATE
    Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Miami is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    Golden State is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
    Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 game


    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, November 6


    Boston @ Atlanta

    Game 501-502
    November 6, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    120.505
    Atlanta
    120.036
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    Even
    197
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 8 1/2
    205
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+8 1/2); Under

    Brooklyn @ Phoenix


    Game 503-504
    November 6, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    114.789
    Phoenix
    110.890
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 4
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Phoenix
    by 1
    235
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+1); Under

    Miami @ Golden State


    Game 505-506
    November 6, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    116.582
    Golden State
    136.012
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 19 1/2
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 16 1/2
    226
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-16 1/2); Over


    **************************

    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, November 6


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (8 - 2) at ATLANTA (2 - 8) - 11/6/2017, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 8-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 9-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (3 - 6) at PHOENIX (4 - 6) - 11/6/2017, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    BROOKLYN is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (4 - 5) at GOLDEN STATE (7 - 3) - 11/6/2017, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 120-156 ATS (-51.6 Units) in November games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 4-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NBA

    Monday, November 6



    Top 5 NBA ATS Teams:

    1 Celtics 9-1 (90%)
    2 76ers 7-2 (77.8)
    3 Pistons 7-2-1 (77.8)
    4 Raptors 6-3 (66.7)
    t5 Pacers 6-4 (60)
    t5 Pelicans 6-4 (60)

    Bottom 5 NBA ATS Teams:

    30. Mavs 2-9 (18.2%)
    29. Cavs 2-8 (20%)
    28. Kings 2-6-1 (25%)
    27. Heat 2-5-2 (28.6%)
    26. Nuggets 3-7 (30%)
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #206
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    Monday's NBA Essentials
    November 6, 2017


    Game of the Night - Miami at Golden State, (Sun Sports/NBC Bay Area 10:35 ET)

    Last time the Heat saw the Warriors on the floor, Dion Waiters drained a game-winning 3-pointer over Klay Thompson, walking off as conquering hero in an unlikely win that was one of the defining moments of Miami's resurgence last season.

    An encore isn't expected. At least not Monday night.

    Waiters, who returned back to South Florida when his new daughter was born Sunday, is unlikely to rejoin the team in time to play this one but will probably be back before the week is up. The Warriors have long memories, so we'll see whether they choose to send a message to his teammates instead.

    Oddsmakers certainly believe that to be a possibility, installing Golden State as a 16.5-point favorite on Monday, the largest spread of the young season that the defending champs have been saddled with. Previously, that number had been 14.5 on Oct. 29 against Detroit, and the Heat can take some hope from the fact the Pistons won that game outright, shocking the Dubs at Oracle 115-107 after erasing a 16-point deficit.

    Golden State hasn't lost since, winning all three of last week's games by a combined 67 points. No slouches were in the mix, either, as the Clippers Spurs and Nuggets were the victims. After an inconsistent 4-3 start, the Warriors look like themselves again. They'll attempt to notch their first home cover after coming up short in each of their first four, losing two games outirght.

    The Heat won their first road game in three tries this season on Sunday afternoon, surviving the squandering a 23-point lead to open the fourth quarter against the Clips before making enough plays in the closing stages to post a 104-101 win at Staples Center.

    Ideally, Miami would've been able to rest its starters in preparation for the massive challenge that awaits in Oakland on Monday night, but L.A. sixth man Lou Williams had other ideas, sparking a comeback thanks to a 29-4 run that incredibly helped his team grab a 95-93 lead with 2:55 left. The lead was swapped multiple times in the final minute before the Heat ultimately won when a pair of James Johnson free throws held up after Blake Griffin missed a long fadeaway jumper with three seconds remaining.

    It's strange to call any win this early in the season important, but considering it had already lost a late lead in a 95-94 loss to Denver to open a season-long six-game road trip that is arguably the toughest of its season, Miami needed to leave L.A. with what it had earned itself after an excellent first 36 minutes on Sunday. It makes you wonder whether that satisfaction will have the Heat feeling a little complacent as they face their first back-to-back situation of the season, but making their lone trip into Oracle Arena to face the defending champs could offset those concerns.

    Most teams always find a little extra when testing themselves against the best, both from a competitive standpoint and a desire to not get embarrassed. After playing tough games in Denver and L.A., we'll see how much Miami has left in the tank for this one.

    Josh Richardson, who had been starting at small forward, swtiched to shooting guard to fill in for Waiters, allowing Justise Winslow to man his more natural position upon entering the starting lineup. Expect that to continue against the Warriors, which if nothing else, gives head coach Erik Spoelstra the opportunity to put his top defensive lineup out there from the onset. Guards Tyler Johnson and Wayne Ellington are in line to continue seeing their minutes increase off the bench. Fellow reserve James Johnson had been deeling with knee tendinitis last week, so after averaging nearly 30 minutes off the bench on the first two games of this trip and beginning to look like the version of himself that helped key last year's resurgence, his level here could be the x-factor as the Heat attempt to hang around.

    Center Hassan Whiteside will provide matchup problems for the smaller Warriors with his ability to control the paint, but he also was dealing with knee discomfort late last month that could have Miami cautious about how they utilize him on the second night of a back-to-back. The 7-footer had 26 points and 20 rebounds in a 107-95 loss at Golden State last January and added a double-double in the Waiters-led win.

    Golden State has won four games by at least 19 points this season, including all three last week. Minnesota, currently sporting the longest unbeaten streak in the West at five games, comes in Wednesday, while the exciting 76ers, entering the week with three straight wins, arrive Friday, so this could be a tune-up spot. Steve Kerr got his entire team's attention following the loss to Detroit, saying the game has to matter to them despite how early in the season we are. He got the results he wanted on an impressive three-game skid and declared they "turned the corner." Now that the real Warriors have joined us, we'll see whether the blowouts continue.

    Kerr thought Golden State took some of those early home games for granted, so we'll see if a revival that has seen it shoot 55 percent in its three wins continues against short-handed Miami. The 'over' is 7-3 in Warriors' games this season but just 2-4-1 over the Heat's last seven. The total has been placed at 227.

    Injury Concerns

    The night's biggest injury concern involves Brooklyn forward Trevor Booker, a key part of the bench mob who has averaged 10.8 points and 7.4 rebounds. Due to back trouble that sidelined him for last Friday's loss to the Lakers, he's considered questionable to face Phoenix and should be considered a game-time decision.

    Suns forward T.J. Warren returned from a head injury on Sunday in a 112-95 loss to San Antonio after leaving last Friday's loss to the Knicks. He didn't look as sharp prior to taking a shot to the head, but avoided a concussion and should be fine to participate against the Nets.

    Atlanta, which didn't allow its injuries to prevent it from pulling a shocking road upset (+600) at Cleveland, return home for a date with the Celtics and could get backup point guard Malcolm Delaney back. According to the AJC's Michael Cunningham, starting power forward Mike Muscala (knee), who was filling in for Ersan Ilyasova (knee), won't participate again and joins center Miles Plumlee (quad) and DeAndre Bembry (wrist) as out. The team signed Tyler Cavanaugh to a two-way contract to provide frontcourt depth.

    Boston, which also played last night, suffered no injury issues in beating Orlando.

    Head-to-head Trends

    -- The Celtics have struggled with Atlanta under Brad Stevens. Since 2013, the Hawks are 13-7 straight up in this series, which includes falling in the 2016 first-round series they dropped in six. Of course, Al Horford was on Atlanta's side back then, but even with him clad in green last season, the Hawks went 2-1 SU/ATS.

    -- Despite their brutal run of late, the Nets had won four straight (3-1 ATS) in the series before losing at home on Halloween night 122-114. Three of the four meeting have gone 'over' the posted total, while the lone outlier featured 224 points and was a missed 3-pointer away from also clearing the number. Both teams have pledged to run this season, so it's not surprising to see tonight's figure open at 234.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NBA notebook: Ailing Love hospitalized, released
    November 5, 2017


    Kevin Love left the Cleveland Cavaliers' game Sunday against the Atlanta Hawks in the third quarter because of an illness.

    Love was sent to Cleveland Clinic but was later released from the hospital.

    Channing Frye, who scored seven points, finished the game for Love.

    The Hawks won the game 117-115 despite being without five rotation players and not winning since opening night.

    "(Cleveland is) a special place to play, and everyone was excited to compete against these guys," said Dennis Schroder, who scored 21 points in the second half and finished 8 of 8 from the foul line. "We did everything together. We were moving the ball and everyone was ready for it."

    --Wizards star point guard John Wall missed Washington's game against the Toronto Raptors on Sunday because of a sprained left shoulder.

    Wall was ruled out earlier in the day, coach Scott Brooks said during his pregame session with reporters.

    The four-time All-Star injured the shoulder during a Friday game against Cleveland after colliding with the Cavaliers' Channing Frye. X-rays were negative.

    Wall is averaging 20.5 points and 10.4 assists this season. Tim Frazier replaced him in the starting lineup.

    --Toronto Raptors point guard Kyle Lowry was ejected from the game against the Washington Wizards at Toronto for picking up two technical fouls.

    Both technical fouls came with 8:08 to play in the second quarter after he complained to the referees.

    Lowry had two points, one rebound and one assist in 12 minutes.

    --The Detroit Pistons recalled forward Henry Ellenson and guard Luke Kennard from the Grand Rapids Drive, the team's NBA G League affiliate.

    Ellenson, the 18th overall pick in the 2016 NBA Draft, had a game-high 28 points, nine rebounds and one assist in the Drive's 112-106 win over the Raptors 905 on Sunday. In five games with the Pistons this season, he is averaging 6.0 points, 3.0 rebounds and 0.6 assists in 13.0 minutes per game.

    Kennard, drafted 12th overall this year, scored 26 points with four rebounds, three assists and four steals in the Drive win. He is averaging 4.2 points, 1.4 rebounds and 1.2 assists in 13 minutes in five games with the Pistons this season.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Monday's Best Bet
    November 6, 2017


    Monday NBA Best Bet

    Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns


    It's a light night of NBA action on Monday with only three games on the schedule, two of which could very easily end up being blowouts. The Boston Celtics are 8-point road favorites in Atlanta, and Golden State hosts Miami as 15.5-point home favorites. Those two games are clearly more attractive from a basketball fan perspective, but looking at things from a betting point of view it's the third game on the board – Brooklyn vs Phoenix – that I'm putting my money down on.

    HeritageSports.eu Odds: Phoenix (-1); Total set at 234


    These two teams met in Brooklyn last week and it ended up being a 122-114 result in the Suns favor. The 236 points scored did manage to cash the 'over', but it wasn't as easy as you may think. The closing total in last week's game was 230 as these are two of the fasted playing teams in the NBA this year, and tonight's total did initially open up at 236 before immediately getting bet down.

    You've got to have everything go right from an offensive standpoint to surpass a huge number like this as one sub-par quarter can basically screw any chances (outside of OT) of getting this number to be surpassed. From strictly a pace point of view you need 58.5 points per quarter tonight to land on 234, and although these two teams did finish with 236 last week, both the first and second quarters came in under that pace.

    Gun to my head I'd have to take the 'under' tonight at that number, even with it being the more popular play percentage-wise on VegasInsider.com, but it's actually the side I believe is the better bet. But some of the reasons I'm about to outline do help that 'under' lean as well.

    For one, Phoenix is back at home tonight after a five-game road trip out East that saw them finish with a 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS record. That trip concluded yesterday with a 112-95 loss in San Antonio, and now tonight's game is the fifth for the Suns in seven nights. That many contests in such a short time isn't a good spot for any team in the league, and when you throw all the travel miles they've logged on top of it it gets even worse. Phoenix is one of the youngest teams in the NBA, but even those young guys should have a bunch of tired legs tonight.

    Secondly, this is obviously a revenge game for the Nets after last week's loss. Brooklyn was laying 4.5 points at home that night and held a one-point lead entering the final frame. Brooklyn has only played once since then (124-112 loss to Lakers on Friday) and the huge rest factor in their favor can't be ignored here.

    Yes, Brooklyn has been a decidedly worse team on the road this year as they are winless (0-4 SU) and give up 124 points per road game, but if there ever was a spot where quite a lot of favorable things like up for Brooklyn to break that run it would be tonight.

    Finally, with both franchises being bottom feeders in the league the last few years, the fact that the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings is of note. Bad teams are tougher to rely on to give consistent performances, and each team has really felt like these meetings have been one of the few “winnable” games for them over the past few years when losses mounted in a hurry.

    The Nets themselves are 4-1 ATS in the last five games with Phoenix, and with the Suns 2-10 ATS in their last 12 at home after they've been on the road for at least a week, taking the visitors is the only way to go tonight.

    Best Bet: Brooklyn +1
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  14. #209
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    Hoop Trends - Monday
    November 6, 2017


    ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


    -- The Warriors are 13-0 ATS (13.96 ppg) since Mar 11, 2016 at home off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws.

    OU TREND OF THE DAY:

    -- The Celtics are 0-13 OU (-12.27 ppg) since Feb 16, 2017 on the road off a win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

    PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

    -- The Suns are 7-0 OU (13.21 ppg) since Jan 12, 2017 at home off a loss as a dog in which Devin Booker was not the high scorer.

    CHOICE TREND:


    -- The Heat are 11-0 ATS (6.77 ppg) since Jan 04, 2015 as a dog with no rest off a game as a dog.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  15. #210
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    Handicapping Detroit
    November 6, 2017


    The Detroit Pistons Are Pumping Cash Right Now

    Here’s a sentence I thought I’d never write in the near future: The Detroit Pistons are sitting pretty atop the NBA Central division. At 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS they’re also one of the best bets overall, and a lot of that has to do with inherent value. Nobody expected Detroit to be a factor this season, let alone the hot hand right out of the gate.

    The Regular Season Win Total for Detroit was set at 38.5 games in the BetOnline.ag futures market and that seemed to be on point. During the Stan Van Gundy era, the Detroit Pistons have won an average of 37.7 games per season (32, 44 and 37 wins in three campaigns). There was also zero reason that this standard would improve heading in to the 2017-18 NBA betting season.

    In an off-season that was absolutely bonkers, Detroit ended up doing a lot of addition by subtraction. They rightfully gave up on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope whom they selected eighth overall in the 2013 NBA Draft. Most notably, the Pistons traded Marcus Morris to the Boston Celtics for defensive guru Avery Bradley. And that’s really it.

    What Detroit really needed was for their existing talent to play at their potential, and that’s exactly what started happening. Tobias Harris is having a career year with 19.7 points per game as the team’s leading scorer, and doing it in the nick of time. Reggie Jackson, who signed what many thought of as a ridiculous max contract just two years ago, is finally healthy again and living up to his price tag after an injury plagued campaign that saw him miss a third of the season.

    Most importantly, Andre Drummond has taken a step in the direction we always expected of him. Drummond is a throwback center who needs to make his money closer to the rim, and he’s doing just that by staying close to the basket as much as possible. He is now taking 68-percent of his shots from within three feet of the basket, which is up from 49-percent last season.

    A lot of those shots are coming off of put-backs and second chances, which is what a 6-foot-11 big man should be doing when he weight 279 pounds. Essentially, Drummond is being put in to a situation where he can succeed. He’s no longer posting up or trying to be the next Tim Duncan.

    Someone has also finally fixed Drummond’s hilariously bad free-throw percentage. Through the first five years Drummond shot .386 from the charity line, and this year he’s rocking an unsustainable .750 rate. That will level out, and a rate of .600 would be totally fine for a man of his size. Drummond is also getting fouled at a high rate because opposing teams, who have elected to go small, are perilous to stop him on the offensive end.

    Upcoming Detroit Pistons Schedule
    vs. Indiana (11/8), vs. Atlanta (11/10), vs. Miami (11/12), at Milwaukee (11/15), at Indiana (11/17)

    Where Detroit is making their money as a whole is in overall shot quality. They took the worst kind of shots in 2016-17 in the entire league, ranking dead last in shot quality. This year, they’ve bought in to what Van Gundy wants to do and simply been average in this department, ranking 17th overall.

    The big difference in terms of shot quality comes with their defence. Detroit is forcing the third-worst shot selection from opposing teams in the league, which is the sign of a team that not only knows what it’s doing, but is applying it well. Considering that their recent opponents have included the Clippers, Warriors, Bucks and Timberwolves, it’s no wonder that they’re ranked 14th overall in defensive output.

    However, considering just how well the technical inner workings of their defence are playing out, the Pistons are definitely a team that will see immediate returns on their lockdown system that is forcing bad shots. That’s the kind of stat that plays out over the course of the season.

    If the defensive effort stays steady, and the foundation of the Pistons’ offence keeps improving, then this is a dangerous under-the-radar team in the NBA sportsbook.

    Right now there’s no reason to overthink it. Don’t look a gift horse in the mouth. Feel free to back the Detroit Pistons as spread busting superheroes until the trend levels out.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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