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Thread: The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

  1. #781
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, January 18


    Cavaliers lost four in row, 8 of last 10 games; they’re 5-14 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 6-4 in their last ten home games. Orlando lost 16 of last 18 games; they’re 3-8 in last 11 tries as road underdogs. Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Cleveland won nine of last 10 games with Orlando but Magic covered four of last six— Magic is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Three of last four series games went over.

    Celtics won nine of last 10 games with Philly, covering last three; Sixers covered three of last four visits to Beantown. Six of last eight series games went over the total. 76ers won five of their last six games; they’re 7-8 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over total. Boston won seven of its last eight games; they’re 10-7-2 as home favorites. Three of their last four home games stayed under.

    Rockets won nine of last ten games with Minnesota, but Wolves covered seven of last eight; Minnesota is 5-1 vs spread in last six visits here. Nine of last ten series games went over total. Minnesota won five of its last six games; they’re 5-6 as road underdogs. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Houston split its last six games; they’re 3-6 in last nine tries as home favorites. Last seven Houston home games went over.

    Portland won eight of last ten games with Indiana; four of last five series games went over total. Pacers are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Oregon. Pacers won five of their last six games; they’re 8-7 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under. Portland won its last four home games; they’re 4-11-1 vs spread as home favorites. Blazers’ last six games all went over the total.




    NBA

    Thursday, January 18


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON
    Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Boston is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia

    ORLANDO @ CLEVELAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Cleveland is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Orlando
    Cleveland is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

    MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    INDIANA @ PORTLAND
    Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana


    -------------------------------------------------------------------

    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, January 18


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (13 - 31) at CLEVELAND (26 - 17) - 1/18/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games this season.
    ORLANDO is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 131-169 ATS (-54.9 Units) in January games since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    ORLANDO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-26 ATS (-22.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 8-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (20 - 20) at BOSTON (34 - 11) - 1/18/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 71-50 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 51-35 ATS (+12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 10-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (29 - 17) at HOUSTON (30 - 12) - 1/18/2018, 9:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 6-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (24 - 20) at PORTLAND (23 - 21) - 1/18/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, January 18



    Orlando @ Cleveland

    Game 501-502
    January 18, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    112.412
    Cleveland
    120.554
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 8
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 11
    222
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+11); Over

    Philadelphia @ Boston


    Game 503-504
    January 18, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    120.508
    Boston
    123.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 3
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 4 1/2
    211
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Houston


    Game 505-506
    January 18, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    119.223
    Houston
    128.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 9
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 4 1/2
    222 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-4 1/2); Under

    Indiana @ Portland


    Game 507-508
    January 18, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    114.341
    Portland
    121.856
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 7 1/2
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 3 1/2
    213 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    (-3 1/2); Under
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #782
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    Runnin' of the Bulls
    January 18, 2018


    I’m trying not to focus exclusively on the Central Division, but they keep sucking me in!

    This time it’s a big to-do about the Chicago Bulls.

    Yes, actually. I know that there are a billion hot topics in the NBA every week, but when there’s a chance to win money at BetOnline.ag, I have to bring it to your attention.

    Stay with me now. This is tough stuff to get your head around.

    The Chicago Bulls are six wins away from smashing the totally-not-insulting regular season win total that was handed to them in the preseason. At just +/- 22.5 wins, the Bulls were supposed to be the worst team in the league by a country mile. They’re still not very good, but something very strange is happening in the house that Michael Jordan built.

    Believe it or not, but the Chicago Bulls have also become a spread busting darling with a mark of 27-17-1 ATS. That’s the second best betting record in the entire league behind Boston. Anyone who was brazen enough to hop on this bandwagon was either clinically insane or insanely smart.

    So how is this all happening? Well first off, it’s not because of bad lines. Over the past ten games, Chicago has faced an average spread of +3.85 and gone a respectable 6-4 ATS. That includes games where they were just +4.5 favorites against Toronto, -1.5 points against Miami and +8.5 against the Golden State Warriors. What those erratic odds tell you is that the Bulls have the oddsmakers scrambling to find answers.

    Usually, teams like the Chicago Bulls become afterthoughts. They’re so bad against the spread that bettors don’t care, and they’re so awful on the court that it’s not even fun to enjoy how bad they are on League Pass. Somehow, Chicago has strung together a really cool run and none of it makes sense.

    Everything seemed to be doom and gloom for the league’s worst roster when they were absolutely fleeced in the Jimmy Butler trade that brought back the likes of Kris Dunn, Zach Lavine and Lauri Markkanen. Then Nikola Mirotic and Bobby Portis came to blows in the preseason, causing the former to miss multiple weeks due to a broken face. These guys couldn’t even get along let alone figure out how to play ball together.

    Starting off 3-20 SU overall pretty much told everyone what they already knew: Chicago sucked. Even a peek at their advanced stats doesn’t reveal a team that we should even be talking about, let alone writing a thousand words on. The Bulls are ranked just 28th in offensive rating and 26th defensively. By the way, there’s still just 30 teams in the league.

    So how is any of this possible? Well, first of all the package that the Bulls sent to Minnesota for Butler has actually panned out. Markkanen, the 7th overall pick from the 2017 NBA Draft, was seen as a long time project despite being an impressive athletic talent. Instead, the 20 year old Lithuanian has averaged 15.5 points and 7.6 rebounds per game and been a pretty decent revelation for a young Bulls team that really has needed his spark.

    The real engine that drives the train is Kris Dunn, the former Providence floor general who has sky rocketed leaps and bounds this year in terms of development. Dunn has averaged 13.6 points, 6.4 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game on a team that is generally devoid of real scoring potential. Those are impressive numbers, and Dunn is an even more impressive player. He’s not “there” yet, but he’s well on his way. For the record, I wouldn’t have traded Butler for him but that’s just me.

    Speaking of trades, one of the reasons you should probably be betting the Bulls is that the team’s leading scorer is Nikola Mirotic, who’s chipping in a very selfish (but team leading) 17.3 points is asking for a trade, and doing everything he can to bolster his value to other teams. Mirotic and the full-of-hustle point guard Jerain Grant are being shopped around the league. Knowing the Bulls, they’re going to screw this up, but it’s worth tracking in regards to NBA betting.

    Easily the biggest outlier in the glorious betting track record of the Bulls is something I’ve already pointed out – the oddsmakers can’t really nail them down. They’re a ridiculous 14-8-1 ATS at home and 13-9 ATS when travelling. Those are great spread records, especially for a team this bad.

    Chicago is in that lump of top teams racking up wins against the spread that nobody really saw coming. Boston is on top with 27-16-2 ATS, but that’s mostly because nobody anticipated that they’d be this good. Hell, they might win the championship this year. Brooklyn is on pace with a 27-18 ATS run of their own after a recent explosion that seems just as inexplicable, while the Detroit Pistons (24-17-2 ATS) and L.A. Clippers (25-18-1 ATS) are also exceeding expectation.

    This is also totally normal behavior in NBA betting. The Philadelphia Sixers won 28 games last season and went 49-33 ATS. They were followed by Miami at 41-41 SU and 48-33-1 ATS and Denver, who posted a 40-42 SU record while going 46-36 ATS in 2016-17.

    The top teams in the actual standings deserve your eyeballs, but the dredges of the league are usually the best place to find value because nobody else is bothering to look there. That’s why teams like the Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets are bet-on entities, even though I can’t believe I just wrote that sentence.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #783
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — St Mary’s 74, Gonzaga 71— Huge win for Gaels’ NCAA resume

    — Belmont 79, Murray State 72— Bruins are 6-1 in OVC, alone in first place

    — East Tennessee State 62, Furman 61— Bucs win battle of leaders in SoCon.

    — USC 75, Oregon 70— Trojans snap an 0-14 skid against Oregon.

    — Nebraska 72, Michigan 52— Impressive home win for the Cornhuskers.

    — TCU guard Jaylen Fisher (knee) is out for the season. Bad news for the Frogs.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..


    13) Bill Belichick got his first NFL head coaching job in 1991, when he was 39; he interviewed 85 coaches for assistants’ jobs that winter- the first one he hired?

    Guy named Nick Saban. Wonder whatever happened to him?

    12) Six of the top 21 college basketball teams lost Wednesday night. Been a weird year.

    11) I see that they’re moving up the start of college basketball season next year, up three days to November 6, which will also be Election Day. They’re trying to get the start of college hoop out of football’s shadows— hopefully there won’t be any MAC football games on TV that Tuesday.

    10) NBC television is advertising the Olympics a lot- one of the ads has an athlete saying how every kid’s dream is to be in the Olympics. I can honestly say, not once did I ever dream of being in the Olympics, especially the Winter Olympics. Good thing, since I was a lousy athlete, but my idea of fun isn’t slalom skiing or anything to do with cold weather.

    9) Funny story on Twitter this week about how a Vikings fan named Sara Zeigler got so excited when Stefon Diggs caught that pass at the end of the game Sunday night, she jumped on her couch and landed on her remote control, which changed the station on the TV before Diggs scored, so she didn’t see the winning TD she was so excited about, until one of the 1,000 replays after the game.

    Moral of story: Remote controls are very valuable; never jump on them.

    There have been numerous stories about people waiting for the PAT to be tried/not tried after that Minnesota touchdown, since the pointspread hung in the balance. Had to be fun to be in Las Vegas sportsbook for that.

    8) Philadelphia Eagles went for it on 4th down 26 times this year, most in the NFL- they made the first down/TD on 17 of those 26 tries.

    7) Shohei Ohtani is both a pitcher and a hitter; the Angels’ newest free agent acquisition has caused the folks at CBSSports.com some grief this winter, as they worked to figure out how Ohtani will be dealt with in the fantasy league website’s stats column.

    Apparently the problem has been resolved; doesn’t sound like Ohtani will be in the lineup enough to merit his inclusion as a fantasy league hitter. Albert Pujols DH’s for the Angels, so it Ohtani is the DH, Pujols has to play first base? Not ideal.

    6) Cavaliers 104, Magic 103— Cavaliers blew a 23-point lead but survived the dismal Magic. Cleveland is 16-5 at home, 3-17-1 against the spread.

    5) Surprising stat: Of the last eight Stanley Cup champs, only one of the eight (’17 Penguins) finished higher than 15th in NHL in power play efficiency during the regular season.

    4) Creighton F Martin Krampelj will miss the rest of the season with a major knee injury; he’s started every game for the Bluejays, scoring 11.9 ppg, grabbing 8 rebounds a game- a big loss.

    3) When I was a little kid 100 or so years ago (late 60’s), they built a restaurant near our house— Valle’s Steakhouse. Place had this huge, Vegas-like sign in front of it, and it was a fancy place. Cloth napkins, all that.

    Valle’s went out of business a long time ago; the building is a college now, Bryant & Stratton College, and I found out this week that Bryant & Stratton is starting a basketball program. They haven’t said where they’re going to play their games. If I remember right, Bryant & Stratton used to be called Albany Business College, and it was located in the city of Albany.

    I’m not 100% sure that ABC became Bryant & Stratton, but one came to being when the other closed its doors.

    2) Anyway, Albany Business College had a good junior college basketball team back in the day; Willard Rice was the coach— I went to a camp once run by Coach Rice and his son Steve. They had a team when I was in college (late 70’s)- they used to play the Albany JV team every year, so this is life coming full circle. From looks of things, Bryant & Stratton is a 4-year school now.

    1) One last story about Valle’s Steakhouse; one summer, my dad’s family was in town to visit and we all went to Valle’s for dinner. Probably 12-14 people, so a big group. The waitress brings a lot of dinners out at the same time, and a small dish slipped at the top of her load— she went to grab it………and there was a very loud noise. Food scattered everywhere.

    I’m pretty sure the waitress was fired before the dishes stopped spinning around; as an annoying 10-year old, I was sure it was the funniest thing I’d ever seen, even if I did have to wait to eat a while longer. It was tremendous- stuff like that didn’t happen at Carroll’s Hamburgers. my preferred place to eat when I was 10.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #784
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, January 19


    San Antonio won its last four games with Toronto; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Spurs split their last ten games; they’re 4-4 as road underdogs. San Antonio’s last four games stayed under the total. Toronto lost three of its last five games; they’re 9-8 vs spread as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games went over total.

    Heat won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn (7-2-1 vs spread); Miami is 5-0 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. Last six series games stayed under the total. Miami won eight of its last nine games; they’re 3-4 as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games went over total. Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games; they’re 10-5-1 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total.

    Wizards won eight of last ten games with Detroit (7-3 vs spread); four of last six series games went over. Wizards are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to the Motor City. Washington lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-5 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-2 as home underdogs. Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

    Memphis won seven of last nine games with the Kings; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Sacramento is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Memphis. Sacramento lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); they’re 9-11-1 as road underdogs. Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Memphis won three of its last four games; they’re 4-9 as home favorites. Six of their last nine games went over total.

    Nuggets won their last seven games with Phoenix; last five series games went over. Suns are 0-4 vs spread in their last four visits to Denver. Phoenix lost five of its last six games; they’re 11-8 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Denver lost five of its last seven games; they’re 11-8 as home favorites. Seven of last eight Denver games stayed under total.

    Utah won five of its last seven games with New York; last four series games went over the total. Knicks covered four of their last five visits to Salt Lake City. Knicks lost 11 of their last 14 games; they’re 7-12 as road underdogs. Seven of New York’s last eight games went over total. Utah lost 15 of last 20 games; they’re 4-9 in last 13 tries as home favorites. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.

    Lakers lost six of their last eight games with Indiana; Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here. Pacers are 0-2-1 vs spread in last three series games played here. Indiana won five of its last seven games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Lakers lost 11 of last 15 games; they’re 5-2 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under total.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #785
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    NBA

    Friday, January 19


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO @ TORONTO
    San Antonio is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio

    MIAMI @ BROOKLYN
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 10 games at home

    WASHINGTON @ DETROIT
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Detroit is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Washington

    SACRAMENTO @ MEMPHIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Sacramento's last 16 games when playing Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Memphis is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    PHOENIX @ DENVER
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Phoenix

    NEW YORK @ UTAH
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    New York is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
    Utah is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against New York

    INDIANA @ LA LAKERS
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #786
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, January 19



    San Antonio @ Toronto

    Game 801-802
    January 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    120.414
    Toronto
    122.896
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 2 1/2
    201
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 5 1/2
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+5 1/2); Under

    Miami @ Brooklyn


    Game 803-804
    January 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    118.221
    Brooklyn
    118.097
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    Even
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 3
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+3); Under

    Washington @ Detroit


    Game 805-806
    January 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    121.578
    Detroit
    117.033
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 4 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 1
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-1); Over

    Sacramento @ Memphis


    Game 807-808
    January 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    111.422
    Memphis
    119.793
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 8 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    N/A

    Phoenix @ Denver


    Game 809-810
    January 19, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    113.659
    Denver
    120.588
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 7
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 9
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+9); Over

    New York @ Utah


    Game 811-812
    January 19, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    115.332
    Utah
    116.783
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 1 1/2
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 4 1/2
    203 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Indiana @ LA Lakers


    Game 813-814
    January 19, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    119.515
    LA Lakers
    114.012
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 5 1/2
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    N/A
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #787
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    SIN CITY
    Posts
    73,885
    Credits
    106,478

    Default

    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, January 19


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (30 - 16) at TORONTO (30 - 13) - 1/19/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1027-898 ATS (+39.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 346-272 ATS (+46.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 343-282 ATS (+32.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    TORONTO is 188-234 ATS (-69.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (26 - 18) at BROOKLYN (16 - 29) - 1/19/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BROOKLYN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
    BROOKLYN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MIAMI is 69-55 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 219-176 ATS (+25.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 7-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (25 - 20) at DETROIT (22 - 21) - 1/19/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    WASHINGTON is 150-197 ATS (-66.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (13 - 31) at MEMPHIS (15 - 28) - 1/19/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (16 - 29) at DENVER (23 - 22) - 1/19/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 163-118 ATS (+33.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (20 - 25) at UTAH (18 - 26) - 1/19/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (24 - 21) at LA LAKERS (15 - 29) - 1/19/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #788
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    SIN CITY
    Posts
    73,885
    Credits
    106,478

    Default

    Friday's Tip Sheet
    January 18, 2018


    Game of the Night: Wizards at Pistons – 8:05 PM EST

    Both these squads are sitting in the top eight of the Eastern Conference heading into Friday’s action. However, each team is looking to bust out of a funk as Washington has lost two straight, while Detroit is looking to snap a three-game skid.

    The Wizards (25-20 SU, 19-26 ATS) were smoked in the first half at Charlotte on Wednesday by allowing 77 points in a 133-109 setback to the Hornets. Washington has been horrific against the number recently by failing to cover in seven consecutive games, while Scott Brooks’ team owns a 1-6 ATS mark in its last seven road contests.

    The Pistons (22-21 SU, 24-17-2 ATS) are sitting slightly above the 76ers for the final playoff spot in the East, but Detroit has slipped to a 2-6 record in January. The latest setback came in Wednesday’s 96-91 loss at Toronto, but the Pistons managed a cover as 8 ˝-point underdogs. Detroit has struggled as a home favorite of late by covering in only one of its last five opportunities when laying points at Little Caesars Arena.

    Washington has owned Detroit over the years by winning eight of the past 10 meetings since February 2015, including a pair of victories at Capital One Arena this season. The Wizards have split the last four visits to Detroit, as three of those matchups were decided by four points or less.

    30 for 30

    Both the Spurs and Raptors enter Friday’s contest at Air Canada Center with 30 wins apiece. Toronto (30-13 SU, 24-19 ATS) improved to 16-3 at home after holding off Detroit on Wednesday, halting a two-game skid. The Raptors couldn’t cash tickets as an 8 ˝-point favorite, as Dwane Casey’s team fell to 0-4 ATS the last four opportunities when laying points. However, Toronto’s defense has stepped up at home of late by limiting seven of its past nine opponents to less than 100 points at the ACC.

    San Antonio (30-16 SU, 24-20-2 ATS) has alternated wins and losses in each of its past 11 games, coming off a 100-95 road triumph at Brooklyn on Wednesday to barely cash as 4 ˝-point favorites. The Spurs embark on a long stretch without last season’s MVP candidate Kawhi Leonard, who remains sidelined with a quad injury. San Antonio has cashed the UNDER in four consecutive games, while looking to beat Toronto for the fifth straight time since April 2016.

    Scratching Away

    It’s a lost season for the Grizzlies (15-28 SU, 17-24-2 ATS), who have been without point guard Mike Conley, Jr. since November 13. However, Memphis has played better recently by winning three of its past four and posting a 7-2 ATS record the last nine games. The Grizzlies are fresh off a pair of home victories over the Lakers and Knicks, while knocking off New York on Wednesday, 105-99 without center Marc Gasol, who sat due to an illness.

    Memphis hosts Sacramento (13-31 SU, 17-24-3 ATS), who begins a six-game road swing following Wednesday’s 15-point home loss to Utah. The Kings are sliding fast by dropping six consecutive contests, but Sacramento has compiled a 6-5 ATS record in its last 11 away games, including a cover as 12-point underdogs in a 95-88 loss at Oklahoma City on Monday. Memphis ripped Sacramento in their previous matchup at Golden 1 Center on New Year’s Eve, 114-96, while the Grizzlies are 4-1 SU/ATS the last five home meetings with the Kings.

    Salty Taste


    The Jazz (18-26 SU, 22-22 ATS) are coming off only their fifth road victory of the season in Wednesday’s 120-115 win at Sacramento as four-point favorites. Utah hit the 120-point mark for the first time since scoring 126 points against the Clippers on November 30, while improving to 5-15 the last 20 games. The Jazz have dropped three straight games in the role of a home favorite, while getting limited to 98 points or less in each of those defeats.

    The Knicks (20-25 SU, 23-22 ATS) travel to Salt Lake City trying to improve on a dreadful 5-16 record away from Madison Square Garden. New York won its first matchup with Utah in mid-November, 106-101, but has dropped its last three visits to Vivint Smart Home Arena since 2015. The Knicks are riding a five-game OVER streak, including cashing the OVER in five of the past six road contests.

    Home Disadvantage

    Since knocking off Orlando and Minnesota to begin 2018, the Nets (16-29 SU, 27-18 ATS) have lost five straight games at Barclays Center. Brooklyn has covered four consecutive home contests earlier this month, but have failed to cash in recent losses to Detroit, New York, and San Antonio. The Nets host the Heat before hitting the road for five games starting Sunday in Detroit. Brooklyn ripped Miami in its past matchup at American Airlines Arena in late December, 111-87 as six-point ‘dogs, but have lost eight straight home meetings with the Heat since 2014.

    The Heat (26-28 SU, 20-22-2 ATS) remain atop the Southeast division following Wednesday’s 106-101 triumph at Milwaukee as 4 ˝-point underdogs. Miami has won eight of its past nine games, while posting an impressive 5-1 SU/ATS last six road contests, including victories at Toronto and Boston. The Heat are in the midst of a five-game away swing, as Erik Spoelstra’s club has eclipsed the OVER in four of the past five contests away from South Florida.

    Digging for Gold

    The Nuggets (23-22 SU, 20-23-2 ATS) have slumped to a 2-5 record the last seven games, coming off Wednesday’s 109-104 setback to the Clippers. Denver failed to cash as 4 ˝-point underdogs, while blowing a double-digit lead as the Nuggets dropped to 2-7 with no rest. The Nuggets return to the Pepsi Center to host the Suns, as Denver has won the past seven matchups with Phoenix, including a 134-111 home win on January 3.

    Phoenix (16-29 SU, 21-22-2 ATS) lost its third consecutive game on Tuesday at Portland, 118-111, but the Suns cashed as 11-point underdogs thanks to outscoring the Blazers, 39-26 in the fourth quarter. The Suns are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Nuggets, while the past five matchups have eclipsed the OVER.

    Setting the Pace

    Indiana (24-20 SU, 25-19 ATS) continues its four-game road swing in Los Angeles to face the Lakers for the first time this season. The Pacers head to Staples Center with no rest following Thursday’s 14-point setback at Portland, as Nate McMillan’s squad has lost six of nine games in the second of a back-to-back set. Much of Indiana’s success can be attributed to having leading scorer Victor Oladipo in the lineup, as the Pacers have won five of their last seven games since the guard returned following a bout with knee soreness.

    The Lakers (15-29 SU, 21-23 ATS) will likely be without guard Lonzo Ball once again, who missed Wednesday’s loss at Oklahoma City with a knee sprain. Los Angeles fell to 0-8 this season without the rookie from UCLA, while fellow backcourt mate Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is out with an Achilles strain. The Lakers had won four straight prior to consecutive losses to the Grizzlies and Thunder, but L.A. is riding a three-game winning streak at Staples Center.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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