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Thread: The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

  1. #1726
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    Warriors' Iguodala doubtful for Game 4
    May 21, 2018


    OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Warriors forward Andre Iguodala is listed as doubtful for Game 4 of the Western Conference finals Tuesday night against Houston because of a sore left knee.

    There was a chance Iguodala's status could be upgraded later Monday, the team said.

    The 2015 NBA Finals MVP has been starting regularly this postseason, including the first three games of the West finals with the defending champion Warriors leading the Rockets 2-1 in the best-of-seven series. The Warriors won Sunday's game 126-85, with the 41-point victory margin the largest in franchise history in a postseason game.

    Without Iguodala, the Warriors would lose one of their top defenders and playmakers. He banged his knee during the fourth quarter Sunday.

    ''I think it was like a knee-on-knee type of thing,'' coach Steve Kerr said after the game. ''He said he would be all right. But when we're right, when we're playing how we are supposed to play, Andre's right in the middle of it. His defense and being smart, making good decisions. Andre is one of the guys who seems to set the tone for that for us, and I thought he did a great job of that tonight.''

    Since 2014-15, Golden State is 14-4 in postseason games started by Iguodala. Kerr could go with much-improved big man Kevon Looney - he blocked two shots in the first quarter alone Sunday - to keep a couple of key wing players available off the bench in Nick Young and Shaun Livingston.

    Also Monday, Kerr said the team plans to speak to the league regarding Draymond Green's double-technical with Trevor Ariza issued at the 6:49 mark of the fourth quarter when Ariza shoved Green as they traded words.

    ''I thought it was unfair but we'll take it up with the league,'' Kerr said after Monday's practice. ''He committed a hard foul but he held Ariza up and didn't allow him to get hurt, and then Ariza shoved him. It didn't seem like a double-technical to me, so we'll take it up with the league and we'll see what happens.''

    With Green involved and the stakes so high at this stage, it probably won't be the last time this series turns testy, either.

    ''Two guys are fiery and want to win. Two guys like Trevor and Draymond are just the ultimate competitors,'' Kevin Durant said. ''Stuff happens out there. They've both got enough money to pay for it.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #1727
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    TUESDAY, MAY 22
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    HOU at GS 09:00 PM

    GS -8.5

    O 223.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #1728
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    Rockets rally past Warriors, even series
    May 22, 2018


    OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) James Harden scored 30 points, Chris Paul had 27 and the Houston Rockets sustained the latest second-half flurry by Stephen Curry, evening the Western Conference finals at two games apiece with a 95-92 victory Tuesday night.

    Curry scored 28 points and Kevin Durant added 27 points and 12 rebounds but the defending champions missed their final six shots from the floor and their NBA-record postseason winning streak at home ended at 16 games.

    The Rockets shook off a 12-0 deficit to start the game and another big run by the Warriors in the third, then won it with defense down the stretch.

    Paul rebounded Klay Thompson's miss just before the final buzzer sounded for the first time and pounded the ball down in delight. A replay review ensued and it was determined Shaun Livingston fouled Paul before the game ended, so Paul made a free throw with 0.5 seconds left.

    Curry couldn't get off a final attempt before the buzzer.

    ''I thought this is the highest level we've ever played defensively, without a doubt,'' Rockets coach Mike D'Antoni said, ''because we're talking about the best offensive team ever.''

    Game 5 is Thursday night at Houston. Golden State will play its longest playoff round after closing out its first two series in five games.

    Golden State got the ball with 1:27 to play down 94-91 and Thompson and Curry each missed contested 3-pointers.

    The Warriors got another chance with 42.5 seconds left following Houston's shot-clock violation. Curry missed a driving layup and Draymond Green pulled down the offensive rebound and was fouled by Paul, but Green converted only one free throw.

    The Rockets went ahead 85-84 with 6:03 remaining on Trevor Ariza's 3-pointer from the baseline after a beautiful bounce pass from the opposite corner by Paul.

    Golden State trailed 91-86 with 3:30 left following a pair of free throws by Eric Gordon, then Curry converted a three-point play moments later.

    Green wound up with 11 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists while going at it with Paul all night in Game 4 - the first nail-biter so far in a series that had featured only lopsided results.

    Curry knocked down three straight 3-pointers during a key third-quarter sequence in which he scored 11 consecutive points before Thompson's 3.

    Down 53-46 at halftime two days after a franchise playoff-record, 41-point victory in Sunday's 126-85 win, Curry shined in the second half once more. He scored 17 in all during the third-quarter flurry.

    Curry came out and hit a 3 from the top and seemed on his way to another spectacular finish until the late misses on a night both Western Conference powers shot just 39 percent.

    His 3-pointer from 29 feet out at the 5:43 mark of the third got Golden State back within 62-60 then he knocked down another moments later on the Warriors' next possession for the lead. Then, another from the baseline before a driving layup to the left.

    Harden scored 15 points in the second quarter as Houston used a 25-7 run to take command.

    Much-improved Warriors big man Kevon Looney, who shed 30 pounds last offseason, earned his first career postseason start in place of injured Andre Iguodala and had four points and six rebounds.

    Iguodala, who banged his left knee during the fourth quarter of Sunday's win, was upgraded from doubtful to questionable after an MRI exam earlier Tuesday on the knee revealed no structural damage.

    The Warriors got another scare when Thompson briefly went to the locker room in the second quarter with a left knee strain then returned and hit baseline 3-pointers from both sides and wound up with 10 points on 4-for-13 shooting.

    The Rockets missed their first eight field-goal tries and committed two turnovers before Harden's layup with 6:42 left in the first. D'Antoni called timeout at the 7:06 mark of the first with his team trailing 12-0.

    TIP-INS

    Rockets: The Rockets were outrebounded 49-41. ... Houston scored just 19 first-quarter points, its fifth straight period failing to score more than 24 before scoring 34 in the second. ... After saying the pressure was on the Warriors, D'Antoni cracked pregame, ''That really worked out well, didn't it?''

    Warriors: Curry picked up his third foul at the 5:06 mark of the second quarter and took a seat and Golden State was limited to 18 points in the period. He pumped his right arm so hard after a basket in the first he nearly hit official Mike Callahan. ... Curry made his signature pregame tunnel shot on the fourth try. ... Golden State dropped to 32-7 in the postseason since 2015 when holding opponents to fewer than 100 points. ... Looney started for just the ninth time in his three-year NBA career.

    IGUODALA OUT

    Without 2015 NBA Finals MVP Iguodala, the Warriors were down one of their top defenders and playmakers.

    Iguodala's status for Game 5 was still unclear. Since 2014-15, Golden State is 14-4 in postseason games started by Iguodala.

    ''If it was close, he would play,'' coach Steve Kerr said. ''He's injured so he's not playing. So we'll see what happens in the next couple of days.''

    D'Antoni knew the Warriors would respond.

    ''They only have four All-Stars instead of five. It really puts a crimp in their style,'' he said.

    TECHNICAL STANDS

    The Warriors spoke to the NBA about Green's double-technical in Game 3 with Trevor Ariza issued at the 6:49 mark of the fourth quarter when Ariza shoved Green as they traded words.

    ''They're not rescinding it,'' Kerr said. ''Those conversations are always private, so we respect their decision and move on.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #1729
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    SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MAY 23, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics TD Garden

    SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY MAY 24, 2018

    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Toyota Center


    ****************************

    [B][I]
    MAY'S NBA BEST BET RECORD: ( BASED ON 5 UNITS )

    05/22/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/21/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/20/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/19/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/16/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/15/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0,50
    05/03/2018 0-4-0 0.00% -22.00
    05/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    05/01/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

    Totals.............7-17-0........29,16%.....-69.50


    BEST BETS................ATS....................UNITS.. ................O/U..............UNITS..............TOTAL

    05/22/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/21/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/20/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
    05/19/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
    05/16/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0- 1...............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/15/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/14/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-0.50
    05/13/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50
    05/03/2018...............0 - 2..................-11.00..................0 - 2..............-11.00............-22.00
    05/02/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
    05/01/2018...............1 - 1..................- 0.50...................0 - 2.............-11.00.............-11.50

    Totals........................3 - 10................-40.00..................4 - 9...............-29.50............-69.50
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #1730
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds on some interesting NFL games this season:

    Week 2: Vikings @ Green Bay (-2.5)

    Week 3: Cowboys @ Seattle (-1.5)

    Week 4: Eagles (-2.5) @ Tennessee

    Week 5: Redskins @ New Orleans (-7.5)

    Week 6: Chiefs @ New England (-7)

    Week 7: Broncos (-1.5) @ Arizona


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Rockets 95, Warriors 92— Houston held Golden State to 12 4th-quarter points as they evened Wester finals 2-2.

    Rockets’ PJ Tucker didn’t score a basket (0-4) but he grabbed 16 rebounds and was +7 in 44:08, which means Houston was outscored by 10 points in the 3:52 he sat out.

    12) A gutty gambler dropped $50,000 on the Rockets to win the NBA title at 10-1 at the SouthPoint Casino Tuesday. Later on Tuesday, someone put $10,000 on the Rockets to win Game 4, at a +$400 money line.

    11) Michigan Wolverines opened as a 7-point underdog at Notre Dame this coming football season; they’re now a 1-point favorite.

    10) Tampa Bay Rays brought SS prospect Willie Adames up Tuesday; he got to the ballpark a half hour before the game, but still started and homered off of Chris Sale.

    9) On May 22, 1990, the Reds lost 3-1 in 16 innings to the Cubs; Cincy walked Andre Dawson intentionally five times that day.

    Who was batting behind Dawson? Former big league manager Lloyd McClendon was 0-6, then Dave Clark went 1-2

    Cincinnati wound up winning the World Series that year.

    8) Seattle Mariners put CF Dee Gordon (toe) on the DL. Tigers’ P Matthew Boyd left with an oblique injury after allowing one hit in four IP at Minnesota.

    7) Chargers’ TE Hunter Henry tore his ACL, is done for 2018.

    6) Reds 7, Pirates 2— Matt Harvey wins his home debut for the Reds, allowing one run in six IP. Devin Mesoraco is playing well for the Mets, so a good trade for both teams.

    5) Jets traded QB Christian Hackenberg to Oakland for a 7th-round pick. Hackenberg suited up for five games with the Jets, but never took a snap.

    4) Orioles’ SS Manny Machado is married to the sister of Indians’ 1B Yonder Alonso.

    3) Someone didn’t vote for Jayson Tatum on the NBA’s all-rookie team; whoever that is should lose their right to vote.

    2) Mets signed OF Jose Bautista not long after the Braves cut him; he batted 5th, and scored the Mets’ only run in a 5-1 loss to the Marlins.

    1) Super Bowl champ Eagles released starting LB Michael Kendricks Tuesday; he had been with the club the last six seasons.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #1731
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    NBA Eastern Conference Final Game 5 betting preview and odds: Cavaliers at Celtics

    Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (+1, 206)

    Series tied 2-2.

    The Cleveland Cavaliers recovered to even the Eastern Conference Finals at two games apiece and now look to solve the homecourt mastery of the Boston Celtics. Second-seeded Boston is 9-0 at TD Garden this postseason and Cleveland can end the Celtics' unbeaten mark if it can win its third straight outing.

    Boston coach Brad Stevens didn't get too wound up over Monday's 111-102 setback as he simplified the task staring at his team. "It's a best two of three to go to the NBA Finals. It doesn't get much better than that," Stevens said in Monday's postgame press conference. "In this deal, it's a blast to have to grit your teeth, get up off the mat and go after it again. That's part of what makes these guys on both sides special." LeBron James carried the fourth-seeded Cavaliers to Monday's win with a 44-point effort that marks his sixth 40-point performance, the most in a single postseason since Philadelphia's Allen Iverson also had six such outings in 2001. "We know it's going to be a hostile environment," James told reporters of Game 5. "We know their fans are going to be very energetic. But we have to just have our same mindset we had when we came home for two games. If our minds are there, we put ourselves in a position to be victorious."

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE LV SUPERBOOK):



    LINE HISTORY: This game opened as a Pick 'Em, however, what appears to be sharp betting action has come in on the Cavaliers pushing the pointspread to CLE -1 as of Tuesday night. The total hit betting boards at 206 and has yet to move

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: "When the Eastern Conference Finals began, the Cavaliers had a 72 percent chance to win the series. However, after losing the first two games and trailing 0-2, the Cavaliers had only a 33% chance of winning the series. Now Cleveland has won back-to-back games and with the series tied 2-2, the Cavaliers now have a 63% chance of winning the Eastern Conference title." - Steve Merril.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Cavaliers - No injuries to report.

    Celtics - PG S. Larkin (Questionable, Shoulder), PG K. Irving (Out For Season, Knee), PF D. Theis (Out For Season, Knee), SF G. Hayward (Out For Season, Ankle).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (60-37 SU, 38-58-1 ATS, 45-50-2 O/U): James was 17-of-28 shooting in Game 4 as he topped 40 points for the second time in a three-game span. Veteran swingman Kyle Korver (14 points, three blocked shots) is 13-of-20 shooting with eight 3-pointers over the past three games, while center Tristan Thompson (13 points, 12 rebounds) enjoyed his best showing of the series and third double-double of the postseason. Power forward Kevin Love averaged just 11 points on 7-of-24 shooting in the two victories after averaging 19.5 points in the two losses in Boston and is shooting just 37.5 percent in the series.

    ABOUT THE CELTICS (65-33 SU, 61-35-2 ATS, 52-45-1 O/U): Boston won its two home games by average of 19 points but things didn't go so smoothly in Cleveland as it lost by an average of 19.5 points. "We missed a bunch of easy opportunities," shooting guard Jaylen Brown said of the Game 4 loss. "We made some bad turnovers and things like that. But we still had opportunities to get into the game and to win." Brown is averaging 20.3 points in the series and his 25-point effort in Game 4 was his third 20-point outing in the East finals.

    TRENDS:

    * Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Celtics are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games.
    * Over is 6-2 in Cavaliers' last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
    * Over is 7-1 in Celtics' last 8 games following a straight up loss.
    * Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Boston.

    CONSENSUS:

    There are 63 percent of pointspread bets on the home Celtics while 56 percent of total bets are on the Over.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #1732
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, May 23



    Cleveland @ Boston

    Game 707-708
    May 23, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    120.078
    Boston
    123.502
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 3 1/2
    201
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 1
    206 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+1); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, May 23


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (60 - 37) at BOSTON (65 - 33) - 5/23/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 38-57 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    BOSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games this season.
    BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games in all playoff games this season.
    BOSTON is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BOSTON is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 9-9 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 13-6 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, May 23


    Cleveland @ Boston (2-2)
    Home side won all four series games as Cavaliers were up 20 at halftime and cruised in Game 3, 15 at half in Game 4, which was closest (111-102) of he four games so far. Thompson-Hill-Smith were combined 25-53 from floor in Games 3-4, after going 5-18 in Game 2. Celtics were +3 in 39:00 Rozier played Monday, but were -12 in 9:00 he sat out. James had 44 and dominated Marcus Smart like Smart was a little kid. Under is 8-5 in last 13 series games- three of four games in this series stayed under total.

    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
    Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5
    Clev 116-86, -6.5, U207
    Clev 111-102, -7, O205

    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
    Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225
    GState 126-85, -7, U228
    Hst 95-92, +8, U227




    NBA

    Wednesday, May 23


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
    Cleveland is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
    Boston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Boston's last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games at home
    Boston is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland


    --------------------------------------------------------------------

    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, May 23



    NBA playoffs betting stats:

    Home Teams:
    52-20 Straight Up
    41-30-1 ATS (57.7%)

    Favorites:
    54-18 Straight Up
    42-29-1 ATS (59.2%)

    Over-Under: 34-38
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #1733
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    Game 5 - Cavs at Celtics
    May 23, 2018


    Eastern Conference Finals – Game 5 (Series tied 2-2)

    Cleveland at Boston (ESPN, 8:35 p.m. ET)


    After dropping back-to-back games at TD Garden and facing a 0-2 deficit, Cleveland bounced back with a pair of victories over Boston at home and evened up the Eastern Conference Finals at 2-2.

    Monday’s 111-102 victory in Game 4 was similar to the outcome in Game 3 and the Cavaliers jumped on the Celtics early and did just enough to capture the win and more importantly cover as seven-point home favorites.

    Cleveland led 34-18 after the first 12 minutes and held a 15-point lead at the break (68-53), cashing first-half tickets (-4 ˝). Unlike Game 3, the Celtics showed a lot of fight in the second-half and outscored Cleveland 49-43 in the final 24 minutes. Boston cut the margin to as low as seven points on two occasions (96-89, 100-93) in the fourth quarter but Cleveland responded in both instances.

    Instead of playing facilitator, LeBron James dominated the Celtics with 44 points on 17-of-28 field goal attempts plus a respectable 9-of-13 from the free-throw line. Of the 44, only three of those points came from distance and he only produced five rebounds and three assists, both lows in this series.

    Cleveland received great production from guards George Hill (13) and Kyle Korver (14), who combined for 27 points. Tristan Thompson also put forth a solid effort with 13 points and 12 rebounds.

    Jaylen Brown led the Celtics with 25 points in the losing effort and even though all five starters for Boston posted double figures, Boston only shot 41 percent from the floor and just 9-of-28 (32%) from 3-point land. While those percentages certainly aren’t great, they did improve from the Game 3 numbers (39%, 27%) when they were run by 30 points.

    VegasInsider.com NBA expert Joe Nelson was impressed by Boston’s effort in the final three quarters on Monday and expects a turnaround in Game 5.

    “If you take out the first quarter on Monday, Boston outscored the Cavaliers by seven points in the final three frames and lost by only nine points despite Cleveland shooting more than nine percent better from the floor. The Cavaliers were forced into 19 turnovers but won the rebounding battle and got a few close calls late to hold off a challenge by the Celtics. Foul trouble was costly for the Celtics and despite LeBron James and Kevin Love combining for 53 points the Celtics forced Cleveland’s stars into 13 turnovers and poor outside shooting. James was able to get to the paint with ease and Kyle Korver had his second straight big game off the bench. Korver hasn’t shot as well on the road and now the Celtics will have an opportunity to get back in front in this series,” said Nelson.

    While LeBron gets all the headlines in Cleveland, the team’s play has been very dependent on the backcourt as Nelson mentioned. Korver and Hill combined for 10 points for Cleveland in Game 1 and 14 points in Game 2. Cavs head coach Tyronn Lue has been bringing Korver off the bench the last three games and he’s responded with 11, 14 and 14 points.

    Including Monday’s result, the home team is now 4-0 both straight up and against the spread in this series and the outcomes have been decided by an average of 19.3 points per game.

    Should bettors continue to ride that angle and back the Celtics in Game 5?

    After watching Golden State lose to Houston in Game 4 at Oracle Arena last night, Boston remains the only team in this year’s playoffs not to lose at home.

    The Celtics have gone 9-0 both SU and ATS at TD Garden while winning by an average of 11.3 PPG.

    Oddsmakers at BookMaker.eu opened this matchup at a pick ‘em. However, as of Wednesday morning the Celtics received some overnight love and are listed as 1 ˝-point favorites (-105) at the offshore shop. With the line being this short, it’s safe to say that the point-spread won’t factor into tonight’s decision.

    If the number does swing to Cleveland, bettors should note that Boston has gone 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS as a home underdog this season.

    VegasInsider.com NBA expert Kevin Rogers took a closer look at this year’s playoffs and touched on what’s transpired in Game 5’s.

    He explained, “This is the fourth instance in the 2018 playoffs that a series is tied at 2-2. The home team has won each of the first three times, while covering twice. Boston entered Game 5 of the opening round with Milwaukee knotted up at 2-2 as the Celtics barely cashed as 4 ˝-point favorites, 92-87. The only team that picked up a victory and failed to cover was Cleveland in the first round, edging Indiana on a James buzzer-beating three-pointer, 98-95.”

    LeBron has played in plenty of playoff games but this particular scenario is uncommon for the All-Star.

    “The last time James and the Cavaliers played a road game in a playoff series tied at 2-2 came in the 2015 Finals against the Warriors. Golden State pulled away from Cleveland, 104-91 as 9 ˝-point favorites as the Warriors eventually won the title. James has not covered a Game 5 in a series locked up at 2-2 since the 2013 Eastern Conference Finals as a member of the Heat, beating the Pacers by 11 points,” added Rogers.

    For those wondering, Nelson offered this betting stat to VI.

    Going back to 1991 home teams are 31-14 straight up in conference finals Game 5 matchups and that includes a 6-1 against the spread record since 2013.

    The total for Game 5 opened at 206 and has held steady. The ‘over’ (205) connected in Game 4 which was the first time the high side cashed in this series. The ‘over’ was the right side in Game 2 but the pair only combined for 40 points in the fourth quarter.

    Savvy bettors playing halves should make a note that the ‘under’ has connected in the second-half of each of the first four games. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in the first-half.

    Bettors leaning to the high side can’t fault Brad Stevens and the Celtics in this series. Boston has posted triple digits on the scoreboard in eight of nine home games in the postseason and that’s helped the ‘over’ go 6-3. Since the head coach took over, the ‘over’ is 15-9 at home for Boston in the playoffs.

    Both clubs are looking at a team total in the neighborhood of 102 to 103 points for Game 5.

    The Cavaliers have watched the ‘under’ go 4-3 on the road in this year’s playoffs and that’s a little surprising since they’ve only held one team under 100 points, which came in Game 3’s loss of the first round to Indiana (92-90). Plus Cleveland’s offense has been held in check for the most part as well. If you take away the two victories in their second-round sweep over Toronto where they scored 128 and 113 at the Air Canada Centre, the club has been held to 91.6 PPG in their five other away games this postseason.

    In four games at TD Garden this season, Boston has kept Cleveland under triple digits three times with the one outlier coming in February when Cleveland posted a 121-99 regular season win. The Cavs hit 16-of-30 shots from 3-point land in that win and an effort similar to that one would certainly give them a 3-2 series lead tonight.

    Prior to Game 1, the Cavaliers were minus-260 favorites to win this series and after facing a 2-0 deficit, they were pushed to +190 underdogs. Headed to Game 5, Cleveland is back to the series favorite (-185) over the Celtics (+160).

    Game 6 will take place on Friday at Quicken Loans Arena from Cleveland.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Celtics hope return home can slow LeBron, Cavs in Game 5
    May 22, 2018


    BOSTON (AP) The Celtics expected to see a different LeBron James in Cleveland after the Cavaliers fell into a 2-0 hole to open the Eastern Conference finals.

    Two games and back-to-back wins later , James has reminded everyone exactly why he's been to seven straight NBA Finals.

    Boston will be back in the embrace of its raucous fans at TD Garden for Game 5 on Wednesday. But a team that has thrived on youth this postseason suddenly looks disoriented without a go-to player and opposite a more veteran squad that has found a new attitude thanks to the fuel being provided by its biggest star.

    Celtics coach Brad Stevens said all you can do against James is ''make it as hard as you can.''

    ''LeBron is the best player of this generation and he's just maintained that because of his commitment to improvement,'' Stevens said. ''He's always been an unbelievable physical player. He's always been a savvy player. And he's always had, just like the natural instincts to make the right basketball play along with his tremendous skill set.''

    While the Cavs are certainly feeling rejuvenated behind the play of James, coach Tyronn Lue said it hasn't changed their sense of urgency.

    ''We still gotta play,'' Lue said. ''We have veteran guys who have been there and know what it takes, but this is a young team, a good team that's playing at home so experience is not going to be a factor. We have to come in there and have the same mentality that we had in Game 3 and 4.''

    Two games ago, the numbers seemed all on the Celtics' side.

    They had moved to 9-0 at home during these playoffs and taken 2-0 series lead, which has been a magic number for a franchise yet to surrender such an advantage during its storied history (37-0). Over the last 96 minutes, Boston has been outscored by 39 points, has dropped to 1-6 on the road and is suddenly facing a must-win game to maintain home-court advantage.

    Stevens said at the start of the playoffs that he believed there was value in the greenness of a young group that had several players getting their first taste of postseason basketball. He was proven right with Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown and rookie Jayson Tatum all thriving as first-time postseason starters.

    Their success had the cumulative effect of masking the absences of Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward. Now, the lack of an alpha like Irving capable of creating his own shot is sticking out with every 40-point game James produces.

    Al Horford, Boston's only healthy All-Star, was never a dominant scorer, but more of a facilitator who worked well in a finely tuned system.

    Horford started off the series strong but his scoring and assist numbers have declined over the last two games.

    Lue's move to reinsert Tristan Thompson back into the starting lineup in Game 2 is a huge reason.

    Thompson has not only helped things move better on the offensive end for Cleveland , he's combined with Larry Nance to make things difficult on Horford. Horford had just four shots and seven points in 30 minutes in Game 3. He scored 15 points in Game 4 but was just 5-of-13 from the field with one assist.

    If the Celtics are going to get back to the by-committee style that got them here, it must begin with his leadership. To that end, Horford said they'll focus on correcting their issues, but also won't dwell on them.

    ''As a group, we're excited to be back, going back home,'' he said. ''Obviously we understand the challenge of it. We can't think about the past. We just have to worry about this opportunity. We have a Game 5 at home, and we have to make the most of it.''

    Cleveland is hoping James' once quiet supporting cast continues its surge in Boston.

    Kevin Love just missed his third straight double-double in Game 4 and sharpshooters JR Smith and Kyle Korver were 12 of 19 from the 3-point line in Games 3 and 4.

    Korver's efforts have stood out.

    At 37 years old he was all over the court scoring in Game 4, diving for loose balls and collecting three blocks. While he anticipated being sore from all the activity, Korver said playing ''fun basketball'' is still propelling a guy looking for his first ring after appearing in 124 playoff games for five different teams during his 15-year career.

    ''There's not many of us `03 class guys still around,'' James said of Korver. ''I feel like we're just cut from a different cloth because we've been around for so long. We have this work ethic and you see him every day putting in the work, putting his mind, his body into it. It's not about his age.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #1735
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    Cavs made East 'chalk'
    May 22, 2018


    The Cavaliers Are Series Favorites Again

    When this series started, we stated that this series was going to go a six games and that’s at least where it’s going to end up. But after a whirlwind weekend that saw LeBron turn things around at home, the oddsmakers have installed Cleveland as favorites to come out of this now-best-of-three. It’s an uphill climb for the Boston Celtics according to the numbers, but that was always the case.

    Revised Eastern Conference Finals Series Odds
    Cleveland Cavaliers to win -175
    Boston Celtics to win +155


    In Game 4, Cleveland unleashed a spurt through the first quarter that created an un-crossable chasm for the Celtics. With a 34-18 lead coming out of the first, Cleveland did everything they had to in order to retain the advantage. Korver and Hill hit big shots when they needed, and LeBron submitted another marvelous line of 44-5-3. What a force of nature.

    The three-point shooting of the Cavaliers came back to earth with 8-of-23 (34.8 percent) but their hot shooting overall continued from all over the floor. In a way, the Celtics’ interior defence caved in, which is what inevitably happens against LeBron James. Tristan Thompson also appeared unstoppable at times.

    Kyle Korver and George Hill took advantage of the perimeter collapsing to chip in 27 points as the Cavaliers shot 50.6 percent from the field. And now we see what we’ve always known about Cleveland – they are a tremendous front running team that has learned how capsize comebacks after Toronto and Indiana both gave them serious scares.

    Boston’s defence is always going to oscillate between “opportunistic” and “oh god they can’t stop LeBron” because that’s just the nature of the beast. But their offence needs more continuity. It’s almost as if everything hinges on those momentum shifting Marcus Smart threes. He had just 8 points in the Game 4 loss and couldn’t really turn the tide with his badger-like work rate despite a high output of effort.

    The good news is that this series will swing back to Boston, and while the Celtics didn’t look great at all in Game 3, they won all the other quarters against Cleveland in Game 4 after getting whopped in the opening one. Jayson Tatum has been average, which is understandable for a rookie, but he needs to be great. In most circumstances, I wouldn’t say that he has what it takes given his experience but Brad Stevens is an insanely good mentor in this regard. Tatum notched a minus-14 against Cleveland in Game 4. That should and will hopefully get better.

    The offence has been steadied by Jaylen Brown, who his having an absolute breakout party but there simply isn’t enough from the remainder of the squad. Where the Celtics have gained traction is by the sum of their parts being greater than the whole, but they became unraveled in stretches during Game 3 and 4. Getting back to what made them consistently great in the opening games of the series will help them find their footing.

    You can bet on the Celtics to snatch Game 6 from the death clutch of the Cavaliers at even money. It’s a shame there isn’t a home point cushion for Boston, but considering that they’re an absurd 9-0 SU and ATS at home, I think you know why the spread is what it is. And yes, that means you should lean towards the Celtics yet again.

    Game 5 (5/22/18) – Cleveland -1 at Boston
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #1736
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    WEDNESDAY, MAY 23
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    CLE at BOS 08:30 PM

    BOS +1.0

    U 206.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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