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Thread: The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

  1. #1741
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, May 24



    Golden State @ Houston

    Game 507-508
    May 24, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    129.975
    Houston
    125.838
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 4
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 1
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (+1); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, May 24


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (68 - 28) at HOUSTON (75 - 21) - 5/24/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 40-53 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    HOUSTON is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 65-40 ATS (+21.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 41-54 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 108-143 ATS (-49.3 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-7 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 13-6 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, May 24


    Golden State @ Houston (2-2)
    Rockets outscored Golden State 34-18 in 2nd quarter, 25-12 in 4th quarter; four Warriors subs who played were a combined -29 in 48:00 of play. In their two series wins, Houston has taken 80 treys, 87 2-point shots. In their two losses, they took 71 treys, 95 2-point shots. Under is 6-2 in this round so far, 3-1 in both series. Under is 6-1 in Golden State’s last seven games. Road team is 7-4 in last eleven games between these teams. Under is 10-4 in last 14 series games. Warriors other than Curry were 3-14 on arc in Game 4; he needs lot more help.




    NBA

    Thursday, May 24


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
    Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Houston
    Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
    Houston is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 22 games at home
    Houston is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Golden State
    Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #1742
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    Celtics win and cover again on home court - now 10-0 SU and ATS in this year's playoffs. NBA playoffs betting stats:

    Home Teams:
    53-20 Straight Up
    42-30-1 ATS (58.3%)

    Favorites:
    55-18 Straight Up
    43-29-1 ATS (59.7%)

    Over-Under: 34-39
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #1743
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    THURSDAY, MAY 24
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    GS at HOU 09:00 PM

    HOU -1.0

    U 219.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #1744
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    Gordon leads Rockets over Warriors 98-94 to take series lead
    May 24, 2018


    HOUSTON (AP) Eric Gordon came off the bench to score 24 points and his steal on Golden State's last possession secured a 98-94 victory Thursday night that gave the Houston Rockets a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference finals.

    The Rockets head into Game 6 on Saturday night in Oakland, California one win away from knocking off the defending champions and advancing to the NBA Finals for the first time since winning back-to-back titles in 1994-95.

    Chris Paul scored 20 points and James Harden struggled for his 19, but Paul had to leave the game in the final minute with what appeared to be a hamstring injury.

    Kevin Durant scored 29 points for the Warriors, who lost in Game 5 of a playoff series for just the second time since 2015.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #1745
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    SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MAY 25, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 26, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 27, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics TD Garden

    SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY MAY 28, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Toyota Center


    *************************


    MAY'S NBA BEST BET RECORD: ( BASED ON 5 UNITS )

    05/24/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    05/23/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    05/22/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/21/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/20/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/19/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/16/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/15/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0,50
    05/03/2018 0-4-0 0.00% -22.00
    05/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    05/01/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

    Totals.............11-19-0........36.66%.....-48.50


    BEST BETS................ATS....................UNITS.. ................O/U..............UNITS..............TOTAL

    05/24/2018...............1 - 0.................+5.00....................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
    05/23/2018...............1 - 0.................+5.00....................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
    05/22/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/21/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/20/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
    05/19/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
    05/16/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0- 1...............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/15/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/14/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-0.50
    05/13/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50
    05/03/2018...............0 - 2..................-11.00..................0 - 2..............-11.00............-22.00
    05/02/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
    05/01/2018...............1 - 1..................- 0.50...................0 - 2.............-11.00.............-11.50

    Totals.......................5 - 10................-30.00..................6 - 9...............-19.50............-49.50
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #1746
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    College football lines that moved 4+ points Thursday:

    — Texas (+1) to (-3) vs USC

    — North Carolina (+11) to (+7) vs Central Florida

    — West Virginia (+3) to (-1.5) vs Texas Tech

    — Texas (+12) to (+6) vs Oklahoma

    — Arkansas State (pick) to (-4) vs Appalachian State

    — Oregon (-9) to (-13) vs Arizona State

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff after a fun vacation…….

    13) Rockets 98, Warriors 94— Golden State’s bench was a combined 2-8 from floor in 53:00 in this game; I didn’t think Houston could beat the Warriors unless they outran them, but they held Golden State to 92-94 points in their last two games.

    In their three series wins, Houston has taken 123 3-pointers, 122 2-pointers; in Golden State’s two wins, Rockets have taken 71 treys and 95 2-point shots. Harden was 0-11 behind the arc in this game, but his team leads series, 3-2.

    12) Again, in their three wins, Houston has taken 81.7 shots/game; in their losses, 83, so they’re winning with their defensive performance, which is a big surprise.

    11) Had an excellent conversation in the Westgate SuperBook Wednesday night with a smart bettor who retired from the military and now lives in Las Vegas. He likes to play parlays and explained to me why; he knows a lot about soccer (I know NOTHING). Learned a lot from talking to him.

    10) My godson Tom knows a lot about soccer; he likes Belgium in the World Cup.

    9) There have been 23 baseball games this season where a pitcher had a no-hitter going thru six innings. That seems like a lot.

    Thru Wednesday, the MLB batting average was .244; last time a full season ended with a batting average that low was 1972, the year before the DH came into being.

    8) UConn totally dominates women’s college basketball, so I’m wondering, how many UConn players are in the 12-team WNBA? Must be two or three per team, no?

    Turns out there are currently 17 UConn alumni in the 12-team WNBA. 1.4 per team.

    7) SEC-Big X college basketball challenge this winter has some solid matchups: West Virginia-Tennessee, Florida-TCU, Kansas-Kentucky being three of the best.

    6) Baseball’s amateur draft is coming up; apparently it is very wide open this year. Detroit has the first pick and consensus is they’re still torn on who their #1 pick will be. Unusual.

    5) New England Patriots were practicing in OTA’s in number-less jerseys; the NFL told them to grow up and put numbers on, so Belichick had them wear numbers they won’t (can’t) wear in regular season games. Do rival teams spy on OTA’s?

    4) Orioles’ Dylan Bundy is 2-1, 2.86 in three starts since he gave up seven runs on 28 pitches in a hideous start against the Royals earlier this month.

    3) Since 1970, 50 QB’s were taken in the 2nd round of the NFL Draft; of those 50, 42 started at least one NFL regular season game. Christian Hackenberg hasn’t even gotten into a game yet; I’m curious why the Raiders traded for him this week.

    2) Last year, Oakland averaged 4.14 points less per game than their weekly over/under; Atlanta averaged 4.06 less points per game. Falcons were an “over” machine in 2016; last year, not so much.

    1) Indians’ Trevor Bauer and Astros’ Gerrit Cole played college baseball together at UCLA- they did not get along well.

    Says Bauer: “We had a rocky relationship in college, because he told me that I had no future in baseball and he insulted my work ethic as a freshman.” Alrighty then.

    The two hurlers face each other in Cleveland Sunday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #1747
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    NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 betting preview and odds: Celtics at Cavaliers

    Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers (-7, 201.5)

    Celtics lead series 3-2.

    The Boston Celtics are one win away from reaching the NBA Finals for the first time since 2010 when they visit the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday. The Celtics possess a 3-2 lead in the Eastern Conference finals but are just 1-6 on the road this postseason, including two setbacks in Cleveland.

    Cavaliers forward LeBron James could be playing in his final game in Cleveland before his expected dive into free agency but he is currently focused on earning one more trip to Boston. "We're looking forward to having an opportunity to force a Game 7," James told reporters after his squad's 96-83 loss in Wednesday's Game 5. "It's up to us to see if we can come back here for one more." Boston continues to persevere behind its young roster but it will have to step up if it is to close the series on the Cavaliers' home floor. "Now we have a big challenge to go on the road," Boston veteran big man Al Horford told reporters. "We're going to have to play a great game come Friday because they're tough at home. At least in our series, they've had their way."

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

    SERIES PRICE:



    LINE HISTORY: The Cavaliers opened as 7-point home favorites with their backs against the wall for Game 6 and as of Thursday night that pointspread has not moved. The total hit betting boards at 201.5 and has not moved off the opening number.

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The home team is now a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS in this playoff series. It is not a surprise as the Celtics are now it 10-0 SU at home this postseason. Boston is a young, well-coached team that feeds off the energy of their home crowd, but has struggled to perform on the road, with their only playoff road win coming in overtime." - Steve Merril.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Celtics - PG Shane Larkin (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), PG Kyrie Irving (Out For Season, Knee), PF Daniel Theis (Out For Season, Knee), SF Gordon Hayward (Out For Season, Ankle).

    Cavaliers - No injuries to report.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    ABOUT THE CELTICS (66-33 SU, 62-35-2 ATS, 52-46-1 O/U): Small forward Jayson Tatum scored 24 points in Game 5 for his ninth 20-point outing of the postseason. The 20-year-old is putting together one of the best scoring playoff runs by a rookie in NBA history with 312 points and he trails only Elgin Baylor (331), Alvan Adams (341) and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (352). "It's just been a lot of fun," Tatum told reporters. "I've just been enjoying it, the level of play, the atmosphere. The playoffs bring the best out of people and out of players, and hopefully we keep it going. ... We're one win away from going to the Finals. "

    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (60-38 SU, 38-59-1 ATS, 45-51-2 O/U): James had 26 points, 10 rebounds and five assists while going 11-of-22 shooting in Game 5 and he downplayed interrogating questions about his level of fatigue. "I had my moments, but I think everybody at this point is tired, worn down whatever the case may be," James told reporters. "I was still trying to make plays, put our team in position to win." James topped 40 points twice in this series and six times in the postseason and has at times single-handedly kept his team afloat.

    TRENDS:

    * Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    * Cavaliers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 home games.
    * Under is 5-0 in Celtics' last 5 games following a straight up win.
    * Under is 5-1 in Cavaliers' last 6 games following a straight up loss.
    * Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

    CONSENSUS: Early consensus numbers show 63 percent of spread bets are coming in on the underdog Celtics while 68 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #1748
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, May 25


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (66 - 33) at CLEVELAND (60 - 38) - 5/25/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BOSTON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    BOSTON is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    CLEVELAND is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 10-9 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 13-7 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, May 25


    Boston (3-2) @ Cleveland
    Home side won/covered all five series games; four of the five games stayed under the total- in last 14 games between these teams, under is 9-5. In Game 4, Hill-Smith-Thompson shot 2-14 from floor, James/Love were 17-35 but they need help!!! Rozier/Brown shot a combined 7-30 in Game 4 and Celtics still won by 13. In games 3-4, the two games in Cleveland, Cavaliers led by 20-15 points at halftime. All five games were decided by 9+ points. Boston lost five of its last six road games- they won Game 3 in Philly.

    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
    Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5
    Clev 116-86, -6.5, U207
    Clev 111-102, -7, O205
    Bos 96-83, -1.5, U205

    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
    Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225
    GState 126-85, -7, U228
    Hst 95-92, +8, U227
    Hst 98-94, +1, U220




    NBA

    Friday, May 25


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
    Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games at home
    Cleveland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
    Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #1749
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, May 25



    Boston @ Cleveland

    Game 709-710
    May 25, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    117.295
    Cleveland
    126.885
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 9 1/2
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 7
    201 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-7); Over
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #1750
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    Friday's Playoff Essentials
    May 25, 2018


    Eastern Conference Finals - Game 6 - Celtics lead 3-2
    Boston at Cleveland (-7, 201.5), ESPN, 8:35 ET


    Hope your week went as planned. When it began on Monday, the dire circumstances that accompany Friday’s Game 6 of the Eastern Conference finals once again ring true.

    If the Celtics pull off the upset at Quicken Loans Arena, this might be the final time we ever see LeBron James suiting up for Cleveland. Even if they lose, it’s still possible that this will be James’ swan song playing for his hometown team since Boston gets to host Game 7.

    To extend the series even that far, James must continue to at least get help at home from a supporting cast that has largely abandoned him at TD Garden. The Celtics feature young players in their rotation that you expect to struggle on the road in crucial games like these, but the Cavs don’t have that excuse.

    J.R. Smith and Tristan Thompson have won a championship. George Hill is closing in on 100 career playoff games. All three were awful in the 96-83 loss on Wednesday night. While James and Kevin Love managed to score 40 points while shooting nearly 50 percent from the field, the three other members of Tyronn Lue’s starting lineup combined to make just two of 14 shots. They were all liabilities on the offensive end and didn’t make enough of a dent defensively to justify being out there.

    That’s where Lue most went wrong in Game 6, leaving Kyle Korver on the bench after he’d been the x-factor in both of the Cavs’ home wins, shooting 9-for-12. The excuse that Semi Ojeleye’s benching threw his substitution patterns for a loop was unacceptable, lending credence to the belief that he’s putting his team at a disadvantage from a strategy standpoint against Brad Stevens.

    As things stand, a Boston team that came in +220 to win the series now has two chances to win one game in order to play their way into the NBA Finals. Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward will watch on Friday and into June if the Celtics are still playing, which means that the team with the most championships in league history may play for one more with little chance to actually win one.

    That’s not to say they can’t.

    Although they would be a heavier underdog than they are in this series against the Western Conference champ, the potential that they run into a Houston team playing with a compromised Chris Paul could leave the door slightly ajar for the unlikely to transpire in order to cap a postseason that had largely gone as expected considering the four teams everyone expected would survive into the conference finals did exactly that.

    Entering Friday’s action, both series underdogs own 3-2 leads despite being heavy underdogs entering Game 6. Full disclosure, I’ve pledged allegiance to both Cleveland and Golden State squaring off in a fourth consecutive NBA Finals and can honestly write that I haven’t deviated from that stance despite the current long odds.

    That’s only half the battle. With Chris Paul’s status now a mystery, the Warriors are actually still favored in the series despite being down. Cleveland is currently an underdog to win at all despite being a substantial favorite to push things to the limit in tonight’s game.

    Chris David of VegasInsider.com believes Cleveland will force a Game 7 but he doesn’t want to back the club on the points (-7) and the money-line (-350) is a tad inflated. He did offer an alternative approach for bettors that want to back the Cavaliers in Game 6.

    “I expect Cleveland to win on Friday and set up a decisive finale on Sunday, but I’m still not willing to lay seven points with a team that has buried gamblers all season at home (12-27-2 ATS) plus it’s gone 3-5 ATS at home in the playoffs. I expect this game to be a dogfight and a potential matchup on Game 7 will likely be even tighter. Rather than taking a chance on the spread or betting $100 to win $28 on the money-line, I’d rather direct my attention to the Cavaliers on the adjusted series price,” explained David.

    As of Friday, Sportsbook.ag had Cleveland listed as a plus-170 underdog (Bet $100 to win $170) to win the next two games and advance to the NBA Finals. Boston is a minus-200 favorite (Bet $100 to win $50).

    David added, “Along with many other pundits, I picked Cleveland to win the series and I was calling for a victory in seven games. I believe that outcome will occur and catching a positive return (+170) heading into a Game 7 will provide me with a hedge and perhaps a middle if the Cavaliers end up laying points on Sunday.”

    My exact series pick of Cavs in six was doomed in Wednesday’s loss, which was particularly disappointing since Terry Rozier shot so poorly, finishing 3-for-15, including 1-for-7 from beyond the arc. For the series, he’s 5-for-31 (22.6 percent), so it’s not like he’s adequately replacing Kyrie Irving like he did in turning back Milwaukee and Philadelphia. The fact is, he’s been a liability who the Celtics have had to overcome. Considering he’s fearless and due for a big performance, Boston could just be one hot flurry away from reaching a level the Cavs can’t get to, even at home.

    LeBron looked visibly fatigued in Game 5, betrayed by tell-tale signs like his hands on his hips and other clear examples of being worn out. Considering he’s been carrying such a heavy load for so long, helping secure even a No. 4 see when they probably should’ve lost the Central Division, his exhaustion is to be expected. What remains to be seen is whether he can overcome it. If he can conquer fatigue, a series deficit would be nothing new.

    “James is facing elimination in a non-Game 7 situation for the tenth time since 2009,” said VegasInsider.com NBA expert Kevin Rogers. “Over the last three seasons, the Cavaliers have not had their backs against the wall against an Eastern Conference opponent. Golden State sent Cleveland to the limit four times, as the Cavs went 2-2 SU and 2-1-1 ATS.

    “In the only scenario in which Cleveland was a home favorite, the Cavaliers blew out the Warriors, 115-101 in their championship season of 2016 in Game 6 of the NBA Finals. The last time James faced elimination against an Eastern foe came at Boston in 2012 as a member of the Heat, as Miami won by 19 points in Game 6 and eventually won the series.”

    Although he’s 2-4 in attempting to try and rally his team from an 0-2 deficit, James has managed to get the job done in the conference finals against the Pistons in ’07 and the ’16 Finals vs. Golden State. Boston is 37-0 all-time after taking a 2-0 advantage. The Celtics are 1-6 on the road this postseason, suffering every loss by double-digits and barely claiming the win they managed to get.

    Despite all the noise about James knowing he’s done in Cleveland and wanting no part of a 3-6 career Finals record that would likely be in his future if he manages to get his team back into the championship round, he’s been brilliant and can be counted on to show up here. For the series, he’s averaging 30.8 points, 7.4 rebounds and 8.2 assists, shooting 53 percent from the field.

    Love has averaged just 12 points over the past three games and has to fare better if the Cavs are going to pull this out. He’s performed worse at home than on the road against both the Pacers and Celtics after averaging 22 points in arguably his two most efficient games against Toronto, so nothing is a given. James is the only player who can be counted on, so betting on this game hinges on whether you believe he can raise the level of play of multiple teammates.

    We’ve been treated exclusively to blowouts thus far in the conference finals. Boston has the potential to end that if it can gain its bearings early, but they were way behind in Games 3 and 4 before the first quarter ended and have dropped five of its seven road games by nine or more points.

    Totals-wise, the number for Game 6 is the lowest of the series, opening at 201.5 and residing there entering Friday. The closing figure in every game thus far has been in the 204.5-207 range, typically winding up at 205-205.5. The under has prevailed in four of the five contests so it’s no surprise to see a dip since the teams combined for just 179 points in Game 5, the lowest output of the series.

    Game 7, if necessary, will be played Sunday in Boston.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #1751
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    LeBron, Cavs facing win-or-else Game 6
    May 24, 2018


    CLEVELAND (AP) Cavaliers coach Tyronn Lue was answering a question about Boston's defense on LeBron James during a teleconference when he tripped the security system at his home.

    A piercing alarm sounded.

    ''Uh-oh,'' Lue said Thursday as he punched in a code to silence the screaming siren.

    While Lue and his home were clearly safe, and the light-hearted moment passed quickly, it was also symbolic of Cleveland's urgent situation.

    The Cavs are in a dangerous spot.

    Beaten for the third time in Boston in these home-sweet-home Eastern Conference finals, Cleveland will face its second elimination game of the postseason on Friday night at Quicken Loans Arena.

    Game 6 is for everything.

    Except, of course, if there's a Game 7 on Sunday in Boston.

    Fueled by fueled-up Boston fans who must feel some sort of birthright to see their cherished team play in the Finals, the youthful Celtics again showed zero fear or hesitation on their parquet floor on Wednesday night during a 96-83 win in Game 5 that was never in any doubt.

    Despite shooting only 36 percent, the Celtics improved to 10-0 at home in the playoffs as coach Brad Stevens changed his starting lineup, shortened his rotation to seven and released waves of defenders at James, who looked worn down as he attempts to advance to the NBA Finals for the eighth consecutive year.

    Lue noticed early in Game 5 that James was dragging, but he's confident the 33-year-old, who was chosen All-NBA first team for a record 12th time, will be ready to save his season and prolong what could be his final games with the Cavs.

    ''I know he'll be ready to play Game 6, so fatigue won't be a problem and an issue,'' Lue said. ''I'm pretty sure a lot of guys are tired during this stretch of the year. If I had to pick one guy and choose one guy to prevail, it would be LeBron. I know he'll be great come tomorrow.''

    Stevens started center Aron Baynes for the first time in the series and the move helped slow James, who had been crushing the Celtics when guard Terry Rozier switched on him. Rozier fronted James and got help from Baynes, the 6-foot-10, 254-pound Australian who contributed seven rebounds, six points and attitude.

    ''We've got a lot of tough guys on our team,'' Stevens said. ''But I think they all will tell you Baynes is one of the toughest we've all been around.''

    Now Stevens needs his team to show that same tenacity on the road, where Boston is just 1-6.

    The Cavs, on the other hand, are counting on James to rebound.

    He pushed as hard as he could in Game 5, but for one of the only times in what has been a transcendent 13th postseason, he couldn't summon greatness.

    He didn't have his usual burst. He bent at the waist grabbing his shorts, his breathing labored. During timeouts, he wiped sweat and perhaps some frustration from his forehead.

    James is tired - for good reason. His teammates are draining him.

    Once again, James, who will play in his 99th game this season Friday, didn't get nearly enough help from Cleveland's other starters and Lue didn't do him any favors, either.

    James had 26 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. Solid, but sub-par by his standards and he committed six turnovers and missed some makeable layups. James still managed to outscore the rest of Cleveland's starters - Kevin Love, Tristan Thompson, George Hill and J.R. Smith - 26-24.

    Lue inexplicably left Kyle Korver off the floor for long stretches and following the game he curiously explained that Stevens' rotation ''kind of threw us for a loop.''

    Asked Thursday if he wished he had done anything differently, Lue bluntly said: ''No.''

    Thankfully, he's got James, who has six 40-point games and two buzzer-beaters in these playoffs, to save the season.

    He's done it once already this spring, playing through cramps and scoring 45 points in a Game 7 win over Indiana. But he's played nine games since, and gotten less and less rest as the playoffs have progressed. His body has been forced to handle more than he imagined.

    James has been down 3-2 in the conference finals before. In 2012, he faced a Game 6 elimination in Boston and scored 45 points with 15 rebounds and five rebounds as Miami won.

    Now he's trying to keep this flawed Cavs team alive long enough for another trip to Boston.

    On Friday, James will take the floor with his future hanging in the air. His second stint with the Cavs could end this summer if he opts out of his $35.6 million contract for next season and leaves again as a free agent, a decision he can delay again with a win.

    But before he picks home or Philadelphia or Los Angeles or anywhere else, he's got at least one more game in Cleveland.

    Game 6.

    ''No question in my mind that he'll bounce back,'' Lue said.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #1752
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    FRIDAY, MAY 25
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    BOS at CLE 08:30 PM

    BOS +7.0

    U 202.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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