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Thread: The Bums 2017 NHL Best Bets-News-Trends-Thru The Stanley Cup ! !

  1. #1306
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds on some longshots to win the college basketball national title next April:

    200-1– St Mary’s Gaels

    300-1— UConn Huskies

    500-1— Colorado Buffaloes

    1,000-1— Richmond Spiders

    2,000-1— Montana Grizzlies

    5,000-1— Cal State-Fullerton Titans


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) I usually have a great time sitting in the sportsbook here at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas; usually find lot of interesting people to talk to. Comfortable chairs, big screens to watch the games on. Had great fun watching games Monday, but last night……..

    I’m sitting there last night, and this guy sits in the chair next to me, on my right; within 90 seconds, he starts in by criticizing every team he has bet on. For the next two hours, I heard in loud and obscene terms:

    — Washington Caps pass too much in the offensive zone.
    — Mike Matheny doesn’t know how to make a lineup.
    — Matt Carpenter shouldn’t bat 2nd.
    — The Flaherty kid pitching for St Louis should be in AAA.
    — Matt Chapman sucks as a third baseman.
    — Matt Carpenter shouldn’t be playing.
    — Daniel Mengden can’t field his position. And on and on………..

    12) Now two of those guys play for the Oakland A’s, and if you know me, you know I’ve been an A’s fan since 1965, when Phil Roof was the A’s catcher and Jose Tartabull played the outfield. I love the freakin’ A’s. I’m biting my tongue so hard with this guy it hurts.

    He bet the Cardinals and A’s in the first five innings; both bets win, but he doesn’t say one positive word about either team. He loses his NHL wager. I am considering whether he has Tourette’s syndrome or is just a degenerative gambler without any filter at all.

    11) He blurts out “Winner, winner, chicken dinner” as the 5th inning ends in the A’s game, and goes to cash his ticket. I say to him “Mengden won the game for you” and he protests with a profanity (“He can’t field his (bleep)ing position”) as he storms off, never to be seen again.

    Should’ve said something about an hour earlier…….

    10) Robinson Cano gets an 80-game suspension for failing a drug test; weird timing, since he broke his hand Sunday, and the suspension/injury will be served at same time. Cano will be eligible again in late August, but if Seattle makes the playoffs, he is ineligible to play in them.

    Cano loses roughly $11.85M with the suspension; Mariners can use that money to try and replace him, or fortify their team somewhere else. Seattle is 24-17 with roughly 25% off the season gone; they’re half-game out of the 2nd Wild Card spot.

    9) David Tepper, a billionaire hedge-fund manager who owned a small part of the Steelers, will buy the Carolina Panthers for $2.2B or so and keep the team in Charlotte. Mr Tepper is said to be paying cash to buy the team. 2.2 billion dollars. In cash.

    I can barely afford a team in my fantasy league. Good for him.

    8) Supreme Court has opened the door for states other than Nevada to start taking bets on sports; New Jersey is already rumored to be starting on Memorial Day.

    7) New York-Washington baseball game was suspended in the middle of the 6th inning last night, with game 3-3; it’ll be resumed at 5:05 ET today, and then the regularly-scheduled game will be played.

    Orioles-Phillies got rained out last night; that game will be made up July 12.

    6) Guy named Tom Haberstroh is a better man than I am; he counted how many times each team dribbled in the Rockets-Warriors game Monday. Houston 1,105, Warriors 812.

    Point being that part of Golden State’s greatness is that they get great spacing and they find open men quickly with passes, the way basketball should be played. Plus the open men they find can all shoot, otherwise it would be pointless to get them the ball.

    5) Phoenix Suns won the NBA Lottery, so they get the first pick in the draft; seeing as they already hired a foreign-born coach who was once coached international prospect Luka Doncic on a national team, you’d think he’ll be the choice, yes?

    But Deandre Ayton played one season for the Arizona Wildcats; most people seem to think he is the best player in the draft. We’ll see what the Suns do.

    Sacramento/Atlanta pulled upsets and moved up to the 2nd and 3rd spots in the draft.

    4) Arizona Diamondbacks lost star CF AJ Pollock (broken wrist) for 4-6 weeks.

    3) You can wager on what color hat the Queen of England will be wearing at the royal wedding this weekend. Green is the current favorite, bet down to even money.

    2) So you bet the Astros-Angels game last night; maybe you bet the game because Fielden Culbreth was the home plate ump, but Culbreth got drilled in the mask by a foul ball in the 3rd inning and was replaced by CB Bucknor, who is more of a pitcher’s umpire.

    Sometimes stuff happens during a game and it either helps you or hurts you from a gambling perspective; when you’re hot, things fall your way. When you’re cold, you lose replay challenges and guys drop fly balls on you. Part of what makes gambling so challenging.

    1) I made a wager on the Dodgers-Marlins game last night, forgetting that they can’t show Dodger games here in Las Vegas unless they’re on national TV. Las Vegas for some stupid reason, is considered part of the LA market, so their games get blacked out.

    Think I realized all this about 30 seconds before the talkative gambler sat next to me and brightened up my world. Today will be a better day!!!!
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #1307
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    NHL Western Conference final Game 3 betting preview and odds: Jets at Golden Knights

    Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights (-135, 5.5)

    Series tied 1-1.

    Playing on the road has not fazed the Winnipeg Jets in the Stanley Cup playoffs, and they need to continue that strong play away from home as the Western Conference finals shift to Las Vegas for Game 3 Wednesday against the Golden Knights. Vegas snatched home ice with a gritty 3-1 victory Monday in Game 2 at Winnipeg, and now the Jets - who have lost in regulation just once in six road games during the postseason - look to respond as the Golden Knights did Monday.

    But nobody in the Jets locker room is panicking after losing one home contest, and as defenseman Jacob Trouba offered to reporters after Monday’s game: “We like our road game. We like where it was in the Nashville series, and we’re going to try and bring the same effort.” The Golden Knights, who did not face the type of firepower Winnipeg possesses in the opening two rounds, nonetheless shook off a Game 1 loss by surviving an early onslaught against goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury, building a 2-0 lead and making life uncomfortable in the neutral zone for the Jets. Forward Jonathan Marchessault, who labeled Game 2 a “must win,” backed it up with two goals to lead a spirited effort that has the expansion Golden Knights poised to take the series lead on home ice. “Every time we need a big game out of our group, we show up,” Marchessault told the media after the game. “I think we showed the hockey world that we earned the right to be here, and we are able to play against a great team.”

    TV: 9 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER PINNACLE):



    LINE HISTORY: The host Vegas Golden Knights opened as -145 moneyline favorites but action on the visiting Jets has pushed that number down to -135 as of Tuesday night. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move.

    CONSENSUS: There could be some sharp action on the Jets as the line has moved in their favor despite seeing just 29 percent of wagers according to the public. The Over is seeing the slight edge in totals action with 70 percent of the bets.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Connor Hellebuyck 44 11 9 2.36 .924 6
    Marc-Andre Fleury 29 13 4 2.24 .927 4

    INJURY REPORT:

    Jets - D Dmitry Kulikov (Out Indefinitely, Back).

    Golden Knights - LW David Perron (Probable, Illness), LW William Carrier (Questionable, Upper Body), D Clayton Stoner (Out Indefinitely, Abdominal).

    ABOUT THE JETS (61-24-9-2, 46-47 O/U): Winnipeg did not play poorly in Game 2, but were nowhere near as sharp as they were in the series opener and were victimized several times by turnovers and sloppy puck handling. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck made 25 saves, but gave up Marchessault’s second goal 88 seconds after forward Kyle Connor’s power-play marker pulled the Jets within one in the third period. Connor’s linemates - forward Blake Wheeler and center Mark Scheifele - have combined for 15 goals and 36 points in the postseason but were held off the scoresheet in Game 2.

    ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS (60-26-5-3, 46-44 O/U): Marchessault leads Vegas in playoff goals (six) and points (15), and the 5-9 forward finished plus-2 Monday while sparking his line of center William Karlsson and forward Reilly Smith to a combined plus-6 finish. Fleury, who gave up three goals in the opening 7:35 of Game 1, fended off several good scoring chances in the opening minutes Monday en route to a 30-save performance. Vegas was much better in several areas in Game 2, blocking 21 shots and winning 51 percent of faceoff attempts.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Jets are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. Pacific.
    * Golden Knights are 14-2 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    * Over is 6-2 in Jets' last 8 road games.
    * Under is 12-5-2 in Golden Knights' last 19 games following a win.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #1308
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, May 16



    Winnipeg @ Vegas

    Game 3-4
    May 16, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    12.842
    Vegas
    14.604
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (-140); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, May 16


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WINNIPEG (61-25-0-10, 132 pts.) at VEGAS (60-27-0-7, 127 pts.) - 5/16/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 61-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 34-18 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    VEGAS is 20-12 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 61-36 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 30-25 ATS (+60.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 38-19 ATS (+9.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 32-13 ATS (+14.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    WINNIPEG is 13-5 ATS (+7.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    WINNIPEG is 34-22 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WINNIPEG is 24-12 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 3-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Wednesday, May 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
    Winnipeg is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
    Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games on the road
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Vegas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    Vegas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #1309
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    Preview: Jets (52-20) at Golden Knights (51-24)
    Date: May 16, 2018 9:00 PM EDT


    LAS VEGAS - After knotting its NHL Western Conference final series at 1-1 with a 3-1 victory at Winnipeg on Monday night, the Vegas Golden Knights now hold home-ice advantage for the best-of-seven series. But considering how the Jets have played on the road lately, that might not be a good thing.

    Winnipeg, which was an NHL-best 32-7-2 at home during the regular season, has actually played better on the road during the playoffs, winning four of its last five away from Bell MTS Place, including a 5-1 rout of Nashville in Game 7 in the conference semifinals. The only road loss during that span was 5-4 in overtime in Game 2 against the Predators.

    "We'll be ready to bounce back," Winnipeg center Paul Statsny said of heading into Wednesday night's Game 3 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. "That's playoff hockey, right? You win one and all of a sudden they get one and we lose one. You think you have momentum. We view this as a fresh start."

    "It's a series," added Jets defenseman Jacob Trouba. "I don't think anybody is panicking. We've been here before."

    The Jets have outscored their opponents 21-9 in their last five playoff road games, which started with a 2-0 blanking of the Minnesota Wild in Game 4 of the quarterfinals. They outscored Nashville 11-3 in their final two games at Bridgestone Arena where the Preds were 28-9-4 during the regular season.

    "We like our road game, we like where it was in the Nashville series and we're going to try and bring the same effort," Trouba said.

    Vegas was 29-10-2 at home during the regular season at T-Mobile Arena and is 4-1 there in the playoffs.

    "I think you feed off the crowd for sure," Vegas defenseman Deryk Engelland said. "But the visiting team is coming in and trying to quiet the crowd down as much as they can. They're going to come out flying and we've got to be ready to go."

    A bigger key than playing on home ice for both teams in the playoffs has been the ability to score first. Winnipeg is 8-1 when it scores the first goal while Vegas is 7-1.

    Vegas center Jonathan Marchessault, who scored two goals in Monday night's victory, was asked whether he would rather have home ice or the first goal of the game if he had his choice.

    "I think playing with the lead," Marchessault said. "Playing with the lead is huge. When you are able to play with the lead, I think that makes a huge difference."

    Still, Marchessault says he's looking forward to playing the next two games on his home ice. Vegas, behind two goals by William Karlsson, defeated the Jets 5-2 on Nov. 10 in the only regular-season meeting between the two teams at T-Mobile Arena.

    "We're definitely going to have a fun atmosphere," Marchessault said. "We'll get a lot of energy off of that."

    Vegas played without third leading scorer David Perron, who had 16 goals and 50 assists in the regular season and has seven assists in the playoffs, on Monday night. Golden Knights coach Gerard Gallant wasn't sure whether Perron would be ready to go on Wednesday night.

    "He's day-to-day," Gallant said before his team's optional skate on Tuesday afternoon. "He's not feeling well."


    SERIES AT A GLANCE

    GAME 1
    Golden Knights at Jets
    Sat, May 12 Final 2 to 4

    GAME 2
    Golden Knights at Jets
    Mon, May 14 Final 3 to 1

    GAME 3
    Jets at Golden Knights
    Wed, May 16 - 9:00PM EDT

    GAME 4
    Jets at Golden Knights
    Fri, May 18 - 8:00PM EDT

    GAME 5
    Golden Knights at Jets
    Sun, May 20 - 3:00PM EDT
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #1310
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    Powering the Flower: Vegas' Prior teaches Fleury new tricks
    May 16, 2018


    LAS VEGAS (AP) The Vegas Golden Knights figured they might get something special by crossing a respected goaltending coach with an accomplished goaltender.

    Dave Prior and Marc-Andre Fleury are making quite the pair for the historically successful expansion team.

    Fleury, a three-time Stanley Cup champion goalie, brought a wealth of experience when he was selected during last year's expansion draft. He's aiming for a fourth Cup as Vegas returns home from Winnipeg tied 1-1 in the Western Conference final - Game 3 is Wednesday night.

    He has hit it off with Prior, Vegas' goaltending coach who has helped the 13-year veteran pick up some new tricks.

    ''He's a great man,'' Fleury said. ''I think it shows, he's been around for a long time. So much experience, he's seen a lot of goalies, guys I grew up watching and liking, and he's coached them. I think he's somebody that wants me to trust in my ability to do things.''

    Prior has an old-school approach compared with many current goalie coaches. He thought Fleury would fit with his preferred style and insisted general manager George McPhee target the goalie when Pittsburgh left him unprotected for last year's draft.

    ''He obviously studies goaltenders all around the league and looks at the way that they're playing the game,'' McPhee said. ''He was excited, and he really advocated for him in our meetings and thought that he could make him even better than he's been.''

    Said Prior: ''When you have somebody who's as gifted as Marc is, it's trying to keep him playing to his potential all the time. He's not a backup goaltender. He's not past his `best before' date. He still has the capability of playing great.''

    Prior, of course, was right. Fleury finished this regular season with a 2.24 goals-against average and .927 save percentage - both career bests - as Vegas had by far the best expansion season in league history. The veteran also boasts career-best postseason numbers in both categories, with a 1.68 GAA and .945 save percentage through 12 games.

    Prior and Fleury have been cryptic about whatever adjustments they've made to Fleury's game. What Prior will divulge is that he believes once a goalie buys into his way of training, his confidence level increases and he begins to feel more productive in the net.

    ''I encourage a very strategic goal game that we're trying to make it very hard for the shooters, not just trying to have all the answers for the shooter's shot,'' Prior said. ''Marc is a bit secretive about it, but you have to have a lot of talent to play ... it's a difficult way to play the way I ask our goaltenders to play. I didn't know how Marc would respond because he's an older goaltender, and they usually are sort of set in their ways and harder for them to make adjustments. But he's been great and engaging in embracing this strategy.''

    Fleury said Prior has him spending less time worrying about giving up goals in practice and spending less time on the ice before games. Prior doesn't need Fleury working as hard as possible if he's working correctly.

    ''Goaltending plays games with your mind,'' Prior said. ''When you feel like you can't stop a puck in practice, you're worried that's what's gonna be showing up in the game. It plays on your mind. Guys always felt `I gotta work, I've gotta do everything to make sure I'm gonna be good.'

    ''Focus on the execution, not worry about `How hard I have to work to give me the best chance to be good,''' Prior added. ''I (prefer) you work less but are correct. It pays dividends when you play the game.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #1311
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    Knights merchandise flying off shelves
    May 15, 2018


    Vegas Golden Knights merchandise is flying off the shelves, with goalie Marc-Andre Fleury's jersey leading the way.

    Specific numbers weren't immediately available Tuesday, but the NHL says the team's overall North American sales have been very strong.

    ''The Vegas Golden Knights are in the top five in merch sales all season,'' Nirva Milord, the NHL's senior director of corporate communications, wrote in an email to The Canadian Press. ''Marc-Andre Fleury is tops among players in playoffs merch sales.''

    Last month, the NHL reported that Fleury was fourth in jersey sales behind Toronto's Auston Matthews, Pittsburgh's Sidney Crosby and Edmonton's Connor McDavid.

    Fleury, a three-time Stanley Cup champion in Pittsburgh, was not protected by the Penguins in last year's expansion draft. He has helped anchor the Golden Knights and gave them immediate star power.

    This random mix of journeymen, up-and-comers and castoffs will host the Jets in Game 3 of the Western Conference final Wednesday after teams split the first two games in Winnipeg.

    Cash registers have been ringing with sales of hats, hoodies, sweatshirts, T-shirts and jerseys adorned with the knight helmet symbol and the team's steel grey, black, gold and red colors.

    Marvin Ryder, a marketing professor at McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario, points to a couple of reasons for strong sales: a lack of competition from other top sports leagues in Las Vegas; the readiness of hockey fans and youngsters to flock to new gear.

    But where the franchise really delivered, Ryder said, was with its powerful logo coupled with an attractive color scheme.

    ''Whatever graphic identity team they hired, they knocked it right out of the park,'' Ryder told The Canadian Press.

    It helps to have a winning team, too.

    ''Ultimately it's how the fans embrace it,'' Ryder said. ''In this case, I'm going to say it's more about lucky. You had all the pieces, but they got them right the very first day. That's the unusual part of the story.

    ''Normally it takes longer for the teams to find that combination of performance and the right-looking logo that people are proud to wear. They got it right from Day One.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #1312
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    WEDNESDAY, MAY 16
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    WIN at VEG 09:00 PM

    VEG -115

    U 5.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #1313
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    SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY MAY 17, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:00 PM Tampa Bay Lightning Washington Capitals Capital One Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MAY 18, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:00 PM Winnipeg Jets Vegas Golden Knights T-Mobile Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 19, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    7:15 PM Washington Capitals Tampa Bay Lightning Amalie Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 20, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    3:00 PM Vegas Golden Knights Winnipeg Jets

    SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY MAY 21, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:00 PM Tampa Bay Lightning Washington Capitals Capital One Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY MAY 22, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Winnipeg Jets Vegas Golden Knights T-Mobile Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MAY 23, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:00 PM Washington Capitals Tampa Bay Lightning Amalie Arena


    ****************************


    May NHL Record:

    05/16/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/15/2018 0-1-1 0.00% -6.00
    05/14/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -12.75
    05/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -4.00
    05/03/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -0.25
    05/02/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -10.50
    05/01/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -12.75

    Totals...............6-13-1........29.41%.....-46.75


    May Best Bets:

    DATE................................ATS........... UNITS..................O/U..........UNITS..............TOTAL

    05/16/2018.....................1 - 0............+5.00.................0 - 1..........-5.50..............-0.50
    05/15/2018.....................0 - 1.............-6.00..................0 - 0 - 1.....-0.00..............-6.00
    05/14/2018.....................0 - 0.............-0.00..................0 - 1..........-5.50..............-5.50
    05/13/2018.....................0 - 0.............-0.00.................1 - 0...........+5.00............+5.00
    05/03/2018.....................1 - 0............+5.75................0 - 2...........-11.00.............-5.25
    05/02/2018.....................1 - 1............+0.50.................0 - 2..........-11.00.............-10.50
    05/01/2018.....................0 - 1.............-5.00.................1 - 1...........-0.50..............-5.50

    Totals.............................3- 3.............+0.40.............2 - 7 - 1...........-28.00............-28.25
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #1314
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Rockets 127, Warriors 105— Houston evens Western final at one game apiece.

    — Golden Knights 4, Jets 2— Las Vegas grabs a 2-1 series lead.

    — Yoenis Cespedes, Carlos Gomez, Luke Gregerson all went on the DL Wednesday.

    — Cleveland Indians are 3-11 in games where GW run scores after the 6th inning.

    — Milwaukee Bucks will hire Mike Budenholzer as its new coach.

    — Sidney Bouvier Gilstrap-Portley, a 25-year-old who graduated from North Mesquite HS in Texas, was recently arrested and booked into Dallas County Jail after police realized he had enrolled at Hillcrest HS in North Dallas as a 17-year-old, so he could play high school basketball.

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: NFC trends for 2018……

    Arizona— Cardinals won four of their last five post-bye games.

    Atlanta— Falcons are 12-2 vs spread in last 14 home openers; under is 10-3 in their last 13 road openers.

    Carolina— Panthers open at home for only 2nd time in last seven years; they’re 0-5 last five times they started season at home. Carolina’s last Week 1 home win was in 2003.

    Chicago— Bears open on road for only 2nd time in last nine years; they’re 2-5 in last seven road openers. Under is 12-2 in their last 14 road openers.

    Dallas— Cowboys played Giants in Week 1 five of last six years; they host Big Blue in Week 2 this year. Dallas covered nine of last 11 road openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.

    Detroit— Lions won five of their last seven home openers; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Detroit started season 1-0 six of last seven years.

    Green Bay— Packers won 10 of their last 11 home openers. Over is 10-2 in their last 12 road openers. Green Bay is 0-5 vs spread in last five pre-bye games.

    LA Rams— Rams won five of their last six home openers; they’re 2-14 in last 16 road openers, 3-15 vs spread in last 18. LA is 8-2-1 vs spread in last 11 post-bye games.

    Minnesota— Vikings won eight of their last nine pre-bye games (9-0 vs spread); they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine post-bye road games. Minnesota won/covered its last three home openers. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 road openers.

    NJ Giants— Giants lost five of their last six home openers (0-6 vs spread); five of those six games stayed under. This will be first time in six years Big Blue opens the season at home; they open against Tom Coughlin’s Jaguars.

    New Orleans— Saints lost their last three home openers, six of last seven road openers- they started last four seasons 0-1. Saints are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine post-bye games.

    Philadelphia— Eagles won eight of their last nine road openers, three of last four home openers. Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home openers. Philly is 7-3 vs spread in its last 10 pre-bye games.

    San Francisco— 49ers won six of last nine home openers (7-2 vs spread), last four of which stayed under. Niners are 0-5-1 SU, 0-6 vs spread in last six post-bye games; they won/covered six of last eight pre-bye games.

    Seattle— Seahawks open on road for 6th time in last eight years; they lost their first road game 10 of last 11 years; they’re 1-12 vs spread in last 13 road openers. Seahawks won last nine home openers (7-2 vs spread). Seattle won its last seven pre-bye games (6-1 vs spread).

    Tampa Bay— Bucs lost four of last five home openers; they didn’t play in Week 1 LY because of a hurricane. Over is 7-3 in their last ten home openers. Tampa Bay is 8-4 vs spread in last dozen post-bye games.

    Washington— Redskins lost five of their last six home openers; they’re 2-6 vs spread last eight times they were favored in a home opener. Redskins are 3-6-1 vs spread in last 10 pre-bye games, 2-7 vs spread in last nine post-bye games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NHL Eastern Conference final Game 4 betting preview and odds: Lightning at Capitals

    Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals (-110, 6)

    Capitals lead series 2-1.

    The Tampa Bay Lightning fought their way back in the series with a vastly improved performance and the reward is a chance to even the Eastern Conference finals Thursday night when they visit the Washington Capitals for Game 4. All-Stars Victor Hedman, Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov combined for seven points as the Lightning recorded a 4-2 victory Tuesday in Washington after dropping the first two games of the series at home.

    “We believed all along,” Stamkos, who has scored a goal in five of the last six games, told reporters. “We knew we weren’t good enough, and credit to them, they played really good hockey the first two games. We needed to make adjustments. We did that. We worked on it. The players went out there and did what we needed to do.” Tampa Bay was much tighter defensively despite allowing 38 shots overall, and scored twice on the power play to improve to 5-for-12 with the man advantage in the series and extend their streak to eight games with at least one. Evgeny Kuznetsov finished with 12 shots on net and a goal for the Capitals in Game 3 while linemate Alex Ovechkin did not have a point despite accumulating nine shots, but coach Barry Trotz told the media his team was “off a little bit” and will be better Thursday. “We believe in each other,” Ovechkin told reporters. “We know exactly what we have to do. Nobody said it was going to be easy. They’re not going to give us two wins in a row in our house. We just have to play more desperate and play smarter.”

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER PINNACLE):



    LINE HISTORY: Game 4 opened as a Pick 'Em and as of Wednesday night that number has not moved. The total hit betting boards at 6 and has been steady at the opening figure.

    CONSENSUS: 59 percent of moneyline wagers are coming in on the home favorite Capitals. The Over is seeing the edge in the total action with 52 percent of the bets.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Andrei Vasilevskiy 44 17 3 2.62 .920 8
    Braden Holtby 34 16 4 2.99 .907 0

    INJURY REPORT:

    Lightning - C Tyler Johnson (Questionable, Arm), LW Adam Erne (Questionable, Lower Body).

    Capitals - C Nicklas Backstrom (Questionable, Hand).

    ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (63-27-3-2, 55-35 O/U): Coach Jon Cooper shuffled his top three forward lines for Game 3, putting Ondrej Palat with Kucherov and Stamkos, flipping J.T. Miller to a unit with Anthony Cirelli and Alex KIllorn while moving Yanni Gourde in with Brayden Point and Tyler Johnson. “We needed to put guys in positions to succeed,” Cooper told reporters. “We probably needed to spring a little life into our group.” Point has four goals in his last five games and four of his 14 playoff points in the past two contests while Hedman owns a franchise-record eight-game point streak after scoring once and assisting on two Tuesday.

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (59-29-8-1, 53-40 O/U): Center Nicklas Backstrom (13 points, 11 playoff games) skated again Wednesday and could possibly return to the lineup Thursday after missing the last four contests with a hand injury. Kuznetsov boasts four goals and seven assists during a six-game point streak and owns 20 points overall - six in the series - while Ovechkin scored twice and set up two others in the first two contests against Tampa Bay. Goalie Braden Holtby owns an .899 save percentage in the series, but has stopped 57 of the 60 shots he has faced at even strength (.950) and leads the league with 10 playoffs wins entering Wednesday.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
    * Capitals are 22-8 in their last 30 overall.
    * Over is 17-6-3 in Lightning's last 26 road games.
    * Over is 4-0-3 in Capitals' last 7 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Over is 20-7-3 in the last 30 meetings.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #1316
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, May 17


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (63-27-0-5, 131 pts.) at WASHINGTON (59-29-0-9, 127 pts.) - 5/17/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 60-38 ATS (+2.5 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 36-22 ATS (+3.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WASHINGTON is 27-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 36-20 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 21-12 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 64-32 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 24-11 ATS (+12.7 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 233-236 ATS (+498.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 8-14 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 8-4 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 8-4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Thursday, May 17


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
    Tampa Bay is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 23 games when playing Washington
    Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Tampa Bay is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Washington is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home
    Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Washington is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 23 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #1317
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    Capitals have home-ice disadvantage for Game 4 vs. Lightning
    May 16, 2018


    WASHINGTON (AP) The good news for Alex Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals is they still lead their Eastern Conference final against the Tampa Bay Lightning. The bad news for the Capitals, counterintuitive as it may be: They host Game 4.

    So far, Washington is 7-1 in away games this postseason, closing out each of its first two series on the road.

    Heading into Thursday night, the Capitals are only 3-4 in their arena. The latest setback was a 4-2 loss to the Lightning on Tuesday, after victories at Tampa Bay by a combined score of 10-4 in the final's opening two games.

    Ovechkin simply shrugged when asked about that discrepancy.

    ''We don't think about it,'' the three-time NHL MVP said. ''We just play our game.''

    Others were less dismissive.

    ''We can take a few things that we've done on the road and put it into our home game,'' goalie Braden Holtby said. ''Just a little simpler. Simpler play. Just a kind of, like, more gritty style.''

    Asked what his club could do to fare better at home, Capitals coach Barry Trotz said: ''Just play the way we do on the road. We're invested there. We're playing with real good focus. I didn't think we were as focused as we have been normally on the road. So just pretend you're on the road. All the buildings are pretty well the same these days.''

    Trotz notices a difference in his players' attitude on home ice, saying: ''It's `us against the world' when were on the road.''

    There is a league-wide trend here: Road teams are 38-34 in these playoffs.

    So much for any supposed home-ice advantage, right?

    ''For whatever reason, at this time of the year there are more distractions than in the regular season, for sure. A lot of people have friends and family coming down and ticket requests. Sometimes there's that little added pressure of playing at home and wanting to obviously do good things in front of your fans,'' Lightning forward Steven Stamkos said. ''There's something to be said, too, (for) winning games on the road, when you can just kind of hear a pin drop in the crowd, sometimes, which is always a good thing.''

    Holtby agreed.

    ''It's easier to play on the road. It's always that way on the road. Any team would say that,'' he said. ''Because you're not focused on the excitement of your fans and all that. They bring you energy in good ways, but at the same time, you need to stay realistic and play your game.''

    During the regular season, Washington was a strong home team, playing in front of loud, red-wearing sellout crowds in every game.

    Only five teams in the 31-club NHL had more victories at home than Washington's 28 - and that total represents seven more wins than the Capitals managed on the road.

    So what is going on in the playoffs?

    ''I don't really have an explanation for it, to be honest with you,'' defenseman Brooks Orpik said. ''I know when we go on the road, I think maybe we feel a bit more relaxed, and when we do make mistakes, maybe we don't let the groaning affect us or whatnot. I mean, that being said, I think we should be probably mentally stronger to not let that affect us. Just got to try to find a way to win the next one at home, for sure.''

    NOTES: Injured Capitals C Nicklas Backstrom, who has missed the last four games with an injured right hand, took part in the team's optional skate Wednesday. But Trotz wouldn't give any hint as to when Backstrom might return. ''When Nicky's ready to go, he's ready to go,'' Trotz said. ''You miss him in every way shape or form.'' ... Washington re-signed D Aaron Ness to a one-year, two-way contract worth $650,000 if he's in the NHL, $425,000 in the minors. Ness had one assist in eight games for the Capitals this season.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  13. #1318
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    THURSDAY, MAY 17
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    TB at WAS 08:00 PM

    TB +100

    O 6.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Lightning top Caps to even East finals
    May 17, 2018


    WASHINGTON (AP) Jon Cooper's Tampa Bay Lightning won Game 4 of the Eastern Conference final despite going the equivalent of more than a period without a shot on goal.

    They won despite falling behind about 4 1/2 minutes into the game.

    They won despite being called for three penalties - one right after the other - late in the first period, allowing Alex Ovechkin and the rest of the Washington Capitals' prolific power play to get all that time to operate.

    And they did it, mainly, thanks to Andrei Vasilevskiy, who made 36 saves and kept things close until Alex Killorn scored the tiebreaker with about 8 minutes left, lifting Tampa Bay to a 4-2 victory over Washington on Thursday night, evening the series at two games apiece.

    ''When you don't have your `A' game, you need your goalie to have his `A' game,'' Cooper said. ''And he sure did.''

    Now the Lightning will host Game 5 on Saturday night, with Game 6 back in Washington on Monday.

    The road team has won every game in the series so far.

    ''It's pretty bizarre,'' said Steven Stamkos, who took a puck of the face during the morning skate, then went out and scored a power-play goal that gave Tampa Bay a 2-1 lead after the first period. ''We've got to find a way to win one at home.''

    The Capitals might be thinking the very same thing. After all, they fell to 3-5 in the nation's capital this postseason, while they are 7-1 in away games.

    On Thursday, they even got booed - yes, a smattering of jeers rang out in the team's first conference final in 20 years - late in the first period after failing to convert any of the trio of man-advantage chances.

    That stretch was part of a chunk of nearly 21 full minutes of game time - the last 10:41 of the first period, followed by the initial 10:11 of the second - during which Tampa Bay never putt a single official shot on net.

    ''Our guys were gassed. That's a lot of stress. Mental stress. The same guys are on the ice the whole time. Other guys aren't playing,'' Cooper said. ''You kind of lose your whole rhythm.''

    And so it was vital that Vasilevskiy played just like the Vezina Trophy finalist he is.

    He was spectacular at times, including stops against Chandler Stephenson on a breakaway and Nicklas Backstrom - who returned after missing four games with an injured right hand - from the doorstep in the second period. In the third, Vasilevskiy used his left glove to swat away a try from Brett Connolly.

    Following one flubbed chance, Ovechkin threw his head back and looked up, the very picture of disappointment.

    After allowing 10 goals in Games 1 and 2, Vasilevskiy has given up a total of four in Games 3 and 4.

    ''He didn't play great in the first two. He played well in the second two. It's our job to make him look like the goalie from the first two games,'' Washington forward Tom Wilson said. ''We'll make it hard on him.''

    Capitals goalie Braden Holtby didn't get a chance to make nearly as many saves, given the shot discrepancy: Washington ended up with 38 to Tampa Bay's 20. And Holtby allowed goals on two of the first five shots he faced, to Brayden Point and to Stamkos. Anthony Cirelli added an empty-netter with a second left.

    The go-ahead goal came thanks to a defensive breakdown, when Killorn was left pretty much alone and scored 6 seconds after a Tampa Bay power play expired, putting in a pass from Ondrej Palat.

    ''Tonight was so important,'' Killorn said. ''Going down 3-1 in a series is tremendously different from 2-2.''

    After his score, Killorn said, ''We played our best hockey.''

    That's true.

    Washington's goals had come from Evgeny Kuznetsov - off an assist by Ovechkin - in the second period, and defenseman Dmitry Orlov in the early going. But late, the Capitals could not get the tying goal in, even after pulling Holtby with a little more than 2 minutes to go so they could play 6-on-5.

    ''Of course,'' Ovechkin said, ''it's a missed opportunity.''

    NOTES: Stamkos has one power-play goal in each game of the series. ... The Lightning have produced 11 power-play goals over their last nine games, with at least one in each. ... Lars Eller was whistled for both of Washington's penalties and has five in the past two games. ''That was way too many,'' Capitals coach Barry Trotz said. ... Kuznetsov's 21 points equaled Ovechkin (2009) for the most by a Capitals player in one postseason.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MAY 18, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:00 PM Winnipeg Jets Vegas Golden Knights T-Mobile Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 19, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    7:15 PM Washington Capitals Tampa Bay Lightning Amalie Arena

    SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 20, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    3:00 PM Vegas Golden Knights Winnipeg Jets


    **********************


    May NHL Record:

    05/17/2018 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00
    05/16/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/15/2018 0-1-1 0.00% -6.00
    05/14/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -12.75
    05/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -4.00
    05/03/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -0.25
    05/02/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -10.50
    05/01/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -12.75

    Totals...............7-13-1........35.00%.....-41.75


    May Best Bets:

    DATE................................ATS........... UNITS..................O/U..........UNITS..............TOTAL

    05/17/2018.....................1 - 0............+5.00.................0 - 0- 1......+0.00,,,,,,,,,,,,+5.00
    05/16/2018.....................1 - 0............+5.00.................0 - 1..........-5.50..............-0.50
    05/15/2018.....................0 - 1.............-6.00..................0 - 0 - 1.....-0.00..............-6.00
    05/14/2018.....................0 - 0.............-0.00..................0 - 1..........-5.50..............-5.50
    05/13/2018.....................0 - 0.............-0.00.................1 - 0...........+5.00............+5.00
    05/03/2018.....................1 - 0............+5.75................0 - 2...........-11.00.............-5.25
    05/02/2018.....................1 - 1............+0.50.................0 - 2..........-11.00.............-10.50
    05/01/2018.....................0 - 1.............-5.00.................1 - 1...........-0.50..............-5.50

    Totals.............................4- 3.............+5.40.............2 - 7 - 2...........-28.00............-23.25
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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