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Thread: The Bum's 2017 NFL Trends/Stats/News/Picks Thru The Super Bowl

  1. #766
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    NFL notebook: Panthers tab Becker to run organization
    December 18, 2017


    The Carolina Panthers announced Monday that long-time executive Tina Becker will serve as Chief Operating Officer of the team in the wake of the scandal involving owner Jerry Richardson.

    Becker will have full control of the day-to-day management of the organization, making her one of the highest-ranking females in the NFL.

    The upheaval in the organization began when allegations of sexual misconduct arose against Richardson, who announced Sunday night that he is putting the team up for sale. That action came two days after the Panthers announced their investigation into Richardson's conduct.

    --Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown isn't letting his calf injury get him down.

    Brown wrote on Twitter that the injury he sustained in the Steelers' 27-24 loss to the New England Patriots was a "minor setback." Multiple media outlets reported that Brown has a partially torn left calf and that the wideout is eyeing a return for the playoffs.

    Brown was taken to a local hospital for X-rays on Sunday after his lower leg collided with New England defensive back Eric Rowe in the end zone with 13:09 remaining in the second quarter. Earlier in the game, Brown caught his 100th pass of the season to become the only player in NFL history with 100 receptions in five consecutive seasons.

    --Carolina Panthers linebacker Thomas Davis was suspended two games by the NFL for his blindside hit that resulted in a concussion for Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams.

    Davis is expected to appeal the suspension, multiple outlets reported.

    The 34-year-old Davis apologized to Adams over social media for the hit following an interception during the third quarter of Sunday's game at Bank of America Stadium.

    The concussion sustained by Adams was his second of the season and third of his NFL career. He was taken off the field on a gurney following a hit from Chicago Bears linebacker Danny Trevathan during a game in Week 4.

    --Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott returned to the team one day after Sunday's 20-17 victory over the Oakland Raiders.

    The goal was to stay in contention until Elliott returned from suspension, and the Cowboys have accomplished that. Elliott returns after sitting out the past six games for violating the NFL's personal conduct policy, stemming from a July 2016 incident in which an ex-girlfriend accused him of domestic violence.

    Before his suspension, Elliott ranked among the league rushing leaders with 783 rushing yards and 210 receiving yards. He found his stride in the four games prior to his suspension, too, averaging 126.5 yards a game while scoring six touchdowns (five rushing, one receiving).

    --Embattled Houston Texans coach Bill O'Brien insisted that he will not quit or resign in his post.

    Houston fell to 4-10 when it was pummeled 45-7 by the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday.

    O'Brien, 48, has one season remaining on his contract and there have been no discussions regarding an extension. Houston is 31-31 during O'Brien's four seasons. O'Brien has a 1-2 coaching mark in the postseason.

    --The Arizona Cardinals haven't scored a touchdown in their last 10 quarters and that helped prompt a change to quarterback Drew Stanton for Sunday's game against the New York Giants.

    Cardinals coach Bruce Arians announced the switch at his press conference Monday. Stanton, who is recovered from a knee injury, will replace Blaine Gabbert as the starter.

    Stanton suffered the injury in Week 10. Gabbert started the past five games, with the Cardinals going 2-3. Arizona was eliminated from playoff contention with Sunday's loss to the Washington Redskins.

    Regular starter Carson Palmer suffered a broken left arm on Oct. 22. His return this season hasn't been ruled out but appears more unlikely with the Cardinals now out of the playoff hunt.

    --Oakland Raiders standout left tackle Donald Penn will undergo season-ending foot surgery after being injured in Sunday's game against the Dallas Cowboys.

    Penn's injury to his right foot will snap his streak of 170 consecutive regular-season starts dating back to his rookie season of 2007. Penn, a two-time Pro Bowler, will reportedly undergo surgery on Thursday.

    Penn exited after just six snaps in the 20-17 loss to the Cowboys. The 34-year-old Penn signed a two-year, $18.7 million deal with the Raiders prior to the season after a training camp holdout.

    --Buffalo Bills wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin said that he will be undergoing surgery as soon as the season ends to repair the torn meniscus in his right knee.

    Benjamin suffered the injury on Nov. 19 against the Chargers, sat out the next two games, and has now played in two straight. In those two games, he has only five catches for 58 yards and a touchdown, and against Miami it was clear that he was limited because he had tweaked the knee the week before in the snow game against Indianapolis.

    --The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are without three defensive starters for Monday night's home game against the Atlanta Falcons.

    Bucs defensive tackle Gerald McCoy (biceps), linebacker Lavonte David (hamstring) and cornerback Vernon Hargreaves (hamstring) were on Tampa Bay's inactive list. Hargreaves will miss his fifth consecutive game. Meanwhile, running back Doug Martin (team-high 402 rushing yards) was inactive and safety T.J. Ward was fully cleared from a concussion that sidelined him for the past two games.

    The Falcons are without running back Tevin Coleman (concussion) and guard Andy Levitre (triceps). Running back Devonta Freeman, who missed the first meeting against the Bucs with a concussion, will be available to play.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NFL notebook: Panthers tab Becker to run organization
    December 18, 2017


    The Carolina Panthers announced Monday that long-time executive Tina Becker will serve as Chief Operating Officer of the team in the wake of the scandal involving owner Jerry Richardson.

    Becker will have full control of the day-to-day management of the organization, making her one of the highest-ranking females in the NFL.

    The upheaval in the organization began when allegations of sexual misconduct arose against Richardson, who announced Sunday night that he is putting the team up for sale. That action came two days after the Panthers announced their investigation into Richardson's conduct.

    --Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown isn't letting his calf injury get him down.

    Brown wrote on Twitter that the injury he sustained in the Steelers' 27-24 loss to the New England Patriots was a "minor setback." Multiple media outlets reported that Brown has a partially torn left calf and that the wideout is eyeing a return for the playoffs.

    Brown was taken to a local hospital for X-rays on Sunday after his lower leg collided with New England defensive back Eric Rowe in the end zone with 13:09 remaining in the second quarter. Earlier in the game, Brown caught his 100th pass of the season to become the only player in NFL history with 100 receptions in five consecutive seasons.

    --Carolina Panthers linebacker Thomas Davis was suspended two games by the NFL for his blindside hit that resulted in a concussion for Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams.

    Davis is expected to appeal the suspension, multiple outlets reported.

    The 34-year-old Davis apologized to Adams over social media for the hit following an interception during the third quarter of Sunday's game at Bank of America Stadium.

    The concussion sustained by Adams was his second of the season and third of his NFL career. He was taken off the field on a gurney following a hit from Chicago Bears linebacker Danny Trevathan during a game in Week 4.

    --Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott returned to the team one day after Sunday's 20-17 victory over the Oakland Raiders.

    The goal was to stay in contention until Elliott returned from suspension, and the Cowboys have accomplished that. Elliott returns after sitting out the past six games for violating the NFL's personal conduct policy, stemming from a July 2016 incident in which an ex-girlfriend accused him of domestic violence.

    Before his suspension, Elliott ranked among the league rushing leaders with 783 rushing yards and 210 receiving yards. He found his stride in the four games prior to his suspension, too, averaging 126.5 yards a game while scoring six touchdowns (five rushing, one receiving).

    --Embattled Houston Texans coach Bill O'Brien insisted that he will not quit or resign in his post.

    Houston fell to 4-10 when it was pummeled 45-7 by the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday.

    O'Brien, 48, has one season remaining on his contract and there have been no discussions regarding an extension. Houston is 31-31 during O'Brien's four seasons. O'Brien has a 1-2 coaching mark in the postseason.

    --The Arizona Cardinals haven't scored a touchdown in their last 10 quarters and that helped prompt a change to quarterback Drew Stanton for Sunday's game against the New York Giants.

    Cardinals coach Bruce Arians announced the switch at his press conference Monday. Stanton, who is recovered from a knee injury, will replace Blaine Gabbert as the starter.

    Stanton suffered the injury in Week 10. Gabbert started the past five games, with the Cardinals going 2-3. Arizona was eliminated from playoff contention with Sunday's loss to the Washington Redskins.

    Regular starter Carson Palmer suffered a broken left arm on Oct. 22. His return this season hasn't been ruled out but appears more unlikely with the Cardinals now out of the playoff hunt.

    --Oakland Raiders standout left tackle Donald Penn will undergo season-ending foot surgery after being injured in Sunday's game against the Dallas Cowboys.

    Penn's injury to his right foot will snap his streak of 170 consecutive regular-season starts dating back to his rookie season of 2007. Penn, a two-time Pro Bowler, will reportedly undergo surgery on Thursday.

    Penn exited after just six snaps in the 20-17 loss to the Cowboys. The 34-year-old Penn signed a two-year, $18.7 million deal with the Raiders prior to the season after a training camp holdout.

    --Buffalo Bills wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin said that he will be undergoing surgery as soon as the season ends to repair the torn meniscus in his right knee.

    Benjamin suffered the injury on Nov. 19 against the Chargers, sat out the next two games, and has now played in two straight. In those two games, he has only five catches for 58 yards and a touchdown, and against Miami it was clear that he was limited because he had tweaked the knee the week before in the snow game against Indianapolis.

    --The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are without three defensive starters for Monday night's home game against the Atlanta Falcons.

    Bucs defensive tackle Gerald McCoy (biceps), linebacker Lavonte David (hamstring) and cornerback Vernon Hargreaves (hamstring) were on Tampa Bay's inactive list. Hargreaves will miss his fifth consecutive game. Meanwhile, running back Doug Martin (team-high 402 rushing yards) was inactive and safety T.J. Ward was fully cleared from a concussion that sidelined him for the past two games.

    The Falcons are without running back Tevin Coleman (concussion) and guard Andy Levitre (triceps). Running back Devonta Freeman, who missed the first meeting against the Bucs with a concussion, will be available to play.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #768
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    december nfl best bets & opinions ( based on 5 units )

    date w-l-t % units record

    12/18/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    12/17/2017 12-9-2 57.14% +10.50
    12/16/2017 NO PLAYS
    12/14/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    12/11/2017 NO PLAYS
    12/10/2017 16-11-0 59.25% +19.50
    12/07/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    12/04/2017 0-1-1 0.00% -5.50
    12/03/2017 11-17-0 39.29% -38.50

    Totals..........41 - 42........49.39%............-26.00

    best bets:......................ats.................... ..units.........................o/u....................units

    12/18/2017..................1 - 0.....................+ 5.00..........................1 - 0.................+5.00
    12/17/2017................4 - 3 - 1..................+8.50.........................5 - 4 - 1..............+3.00
    12/16/2017................................N O P L A Y S................................................. ....
    12/14/2017..................0 - 1.....................-5.50.............................0 - 1................-5.50
    12/11/2017................................N O P L A Y S................................................. ......
    12/10/2017..................6 - 3....................+13.50....................... ...5 - 3.................+8.50
    12/07/2017..................0 - 1.....................-5.50............................0 - 1.................-5.50
    12/03/2017..................0 - 1.....................-5.50............................0 - 0..................push
    12/03/2017..................5 - 5.....................-2.50............................5 - 5..................-2.50

    Totals..........................16 - 14..................+8.00......................... . 16 - 14...............+3.00
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #769
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    Report: Patriots ban Brady's trainer from plane, sideline
    December 20, 2017


    The New England Patriots have stripped Tom Brady's trainer of several team privileges, adding to the speculation of a rift between the trainer and coach Bill Belichick, according to a report in The Boston Globe.

    The trainer, Alex Guerrero, reportedly is a close friend of Brady as well as his business partner. Guerrero helped the decorated quarterback launch the TB12 Center, where Brady and several other Patriots players have trained and received treatment since it opened in 2013.

    Per the Boston Globe, Guerrero reportedly is banned from boarding Patriots charters to road games, had his sideline access revoked, and is not permitted to treat players other than Brady in his office at Gillette Stadium. Several players who have worked with Guerrero since 2013 will continue to be allowed to receive treatment from him at the nearby TB12 Center.

    Belichick reportedly was the primary person behind the change, although the coach declined to address the situation during his weekly interview on the WEEI local radio station. The Boston Globe, however, cited that Belichick indicated to the Patriots' medical and training staff that his "hands were tied" in relation to Guerrero's alternative treatment approach because of Brady's status on the team.

    While Belichick declined to speak on the topic, Brady shed some light during his stint on the radio station.

    "I don't have any comment on that other than to say Alex, it's been well-documented, has been a huge part of what I do, and I'm so fortunate to have him not only as a friend, but with everything that we've been able to do together," Brady told WEEI.

    Brady added that Guerrero "has been a huge, huge reason" why he's still playing at age 40.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #770
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    NFL notebook: Season ends for Packers QB Rodgers
    December 19, 2017


    Aaron Rodgers' triumphant return from a broken right collarbone lasted all of one week.

    On Tuesday, the Green Bay Packers placed their star quarterback on injured reserve, officially ending his season after he returned from an eight-week absence to start Sunday's loss against the Carolina Panthers.

    Rodgers completed 26 of 45 passes for 290 yards and had three touchdowns and three interceptions while being hit seven times in his return in Carolina.

    A two-time NFL MVP and six-time Pro Bowler, the 34-year-old Rodgers passed for 1,675 yards, 16 touchdowns and six interceptions over seven games this season, his 13th in the NFL.

    --Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown has a "significant lower leg contusion" and been ruled out of the team's road game against the Houston Texans on Christmas Day, coach Mike Tomlin announced.

    While Tomlin did not address Brown's status for beyond Week 16, multiple reports have the star wide receiver expected to return for the postseason.

    --Los Angeles Chargers
    tight end Hunter Henry was placed on season-ending injured reserve due to a lacerated kidney.

    Henry suffered the injury during the fourth quarter of last Saturday's 30-13 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs.

    The 23-year-old Henry caught 45 passes for 579 yards and four touchdowns this season. He has 12 touchdown receptions in 29 NFL games.

    --Detroit Lions wide receiver T.J. Jones has been placed on injured reserve with an ailing shoulder.

    Jones, who sustained his injury during Saturday's game versus the Chicago Bears, reeled in 30 receptions for 399 yards and one touchdown this season.

    --The New Orleans Saints placed linebacker A.J. Klein on injured reserve due to a groin injury.

    Klein, who is in his first season with the Saints, missed last Sunday's game against the New York Jets after being injured against the Atlanta Falcons on Dec. 7.

    Klein, 26, had 54 tackles, two sacks and one forced fumbles in 12 games. The tackle output is one shy of his career high set in 2015 when he was a member of the Carolina Panthers.

    --Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    linebacker Adarius Glanton underwent surgery to repair the broken leg he sustained in Monday's game, ESPN reported.

    Glanton broke his left leg after colliding with teammate Robert Ayers while trying to sack Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan during the Falcons' 24-21 victory. His leg bent awkwardly as he fell to the turf and it was immediately clear that the injury was serious.

    The 27-year-old Glanton had 31 tackles, one sack and one forced fumble in 14 games this season.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #771
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    published 12/19

    NFL opening line report: Playoff chases front and center in Week 16
    Patrick Everson

    “Dallas will be a short favorite in this one when we open. Both teams are trying to hang around for a playoff spot, but neither are impressing too greatly.”

    Week 16 of the NFL regular season has some key games on tap, but because of how Week 15 is playing out, many sportsbooks aren’t yet posting lines on those matchups. However, thanks to Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu, Everson still gets you a little insight on a quartet of contests with playoff implications.

    Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (no line)

    New Orleans lost its first two games of the season, but has only lost twice since then to stand tied with Carolina atop the NFC South. The Saints (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) were massive 16.5-point home favorites against the New York Jets on Sunday and were never covering that number, but got a 31-19 victory.

    Defending NFC champion Atlanta still has Week 15 work to do before Bookmaker.eu can set the line on Falcons-Saints. Atlanta (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS), which travels to Tampa Bay for the Monday nighter, just hosted the Saints a week ago, notching a 20-17 home win as a 2.5-point chalk.

    “If there are no major injuries Monday evening, and the Falcons win, we’ll look to make the Saints around 4-point chalk for this big divisional matchup,” Cooley said. “The public will continue to play New Orleans, and we know every Joe Bettor and his dog will be on the over.”

    Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans (+7)

    Los Angeles is looking very much like the real postseason deal heading into the final two weeks of the regular season. The Rams (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS) steamrolled Seattle 42-7 as a 1-point road fave in Week 15 and now have complete control of the NFC West.

    Tennessee would be in the playoffs if the season ended today, but needs better results than it got in Week 15 to stay in that position. The Titans (8-6 SU, 6-7-1 ATS) lost to San Francisco 25-23 on a last-second field goal, though they cashed as a 2.5-point road pup.

    “Marcus Mariota just isn’t playing at the same level he was before the injury earlier this season,” Cooley said. “He’s gutting it out weekly, but he’s a shell of his former shelf, which has caused a drastic downgrade for Tennessee in our ratings. Early action has come on the Titans, dropping the spread a half-point.”

    That move put the line at Rams -6.5.

    Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (no line)

    Green Bay got Aaron Rodgers back for Week 15, and while he led a valiant late rally at Carolina, he also threw three interceptions. That doomed the Packers (7-7 SU and ATS) to a 31-24 loss catching 3 points on the road, and likely ended their playoff hopes.

    Meanwhile, Minnesota had no problem dispatching Cincinnati on Sunday. The Vikings (11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS) led 24-0 at halftime and cruised to 34-7 home win laying 12.5 points.

    This is another line that Bookmaker.eu has put on hold.

    “We really have to wait and see what the Packers decide to do with Rodgers,” Cooley said, pointing to the fact that if Atlanta beats Tampa on Monday night, Green Bay is eliminated from playoff contention. “The Packers might be home underdogs to this great Vikings squad either way, but are certainly a healthy ‘dog if Brett Hundley is back under center. If the Falcons win Monday, we don’t expect to see Rodgers the rest of the year.”

    This NFC North clash is in prime time on Saturday, with an 8:30 p.m. ET kickoff.

    Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (no line)

    Dallas is clinging to postseason life, but might get a little defibrillation this week, with star running back Ezekiel Elliott returning from his six-game suspension. The Cowboys (8-6 SU and ATS) went off as a 3-point chalk at Oakland on Sunday night and pushed with a 20-17 victory, sealed when Raiders QB Derek Carr fumbled inside the 2-yard line in the final minute.

    Seattle is also on the outside looking in for the moment, thanks to that aforementioned beatdown suffered at the hands of the Rams. The Seahawks (8-6 SU, 5-8-1 ATS) could still reach the playoffs, but may need some help getting there after that dismal 42-7 loss to L.A. as a 1-point home ‘dog.

    With the Cowboys playing Sunday night, Bookmaker.eu will wait to post this number until Monday.

    “Dallas will be a short favorite in this one when we open. Both teams are trying to hang around for a playoff spot, but neither are impressing too greatly,” Cooley said. “The Seahawks were badly exposed Sunday, but we will certainly expect their best effort here. We’ll need some sharp action on the underdog to offset the square money that will come on the Cowboys.”
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #772
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    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 16


    Saturday, December 23

    Indianapolis @ Baltimore

    Game 103-104
    December 23, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indianapolis
    123.218
    Baltimore
    139.659
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baltimore
    by 16 1/2
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baltimore
    by 13 1/2
    41 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Baltimore
    (-13 1/2); Under

    Minnesota @ Green Bay


    Game 103-104
    December 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    140.012
    Green Bay
    128.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 12
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 9
    40
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-9); Over



    Sunday, December 24

    Detroit @ Cincinnati

    Game 105-106
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    133.405
    Cincinnati
    130.337
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 3
    38
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 5 1/2
    43 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+5 1/2); Under

    LA Chargers @ NY Jets


    Game 107-108
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Chargers
    132.675
    NY Jets
    129.128
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 3 1/2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 7
    42
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Jets
    (+7); Over

    LA Rams @ Tennessee


    Game 109-110
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Rams
    137.422
    Tennessee
    134.612
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Rams
    by 3
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Rams
    by 7
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tennessee
    (+7); Over

    Cleveland @ Chicago


    Game 111-112
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    124.002
    Chicago
    128.182
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 4
    34
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    by 7
    39
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+7); Under

    Tampa Bay @ Carolina


    Game 113-114
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    124.154
    Carolina
    141.229
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Carolina
    by 17
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    by 10
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Carolina
    (-10); Under

    Atlanta @ New Orleans


    Game 115-116
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    129.873
    New Orleans
    139.484
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 9 1/2
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 5 1/2
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Denver @ Washington


    Game 117-118
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    126.523
    Washington
    133.498
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 7
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 3 1/2
    42
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Miami @ Kansas City


    Game 119-120
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    124.852
    Kansas City
    137.912
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 13
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    by 10
    43 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (-10); Over

    Buffalo @ New England


    Game 121-122
    December 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    129.874
    New England
    138.256
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 8 1/2
    45
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 13
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+13); Under

    Jacksonville @ San Francisco


    Game 123-124
    December 24, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Jacksonville
    131.458
    San Francisco
    130.022
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 1 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 5 1/2
    42
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Francisco
    (+5 1/2); Over

    NY Giants @ Arizona


    Game 125-126
    December 24, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Giants
    128.515
    Arizona
    129.422
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 1
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arizona
    by 4 1/2
    39 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Giants
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Seattle @ Dallas


    Game 127-128
    December 24, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    130.563
    Dallas
    133.109
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 2 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 5
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (+5); Under



    Monday, December 25

    Pittsburgh @ Houston

    Game 129-130
    December 25, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    137.017
    Houston
    125.122
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 12
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 8 1/2
    44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-8 1/2); Under


    Oakland @ Philadelphia

    Game 131-132
    December 25, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    124.338
    Philadelphia
    138.521
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 14
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 9
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-9); Over
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #773
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    SIN CITY
    Posts
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    Default

    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 16


    Saturday, December 23

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 11) at BALTIMORE (8 - 6) - 12/23/2017, 4:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (11 - 3) at GREEN BAY (7 - 7) - 12/23/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GREEN BAY is 187-132 ATS (+41.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 67-39 ATS (+24.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    MINNESOTA is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Sunday, December 24

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (8 - 6) at CINCINNATI (5 - 9) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    DETROIT is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
    DETROIT is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
    DETROIT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CHARGERS (7 - 7) at NY JETS (5 - 9) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY JETS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
    LA CHARGERS is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA RAMS (10 - 4) at TENNESSEE (8 - 6) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA RAMS is 184-229 ATS (-67.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 184-229 ATS (-67.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 143-181 ATS (-56.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 62-94 ATS (-41.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 68-97 ATS (-38.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (0 - 14) at CHICAGO (4 - 10) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
    CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (4 - 10) at CAROLINA (10 - 4) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
    CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 83-49 ATS (+29.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 56-28 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (9 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 4) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (5 - 9) at WASHINGTON (6 - 8) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
    DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 61-94 ATS (-42.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (6 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (8 - 6) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 42-17 ATS (+23.3 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
    KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (8 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (11 - 3) - 12/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    JACKSONVILLE (10 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 10) - 12/24/2017, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    JACKSONVILLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
    JACKSONVILLE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY GIANTS (2 - 12) at ARIZONA (6 - 8) - 12/24/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY GIANTS are 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
    ARIZONA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (8 - 6) at DALLAS (8 - 6) - 12/24/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 67-39 ATS (+24.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
    DALLAS is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday, December 25

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (11 - 3) at HOUSTON (4 - 10) - 12/25/2017, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 104-75 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OAKLAND (6 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (12 - 2) - 12/25/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OAKLAND is 33-60 ATS (-33.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 32-57 ATS (-30.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #774
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    SIN CITY
    Posts
    79,718
    Credits
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    Default

    NFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 16


    Saturday's games
    Colts (3-11) @ Ravens (8-6)— Baltimore won six of its last seven games, is tied in Wild Card race; in their last five games, Ravens won field position by 17-13-14-5-17 yards. Baltimore is 3-1-1 as home favorites, with wins by 14-40-7-24 points. Indianapolis lost its last five games, is 0-4 vs spread since its bye; Colts scored 12.6 ppg in last five games- they’re 2-5 as road underdogs. Colts called Baltimore home thru 1983; they’re 4-4 vs Ravens here, losing 24-10/24-9 in last two, last of which was 2012 playoff game. AFC North home favorites are 5-6-1 vs spread outside the division; AFC South road underdogs are 4-5-1. NFL-wide this season, double digit favorites are 11-13 vs spread. Over is 8-2 in Ravens’ last 10 games, 0-6 in Colts’ last six games.

    Vikings (11-3) @ Packers (7-7)— Packers lost 23-10 (-3) in Minnesota in Week 6, the game when Aaron Rodgers got hurt; Vikings won three of last four series games, but are 1-6-1 in last eight visits to Lambeau. Minnesota needs another win to clinch first-round bye in playoffs; they’re 4-2 in true road games, 2-2 as road favorites- the losses were in Pittsburgh/Charlotte. Green Bay is 3-6 in its last nine games, 1-3 in last four home games; favorites are 6-1 vs spread in their home games this season. Home teams are 4-4-1 in NFC North divisional games this year. Over is 3-1 in Vikings’ last four road games; 6-1 in Packers’ last seven games. Night game in Lambeau on Dec 23; weather will likely be a factor. Packers are 4-3 vs spread when Hundley starts this year.

    Sunday's games
    Lions (8-6) @ Bengals (5-9)— Detroit needs two wins and two Falcon losses to make playoffs. Lions won five of last seven games, are 5-2 on road, 2-0-1 as road faves, winning by 14-7-13-3-3 points- they were -5 in turnovers in their two road losses, at Saints/Ravens. Cincy lost last three games, outscored 67-14 last two weeks; looks like Marvin Lewis is a lame-duck coach. Bengals are 3-4 at home this season, 1-0 as a home underdog. Bengals won last five series games, four of which were in Detroit; Lions’ last series win was in 1992. AFC North home underdogs are 1-3 vs spread outside the division; NFC North favorites are 10-4, 3-1 on road. Over is 7-3 in Lions’ last ten games, 3-0-1 in Bengals’ last four home games. In their last nine games, Bengals have run 19.6 fewer plays per game than their opponent.

    Chargers (7-7) @ Jets (5-9)— Chargers are still alive for playoffs, but they need two wins and help; Bolts won four of last five games, are 3-4 on road, 1-1 as road favorites- they beat Giants 27-22 on this field in Week 6. Jets lost seven of last nine games; they’re 4-3 at home, 5-2 as home underdogs, with home losses by 7-5-8 points. Petty is now 1-4 as an NFL starter, scoring 12.8 pts/game. Jets converted 8-28 on 3rd down in last two gamesChargers won four of last six series games, three of last four played here. AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 3-5-1 vs spread; AFC East home underdogs are 4-3-1. Eight of last nine Charger games stayed under total; over is 3-1 in Jets’ last four games. Chargers are 2-7 if they allow 19+ points, 5-0 when they allow less than 19. Jets scored 19+ in six of their last eight games.

    Rams (10-4) @ Titans (8-6)— Tennessee is in 3-way tie for AFC West Cards; they won last five home games, are 0-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, all on road. Six of their last eight games were decided by 5 or less points. Titans have only two takeaways (-8) in their last five games. Rams won seven of last nine games, can clinch NFC West with a win here; LA is 6-1 in true road games, 2-1 as road favorites- they scored nine TD’s on 25 drives in last two games, but are just 17 of last 59 on 3rd down in their last five games. Rams are 7-5 in this series, beating Titans 23-16 in Super Bowl XXXIV; they’re 1-2 vs Titans since then, are 0-2 in Nashville. Last three Ram games went over the total; under is 3-1 in last four Tennessee tilts.

    Browns (0-14) @ Bears (4-10)— Cleveland is 1-29 the last two years; they could win a game and still get the #1 pick in April’s draft. Browns are 3-11 vs spread this year, 1-4 as road underdogs, with road losses by 14-3-16-14-14-9 points. Cleveland is -12 in turnovers the last five games, turning ball over 13 times. That said, you want to lay a TD with the Bears? Chicago lost six of last seven games; they’re 0-2 as favorites this year, 2-5 at home, beating Steelers by 6 in OT, Carolina by 14, when defense scored both TD’s. Chicago is 3-1 against the Browns, winning 27-21/30-6 in two games played here. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 6-5-1 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 7-3. Four of Browns’ last five road games went over total.

    Buccaneers (4-9) @ Panthers (10-4)— Carolina won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-2 at home, 3-3 as home favorites; they’re +8 in turnovers the last five games. Short week for Bucs after Monday night’s loss to Atlanta. Tampa Bay lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 1-6 on road, 1-3-1 as road underdogs, with losses by 17-5-3-20-14-6 points. This series has been swept the last eight years; Carolina (+1.5) won first meeting 17-3 in Tampa in Week 8, they were 8-17 on 3rd down, had 3 takeaways (+2). Bucs lost three of their last four visits here, losing by 21-2-28 points. Home teams are 6-2 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Six of Bucs’ seven road games went over the total, as did the last five Carolina games.

    Falcons (9-5) @ Saints (10-4)— Falcons (-2.5) beat Saints 20-17 at home two weeks ago, despite going -2 in turnovers; they’re 5-2 in last seven games vs New Orleans, winning 2 of last 3 games in Superdome. Series has been swept the last four years. Atlanta has short week after Monday’s win; they won five of last six games, are 4-2 on road, 1-2 as road underdogs. 10 of their 14 games were decided by 7 or less points. Saints won their last six home games, are 3-3 as home faves; they scored 30+ points in five of last seven games. NO won field position battle in 10 of their last 12 games. Home teams are 6-2 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Nine of last 12 Atlanta games stayed under total; four of last six Saint games went over.

    Broncos (5-9) @ Redskins (6-8)— Denver won its last two games after an 0-8 skid; Broncos are 1-6 on road, 0-3 as road dogs, with road losses by 10-21-10-28-7-26 points- they’re minus-15 in turnovers. Denver allowed one TD on 19 drives in their last two games. Washington lost six of last nine games; they’re 4-3 at home, 2-1 as home favorites. Redskins lost field position battle in nine of last ten games. Washington is 3 of its last 21 on 3rd down; they gained total of 419 yards in their last two games. Denver won four of last six series games; they’re 2-3 in five visits here. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 6-5 vs spread; AFC West road underdogs are 4-4. Four of last five Denver games stayed under total, as did three of last four Redskin games.

    Dolphins (6-8) @ Chiefs (8-6)— Chiefs lead AFC West by a game; they won last two games after a 1-6 skid. KC scored nine TD’s on 29 drives in their last three games, since OC Nagy took over play-calling duties. Chiefs are 5-2 at home, 4-2 as home favorites- they’re +6 in turnovers in last two games. Dolphins lost five of last seven games; they’re 2-5 in true road games, losing last four by combined score of 144-54. In their last three games, Fish are 6-40 on 3rd down. Miami won three of last four series games, winning 38-31/31-3 in last two visits here. AFC West non-divisional home favorites are 5-9 vs spread; AFC East road underdogs are 7-5. Five of last six KC games stayed under the total; over is 7-0-1 in Miami’s last eight games.

    Bills (8-6) @ Patriots (11-3)— Patriots won 23-3 (-9) in Buffalo three weeks ago, outgaining Bills 435-268; they’re 30-4 in last 34 series games, but Buffalo won two of last three visits here. Bills are in 3-way tie for the two AFC Wild Cards; they’re 2-4 on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 6-4-13-30 points, with wins in Atlanta/KC. Patriots can clinch #1 seed in AFC with win here; they won last three home games by average score of 26-12. NE covered seven of its last eight games; they’re +8 in turnovers in its last six games. Home teams are 7-1-1 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season. Three of last four Buffalo games stayed under total; under is 3-1-1 in last five New England games. Patriots had 3 or fewer penalties in four of their last six games.

    Jaguars (10-4) @ 49ers (4-10)— Jaguars clinch division and home game in playoffs with a win here; they’ve won seven of last eight games, covering last three. Jags are 4-2 on road, 2-2 as road favorites; they’re +8 in turnovers in last five games. 49ers are 4-1 since an 0-9 start; Garoppolo is first QB since Roethlisberger to win his first five NFL starts. In their last three games, 49ers scored three TD’s, tried 15 FG’s; they need to improve in red zone. Teams split four meetings; Jaguars lost 20-3 here in ’09, then again in London four years ago. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 5-3 vs spread; AFC South road underdogs are 4-5-1. Three of Jaguars’ last four games went over the total; under is 5-2 in 49ers’ last seven games.

    Giants (2-12) @ Cardinals (6-8)— Arizona didn’t score a TD on 24 drives in its last two games, they switch to Stanton (9-6 as NFL starter) at QB here. Cardinals lost four of last six games, are 4-3 at home despite being underdog in six of seven games. Giants had ball in red zone to beat Eagles LW, were tied in 4th quarter with Dallas week before, so they’re still competing. Big Blue is 1-6 on road, 4-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Teams split their last eight meetings; Giants won 37-29/31-27 in last two visits here, with last one in 2011. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 5-3 vs spread; NFC East road underdogs are 9-4. Four of last five Giant games stayed under total; under is 9-4 in Arizona’s last thirteen games.

    Seahawks (8-6) @ Cowboys (8-6)— Elimination game in NFC playoff chase; Cowboys get Elliott back from suspension here. Dallas won its last three games, allowing 13.7 ppg; they’re 3-4 at home, 2-2 as home favorites. Cowboys ran ball for 143.3 ypg the last three weeks. Seahawks got crushed 42-7 at home LW; they’re 3-4 in last seven games, 4-3 on road, 1-3 as road underdogs- they didn’t score a first half point in last two games. Dallas won four of last six series games; Seattle won last meeting 13-12 here two years ago. Seahawks are 3-6 overall in Dallas. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 6-5 vs spread; NFC West road underdogs are 5-9. Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under total; under is 5-2 in Seattle road games.

    Monday's games
    Steelers (11-3) @ Texans (4-10)— Pittsburgh is without Shazier/Brown now, key playmaker on both sides of ball. Steelers need to keep winning to get #2 seed and first-round bye- they’re 9-1 in last ten games, 2-4 vs spread as road favorites. Houston lost four in row, 7 of last 8 games; they’re 3-4 at home, 1-1 as home underdogs. Texans lost 45-7 in Jacksonville LW and looked disinterested; in their last five games, they’ve lost field position by 13-13-14-4-13 points, and are down to #2 QB Yates. Steelers are 3-2 vs Texans, splitting pair of games played here, last of which was in 2011. AFC North non-divisional road favorites are 2-3 vs spread; AFC South home underdogs are 3-2. Over is 8-4 in last 12 Houston games, 3-1-1 in Steelers’ last five games.

    Raiders (6-8) @ Eagles (12-2)— Eagles clinched a first round bye, need win for #1 seed in NFC. Philly is 11-1 in its last 12 games; they’re 5-1 as home favorites this year, with five wins by 10+ points. Eagles scored 31+ points in seven of last eight games. Oakland lost last two games, needs couple wins and lot of help to make playoffs- they were outscored 26-0 in first half the last two weeks. Raiders are 2-4 in true road games, 1-3 as road underdogs, with losses by 17-6-20-11 points. Teams split 12 meetings; Raiders are 2-4 in six visits here- they beat Philly in SB XV. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 6-5 vs spread; AFC West road underdogs are 4-4. Last five Oakland games stayed under the total; over is 7-5 in last dozen Eagle games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #775
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    NFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 16


    Saturday's games
    Colts (3-11) @ Ravens (8-6)— Baltimore won six of its last seven games, is tied in Wild Card race; in their last five games, Ravens won field position by 17-13-14-5-17 yards. Baltimore is 3-1-1 as home favorites, with wins by 14-40-7-24 points. Indianapolis lost its last five games, is 0-4 vs spread since its bye; Colts scored 12.6 ppg in last five games- they’re 2-5 as road underdogs. Colts called Baltimore home thru 1983; they’re 4-4 vs Ravens here, losing 24-10/24-9 in last two, last of which was 2012 playoff game. AFC North home favorites are 5-6-1 vs spread outside the division; AFC South road underdogs are 4-5-1. NFL-wide this season, double digit favorites are 11-13 vs spread. Over is 8-2 in Ravens’ last 10 games, 0-6 in Colts’ last six games.

    Vikings (11-3) @ Packers (7-7)— Packers lost 23-10 (-3) in Minnesota in Week 6, the game when Aaron Rodgers got hurt; Vikings won three of last four series games, but are 1-6-1 in last eight visits to Lambeau. Minnesota needs another win to clinch first-round bye in playoffs; they’re 4-2 in true road games, 2-2 as road favorites- the losses were in Pittsburgh/Charlotte. Green Bay is 3-6 in its last nine games, 1-3 in last four home games; favorites are 6-1 vs spread in their home games this season. Home teams are 4-4-1 in NFC North divisional games this year. Over is 3-1 in Vikings’ last four road games; 6-1 in Packers’ last seven games. Night game in Lambeau on Dec 23; weather will likely be a factor. Packers are 4-3 vs spread when Hundley starts this year.

    Sunday's games
    Lions (8-6) @ Bengals (5-9)— Detroit needs two wins and two Falcon losses to make playoffs. Lions won five of last seven games, are 5-2 on road, 2-0-1 as road faves, winning by 14-7-13-3-3 points- they were -5 in turnovers in their two road losses, at Saints/Ravens. Cincy lost last three games, outscored 67-14 last two weeks; looks like Marvin Lewis is a lame-duck coach. Bengals are 3-4 at home this season, 1-0 as a home underdog. Bengals won last five series games, four of which were in Detroit; Lions’ last series win was in 1992. AFC North home underdogs are 1-3 vs spread outside the division; NFC North favorites are 10-4, 3-1 on road. Over is 7-3 in Lions’ last ten games, 3-0-1 in Bengals’ last four home games. In their last nine games, Bengals have run 19.6 fewer plays per game than their opponent.

    Chargers (7-7) @ Jets (5-9)— Chargers are still alive for playoffs, but they need two wins and help; Bolts won four of last five games, are 3-4 on road, 1-1 as road favorites- they beat Giants 27-22 on this field in Week 6. Jets lost seven of last nine games; they’re 4-3 at home, 5-2 as home underdogs, with home losses by 7-5-8 points. Petty is now 1-4 as an NFL starter, scoring 12.8 pts/game. Jets converted 8-28 on 3rd down in last two gamesChargers won four of last six series games, three of last four played here. AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 3-5-1 vs spread; AFC East home underdogs are 4-3-1. Eight of last nine Charger games stayed under total; over is 3-1 in Jets’ last four games. Chargers are 2-7 if they allow 19+ points, 5-0 when they allow less than 19. Jets scored 19+ in six of their last eight games.

    Rams (10-4) @ Titans (8-6)— Tennessee is in 3-way tie for AFC West Cards; they won last five home games, are 0-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, all on road. Six of their last eight games were decided by 5 or less points. Titans have only two takeaways (-8) in their last five games. Rams won seven of last nine games, can clinch NFC West with a win here; LA is 6-1 in true road games, 2-1 as road favorites- they scored nine TD’s on 25 drives in last two games, but are just 17 of last 59 on 3rd down in their last five games. Rams are 7-5 in this series, beating Titans 23-16 in Super Bowl XXXIV; they’re 1-2 vs Titans since then, are 0-2 in Nashville. Last three Ram games went over the total; under is 3-1 in last four Tennessee tilts.

    Browns (0-14) @ Bears (4-10)— Cleveland is 1-29 the last two years; they could win a game and still get the #1 pick in April’s draft. Browns are 3-11 vs spread this year, 1-4 as road underdogs, with road losses by 14-3-16-14-14-9 points. Cleveland is -12 in turnovers the last five games, turning ball over 13 times. That said, you want to lay a TD with the Bears? Chicago lost six of last seven games; they’re 0-2 as favorites this year, 2-5 at home, beating Steelers by 6 in OT, Carolina by 14, when defense scored both TD’s. Chicago is 3-1 against the Browns, winning 27-21/30-6 in two games played here. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 6-5-1 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 7-3. Four of Browns’ last five road games went over total.

    Buccaneers (4-9) @ Panthers (10-4)— Carolina won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-2 at home, 3-3 as home favorites; they’re +8 in turnovers the last five games. Short week for Bucs after Monday night’s loss to Atlanta. Tampa Bay lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 1-6 on road, 1-3-1 as road underdogs, with losses by 17-5-3-20-14-6 points. This series has been swept the last eight years; Carolina (+1.5) won first meeting 17-3 in Tampa in Week 8, they were 8-17 on 3rd down, had 3 takeaways (+2). Bucs lost three of their last four visits here, losing by 21-2-28 points. Home teams are 6-2 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Six of Bucs’ seven road games went over the total, as did the last five Carolina games.

    Falcons (9-5) @ Saints (10-4)— Falcons (-2.5) beat Saints 20-17 at home two weeks ago, despite going -2 in turnovers; they’re 5-2 in last seven games vs New Orleans, winning 2 of last 3 games in Superdome. Series has been swept the last four years. Atlanta has short week after Monday’s win; they won five of last six games, are 4-2 on road, 1-2 as road underdogs. 10 of their 14 games were decided by 7 or less points. Saints won their last six home games, are 3-3 as home faves; they scored 30+ points in five of last seven games. NO won field position battle in 10 of their last 12 games. Home teams are 6-2 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Nine of last 12 Atlanta games stayed under total; four of last six Saint games went over.

    Broncos (5-9) @ Redskins (6-8)— Denver won its last two games after an 0-8 skid; Broncos are 1-6 on road, 0-3 as road dogs, with road losses by 10-21-10-28-7-26 points- they’re minus-15 in turnovers. Denver allowed one TD on 19 drives in their last two games. Washington lost six of last nine games; they’re 4-3 at home, 2-1 as home favorites. Redskins lost field position battle in nine of last ten games. Washington is 3 of its last 21 on 3rd down; they gained total of 419 yards in their last two games. Denver won four of last six series games; they’re 2-3 in five visits here. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 6-5 vs spread; AFC West road underdogs are 4-4. Four of last five Denver games stayed under total, as did three of last four Redskin games.

    Dolphins (6-8) @ Chiefs (8-6)— Chiefs lead AFC West by a game; they won last two games after a 1-6 skid. KC scored nine TD’s on 29 drives in their last three games, since OC Nagy took over play-calling duties. Chiefs are 5-2 at home, 4-2 as home favorites- they’re +6 in turnovers in last two games. Dolphins lost five of last seven games; they’re 2-5 in true road games, losing last four by combined score of 144-54. In their last three games, Fish are 6-40 on 3rd down. Miami won three of last four series games, winning 38-31/31-3 in last two visits here. AFC West non-divisional home favorites are 5-9 vs spread; AFC East road underdogs are 7-5. Five of last six KC games stayed under the total; over is 7-0-1 in Miami’s last eight games.

    Bills (8-6) @ Patriots (11-3)— Patriots won 23-3 (-9) in Buffalo three weeks ago, outgaining Bills 435-268; they’re 30-4 in last 34 series games, but Buffalo won two of last three visits here. Bills are in 3-way tie for the two AFC Wild Cards; they’re 2-4 on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 6-4-13-30 points, with wins in Atlanta/KC. Patriots can clinch #1 seed in AFC with win here; they won last three home games by average score of 26-12. NE covered seven of its last eight games; they’re +8 in turnovers in its last six games. Home teams are 7-1-1 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season. Three of last four Buffalo games stayed under total; under is 3-1-1 in last five New England games. Patriots had 3 or fewer penalties in four of their last six games.

    Jaguars (10-4) @ 49ers (4-10)— Jaguars clinch division and home game in playoffs with a win here; they’ve won seven of last eight games, covering last three. Jags are 4-2 on road, 2-2 as road favorites; they’re +8 in turnovers in last five games. 49ers are 4-1 since an 0-9 start; Garoppolo is first QB since Roethlisberger to win his first five NFL starts. In their last three games, 49ers scored three TD’s, tried 15 FG’s; they need to improve in red zone. Teams split four meetings; Jaguars lost 20-3 here in ’09, then again in London four years ago. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 5-3 vs spread; AFC South road underdogs are 4-5-1. Three of Jaguars’ last four games went over the total; under is 5-2 in 49ers’ last seven games.

    Giants (2-12) @ Cardinals (6-8)— Arizona didn’t score a TD on 24 drives in its last two games, they switch to Stanton (9-6 as NFL starter) at QB here. Cardinals lost four of last six games, are 4-3 at home despite being underdog in six of seven games. Giants had ball in red zone to beat Eagles LW, were tied in 4th quarter with Dallas week before, so they’re still competing. Big Blue is 1-6 on road, 4-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Teams split their last eight meetings; Giants won 37-29/31-27 in last two visits here, with last one in 2011. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 5-3 vs spread; NFC East road underdogs are 9-4. Four of last five Giant games stayed under total; under is 9-4 in Arizona’s last thirteen games.

    Seahawks (8-6) @ Cowboys (8-6)— Elimination game in NFC playoff chase; Cowboys get Elliott back from suspension here. Dallas won its last three games, allowing 13.7 ppg; they’re 3-4 at home, 2-2 as home favorites. Cowboys ran ball for 143.3 ypg the last three weeks. Seahawks got crushed 42-7 at home LW; they’re 3-4 in last seven games, 4-3 on road, 1-3 as road underdogs- they didn’t score a first half point in last two games. Dallas won four of last six series games; Seattle won last meeting 13-12 here two years ago. Seahawks are 3-6 overall in Dallas. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 6-5 vs spread; NFC West road underdogs are 5-9. Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under total; under is 5-2 in Seattle road games.

    Monday's games
    Steelers (11-3) @ Texans (4-10)— Pittsburgh is without Shazier/Brown now, key playmaker on both sides of ball. Steelers need to keep winning to get #2 seed and first-round bye- they’re 9-1 in last ten games, 2-4 vs spread as road favorites. Houston lost four in row, 7 of last 8 games; they’re 3-4 at home, 1-1 as home underdogs. Texans lost 45-7 in Jacksonville LW and looked disinterested; in their last five games, they’ve lost field position by 13-13-14-4-13 points, and are down to #2 QB Yates. Steelers are 3-2 vs Texans, splitting pair of games played here, last of which was in 2011. AFC North non-divisional road favorites are 2-3 vs spread; AFC South home underdogs are 3-2. Over is 8-4 in last 12 Houston games, 3-1-1 in Steelers’ last five games.

    Raiders (6-8) @ Eagles (12-2)— Eagles clinched a first round bye, need win for #1 seed in NFC. Philly is 11-1 in its last 12 games; they’re 5-1 as home favorites this year, with five wins by 10+ points. Eagles scored 31+ points in seven of last eight games. Oakland lost last two games, needs couple wins and lot of help to make playoffs- they were outscored 26-0 in first half the last two weeks. Raiders are 2-4 in true road games, 1-3 as road underdogs, with losses by 17-6-20-11 points. Teams split 12 meetings; Raiders are 2-4 in six visits here- they beat Philly in SB XV. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 6-5 vs spread; AFC West road underdogs are 4-4. Last five Oakland games stayed under the total; over is 7-5 in last dozen Eagle games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #776
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    NFL

    Week 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, December 23

    INDIANAPOLIS @ BALTIMORE
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

    MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY
    Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Minnesota


    Sunday, December 24

    CLEVELAND @ CHICAGO
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
    Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
    Chicago is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

    MIAMI @ KANSAS CITY
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

    ATLANTA @ NEW ORLEANS
    Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    New Orleans is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

    LA RAMS @ TENNESSEE
    LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games on the road
    Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing LA Rams

    TAMPA BAY @ CAROLINA
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
    Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    DETROIT @ CINCINNATI
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

    BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing New England
    New England is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    New England is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Buffalo

    LA CHARGERS @ NY JETS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 9 games
    NY Jets is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games at home

    DENVER @ WASHINGTON
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Denver
    Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver

    JACKSONVILLE @ SAN FRANCISCO
    Jacksonville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games

    NY GIANTS @ ARIZONA
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Giants
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing NY Giants

    SEATTLE @ DALLAS
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle


    Monday, December 25

    PITTSBURGH @ HOUSTON
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Houston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home

    OAKLAND @ PHILADELPHIA
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
    Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #777
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    Essential Week 16 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Saturday and Sunday

    Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens (-13.5, 41)

    The Indy offense is in the toilet. The Colts are averaging just 10 points per game over their last three contests – albeit against the No. 1, No. 3 and No. 23 defenses in the league.

    The Ravens have gone the other direction. Baltimore was averaging just 18.6 points per game after Week 7 and is averaging 36.3 over its last three contests.

    LINE HISTORY: The Ravens opened just under the two-touchdown mark at -13.5 and that’s where the line has stayed put. The total opened at 41.5 and is coming down at most shops some as low as 40.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
    *The Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games.
    *The under is 6-0 in the Colts’ last six games.

    Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (+9, 40.5)

    Aaron Rodgers' cameo season comeback is over. The Packers are eliminated from the playoffs and won’t risk further injury to their franchise quarterback.

    For the Pack to have any shot of toppling the Minnesota Vikings, they’ll need to do a better job inside their 20-yard line on defense. Green Bay’s opponents score touchdowns 69 percent of the time once inside the red zone – a mark that puts GB second to last in the league.

    LINE HISTORY: The line opened with the Vikings favored by nine points and there are a few locations coming down to 8.5. The total opened as high as 41.5 and has come down to as low as 40.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The Vikings are 41-16 ATS in their last 57 games.
    *The over is 21-6 in the Packers’ last 27 games.

    Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5, 44)

    Weird stories have been coming out of the Bengals’ camp all season. A report surfaced before Cincy’s game last Sunday against the Vikings that head coach Marvin Lewis would step aside at the end of the year to pursue other interests.

    Lewis, who’s been the HC for 15 years and never led the Bengals to a playoff win, is on the last year of his deal – so the announcement would really just be a face-saving move for his side.

    With or without Lewis – the Bengals have to fix their offense. They scored in the last six minutes of the fourth quarter to avoid being shut out by the Vikings last weekend. QB Andy Dalton has completed 25 of his 51 pass attempts for 254 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions over his last two games.

    LINE HISTORY: The spread opened at Bengals +4, went to +5 and is now down as low as +3.5. There are still a number of sportsbooks dealing Lions -4.

    TRENDS:

    *The Lions are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with losing records.
    *The under is 15-7 in the Bengals’ last 22 games.

    Cleveland Browns at Chicago Bears (-6.5, 38)

    Betting against the Browns is good business for bettors. Cleveland is 4-42 straight up and 12-33-1 against the spread over the last three seasons. An astute gambler would be up $2100 if he/she had faded the Browns and bet $100 on their opponents to cover in each game.

    LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened with the Bears as 6.5-ponit faves but there were a few that went with a touchdown spread. Every location is now dealing Browns +6.5. The total is hanging around 38.

    TRENDS:

    *The Bears are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
    *The under is 4-0 in the Bears last four games.

    Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-6, 52.5)

    The Falcons held the Saints to just 50 yards rushing on 15 carries when the two NFC South foes met earlier this month. That was quite a feat considering the Saints own the fifth ranked rushing attack at 135.1 yards per game.

    New Orleans dynamic running back Alvin Kamara will be fully fit in this contest – and that could make a big difference. The Saints are No. 1 in yards gained after the catch (2178) in large part because of damage Kamara does in the open field. He’s second on the team in receptions at 68.

    LINE HISTORY: The Saints opened as 5.5-point favorites and the line has crept up to 6. The total is staying put around 52.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
    *The over is 15-5-1 in the Saints’ last 21 home games.

    Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5, 43.5)

    The flu bug is running through the Chiefs. TE Travis Kelce, OL Justin Houston and LT Eric Fisher all missed days of practice this week because they were filling ill.

    LINE HISTORY: The books opened with the Phins getting 10 points and the spread is now up to 11 points. The total has dropped from the opening number of 45 to 43.5 at some shops.

    TRENDS:

    *The over is 8-1 in the Dolphins’ last nine games.
    *The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.

    Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-11.5, 47.5)

    The Bills would like nothing more than to keep their hopes alive by beating the Patriots at New England. Buffalo is playing off like the game doesn’t have anything extra but Rob Gronkowski’s hit on Bills CB Tre’Davious White angered a lot people.

    Gronk was suspended one game – which might have been on the light side. Buffalo fans probably wished the All-Pro tight end was suspended for this game. Gronk has made a meal out of his matchups against the Bills over the years. He’s collected 11 touchdown grabs in 12 career games with 61 catches for 960 yards.

    LINE HISTORY: The Pats opened as 12.5-point faves and while there are some books still dealing at that number – a few others have dropped it down to 11.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The road team is 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 matchups between these two teams.
    *The under is 8-2 in the Bills’ last 10 games.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-10, 46.5)

    There haven’t been a lot of points put up on the board in recent history with these two teams. The Panthers won 17-3 against TB earlier this season and the average total points scored in the last eight meetings is just 36.9. That’s almost 10 points below the total listed in this game.

    LINE HISTORY: The Panthers opened as 10-point chalk and there hasn’t been a lot of movement although a few books do have the line up to 10.5 now. The total is bouncing between 47 and 46.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
    *The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two teams.

    Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans (+6.5, 47)

    Special teams don’t get a lot of attention on the ESPN talking heads shows because no one really wants to talk about kicking. But one of the many reasons the Los Angeles Rams are so damn good this season is because of special teams. The unit sits second in the league according to Football Outsiders special teams rankings.

    LA will have trouble holding the ranking over of the last two weeks of the season after the club lost its Pro Bowl kicker, Greg Zuerlein, to a back injury. The Rams signed Sam Ficken – a guy who’s never attempted a kick in the pros and last hit one through the uprights when he was at Penn State in 2014 – to be Zuerlein’s replacement.

    LINE HISTORY: The spread has jumped back and forth between 6.5 and 7 with juice on either side. The total opened at 48.5 and can be found as low as 46.5 now.

    TRENDS:

    *The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
    *The Titans are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.

    Los Angeles Chargers at New York Jets (+6.5, 42.5)

    Bolts fans were given a scare at the tail end of last weekend’s loss to the Chiefs when Pro Bowl receiver Keenan Allen was carted off the field. Head coach Anthony Lynn said after the game it was only a precautionary measure and it looks to be true. Allen is not on the Chargers’ injury report this week.

    Allen is the key to LA’s passing game. He leads the team in receptions and has 39 more grabs than the next closest teammate.

    LINE HISTORY: This line has bounced between 6.5 and 7 all week although just about all locations are at 6.5 as we enter the weekend. The total opened at 42.5 and has been nudged up to 43.

    TRENDS:

    *The Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
    *The over is 4-0 in the Chargers’ last four games.

    Denver Broncos at Washington Redskins (-3.5, 40.5)

    The Broncos’ defense is back on track after strong showings in the last two weeks. Denver shutout the Jets and gave up only 13 points to the Colts. The Broncos’ are allowing an average of just 213.7 yards over their last three games. The Redskins are dead last in yards gained per game over their last three – with an average of just 233.

    LINE HISTORY: There were a few books that opened with the ‘Skins favored by four points but there are only 3.5s on the board now.

    TRENDS:

    *The Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games.
    *The over is 20-7 in the Redskins’ last 27 games.

    Jacksonville Jaguars at San Francisco 49ers (+4.5, 42)

    The Jags will have starting running back Leonard Fournette back in the fold this weekend after he missed last weekend’s game against the Texans because of a quad injury. Fournette is having an explosive rookie season but the Jags are still 3-0 straight up and against the spread while outscoring 95-14 in games without Fournette this year.

    Jacksonville is the league’s top rushing attack but the Niners are allowing just 80.7 yards per game on the ground over their last three contests.

    LINE HISTORY: This game opened with the Jags favored by as much as 5.5 points but just about all shops are now at 4.5 for the spread. The total can be found at 42 and 42.5.

    TRENDS:

    *The under is 1-4 in the Niners’ last five home games.
    *The Jags are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

    New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals (-3, 40)

    The Cards are going back to Drew Stanton as their starting quarterback – a move that surprised everyone including Stanton himself.

    “I think the biggest thing is we’re so close to winning that football game (last weekend against the Redskins), and maybe we’re not having this discussion at that point. But that’s not for me to say,” Stanton told reporters after head coach Bruce Arians announces the QB switch.

    Most people assumed Stanton was done for the year after spraining his knee in Week 10. Arians admitted Stanton will probably be playing in a lot of pain this weekend.

    LINE HISTORY: The Cards opened up as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has dropped to a field goal spread.

    TRENDS:

    *The Cards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games.
    *The under is 4-1 in the Giants’ last five games.

    Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5, 47)

    The Seahawks have been abused the last two weeks by star running back and they’re going to see another one this weekend in Dallas. Seattle allowed 244 yards on the ground against the Rams last weekend and 156 the week prior against the Jaguars.

    The Cowboys will welcome Ezekiel Elliott back this weekend after he missed the last six games due to a league suspension. Elliott rushed for 390 yards and five touchdowns in his last three games – all Dallas wins – before the suspension.

    LINE HISTORY: Most books opened with the ‘Boys favored by 4 points and the number crept up to 5 and 5.5 at some shops late in the week.

    TRENDS:

    *The under is 6-1 in the Cowboys’ last seven games overall.
    *The Seahawks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  13. #778
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    NFL

    Week 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Saturday NFL Betting Preview and Odds: Colts at Ravens
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens (-13.5, 41)

    The Baltimore Ravens find themselves in a familiar position as last season with two games remaining on their schedule, albeit with a favorable twist. Instead of two tough road games on their slate like in 2016, the Ravens begin a stretch of consecutive contests at M&T Bank Stadium with Saturday's tilt versus the reeling Indianapolis Colts.

    "We got to remind ourselves that we were 8-6 last year and we didn't get it done. Let that drive us," safety Eric Weddle said of his team that is bidding to secure its first postseason berth since 2014. Baltimore currently resides on the outside looking in based on the strength-of-victory tiebreaker with current No. 6 seed Buffalo, but the Ravens will vault ahead with a win regardless of Sunday's outcome for the Bills based on common games. Like Baltimore, Indianapolis simplified its postseason plans - as in, ended them - with losses in eight of its last nine games, including five straight in which it failed to score over 17 points. "We understand where we're at; we understand what the record is," coach Chuck Pagano said. "But we've got two more opportunities and thank God we have two more opportunities. We get another opportunity to go compete. We'll prepare and do what we're supposed to do."

    TV:
    4:30 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Colts (+5.5) - Ravens (-1) + home field (-3) = Ravens -9.5.

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Ravens opened as 13.5-point home chalk at most books and has yet to move off the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 41.5 and is down slightly to an even 41.

    WEATHER REPORT:
    62 down to 55 degrees and overcast during the game - winds at 12 to 14mph and a 50% chance of rain

    INJURY REPORT:


    Colts - TE Darrell Daniels (Day-to-Day, Hamstring), WR Donte Moncrief (Day-to-Day, Ankle), CB Nate Hairston (Day-to-Day, Concussion), TE Brandon Williams (Day-to-Day, Concussion), OT Denzelle Good (Day-to-Day, Knee), LB Jeremiah George (Day-to-Day, Neck), WR T.Y. Hilton (Day-to-Day, Hand), CB Rashaan Melvin (Out Indefinitely, Hand), C Ryan Kelly (I-R, Concussion), LB Jon Bostic (I-R, Knee), LB Jack Mewhort (Questionable Week 16, Knee).

    Ravens - G Jermaine Eluemunor (Day-to-Day, Shoulder), WR Jeremy Maclin (Day-to-Day, Knee), DT Carl Davis (Day-to-Day, Leg).

    ABOUT THE COLTS (3-11 SU, 6-8 ATS, 6-8 O/U):
    Jacoby Brissett has been battered to the tune of sustaining a league-high 49 sacks this season, with linebacker Terrell Suggs (team-leading 11 sacks) anxiously awaiting to get his piece of the pie for Baltimore. Tight end Jack Doyle (team-leading 71 catches) is one of the rare bright spots on an ailing Colts' offense, as he reeled in seven receptions for the second time in four games in a 25-13 loss to Denver on Dec. 14. Impressive to be certain, but Indianapolis is in the midst of a season it would like to forget, highlighted by a 31st-ranked offense, 30th-ranked defense and the lack of a Pro Bowl selection for the first time in 20 years.

    ABOUT THE RAVENS (8-6 SU, 8-5-1 ATS, 8-6 O/U):
    Joe Flacco threw for a touchdown and rushed for another in a 27-10 victory over winless Cleveland on Sunday. The 32-year-old has gashed the Colts for four scores in his last two encounters at home and is four touchdown passes shy of becoming first quarterback in franchise history with 200-plus in his career. Alex Collins has rushed for five touchdowns in his past five games while fellow running back Javorius Allen ran for a team-leading 70 yards versus the Browns. Baltimore's opportunistic defense has provided some offense of its own, scoring five touchdowns while forcing 33 takeaways this season.

    TRENDS:


    * Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

    * Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

    * Under is 6-0 in Colts last 6 games overall.

    * Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.

    * Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the road dog Colts at a rate of 56 percent and the Over is getting 52 percent of the totals action.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  14. #779
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    NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 16
    Monty Andrews

    Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 44)

    Dolphins' turnover troubles vs. Chiefs' impressive ball security

    The Kansas City Chiefs have apparently fixed what was plaguing them in recent weeks and are back in control of their own destiny atop the AFC West division as they entertain the Miami Dolphins this Sunday. The Chiefs restored order in the West with critical home victories over the division-rival Oakland Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers, and will look to exploit a significant edge in the turnover department to send the visiting Dolphins to their second consecutive defeat.

    The Chiefs looked nothing like the team that inexplicably dropped six of seven games following a 5-0 start, improving to 4-1 against divisional opponents with double-digit triumphs over the Raiders and Chargers. Kansas City controlled the ball security battle in both games, forcing Los Angeles and Oakland into a whopping seven turnovers while committing just one itself. That gives the Chiefs a plus-12 turnover differential for the season, behind only the Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars.

    Things haven't been nearly as good for the Dolphins in the turnover category, which is one of the main reasons why Miami is already looking to next season. Miami comes into this one with an ugly minus-11 turnover differential, the third-worst mark in the league; the two team behind them, Cleveland and Denver, are a combined 5-23 in the standings. Miami ranks second-last in the NFL with 20 interceptions (thanks, Jay Cutler), and should add to that total against a sensational Kansas City defense.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-9.5, OFF)

    Buccaneers' FG foibles vs. Panthers' elite kicking game

    Carolina is almost assured a playoff berth heading into Sunday afternoon's encounter with the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers - but it's the NFC South title that the Panthers desperately want. They come into this one tied with the New Orleans Saints at 10-4, though New Orleans owns the tiebreaker between the teams. The Panthers look to extend their winning streak to three, and they're well positioned to do that against the woeful Bucs - particularly with such a sizeable edge in the kicking department.

    It could have been a much different outcome for Tampa Bay this season had the Buccaneers fared better in close games; they're just 2-6 in contests decided by six or fewer points, and they can almost certainly blame their woeful kicking game for at least some of those narrow defeats. Tampa Bay has converted just 20-of-28 field goal chances on the season, good for a 71.4-percent success rate that ranks tied for 30th league-wide. That includes an ugly 7-of-14 rate on field goals of 40+ yards

    With so many games decided by just a handful of points, having a top-flight kicking game is almost-certain path to success - and the Panthers are as good as it gets in that category. Carolina has connected on 25 of its 26 field goal opportunities so far in 2017, good for an NFL-leading 96.2-percent success rate. With its only miss coming from 50+ yards, Carolina has been automatic from 48 yards and in - and even if Tampa Bay somehow makes this one competitive Sunday, the Panthers will be hard to beat.

    Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (-5, 47)

    Seahawks' frequent flags vs. Cowboys' sensational discipline

    Sunday's encounter between the Seattle Seahawks and the host Dallas Cowboys could very well decide which team gets into the playoffs, and which team spends the postseason on the couch. Both teams come in at 8-6 and are very much in the hunt for a wild-card spot, though they're headed in opposite directions - Seattle fell 42-7 at home to the Rams on Sunday, while the Cowboys are rolling with three straight wins. And if this one comes down to penalties, the Cowboys are in terrific shape.

    Seattle can point to several factors that have contributed to its recent struggles - and for losing its grip on the NFC West after years of dominance. But a lack of discipline is at or near the top of the list; the Seahawks have racked up a league-high 129 penalty flags through 14 games, and their 1,100 penalty yards are 136 more than the runner-up Kansas City Chiefs. The Seahawks had "just" nine penalties for 60 yards vs. the Rams, but drew just three flags for 25 yards from Los Angeles.

    Dallas has been far more disciplined on the season, picking up just 83 penalties for 800 total yards. And the Cowboys have been even better in that regard during their critical three-game winning streak, getting flagged three times for 25 yards vs. Washington while drawing eight flags but only losing 51 yards against the Giants. This past weekend's 100-penalty-yard debacle against Oakland aside, Dallas has kept its composure this season - and that should work in its favor against undisciplined Seattle.

    Oakland Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles (-9, 47.5)

    Raiders' third down problems vs. Eagles' drive-lengthening prowess

    No Carson Wentz proved to be no problem at all for the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend, as they got past the division-rival Giants to secure a first-round bye in the NFC playoffs. But there's still one important thing for the Eagles to play for: home-field advantage throughout the conference portion of the playoffs, which would happen with a win or a Minnesota Vikings loss. And Philly has a significant edge against the visiting Raiders when it comes to third-down prowess.

    Expectations were high for the Oakland defense coming into the season, but the Raiders have disappointed in several areas. In addition to ranking last in the entire NFL in interceptions (four), Oakland is allowing teams to extend drives or score on 42.6 of their third-down opportunities - good for 27th out of 32 teams. It's no wonder, then, that the Raiders average just 28:39 time of possession per game, ahead of only seven other teams and more than two minutes less than last year's average.

    The Eagles' offense is a sight to behold, tied with the high-powered Rams for the most points in the league through 15 weeks. And Philadelphia's work on third down has a lot to do with that - the Eagles have made good on 45.4 percent of their third downs this season, behind only the Atlanta Falcons. Add in the fact that Philadelphia has also converted 15-of-22 fourth-down chances, and it could be a long game for an already beleaguered Oakland defensive unit.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  15. #780
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    NFL

    Week 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Saturday Night NFL Betting Preview and Odds: Vikings at Packers
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (+9, 40.5)

    The Minnesota Vikings already have wrapped up the NFC North title but there still is plenty at stake when they pay a visit to the Green Bay Packers on Saturday night. While Green Bay is out of playoff contention, the Vikings are in the hunt for a first-round bye and have an outside shot at home-field advantage throughout the postseason.

    While Minnesota would need Philadelphia to lose twice to have a chance to secure the No. 1 overall seed, it will clinch a first-round bye with a win over the Packers and a loss or tie by Carolina. The Vikings received a boost when Green Bay was knocked out of the playoff chase and quarterback Aaron Rodgers was placed on injured reserve, but they are not taking their bitter division rivals lightly. "I feel like any team that's not in it, that should be their mentality. Be the spoiler," said defensive tackle Linval Joseph, one of Minnesota's four Pro Bowl selections. "Be the team who has the opportunity to expose that team. Right now, we're playing this game not to be exposed." Rodgers, who returned from a broken collarbone in last week's 31-24 at Carolina, went on injured reserve Tuesday -- one day after the Packers were eliminated from the playoff chase for the first time since 2008.

    TV:
    8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Vikings (-5) - Packers (2) + home field (-3) = Vikings -6

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Vikings opened as 9-point road chalk at most books and has yet to move off the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 40 and was bet up as high as 41, before fading back to 40.5.

    WEATHER REPORT:
    12 degrees and partly cloudy at kickoff - 9 to 10 mph winds and no chance of precipitation

    INJURY REPORT:


    Vikings - OT Riley Reiff (Day-to-Day, Ankle), CB Mackensie Alexander (Day-to-Day, Ribs), WR Jarius Wright (Day-to-Day, Foot), TE Blake Bell (I-R, Shoulder).

    Packers - QB Aaron Rodgers (Day-to-Day, Collarbone), CB Davon House (Day-to-Day, Back), DT Quinton Dial (Day-to-Day, Chest), WR Davante Adams (Day-to-Day, Concussion), LB Nick Perry (Day-to-Day, Ankle), CB Demetri Goodson (Out, Hamstring), T Kyle Murphy (Questionable Week 16, Foot), CB Kevin King (I-R, Shoulder), RB Ty Montgomery (I-R, wrist).

    ABOUT THE VIKINGS (11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS, 7-7 O/U):
    Case Keenum had a pedestrian performance against the Packers two months ago, but he has posted a passer rating above 100 in five of the last six games, including a 138.4 mark last week when he completed a season-high 87 percent (20 of 23, 2 TDs) of his passes. Wideout Adam Thielen, also named to the Pro Bowl on Tuesday, had nine catches in the first meeting this season and torched Green Bay for a career-high 202 yards with 12 catches and two TDs last December at Lambeau Field. The backfield tandem of Latavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon continues to supply outstanding production, with each going over 100 yards from scimmage last weekend. The Vikings lead the NFC in both points (17.3) and total yards (283.9) yards, and are yielding 85.3 yard on the ground.

    ABOUT THE PACKERS (7-7 SU, 7-7 ATS, 10-4 O/U):
    After Rodgers had his collarbone broken in the first meeting against the Vikings, Brett Hundley stepped in and threw three interceptions while being sacked four times in a 23-10 loss. Hundley did get better as the season progressed, going 3-4 as a starter and tossing six touchdowns versus one pick in his last three games, but he could be without the services of top wide receiver Davante Adams, who is in the concussion protocol after taking an illegal hit to the head in last weekend's loss. Wideout Jordy Nelson had only 22 catches in Hundley's seven starts, but Randall Cobb has come alive with 15 receptions and a TD over the past two games. The Packers are allowing an average of 23.8 points and have held only once team (Chicago, twice) under 20 points since Week 1.

    TRENDS:


    * Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

    * Packers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

    * Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 road games.

    * Over is 6-1 in Packers last 7 vs. NFC North.

    * Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the home dog Packers at a rate of 56 percent and the Over is getting 66 percent of the totals action.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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