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Thread: The Bum's 2017 NFL Trends/Stats/News/Picks Thru The Super Bowl

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    49ers S Tartt leaves with head injury, FB Juszczyk ruled out
    September 21, 2017


    SANTA CLARA, Calif. -- San Francisco 49ers strong safety Jaquiski Tartt sustained a head injury with 2:04 left in the third quarter of Thursday night's game against the Los Angeles Rams and walked to the locker room to be evaluated.

    Tartt started at strong safety in place of Eric Reid, who was inactive because of a strained knee. Tartt suffered a neck injury last Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks but started against the Rams.

    San Francisco fullback Kyle Juszczyk was ruled out of the game with a neck injury in the third quarter.
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    0-2 Teams Looking For Wins
    September 21, 2017


    As luck would have it, there are 9 winless teams in the NFL right now. And as not-being-unlucky would have it, none of it has to do with the quality of their schedule in the first two weeks! Let’s take a gander at all the winless teams parading in to Week 3 and see if there’s any value in a moneyline upset.

    Chicago Bears +7.0 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

    The Bears have literally been a tale of two different games. They took the defending NFC Champions to the absolute limit and then got steamrolled by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Either Atlanta came out flat in Week 1 (probable) or the Bears are as bad as expected (more probable) or the Bucs just new how to take advantage of their former backup quarterback (most probable). Either way, the Bears have a date with the Steelers and while they look good to potentially cover at home, that game is likely to be out of hand pretty early.

    Winner: Steelers (Loser: Mike Glennon’s Football Career)


    Indianapolis Colts -1.5 vs. Cleveland Browns
    Both teams are winless so one is bound to break the doom streak! My money’s on the Cleveland Browns unless DeShone Kizer keeps going through his reads like he’s scrolling through all the options on Netflix. Honestly, anyone who goes to BetOnline.ag to bet on the Colts is a mad man at this point. The Browns, as bad as they’ve been, are simply a much better play.

    Winner: Browns (Losers: Anyone who watches this game)

    Cincinnati Bengals +9.0 at Green Bay Packers
    The Packers have this insane luck streak of getting bad teams after they’ve had awful performances. While so many NFL teams have reasons to be bad, the Bengals are just stumbling over themselves. Hilariously they have the league’s top ranked passing defence but that’s only because their rush defence is the second-worst in the NFL. Aaron Rodgers will get to work grinding up the Bengals in the midst of a torrential season for the boys in tiger striped pants.

    Winner: Packers (Loser: Any Dalton across the field from one of the greats)

    L.A. Chargers +3.0 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

    Even the oddsmakers are handing in to the Chargers, who have lost two close games against pretty gritty teams. The Chargers have this nasty habit of playing up and down to the level of their opponents which means that this will be an amazing football game. If you’re taking a flier on any of the home dogs this weekend, the Chargers are it.

    Winner: Chargers (Loser: Younghoe Koon if he has to try and win the game with a field goal)

    New Orleans Saints +5.5 at Carolina Panthers
    Strange as it may seem, this is a game that the Saints can very much win. I hate that Sean Payton rotates out his offensive players on every snap like he’s tricking everyone, or that he plods the system along in the first half while his defence is getting wailed on. But the Panthers? They don’t look good. At all. If Carolina can’t get their act together against a sputtering chuck wagon like the Saints, then there’s no chance for them. The saving grace is that the Panthers are at home. If anyone doesn’t know what a stay-away game looks like, this is it.

    Winner: Toss-Up! It’s a hot garbage alert type of game!


    New York Giants +6.0 at Philadelphia Eagles
    Maybe? The problems are three-fold: first, the Eagles look very much in-tune despite some questions in the running game. Second, the Giants look absolutely terrible. Third, New York is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Philadelphia and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing in Philadelphia. This has “continued drama” written all over it for the Football Giants.

    Winner: Eagles

    New York Jets +6.0 vs. Miami Dolphins
    Nope. Never. Not this week. Not next week. Not ever.

    Winner: Miami
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Championship matchup between Brady (NFL) and Watson (CFP)
    September 21, 2017


    FOXBOROUGH, Mass. (AP) The defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots won't be the only winners on the field on Sunday when they play the Texans.

    Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson is just eight months removed from the College Football Playoff title he won at Clemson. According to the Texans, it's only the second time in the BCS era that the quarterbacks for the reigning NCAA champion and NFL champion have played against each other.

    ''He was super-talented, obviously, in college,'' said Brady, who got to see Watson when the teams held joint practices in West Virginia during training camp. ''(It) was a lot of fun for me to see young, kind of aspiring players that really want to work hard and play the quarterback position at a high level. He looks like he has all the talent.''

    Since winning the NCAA title, Watson was the No. 12 overall draft pick by the Texans. He entered the season as the backup to Tom Savage, but came off the bench in the second half and then started in a 13-9 victory over Cincinnati in Week 2.

    In two games, Watson has completed 27 of 47 passes for 227 yards, one touchdown and one interception. So he was almost giddy to receive such compliments from Brady, who has thrown for 459 touchdowns and more than 60,000 yards while picking up five Super Bowl rings.

    ''Just having an opportunity to talk to him and get to meet him and hear those words is awesome,'' said Watson, who was 4 when Brady was picked by the Patriots in the sixth round of the 2000 draft. ''I've been watching Brady since I was a little kid. Being able to be in the vicinity of him and see him play live is going to be awesome.''

    The only other time the quarterbacks from the reigning NCAA and NFL champions met in the next season was in 2011, when Cam Newton (Auburn) faced defending Super Bowl champion Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers.

    Here are some other things to look for in this week's game:

    GETTING HEALTHY: The Patriots had some injuries in training camp and early in the season, but the trend this week appeared to be positive.

    Linebacker Dont'a Hightower (knee) and receiver Danny Amendola (concussion, knee) were both back at practice after missing Sunday's game against New Orleans. So were receivers Philip Dorsett (knee) and Chris Hogan (knee) and defensive back Eric Rowe (groin), who were injured against the Saints.

    Rob Gronkowski, who injured his groin Sunday, was at practice but listed as not participating. On Monday, he said he was ''day to day'' and that he didn't think his injury was serious.

    The Patriots only dressed three receivers for the Saints game.

    GETTING HEALTHY, TOO:
    Texans defensive end J.J. Watt will be playing with a broken left ring finger, but after missing 13 games last season following his second back surgery, he said this one wasn't a big deal.

    ''I haven't had use of that finger for a long time because I tore a tendon on it a few years back on it,'' the three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year said. ''So it wasn't very useful anyway. I don't really need it that much so it doesn't bother me.''

    Texans coach Bill O'Brien said cornerback Johnathan Joseph and receiver Bruce Ellington will be able to play, but receiver Will Fuller is out.

    FAMILIAR FACES: The Patriots and Texans have already played three times - one each in the preseason, regular season and playoffs - in the past 12 months. They also held joint practices in West Virginia during training camp.

    ''I feel like we're almost back in the division here,'' Patriots coach Bill Belichick said. ''We had great work with them down there in West Virginia, so we could really see up close how talented they are and how competitive they are.''

    The Patriots held joint practices with Tampa Bay in 2013, and then beat the Buccaneers in the regular season - also in Week 3.
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    Finally humbled, Cowboys' Prescott, Elliott look to respond
    September 21, 2017


    FRISCO, Texas (AP) Dak Prescott didn't need long to answer whether Dallas' 42-17 loss to Denver was his most humbling day in the NFL.

    Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona's 10-time Pro Bowl receiver, didn't have much sympathy for Prescott's ''probably so'' in reference to the first blowout loss for last year's NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and fellow first-year star Ezekiel Elliott, the league rushing champion.

    ''I would say they're damn lucky,'' Fitzgerald said. ''It took them 18 regular-season games to be humbled. I got my humble pie Week 2 of my rookie year - a big, big dose of it. Then it happened a few more times my rookie season.''

    Well, now it's happened to Prescott and Elliott, which gives them a chance to show how they'll respond in a second straight road game when the Cowboys visit Fitzgerald and the Cardinals on Monday night.

    Prescott threw two interceptions in a game for just the second time, on the same day he became the first NFL quarterback with 500 attempts and fewer than five interceptions. The first led to a 35-10 Denver lead, the second was returned 103 yards for the punctuating touchdown.

    The interceptions ended up reflecting poorly on Elliott as well because he didn't pursue Chris Harris Jr. on the first interception and repeated the mistake on Aqib Talib's long return.

    Hall of Fame running back LaDainian Tomlinson accused him of quitting, and coach Jason Garrett didn't do much to dispel the notion. Nearly lost in the hubbub: by far a career-worst game with 8 yards on nine carries.

    ''I definitely heard it,'' Elliott said . ''I would say I was just very frustrated, but that's no excuse for the lack of effort I showed on tape. I just can't do that. Being one of the leaders on the team and being a guy that people count on, I can't put that type of stuff on film.''

    Prescott took equal ownership in the locker room Thursday, saying the coaches adjusted and gave the Cowboys chances to recover from a miserable start, only to be undone by his poor execution.

    It wasn't Prescott's worst game statistically. That came last season in a 10-7 loss to the New York Giants. But the perception then was the Cowboys were due for such a showing because they had won a franchise-record 11 straight games with two rookies leading the offense.

    The dominating showing by the elite Denver defense came a week after the Cowboys methodically handled the Giants in the opener. Now Prescott has to show how quickly he can get the Cowboys back to that form.

    ''It's important for me to be the same,'' Prescott said. ''Come in with the same energy, the same leadership, get these guys going. Maybe be contagious to not lose confidence or even be worried. It's Week 2 in the NFL. We have a lot of football left to play.''

    Center Travis Frederick easily remembered his most humbling NFL game: at Chicago his rookie year in 2013. He studied one of Julius Peppers' moves countless times and was sure he was ready for it until Peppers changed directions and ''sent me flying 6 yards into the backfield'' on a sack.

    ''Told myself to trust my technique at that point,'' Frederick said. ''Don't ever try to outsmart the game because the game will outsmart you at all times.''

    Frederick just happened to recall the previous time the Cowboys gave up at least 40 points in a game: a 45-28 loss to the Bears that started a season-ending skid of three losses in four games.

    Prescott and Elliott faced bounce-back games only twice as rookies, winning both with fourth-quarter rallies. In the second victory at home against Tampa Bay, Prescott had a career-best completion rate (89 percent) and Elliott had his highest rushing total (159 yards).

    But last season, they were never bouncing back from blowouts and the midweek chatter that comes with such games.

    ''We don't go out there and play for the talking heads,'' said Elliott, who is playing because of an injunction that stopped his six-game suspension over a domestic incident while the case plays out in court. ''We go out there to have each other's back. So that's our motivation.''

    NOTES: CB Orlando Scandrick was a limited participant in practice and has said he plans to play after missing a game with a broken left hand. ... DE Damontre Moore practiced for the first time in the regular season and is set for his Dallas debut after a two-game suspension for a substance-abuse violation. ... Rookie CB Chidobe Awuzie (hamstring), CB Nolan Carroll (concussion) and DT Stephen Paea (knee) didn't practice.

    ************************

    Cowboys not worried about blueprints
    September 21, 2017


    FRISCO, Tex. -- As the Dallas Cowboys (1-1) prepare to face the Arizona Cardinals (1-1) Monday night, questions have arisen whether the Denver Broncos offered a blueprint on how to stop the Cowboys offense in their 42-17 victory last Sunday.

    There is no question that the Cowboys looked nothing like the outfit that went 13-3 last year and 1-0 to start this season behind a run-oriented, ball-control attack.

    "We played the game they wanted us to play, not the game that we typically play," head coach Jason Garrett said.

    Running back Ezekiel Elliott had a career-low 8 yards on nine carries a week after setting an NFL record with his 16th consecutive game of at least 80 yards.

    Quarterback Dak Prescott passed for 238 yards on a career-high 50 attempts with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He was sacked twice and took several hits.

    Let the Broncos tell it: They had the perfect antidote to solve the Cowboys offense that finished second in rushing and second in time of possession last year, when Prescott became the most efficient rookie quarterback in NFL history.

    "Our plan was to clog every gap, play man-free outside with the corners and their receivers and clog every gap," Broncos first-year head coach Vance Joseph said. "If (Elliott) did pop a run, it was going to be on a missed tackle. It wasn't going to be on an open gap. We knew coming into the game that was going to be our first order of business, to stop the run and clog every gap. When they went three-wides and one back, we played our normal base front with our normal secondary."

    Garrett said the Broncos' philosophy wasn't anything the Cowboys haven't faced before.

    "Again, teams have been trying to stop the run against us for a while," Garrett said. "They did a good job of that. We didn't do a good enough job.

    "But the idea that teams want to stop the run, that is not a new concept."

    Elliottt agreed. He said, "I mean, every week people stack up against our offense. It's not something we've seen for the first time. It may have been the first time that it's worked that successfully, but teams do that every week. So I don't think there's any blueprint to stopping us. I think it all comes down to how we go out there and execute."

    So why did Denver work?

    "We just didn't go out there and execute," Elliott said. "That is on us. We've just got to be better prepared and go out there and do a better job."

    How the Broncos pulled it off might be something other teams can't duplicate because they don't have Denver's personnel, namely two Pro-Bowl cornerbacks in the secondary such as Chris Harris Jr. and Aqib Talib to make up for the philosophy of selling out to stop the run.

    When Cardinals head coach Bruce Arians was asked if the Broncos provided a blueprint, he said, "If you can borrow Denver's players."

    *************************

    Cardinals finally play home game, face Cowboys Monday night
    September 21, 2017


    TEMPE, Ariz. (AP) The Arizona Cardinals finally get to play a home game.

    Following two preseason road games and two more away from home to start the regular season, the Cardinals are back in Arizona on Monday night against Dallas.

    That means a lot of Cowboys fans in the seats at University of Phoenix Stadium. It's always that way when the Cowboys come to town. Arizona season ticket holders see a way to make back most or all of their investment by selling tickets to the game for Dallas fans.

    So when Dallas (1-1) meets Arizona (1-1), it will be a mixed gathering cheering on both teams as the Cowboys look to bounce back from one of their worst losses in years, 42-17 at Denver, and overcome running back Ezekiel Elliott's perceived loafing after teammate Dak Prescott threw two interceptions.

    ''There were a lot of things in that ballgame that needed to be addressed and that was one of them,'' Dallas coach Jason Garrett said. ''Oftentimes a player can be frustrated by something and it doesn't necessarily show who he is. One of the reasons we drafted Zeke Elliott is because he's one of the great competitors we've ever been around. ...

    ''You're honest. You're very clear with what the expectations are and you learn for them and move forward.''

    It had been a rough day all around for Elliott, who had averaged 100 yards rushing per game until he managed 8 yards in nine carries against the Broncos.

    ''If you look at those runs, we never really gave Zeke much of a chance with our execution to ever get it going,'' tight end Jason Witten said.

    Plus, Elliott still has that possible NFL suspension hanging over him, blocked by a court ruling.

    Arizona coach Bruce Arians was asked if Denver offered a blueprint of how to control the Cowboys.

    ''Well, if I could have Von Miller, I'd be happy. He's special,'' Arians said. ''We've got a pretty good one, so yeah. It's a copycat league, but you can't change what you do. They have some unique stuff that they run that you have to be very aware for. Hopefully our matchups are pretty solid.''

    The Cardinals had all kinds of trouble on offense but got it going in the nick of time to score 10 late points to forced overtime against Indy before finally winning 16-13.

    Here are some things to know when the Cowboys meet the Cardinals:

    WITTEN AND FITZGERALD:
    Cowboys tight end Jason Witten leads the NFL with 17 catches and has moved into fourth place on the career list with 1,106 receptions. That means this Monday night game will feature Nos. 3 and 4 on the all-time list.

    Larry Fitzgerald is third with 1,134 grabs. Both have a ways to go for the second spot, and it's a tight end: Tony Gonzalez with 1,325 catches.

    Witten and Fitzgerald also are good friends.

    ''Someone I've admired the way he's done it, both on and off the field,'' Witten said. ''Larry's somebody, he goes about it the right way.''

    Fitzgerald feels the same way about the big Dallas tight end.

    ''First thing I think about Jason is his character, what he stands for. He's just such a special man,'' Fitzgerald said. ''I think any young person in this league would look to him as somebody you want to model your career after, personally as well as professionally.''

    PATRICK VS DEZ:
    The Cardinals like to put All-Pro Patrick Peterson on the opponent's best defender, and that means he'll be defending Dez Bryant.

    ''Two great players, two Pro Bowl players, two All-Pro players going at each other all day long,'' Arians said. ''Neither one of them is going to back off, that's for sure.''

    DEFENSIVE REINFORCEMENTS: Cowboys cornerback Orlando Scandrick said he will play after missing a game with a broken left hand, and defensive end Damontre Moore returns from a two-game suspension on a substance-abuse violation. With Scandrick out against the Broncos, the Cowboys played most of the game with just two healthy cornerbacks.

    HEAVY ON SMITH:
    Dallas middle linebacker Jaylon Smith played 68 of 77 snaps in his second career game after missing his rookie season recovering from a knee injury in his final game at Notre Dame.

    He leads the team with 23 tackles, after the Cowboys indicated they wouldn't change the plan to bring him along slowly following starter Anthony Hitchens' knee injury in the preseason. They also said Smith would split time with veteran Justin Durant. The snap count so far: Smith 103, Durant 3.
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    With Vikings QB unknown, Bucs prepare for running back Cook
    September 21, 2017


    TAMPA, Fla. (AP) Tampa Bay can't be sure who's playing quarterback for Minnesota this week, so the Buccaneers are preparing for Sam Bradford and Case Keenum.

    They're also expecting a heavy dose of rookie running back Dalvin Cook, regardless of who's under center for the Vikings on Sunday.

    ''We consider him a game-wrecker,'' defensive coordinator Mike Smith said.

    The second-round draft pick out of Florida State, a former college teammate of Jameis Winston who many felt would also wind up playing with the Bucs, leads the NFC with 191 yards rushing through two games.

    ''He likes to have the ball in his hand. You can tell that,'' Smith said. ''As the year goes on, he is going to be a guy that they are probably going to feature more.

    ''We hope that this week it's not that he is featured. If he is, then (we hope) we are able to do what we are supposed to do.''

    Cook started his pro career with a 22-carry, 127-yard performance in Minnesota's season-opening victory over New Orleans.

    With Bradford sitting out with a left knee injury, Cook still averaged more than 5 yards per attempt while being limited to 64 yards rushing in a lopsided loss to Pittsburgh last week.

    Defensive tackle Gerald McCoy said Smith's description of Cook as a runner capable of taking over games is accurate.

    ''He is a game-wrecker - destroyed New Orleans and had some big runs last week,'' McCoy said. ''He's not a `run-and-get-out-of-bounds' guy. He's a `get-that-extra-couple-yards' guy. Anybody like that, you've got to bring your big-boy pants with you.

    ''Even when they stretch the ball out, he looks for that hole and once he gets downhill he's getting downhill in a hurry. He's not getting downhill avoiding contact.'' McCoy added. ''Not just that, but he can catch. He can wreck your game, just like coach said ... and we've got to be ready for him.''

    With Doug Martin set to miss the first three games of this season while serving the remainder of a four-game suspension for violating the NFL's policy of performance-enhancing drugs, running back was a priority entering the draft.

    Bucs coach Dirk Koetter spent a considerable amount of time watching film and evaluating Cook, who may well have been Tampa Bay's choice in the first round if Alabama tight end O.J. Howard hadn't unexpectedly fallen to the Bucs at No. 19 overall.

    The Vikings selected Cook 41st.

    ''He's a really good player. He can run with power. He can run with speed,'' Koetter said. ''He can catch the ball out of the backfield, and he has demonstrated all of that in the first two weeks of the season.''

    Winston knows first-hand what type of player his former teammate was at Florida State, where they won a national title in 2014.

    The young quarterback chuckled when he was asked if Tampa Bay's coaching staff has sought his advice on how to contain Cook.

    ''No, they haven't,'' the third-year pro said. ''Dalvin's an amazing player, but our defense is going to do what they do. And, Minnesota is going to do what they do.''

    Cook, who joined Darrin Nelson, D.J. Dozier and Michael Bennett as the only rookie running backs to start a Vikings season opener, said he was open to playing anywhere and isn't out to make the Bucs regret not drafting him.

    ''I just had an open mind about the whole situation,'' Cook said. ''Tampa was one of the teams that needed a running back, but I was open-minded to everybody.''

    Winston, the first overall pick in the 2015 draft, said his friend doesn't need any extra motivation to succeed.

    ''I'm pretty sure, personally, he has a chip,'' the quarterback said. ''But Dalvin runs like that, period. He's going to tote that rock. It doesn't matter if he got picked No. 1 or he got picked Mr. Irrelevant. He's a running back. He's a great guy, and he's an amazing player.''
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    NFL Record For Sept......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

    09/21/2017.............0-2-0................0.00%...........-11.00

    09/17/2017.............5-7-0..............41.67%............-13.50

    09/14/2017.............0-2-0...............0.00%............-11.00

    09/11/2017.............2-1-1..............66.67%...........+450

    09/10/2017.............14-10-0...........58.33%..........+1500

    09/07/2017.............2-0-0..............100.00%.........+1000


    Totals...................23 - 22 - 1...........51.11%...........-6.00


    Best Bets:

    Date...........................ATS......TOTAL..... ..... ......O/U.......TOTAL..........TOTALS

    09/21/2017.................0 - 1.....-5.50...............0 - 1.........-5.50............. -.11.00

    09/17/2017.................1 - 2......-6.00..............3 - 3........-1.50...............- 7.50

    09/14/2017.................0 - 1......-5.50..............0 - 1........-5.50..............- 11.00

    Best Bets Total.............1 - 4......117.00............3 - 5.......-12.00..............-29.50
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    NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 3
    Monty Andrews

    New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-5.5, 48)

    Saints third-down D problems vs. Panthers' drive extension skills

    The Panthers have been the toughest team to score against through two games - but that hot defensive start will be put to the test this weekend as they host a Saints team that is winless so far, but can still put points on the board. Yet, while the main focus will be on whether Drew Brees can generate enough offense to offset the Saints' struggling defense, the Panthers will look to exploit what could be a major advantage: third-down production.

    Not much has gone right for the New Orleans defense so far, as it has allowed a whopping 65 points in losses to the Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots. You could probably identify several problem areas here, but one of the most significant is the Saints' inability to force teams into fourth-down situations, allowing foes to convert on third down 57.7 percent of the time - the worst rate in football. New England ranked 27th in the category last season, so this trend isn't a new one.

    What is new, however, is Carolina's ability to extend drives. Cam Newton and the Panthers' offense was an efficient 7-of-13 in third-down situations in a season-opening win over the San Francisco 49ers, and despite doing little with the football in a 9-3 triumph over Buffalo in Week 2, Carolina was still a solid 7-of-16 on third down. While this might not last - the Panthers converted just 37.2 percent on third downs last season - it should at least continue through this week against a leaky Saints D.

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears (+7.5, 45.5)

    Steelers' rushing troubles vs. Bears' stout run D

    The Steelers are off to a 2-0 start and are heavily favored to remain unbeaten after this weekend as they visit a Bears team that has been outscored 52-24 in consecutive losses to open the season. Yet, while Pittsburgh has considerable advantages in several key areas, there is a chance the Bears could make things a little more even - though this mismatch Chicago enjoys might be more of a two-week aberration than a potential season-long trend.

    After struggling to run the football in a narrow Week 1 triumph over the Cleveland Browns, it was thought that Steelers star running back Le'Veon Bell was simply working his way back into game shape. But Pittsburgh didn't fare much better in Week 2 versus the Minnesota Vikings, as Bell needed 27 carries to record 87 yards on the ground. The Steelers average an NFL-worst 2.8 yards per carry, and with the Pittsburgh offense far less prolific on the road than at home, there's reason for concern this week.

    Chicago has had it rough, with quarterback Mike Glennon looking abysmal and the receiving corps absolutely decimated by injury. But the Bears' defense has actually been better than the point differential might suggest - particularly on the ground. Chicago is allowing a scant 3.2 YPC, tied for the ninth-lowest rate in the league. The Bears can't hope to keep Bell completely contained, but minimizing his impact could give the home side a chance at victory.

    New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 43.5)

    Giants' secondary struggles vs. Eagles' pass-heavy approach

    Fans who like to see footballs flying through the air should be in for a real treat Sunday as the Giants and Eagles renew hostilities in an NFC East showdown. The Giants are off to an 0-2 start and have scored a paltry 13 points in the process, while the Eagles have split a pair of games to open the campaign and haven't been shy about airing it out. That should work in their favor this weekend, with New York's secondary struggling to make an impact.

    Much was made about the Giants' attempts to fix their defense in the offseason, but the results through two games have been rough. New York comes into Week 3 action as one of nine teams without an interception, and its four sacks rank in the lower half league-wide. In a two-week stretch that has seen passing yards way down across the NFL, the Giants have allowed opposing QBs to post a 100.0 combined passer rating - good for 26th overall.

    QB Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia pass attack has already seen dramatic improvement over last season - boasting a QB rating 10 points higher than their 2016 figure so far - and haven't been shy about challenging opposing secondaries. Philadelphia has thrown the ball on 69.4 percent of its total offensive plays, the fourth-highest rate in the league and a 10-percent bump over last season. With the Giants sitting first at 72.2 percent, the ball will be flying - and that benefits the Eagles.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers (-9, 44.5)

    Bengals' bad TOP numbers vs. Packers' elite clock control

    The Bengals are off to such a terrible offensive start, they've already replaced their offensive coordinator. Whether that will be enough to stem the tide is the only question in Cincinnati fans' minds as the 0-2 Bengals travel to Lambeau Field for a date with the 1-1 Packers. For Cincinnati to improve on the nine points it has scored through two games, it will need to do a batter job controlling the clock - something Green Bay has done tremendously well so far.

    A lot of factors go into time of possession, so there are plenty of reasons why the Bengals rank 27th in the category at 26:52 per game. Cincinnati has converted just eight of its 27 third-down opportunities into first downs, so far, while its 13 first downs per game rank ahead of only San Francisco. The Bengals have also generated just 4.3 yards per play, good for 29th overall. Simply put, QB Andy Dalton hasn't been able to do much of anything - and that means less time with the football.

    The Packers, on the other hand, have done an exquisite job of controlling the clock. After holding the ball for more than 39 minutes of a season-opening 17-9 win over Seattle, QB Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense had the ball for 31:23 but ultimately dropped a 34-23 decision to the quick-striking Falcons. With Jordy Nelson questionable (and expected to be limited if he does play), Rodgers will have to rely even more on short passes and a vaunted run game - and that's bad news for the Bengals.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Total Talk - Week 3
    September 22, 2017

    The ‘under’ went 9-6-1 in Week 2 and the buzz of ‘ugly football’ continues to surround the NFL. The Washington Post got in on the action and noted that scoring averages for teams haven’t been this low since the 2010 season. In the piece, they analyzed the decrease in red zone scoring this season and some of the analytics are glaring.

    I touched on the inordinate amount of field goals in Week 1 compared to touchdowns and the gap was even narrower in Week 2. There were 67 touchdowns scored in 16 games last weekend and that was a slight increase (65) from the opening weekend but there were 61 field goals compared to 54 in Week 1.

    Through two weeks of the season, the ‘under’ has gone 19-11-1 (63%).

    I’m a believer that all things balance out in the long run and the numbers prove that. In last year’s regular season, the ‘over’ went 132-122-2 (52%) and in the 2015 campaign, the ‘under’ went 130-122-4 (52%) and I would expect a similar outcome again.

    Line Moves

    Listed below are the largest line moves as of Friday afternoon based off the Week 2 openers posted last Sunday at BookMaker.eu.

    Pittsburgh at Chicago: 46 to 44
    Miami at N.Y. Jets: 41 to 42
    New Orleans at Carolina: 49 to 46
    Seattle at Tennessee: 44 to 42
    Kansas City at L.A. Chargers: 45 to 47
    Oakland at Washington: 53 to 54


    It’s interesting to see a total on the Steelers go down considering their offense has looked like a juggernaut at times but the oddsmakers have adjusted to Pittsburgh based on the eyeball test. Scott Cooley from BookMaker.eu offered his thoughts on the adjustment for the Pittsburgh-Chicago matchup.

    He explained, “It’s more about current form. These offenses don’t feel as creative as they once were, much more pedestrian or status quo for the NFL. For whatever reason, the wiseguys really project this to be a low-scoring game.”

    The Steelers defense is ranked sixth in scoring, allowing 13.5 points per game but Cooley notes that those numbers are misleading and they’re not even close to the “Steel Curtain” squads. He said, “That defense still has a ton of holes in it, and it will be exposed when it faces a competent offense, which likely won’t be this week.”

    For the third straight week, the Titans ‘under’ is catching steam.

    “We’ve (BookMaker.eu) got some liability with the Titans under, which has been a popular smart play through two weeks, and the over in the Chiefs-Chargers game. Unlike the Panthers and Saints, these two teams seem to keep progressing in terms of creative play-calling and offensive efficiency.”

    Off to London

    The 2017 NFL International Series kicks off this weekend as Baltimore and Jacksonville meet at Wembley Stadium from London, England. Since the NFL started playing abroad, we’ve had 18 games played and all but one (Mexico City) took place in the United Kingdom. In the 17 contests from London, the ‘over’ has produced a 9-8 mark. Baltimore will be playing overseas for the first time while Jacksonville will be making their fifth appearance across the pond. The defense of the Ravens has looked great this season (5 PPG) but the Jaguars have had rare offensive outbursts in their last two trips (34, 30 points) to London. Most betting shops are holding a number between 39 and 40 for this game that begins at 9:30 a.m. ET on Sunday and it will be streamed on Yahoo!

    Divisional Action

    Through two weeks of the season, the ‘under’ has gone 8-2 in divisional matchups and it could easily be 9-1 if the Jags and Titans didn’t post six touchdowns in the final 21 minutes of their game last Sunday.

    Miami at N.Y. Jets: The ‘over’ has cashed in three straight games of this series and four of the last five. During this span, the Dolphins are averaging 23.8 PPG and that was against much better New York defensive units. This year’s Jet squad is allowing 409 yards per game, which is ranked third worst in the league.

    New Orleans at Carolina:
    This is a very tough matchup to handicap. This series has been a solid ‘over’ play (4-1 Last 5) recently and those results occurred with four of the five totals closing in the fifties. This week’s number is dropping (see above) and you can sort of see why. Carolina’s defense leads the league in yards allowed (196.5) and scoring (3 PPG) but that came against Buffalo and San Francisco. At the same time, quarterback Cam Newton and the Panthers offense (271 YPG, 16 PPG) hasn’t looked sharp and tight end Greg Olson (foot) is a big void to fill. However, they’ll be facing a Saints defense that’s allowing 32.5 PPG and 512 YPG, ranked 31st and 32nd respectively. Similar to the Panthers, the Saints haven’t been looking like themselves on offense through the first two weeks but they’ve still managed to post nine scores (6 FGs, 3 TDs) in two games during the tepid start.

    N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia: The ‘over’ went 2-0 between the pair last season and the total closed at 42 and that’s the number for this week’s matchup as of Friday. The Giants offense (253 YPG, 6.5 PPG) continues to be a mess but the defense has only allowed 19 and 17 points. Philadelphia will be playing its first home game of the season on Sunday and the Eagles were a great ‘under’ bet (6-2) at Lincoln Financial Field, largely due to great defensive numbers (15.5 PPG).

    Kansas City at L.A. Chargers: This series has been very streaky the last five seasons and the current trend is leaning to the high side. The ‘over’ cashed easily in both games (37-27, 33-27) last season as Kansas City extended its winning streak to six straight against the Bolts. Prior to those outcomes, Los Angeles was held below 10 points in three of the previous four encounters which were all ‘under’ winners. The ‘over’ has been steamed up a little bit for this week’s game and it makes sense based on what we’ve seen from Kansas City’s offense (440 YPG, 34.5 PPG). However, the Chargers offense is the second worst on converting third downs this season (25%) and the kicking game has left points off the board.

    Under the Lights

    After watching the ‘over’ go 3-1 in the primetime games in Week 1, the ‘under’ notched a 2-1 mark in Week 2. This past Thursday, the Rams and 49ers played to an easy ‘over’ ticket as Los Angeles captured a 41-39 shootout victory. Including that result, the high side is 5-3 in the late games this season.

    Oakland at Washington: This game has the highest totals (54 ) on the board and it’s easy to see why based off Oakland’s offensive numbers (384 YPG, 35.5 PPG) and the team has had a lot of recent success (7-1) on the road when QB Derek Carr has started. Washington doesn’t boast a great defense (25 PPG, 350 YPG) and it’s been exposed at FedEx Field recently. The Skins are allowing 25.8 PPG in the last 10 at home and that’s led to a 7-3 ‘over’ mark.

    Total Angle: In last year’s “Total Talk” installments, I often pointed to a “Coast to Coast” trend that was producing a ton of ‘over’ tickets when a West Coast team was playing in the Eastern Time Zone. The high side went 15-5 (75%) in those games and is 26-10 (72%) the last two seasons. We’ve seen one situation this season (Week 1 – Arizona at Detroit) and the ‘over’ connected. Since the Raiders are visiting Washington, it’s something to keep an eye on.

    Dallas at Arizona: The number on this game (47) seems a little inflated based on what we’ve seen from both clubs this season. The Cowboys (18 PPG) have looked sluggish offensively and the Cardinals haven’t been much better (19.5 PPG) plus they lost their best weapon to an injury in Week 1, running back David Johnson. Defensively, Arizona has been stout against the run (79 YPG) and it has had a knack of slowing teams down in the desert. Outside of a wild shootout loss to New Orleans (48-41), the Cardinals held the other seven opponents to 14.1 PPG and that led to a 6-0-1 ‘under’ mark. Even though Dallas was hammered 42-17 last week at Denver, it has seen the ‘under’ go 6-2 in its last eight road games.

    Fearless Predictions

    I’ll guess I could blame the two clubs from Los Angeles for my losses ($220) last week but I’m not here to make excuses. Fortunately the other California club (Raiders) helped keep the deficit in check but we’re still slightly in the red ($20) headed into Week 3. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

    Best Over: Atlanta-Detroit 50

    Best Under: Cleveland-Indianapolis 42

    Best Team Total: Under 25 Dallas Cowboys

    Three-Team Total Teaser (8.5-Point, +100)
    Over 42 Atlanta-Detroit
    Over 39 Kansas City-Los Angeles
    Over 46 Oakland-Washington
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Gridiron Angles - Week 3
    September 23, 2017

    NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

    -- The Buccaneers are 15-0 ATS (10.3 ppg) since Sep 21, 2008 on the road coming off a home victory where they covered.

    NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

    -- The Titans are 0-15-1 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since October 31, 2010 coming off a win where they scored at least 28 points.

    TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:


    -- The Dolphins are 0-10 ATS (-10.9ppg) since December 2014 as a favorite coming off a game where Jarvis Landry had at least seven receptions.

    NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

    -- The Bengals are 0-10 OU (-10.80 ppg) since September 30, 2012 coming off a road game where they had less than 28 minutes time of possession.

    NFL O/U OVER TREND:

    -- The Vikings are 11-0 OU (9.6 ppg) since November 2005 as a favorite off a game as a road dog where they failed to cover.

    NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

    -- The Eagles are 14-0 OU (+7.21 ppg) off a loss in which they had more third downs made than punts.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    SuperContest Picks - Week 3
    September 23, 2017


    The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.

    Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

    The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

    This year's contest has 2,748, which is an all-time record.

    Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.

    Week 3

    1) Oakland -3 (924)
    2) Denver -3 (725)
    3) Kansas City -3 (665)
    4) New Orleans +5.5 (653)
    5) Seattle +3 (586)


    SUPERCONTEST WEEK 3 MATCHUPS & ODDS
    Away Team Selections Home Team Selections


    L.A. Rams (-2.5) 185 San Francisco (+2.5) 153

    Baltimore (-3.5) 487 Jacksonville (+3.5) 493

    Cleveland (-1) 246 Indianapolis (+1) 357

    Pittsburgh (-7) 431 Chicago (+7) 333

    Miami (-6) 440 N.Y. Jets (+6) 306

    Denver (-3) 795 Buffalo (+3) 489

    Houston (+13.5) 195 New England (-13.5) 437

    New Orleans (+5.5) 653 Carolina (-5.5) 226

    Tampa Bay (-3) 468 Minnesota (+3) 279

    Atlanta (-3) 475 Detroit (+3) 468

    N.Y. Giants (+6) 387 Philadelphia (-6) 383

    Seattle (+3) 586 Tennessee (-3) 395

    Kansas City (-3) 665 L.A. Chargers (+3) 480

    Cincinnati (+8.5) 404 Green Bay (-8.5) 336

    Oakland (-3) 924 Washington (+3) 335

    Dallas (-3) 577 Arizona (+3) 316


    WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS

    Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage


    1 0-5 0-5 0%

    2 3-2 3-7 30%
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Vegas Money Moves - Week 3
    September 22, 2017


    Las Vegas is loaded with Raiders and Broncos fans and both teams come in as the most popular wagers in Week 3 NFL action. Both teams have started 2-0 in impressive fashion and both are 3-point road favorites on the east coast Sunday.

    "This week is all about the road favorites," said CG Technology VP of risk management Jason Simbal. "We've got a ton of them and they're some of our most lopsided bet games. First up is the Raiders (-3) at Washington, then there's Denver (-3) at Buffalo, Atlanta (-3) at Detroit, and Kansas City (-3) at L.A. (Chargers). Those games are going to be a huge representation of how we do this week."

    William Hill's 108 sports book in Nevada reported to have 32 percent of their overall spread wagering split evenly between the Raiders and Broncos games. The Broncos have 93 percent of the tickets written on the game on them and the Raiders are at 91 percent. Those percentages are similar all over town. The Chiefs-Chargers game has 12 percent of the action and the Chiefs are being bet at 91 percent.

    Of those games, the Raiders risk is eventually going to be the largest of all simply because it's the Sunday night game. Winning bettors from the first 13 games of the day will try to win more and losing bettors will have one more chance to recoup their losses. If the Raiders cover this game, it's hard to see how the sports books can win on the day, especially if Denver and Kansas City cover.

    One team the books don't have to worry much about this week is the Patriots who are huge home favorites against Houston.

    "The Patriots up to -14 is scaring people away," Simbal said. "They aren't even playing them in teasers because it's too high, and they aren't taking the Texans, either. The big two-team teaser we've got the most action on is Pittsburgh and Miami."

    The Steelers offense hasn't got going yet, but their defense has been outstanding and kept their two wins (1-1 ATS) Under the total. However, it should be noted that they played at Cleveland against a rookie QB and played Minnesota at home without its starting QB. Sam Bradford is expected to miss this week also when Tampa Bay visits Minnesota Sunday and sharp money had a inkling before it was announced.

    "Sharp money came in on the Bengals +9.5, and they laid -1.5 on the Bucs before news of (Sam) Bradford was official," said Simbal, who now has Green Bay -9 and Tampa Bay -2.5. "They also played the Browns a couple times at pick 'em and -1."

    Last year, the 'value' on the Browns was sometimes up to 40 percent of their proper rating and wise guys took it almost every week. And they got buried with the Browns covering only four of 16 games. Here the Browns are as a favorite for the first time in the Hue Jackson era. The real story here is how bad the Colts are. The Browns won one game last year and they're a 1.5-point favorite at Indianapolis? That's a 4.5-point split among the awfuls, a huge gap separated from the rest of the league.

    When I see the Browns each week, I keep thinking this is going to be the week where the offense busts loose and starts a win streak. I saw it Thursday night with the 49ers in the Rams 41-39 win at San Francisco, which turned out very well for the sports books.

    "One of my sharper bettors took the Giants/Eagles Under 43.5 and bet it again at Under 43," said Simbal, who also happens to be a frustrated Giants fan. "This number (Eagles -6) is almost 3 points too high, but not many are touching them (Giants)."

    The Giants combination of stellar defense and a floundering offense make them the best Under play in the NFL. They were the best last season with 12 Unders and they're off to two Unders in 2017 thanks to an offense averaging only 6.5 ppg. They've stayed Under in nine of their last 11.

    Monday night's game features the Cowboys at Arizona and the spread has reached -3.5 at a few books as bettors apparently feel the Cowboys bounce back after being embarrassed 42-17 at Denver last week. The Cardinals have been sluggish offensively, but this is their home opener. The thing that lingers in my mind most here is how Denver just gave the entire league a blue print on how to beat Dallas.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NFL Week 3 Essentials
    September 22, 2017


    Not counting the Jags being at "home" in London, there will be at 10 NFL road favorites if the Browns close as the chalk in Indianapolis. Who will follow the Rams' lead in leaving an opposing stadium with a win? Let's get into thought process mode in handicapping Week 3's offerings::

    Sunday, Sept. 10

    Baltimore (-4/40) vs. Jacksonville:
    The Ravens have started off exceptionally well, leading the AFC in fewest points allowed (10) and ranking second behind the Raiders in the entire league with a margin of victory of 17 points per game. The catch is that they've played a Bengals team that has scored nine points through two games and a Browns teams led by rookie DeShone Kizer, who was fighting off a migraine in addition to inexperience. The Jaguars aren't exactly the "Greatest Show on Turf," but by comparison, they'll at least be a step up in class due to the presence of rookie RB Leonard Fournette. He's helped create opportunities for Blake Bortles due to consistently facing eight men in the box, and there's little doubt he'll face more of that from Baltimore. Bortles has been dreadful against the blitz and is facing a defense that has already forced 10 turnovers (8 INTs), but he's had success in London before and will hope to improve enough to remain Jacksonville's starter.

    The Ravens are set to ride Buck Allen at running back with starter Terrance West dealing with a leg tissue issue, but will have to succeed without their best offensive player going forward since guard Marshal Yanda (ankle) is out for the year. Baltimore's defensive line could also be without run-stopping DT Brandon Williams, who left last week's game with a foot injury that's kept him from practicing this week, which could be a big boost for Fournette. The Jags have won at Wembley Stadium each of the past two seasons and have seen WR Allen Hurns make big plays both times, earning him the moniker "Mr. London." If Bortles can throw it accurately, we might see the Ravens stuck in their first competitive game.

    Cleveland (-1/41) at Indianapolis: The Colts are a home underdog entering Friday, so if the line closes that way, we'll see Baltimore favored for the first time since Week 14 of 2015, when they were favored against the 49ers and won by two touchdowns. This will be the first time Cleveland will be favored on someone else's field since a 2014 loss in Jacksonville, and accoridng to Bookmaker.eu oddsmaker Scott Cooley, Indianapolis currently ranks only ahead of the Jets in their power ratings.

    "Obviously the big story is the Browns being road favorites. This is only possible because of Andrew Luck being out. If he were playing, the Colts would be 6-to-7-point chalk. And the sharps like Indy as we’ve moved the line down 1.5 points."

    There's not a lot to like on either side as far as I'm concerned. Top corner Vontae Davis is still limited, as are arguably the team's second and third-best defensive backs, safety Darius Butler and CB Quincy Wilson. Center Ryan Kelly is also unlikely to return here, so the offensive line should continue being a trouble spot. The Browns will look to take advantage via an improved-looking defense that could finally include No. 1 pick Myles Garrett, who is finally out of his walking boot and could debut. Kiser should be back from his migraine issue, but won't have WR Corey Coleman available for at least six weeks after breaking his hand. Rashard Higgins was targeted 11 times last week and already has more receptions than he had his entire rookie season, making him a breakout candidate here. If the Browns are going to pull off this win, he and versatile back Duke Johnson will have to help Kiser get comfortable on the road.

    Pittsburgh (-7.5/44) at Chicago: The Steelers handled business against the Vikings last week, taking advantage of Case Keenum stepping in on short notice for an injured Sam Bradford. They failed to cover in Week 1 in Cleveland, so the challenge here will be to avoid allowing an inferior team to hang around regardless of the venue. It's likely that relentless DE Stephon Tuitt will return from a bicep injury, joining the disruptive Cam Heyward up front in potentially wreaking havoc.

    Chicago's offensive line is filled with question marks with Josh Sitton nursing a rib injury and not practicing all week entering Friday. Backup Tom Compton is questionable with a hip injury, but guard Kyle Long should get in there for the first time. They may not be blocking for top RB Jordan Howard, who left last week's loss with his shoulder in a sling. Rookie Tarik Cohen could play a major role here as a result. The Bears will have Markus Wheaton (finger) on board against his former team, while CB Prince Amukamara is also set to make his season debut, overcoming an ankle sprain. After nearly knocking off the Falcons at home in Week 1, the Bears hope Mike Glennon will have a chance to engineer another upset bid to keep the fan base from continuing to clamor for No. 2 pick Mitch Trubisky, who they rightfully don't want to expose behind an o-line that isn't nearly as cohesive as they'll be a month from now.

    Miami (-6/43) at N.Y. Jets:
    Only the Colts have dropped to 0-2 more soundly than the Jets, which is partially by design since they're shooting for potential franchise QB Sam Darnold and have assembled a roster capable of losing them all in order to secure the services of USC's passer. An offense filled mostly with no-names that is being run by veteran Josh McCown has moved it some, but now adds the pressure of playing in front of a fan base sure to turn on this group since booing is therapeutic. The Dolphins have won four of five at Met Life Stadium, winning three of the games by 20 or more points.

    Jay Cutler was saved from suffering a loss in his debut with the 'Phins by a missed field goal from San Diego's Younghoe Koo, and looked himself, making some unbelievable throws while mixing in some brutal ones. Both RB Jay Ajayi and WR Jarvis Landry will be in the mix alongside him, so we'll see how he fares against a Jets defense that gave up six touchdowns in Oakland last weekend. Standout defensive linemen Muhammad Wilkerson and Leonard Williams enter this one at less than 100 percent.

    Denver (-3/40) at Buffalo: Earlier this week, Bookmaker.eu's Toomey stated that his outfit had the most liability on the Broncos due to smart and square money aligning with more than 85 percent of the handle on the road favorite. Although they're off to a perfect start after wins against the Chargers and Cowboys, this will be the first trip to the East coast that they're forced to take. They've fared well on the road over the past few seasons and have executed well under first-year head coach Vance Joseph, looking quite effective in all three phases.

    The Bills won their home opener in New York and had a chance to defeat the Panthers in a 9-3 loss in Charlotte, so we'll be able to see how competitive they can truly be over the next few weeks since this contest is followed by a visit to Atlanta. Tackle Cordy Glenn appeared in practice on Thursday after leaving the Carolina loss with an ankle injury, but if he's unable to play, rookie Dion Dawkins would have to start with Seantrel Henderson suspended another month. Buffalo's defensive line is also ailing, with Marcell Dareus' status chief among those up in the air.

    Houston at New England (-14/44):
    Bill Belichick has had no mercy in trouncing former assistant Bill O'Brien in their three meetings as head coaches. In fairness, he's had Tom Brady while the Texans have had Brock Osweiler and Brian Hoyer, but the combined margin in the wins is 88-22. We'll see if Desean Watson has any more luck than his predecessors, but Belichick is 16-5 against rookies since taking over the Pats. Still, he's lost to Mark Sanchez, Geno Smith and Colt McCoy, so nothing is impossible, especially with Watson's mobility an asset.

    Rob Gronkowski (groin) and Danny Amendola (limited) should be available to help Tom Brady move it against a stout Texans defense, but left tackle Marcus Cannon and RB Rex Burkhead are question marks. Linebacker Dont'a Hightower is likely to return to bolster a defense that has left much to be desired through two weeks and needs to show out here to inspire any confidence that they'll be able to get it together. Houston has injuries on the offensive line, at receiver and tight end, in the defensive backfield and through suspended linebacker Brian Cushing, so the timing of playing the defending champs in their house isn't ideal. They do have J.J. Watt in place despite a finger injury, and missed him in the AFC Divisional playoff loss back in mid-January.

    New Orleans at Carolina (-6/47):
    Cam Newton has been limited in practice this week after getting beat up by the Buffalo defense, which doesn't bode well for him improving on the accuracy that has eluded him. He'll play, but has to find a way to move the ball through the air without his security blanket since TE Greg Olson (foot) has been lost for the season.

    Top WR Kelvin Benjamin is expected to play despite an ugly-looking knee injury, but only practiced late in the week, so don't expect an offense that produced a 9-point outing at home to be significantly more productive, even though they're facing a Saints team that has surrendered an average of 32.5 points in getting lit up by Bradford and Brady. Drew Brees is working behind a depleted offensive line missing tackles Zach Strief (knee) and Terron Armstead (shoulder). The Panthers' defense could have a field day and make life much easier for Cam and Co.

    Tampa Bay (-2.5/39.5) at Minnesota:
    Sam Bradford (knee) felt he couldn't do what he needed to do last Sunday and was ruled out on Friday. Between injections and treatment, he was thought to have a shot at playing, but books took the game off the board until a clear decision was made. Given how they treated Keenum's insertion last week, moving the line another three points, it's no surprise that the Bucs are now favored in Minneapolis. Keenum does get the benefit of more snaps in practice and a better frame of mind since he'll be the man under center, so he should be better prepared than he was in Pittsburgh. That may only go so far.

    Tampa's defense took control in last week's win over Chicago, forcing turnovers and blanking the Bears into the fourth quarter. Offensively, Jameis Winston will have to be cautious against a defense that makes a living of taking advantage of miscues and comes in healthy. Key Tampa Bay defenders Gerald McCoy, Kwon Alexander, Chris Baker and Jacquies Smith all suffered through issues that kept them out of practice. A flu bug went through the team's facilities.

    Atlanta (-3/50) at Detroit: This is the sole matchup featuring undefeated teams, and since Carolina is the only other NFC team with them in that boat, the winner here will get a nice leg up in the conference race. The Falcons barely survived in Chicago and dominated a Green Bay team missing a lot of key personnel, so this will be a good test on the road. Atlanta's loaded offense will need to push tempo since defensive leader Vic Beasley has been sidelined for a few weeks by a hamstring injury.

    The Lions lost impressive rookie LB Jarrod Davis to a concussion and may also be without center Travis Swanson, which would hurt an already vulnerable offensive line. Matthew Stafford has done a great job using his legs and spreading the ball around to produce this 2-0 start, so watching him try to keep Matt Ryan from leaving his house with another win makes this one a must-watch. Both QBs are top-3 picks who have met three times but haven't squared off since 2014, when Detroit snapped a three-game losing streak in the series by edging the Falcons 22-21. Ryan won the first two meetings by a combined margin of 54-34. The under has hit in each of their clashes.

    N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-6/43): Although both of these NFC rivals play in unforgiving locales, one city was far happier with their football team than the other following Week 2 losses. The sky was falling, perhaps rightfully, following the Giants' brutal loss to the Lions due to a horrible showing from the offensive line, a defense that doesn't look as imposing as was expected and brutal play-calling. It might be best that Ben McAdoo's team gets to play this one on the road, where Eagles Doug Pederson is looking forward to seeing his team play with a homefield edge for the first time this season. The Chiefs held off Philly last weekend in a game that was up for grabs in the fourth quarter, so the Eagles are encouraged that this can be a big year since the rest of the division is off to a shaky start. While there are major issues in the secondary that have been compounded by injuries and they've yet to establish a running game, veteran receivers Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith can help Carson Wentz take another step forward.

    New York has to hope Odell Beckham, Jr. getting healthier will do the same for Eli Manning, since the Giants have allowed eight sacks this season, tied for third-most in the NFL. New York has scored fewer than 20 points in each of the last eight games and rank last in the NFC in averaging 6.5 this season, an oft-recited stat that had McAdoo not ruling out surrendering play-calling duties to OC Mike Sullivan. Orleans Darkwa could get more carries in place of the ineffective Paul Perkins. Defensively, they'll be without MLB B.J. Goodson, so undrafted rookie Calvin Munson, should start. The Giants have lost six of eight in Philadelphia but are treating this one as if their season is on the line.

    Seattle at Tennessee (-2.5/42): The Seahawks hope to avoid an 0-2 start on the road as an underdog against the Titans. There were a few eyebrows raised when this spread was released, but the offensive line issues that have derailed a few other teams have held Seattle back substantially.

    The Titans are capable on both sides of the ball and have the personnel to continue making things difficult for Russell Wilson, who has led one touchdown drive while running for his life and buying his receivers time in the face of immediate pressure. Jimmy Graham missed practice time and is operating at less than 100 percent, so count on a defense that Richard Sherman already says knows it has to carry the brunt of the burden if the Seahawks are going to be successful to fly around in looking to muzzle Marcus Mariota.

    The fact both teams, favored to win their respective divisions, come in 1-1, makes this perhaps Week 3's most compelling game. DeMarco Murray has been nursing a hamstring injury, but former Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry has really stepped his game up for Tennessee, who will be without safety Jonathan Cyprien and rookie WR Corey Davis due to hamstring injuries.

    Kansas City (-3/47) at L.A. Chargers:
    New head coach Anthony Lynn might be 2-0 in the alternate universe where he picked a different kicker, but Koo's inability to come through in the clutch has cost the Chargers a chance to get off to a good start in their new digs. Their L.A. debut at the StubHub Center didn't offer encouraging signs that they'll be able to have any homefield advantage in place, which bodes well for a Chiefs team that has won six straight in the series.

    L.A. is expected to have Melvin Gordon (knee) in the lineup despite him being limited in practice on Thursday and should have it's offensive line intact, which is good news for Philip Rivers as he looks to take advantage of an Eric Berry-less Kansas City secondary that had some communication issues against the Eagles last Sunday. Alex Smith will benefit from not having to deal with Jason Verrett, an excellent corner who has been ruled out with a knee injury. Smith is completing nearly 80 percent of his passes and has thrown five TD passes without being picked. Since joining the Chiefs, he's got a 16-to-1 TD-to-INT ration in AFC West road games, a huge reason why his team is 7-1 SU and ATS on the road against the division since '14.

    Cincinnati at Green Bay (-9/46):
    The Bengals have been the biggest culprit in delivering unwatchable offense, averaging a league-worst 4.5 points. Worst of all, Cincinnati has actually been favored in both losses, so it hits the road as nearly a double-digit underdog as veteran Bill Lazor takes over the play-calling for the fired Ken Zampese. Expect him to call for short throws to backs to try and get Andy Dalton into the rhythm that's eluded him thus far.

    The Packers will be without key LB Nick Perry and continue to be banged up along the offensive line, which really hindered Rodgers and the offense in Atlanta. Jordy Nelson will play, but there's a chance Randall Cobb won't be able to participate, so there's definitely an argument that the Packers are laying too many points here since they could be missing quite a few key pieces. Cincinnati LB Vontaze Burfict will be serving the third and final game of his suspension, while tight end Tyler Eifert (back) will miss another game. Green Bay hasn't beaten the Bengals since 1998, losing three straight.

    Oakland (-3/55) at Washington:
    The Raiders lead the NFL in points per game and get a Sunday night stage to strut their stuff on, but they'll be facing a talented 'Skins defense that will count on Josh Norman continuing his strong start in an effort to try and slow down a prolific offense. Derek Carr is spreading the wealth and getting rid of the football faster than anyone in the league, per Pro Football Focus, so he's picked up where he left off pre-injury by completing 75 percent of his passes with 5 TDs and no picks.

    Counterpart Kirk Cousins has struggled against secondaries other teams have lit up, so he's already under pressure to perform and may have to face a defensive backfield that would include projected starting corners Sean Smith (neck) and rookie first-round pick Gareon Conley for the first time. Tight end and key red zone target Jordan Reed (shoulder) is also expected to play, so this one has a good chance of being entertaining.

    The Raiders won their last trip to FedEx Field back in 2005 and went 2-0 on the road against NFC foes last year after going 0-2 in Jack Del Rio's first season.

    Monday, Sept. 25

    Dallas (-3/47) at Arizona
    : If nothing else, we'll get to publicly flog the loser of this game since they'll be under .500 and will therefore be underachieving. Dak Prescott comes off a game where he threw 20 incompletions and two interceptions, while Carson Palmer has looked washed, leading the league with four picks. With David Johnson and John Brown out and J.J. Nelson landing on the injury report with a hamstring issue, the Cardinals could have an uphill climb getting right considering they'll also be missing guard Mike Iupati up front. The Cowboys are a road favorite in spite of what transpired in last week's debacle in Denver and will face another solid front in Arizona. Ezekiel Elliott will be in the lineup again with his suspension still on hold, but he comes off being held under 10 yards in a game for the first time in his life.

    Both teams are under pressure to show some heart and play with more passion than they did in Week 2. Dallas head coach Jason Garrett has been under fire for his team's performance and hasn't been a part of a Cowboy win over the Carinals since he was still playing back in the late 90's. Arizona has won each of the four meetings over the last decade, winning the last one at home back in '14. The Cardinals are making their home debut and will be an underdog in Glendale for the first time since Dec. 2014.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Best Bets - Week 3 Totals
    September 21, 2017



    NFL Week 3 Best Bets – Totals


    'Unders' continue to rule the day in the NFL this year as bettors saw totals go 6-9-1 O/U on closing lines a week ago, after Week 1 sported a 5-10 O/U record. That's quite the nice little profit you've got in your bankroll had you bet every single game 'under' the first two weeks, but runs like that tend to revert back to the mean eventually.

    Whether that starts to happen in Week 3 or not remains to be seen, as there are plenty of teams out there dealing with suspect play offensively – for a variety of reasons – and some tremendous looking defenses out there to combat them. I'm looking for a few teams to start going 'over' the number as Week 3 will be the start of things starting to correct themselves.

    So with that out of the way, let's get right to Week 3's Best Bets on Totals and try to cash a ticket or two:

    Odds per - Bookmaker.eu

    Best Bet #1: Pittsburgh/Chicago Over 44


    Both Pittsburgh and Chicago have been perfect to the 'under' so far this season (each 0-2 O/U) and the majority of bettors are expecting that to stay in tact this week. VegasInsider.com shows about 90% of the action on this total coming in on the 'under' as bettors don't want to trust a shaky Bears offense to score on a great Steelers defense, don't fully trust the Steelers offense to be close to hitting their stride, or a combination of both. When Chicago scored a single TD during garbage time of a 29-7 defeat last week, and Pittsburgh allowed just a single TD a week ago, you can understand the line of thought many are taking with that 'under' action.

    However, this is one of those AFC/NFC games that I've spoken about before that have a tendency to sail 'over' the number, and last week's 'under' result vs Minnesota was the first time in seven tries against NFC North foes that the Steelers have cashed an 'under' ticket. Pittsburgh's offense is too good not to get it going against a Bears defense that has struggled to keep opponents out of the endzone so far in 2017, allowing 2.5 TD's per game so far. The Steelers defense should also be able to give themselves a short field at least once with Chicago's propensity to turn the ball over, and that's always a plus for an 'over' ticket.

    We will need Chicago to score some points themselves though, and thankfully they are at home. This offensive attack looked much better at home in Week 1 then it did in Week 2 on the road, and I do expect Chicago to reach paydirt multiple times. After all, QB Mike Glennon appears to be already fighting for his starting position on the Bears, and like we saw with Alex Smith (Kansas City) in Week 1, when your job may be in question, going ultra-aggressive as an underdog with nothing to lose is a way to actually find success.

    Remember, Pittsburgh's defense may have looked great so far, but we've got to remember who they've faced. A Cleveland team with a rookie QB making his first NFL start in Week 1, and journeyman QB Case Keenum in Week 2. Admittedly, Chicago isn't much better on paper, but the Bears will come into this game with the mindset that they'll have to take chances down the field to have a shot at winning.

    With everyone expecting a low-scoring game here, it may be wise to wait on this total to go down even further, but the Pittsburgh Steelers aren't going to be a great 'under' team for long in 2017 with the weapons they've got on offense, and the way the masses have already flocked to this 'under,' this game sets up well to actually threaten 50+ points.

    Best Bet #1: NY Giants/Philadelphia Over 42.5


    Aside from the Bengals, and possibly the 49ers, there is no offense in the league that's looked as bad as the New York Giants have through two weeks and both games were in front of a primetime, national audience. Many bettors tend to heavily weigh what they've seen last, and what they last saw from the Giants was a lot of dropped passes, zero running game, and an inability to move the chains if they were spotted four yards on each 1st down. Because of all that, this game is seeing 90%+ action on the 'under' like the game discussed earlier.

    Yet, for how bad the Giants have looked, there are some positives one can take away from their performances. For one, things can't really get any worse for this offense, and the receivers will start to haul in the passes thrown their way. Getting Odell Beckham back in some capacity a week ago was a step forward for this team, and they are up against an Eagles team that has given up 23 points/game already this year.

    Four of their last five games with the Eagles have gone 'over' the respective total, and New York can ill-afford to go to 0-3 SU, and more importantly 0-2 SU within division games. To snap that funk, the offense is going to have to start pulling their weight.

    Philly has put up 25 points/game so far through two weeks and they've got an 8-2 O/U run going against division rivals entering this contest. The Eagles are also a great 'over' bet after failing to cover a spread (28-11 O/U last 39 games after losing ATS), and a 21-6 O/U run against teams with a losing record suggests points will be scored here.

    With everyone and there friends pounding this 'under' the way they have (and will) after seeing what the Giants have done offensively through two weeks, I've got no problem being all by my lonesome on this 'over.' Familiarity with an opponent may just be what New York needs to get their 2017 season kick-started, and at this 42.5 number, even something that's perceived as a lower-scoring game like a tight 23-20 score cashes this ticket.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Best Bets - Week 3 Sides
    September 21, 2017


    NFL Week 3 Best Bets – Sides

    NFL Week 3 Best Bets – Sides Week 2's Best Bets brought a big goose egg as the Eagles let their game against KC get away late to miss out on the cover at +5.5, and the Chargers struggled with finding the endzone all day against Miami and ended up losing SU on a missed FG as time expired. Winless weeks are never good in this business, and with the BetOnline.ag Best Bets now sporting a 1-3 ATS record after two weeks, it's time to get this back to the .500 mark this week.

    Odds per - BetOnline.ag

    Best Bet #1: Pittsburgh Steelers -7

    After Pittsburgh had a rocky outing Week 1 in Cleveland, and Chicago nearly upset the defending NFC Champ Atlanta Falcons that same week, the Steelers and Bears started to show more of their true colors in Week 2.

    Pittsburgh dominated Minnesota from start to finish (albeit without Sam Bradford), as the Steelers offense looks like a Pittsburgh D of old and holds down the fort while their explosive offense gets things in order. Meanwhile, Chicago was blown out from start to finish by Tampa Bay, as it was an ugly performance all around for the Bears who are already considering putting in rookie QB Mitch Trubisky if things continue along this path.

    Sadly for Bears fans, it's likely that the rest of the 2017 season continues to bring plenty of losses and although they are at home again – where they scared on an Atlanta team that took them lightly in Week 1 – Pittsburgh should come into town and steamroll this overmatched Chicago squad.

    The Steelers are 2-0 SU (1-1 ATS) with their offense yet to find their stride. RB Le'Veon Bell has had two weeks now to shake off the rust from missing all of preseason, and QB Ben Roethlisberger has yet to have a game where all of his receiving weapons are making significant contributions. That's not likely to last much longer, and that's got to be a scary feeling for the rest of the teams in the AFC.

    Pittsburgh is also on a 6-1-1 ATS run after winning a game by 14+ points, and 4-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less. No matter who starts at QB for Chicago, chances are they have a rough time even trying to get to 14 points against this Pittsburgh defense.

    Finally, the Steelers aren't going to get lulled to sleep with a potential trap game here and take the Bears lightly. Pittsburgh made that mistake themselves in Week 1 against Cleveland, and there is no doubt that they've been watching game film all week of Atlanta doing that Week 1 against Chicago.

    Chicago is on a 5-10 ATS run as home dogs against teams that are better than .500 on the year, and with a TNF game on tap against the Packers, this week's situation becomes even more dire. No team has yet to cover a spread this year prior to playing on TNF (0-4 ATS) and the Bears keep that trend alive this week with a double digit loss.

    Best Bet #1: Buffalo Bills +3

    Buffalo is another team yet to fully find their stride in 2017 as they struggled to beat a very bad Jets team in Week 1, and lost 9-3 in Carolina a week ago. Yet, the Bills are still 2-0 ATS this year and for all the offensive concerns they've had, their defense has held both opponents they've faced to 12 points or less.

    That unit will be up against another great defense in Denver, but this is the Broncos first road game of the year and bettors shouldn't expect the Trevor Siemian-led offense to bring the same type of tenacity on the road as they've shown in their first two home games. In a year full of 'unders' in terms of totals results, the Broncos are 2-0 O/U thanks to their offense, and I believe that unit gets hit with a cold dose of reality this Sunday in Buffalo.

    Buffalo's offense has spent all week in the meeting room scheming up ways to get some big plays this week (they didn't have a play bigger than 15 yards last week), and that aggressive mindset should serve them well. Denver's defense may be good, but we saw Philip Rivers have a solid day against them in Week 1, and if QB Tyrod Taylor can use his mobility to his advantage and keep the Broncos off balance in terms of the run and the pass, the Bills could actually light up the scoreboard a little bit this weekend.

    Buffalo is 8-2 ATS after gaining less than 250 total yards in their last outing, and 7-2 ATS after going for less than 90 yards on the ground.

    But this play is more about fading a Broncos team who send Siemian out on the road for the first time in 2017, were they were just 4-4 ATS a season ago. They've never had good success in Buffalo as an organization (0-4 ATS last four trips here), and with a big division game on deck against Oakland, this trip to Buffalo does qualify as a bit of a sandwich spot for Denver.

    The low-spread of -3 after an impressive blowout win on national television over Dallas last week is baiting many bettors to lay the chalk, and according to VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers, 90%+ of the bets have already come on on the Broncos. That's a overwhelming majority I've got no problem going against in this situation, and even a little play on the Bills on the ML (+141) is worth considering.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Pick Six - Week 3
    September 22, 2017


    Week 2 Record: 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS
    Overall Record: 4-8 SU, 4-8 ATS

    Steelers (-7 , 44) at Bears – 1:00 PM EST


    Pittsburgh
    Record: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
    Super Bowl Odds: 8/1

    The Steelers crushed the Sam Bradford-less Vikings last Sunday, 26-9 to easily cash as 8 -point home favorites. Ben Roethlisberger threw multiple touchdown passes for the second straight game, while Antonio Brown has racked up the most receiving yards in the league through two games (244). After starting last season at 1-3 SU/ATS as a road favorite, the Steelers have pulled off five straight victories in this role, while compiling a 4-1 ATS mark with the lone non-cover coming in the Week 1 win at Cleveland.

    Chicago
    Record: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
    Super Bowl Odds: 250/1

    The Bears hung with the Falcons until the final seconds in a Week 1 setback, but Chicago was blown out in Mike Glennon’s return to Tampa Bay in a 29-7 drubbing last Sunday. Glennon threw for 301 yards against his former squad, but it didn’t mean much after the Bears fell behind, 26-0 at halftime to suffer their ninth straight road loss since the start of 2016. However, Chicago has fared well at Soldier Field in the underdog role since the beginning of last season by covering in four of its last five opportunities.

    Best Bet: Steelers -7

    Broncos (-3, 40 ) at Bills – 1:00 PM EST


    Denver
    Record: 2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS, 2-0 OVER
    Super Bowl Odds: 16/1

    The AFC West has gotten off to a solid start with the Broncos, Raiders, and Chiefs all jumping out to undefeated records through two weeks. Denver followed up a three-point victory over Los Angeles by blowing out Denver, 42-17 as 2 -point home underdogs to improve to 2-0 for the fifth straight season. Quarterback Trevor Siemian threw four touchdown passes, while the Denver defense limited Dallas to 40 yards rushing on 14 carries. Denver makes its first trip to Buffalo since 2011 when the Broncos were routed by the Bills, 40-14.

    Buffalo
    Record: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
    Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

    The Bills’ offense produced only a field goal in last week’s 9-3 defeat at Carolina, but Buffalo held the Panthers out of the end zone while covering as 6 -point underdogs. Buffalo has yielded only 21 points in two games, but the Bills need to get their vaunted running game going after LeSean McCoy posted nine yards on 12 carries at Carolina. The Bills have been a profitable home underdog over the years by putting together a 7-4 ATS mark in this situation since 2013.

    Best Bet: Bills +3

    Falcons (-3, 50 ) at Lions – 1:00 PM EST


    Atlanta
    Record: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 OVER
    Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

    The Falcons beat up the Packers to win the NFC championship in January as Atlanta orchestrated an encore effort last Sunday night at Mercedes Benz Stadium, 34-23 to cash as three-point favorites. Green Bay made it interesting late as it couldn’t overcome a 31-7 third quarter deficit as running back Devonta Freeman found the end zone twice for the Falcons. Atlanta has covered in seven of its past 10 opportunities on the road, while winning each of its past four as an away favorite since 2016.

    Detroit
    Record: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 OVER
    Super Bowl Odds: 33/1

    The Lions are all alone atop the NFC North, albeit only two weeks in at 2-0. Detroit has picked up a pair of wins in the underdog role against the Cardinals and Giants after closing out 2016 with an 0-4 SU/ATS mark when receiving points. All eight home contests for the Lions in 2016 were decided by seven points or less, but their opening victory at Ford Field came by 12 points over Arizona. The road team has won each of the last three meetings between these teams since 2011, as the Lions squeezed past the Falcons in the previous matchup at the Georgia Dome, 22-21 in 2014.

    Best Bet: Falcons -3

    Seahawks at Titans (-2 , 42 ) – 4:05 PM EST


    Seattle
    Record: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
    Super Bowl Odds: 10/1

    The Seahawks have lost two of their first three games only once since 2012 as Seattle hopes to avoid a 1-2 start. Last week’s victory over the 49ers wasn’t very convincing, but Seattle managed a 12-9 triumph with a late touchdown as San Francisco easily cashed as 13 -point underdogs. Seattle’s ferocious defense has yielded only 26 points through two weeks, marking the fourth time in the last six seasons that Pete Carroll’s squad has allowed fewer than 28 points in the first two games. The Seahawks have had their struggles on the highway since 2016 by going 3-7 ATS, while losing four of the past five straight-up.

    Tennessee
    Record: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 OVER
    Super Bowl Odds: 28/1

    The Titans broke through the win column in Week 2 with a second half surge in a 37-16 rout of the Jaguars. Tennessee outscored Jacksonville after halftime, 31-13, while the Titans’ ground attack compiled 179 yards, highlighted by Derrick Henry’s 92 yards and touchdown run. In spite of dropping the season opener to Oakland, the Titans own a 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS record in their past seven contests at Nissan Stadium. However, Tennessee has struggled at home against NFC opponents since 2013 by winning only once in the last eight opportunities with that lone victory coming against Green Bay last season.

    Best Bet: Titans -2

    Chiefs (-3, 47 ) at Chargers – 4:25 PM EST


    Kansas City
    Record: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 OVER
    Super Bowl Odds: 16/1

    The Chiefs have owned the Chargers over the years by winning each of the last six meetings since 2014. Kansas City rallied in overtime to shock the Lightning Bolts in last season’s opener, while outlasting the Chargers in San Diego, 37-27 in the season finale. The Chiefs own a 7-2 ATS record in its past nine road games, including a shocking Week 1 performance against the Patriots. Andy Reid’s team held off the Eagles last Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium, 27-20, led by rookie Kareem Hunt’s two rushing touchdowns, as the former Toledo standout has racked up 355 yards from scrimmage in two games.

    Los Angeles
    Record: 0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS, 1-1 OVER
    Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

    Another game, another close loss for the Chargers. It doesn’t matter where it is, the move from San Diego to Los Angeles hasn’t changed the late-game results for the Lightning Bolts. After the Chargers lost the opener by three points to the Broncos, L.A. missed the go-ahead field goal in the final seconds in last Sunday’s 19-17 setback to the Dolphins to fall to 0-2 for the first time since 2008. The Chargers haven’t been a good underdog to back at home in the last few seasons by posting a 3-8 ATS mark in this role since 2013, while dropping three straight home meetings with the Chiefs.

    Best Bet: Chiefs -3

    Bengals at Packers (-9, 44 ) – 4:25 PM EST


    Cincinnati
    Record: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 UNDER
    Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

    From an offensive standpoint, the Bengals have been the most offensive when they have the ball. Translation, Cincinnati can’t find the end zone, as the Bengals have scored a grand total of nine points in two home losses to Baltimore and Houston. The Bengals haven’t been terrible defensively, getting burned by a long touchdown in each of their defeats, while yielding three touchdowns in two weeks. Two seasons ago, the Bengals put together an incredible 8-0 ATS record away from Paul Brown Stadium, but Cincinnati went backwards in 2016 by going 2-6-1 ATS in nine highway contests.

    Green Bay
    Record: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 OVER
    Super Bowl Odds: 10/1

    The Packers have endured the most difficult schedule in the league by facing the Seahawks and Falcons in the first two weeks. Green Bay came away with a split as the Packers look to extend their home winning streak to six with a victory on Sunday. The Packers have won five of their last six games at Lambeau Field against AFC foes, but the only loss came last season to the Colts. Green Bay hasn’t had much luck with Cincinnati over the years by losing three straight meetings, including a 34-30 setback at Paul Brown Stadium in 2013.

    Best Bet: Bengals +9
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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