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  1. #301
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    Tech Trends - Week 6
    October 11, 2017


    THURSDAY, OCT. 12

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    PHILADELPHIA at CAROLINA (CBS, 8:30 p.m. ET)
    Panthers 2-7 vs. line last nine at home. Also “under” 7-3 at Charlotte since LY. Eagles however “over” 6-2-1 last nine since late LY and have covered 3 of last 4 away.
    Tech Edge: Eagles, based on team trends.

    SUNDAY, OCT. 15
    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups


    CLEVELAND at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Browns on 5-15 spread skid since late 2015, 3-7 last ten vs. line away. Brownies 7-3 “over last ten away. Texans 9-3-1 as NRG chalk since 2015.
    Tech Edge: Texans, based on team trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    NEW ENGLAND at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Belichick has lost last four vs. line at Jets, and Pats just 1-6-1 vs. line last eight in series. Pats 6-14 vs. line as road chalk since 2013. Jets 12-5 as home dog since 2013 (2-0 TY!).
    Tech Edge: Jets, based on series and team trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    MIAMI at ATLANTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Gase 5-2 vs. line last seven as visitor. Dolphins “under” first four TY after “over” 12-4 LY. Falcs “over” 18-5 since LY, but just 5-14 as reg.-season home chalk since 2014.
    Tech Edge: Dolphins, based on team trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    DETROIT at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Lions have won SU vs. Saints each of past three years. Caldwell 2-0 SU and vs. line away (both as dog) away TY. Brees 5-13-1 as home chalk since 2014, also “over” 17-8 at Superdome since 2014.
    Tech Edge: Lions and “over,” based on series, team, and “totals” trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    After Monday vs. Bears, Zimmer 6-10 vs. spread since early LY, and 3-3 vs. line against Pack since 2014. Vikes also “over” 4-1 last five at home. Pack “over” 10-2 last 12 away.
    Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    CHICAGO at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Bears 0-2 vs. line away (home team covered first five Chicago games TY), now 2-8 vs. points on road since LY. Ravens “under” 8-3 last 11 as host.
    Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    SAN FRANCISCO at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    SF 5-2 vs. line last seven since late LY. Jay Gruden just 4-8 as home chalk since 2014.
    Tech Edge: Niners, based on team trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    L.A. RAMS at JACKSONVILLE (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)

    Rams “over” 6-1 last seven since late LY, Jags “over” 7-2 last nine at home.
    Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    TAMPA BAY at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)

    Rams won SU 4 of last 6 vs. Hawks, and covered last five as series host. Rams also “over” last six since late 2016. Into Indy, Hawks on 5-game spread skid since late LY, the longest spread slump of the Carroll era. Also if chalk note 1-6 mark last seven in role.
    Tech Edge: Rams and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

    Steelers only 6-6-2 as reg.-season dog since 2013. Chiefs have covered last seven and 10 of last 11 in reg. season. Steel “under” 5-0 TY.
    Tech Edge: Chiefs and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    L.A. CHARGERS at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

    Road team has covered last five in series, Chargers 4-2 vs. spread last six at Coliseum. Bolts 24-11-1 as road dog since 2012. Raiders “over” 9-1 last ten at home.
    Tech Edge: Chargers and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
    N.Y. GIANTS at DENVER (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

    Eli has covered last two on road TY but G-Men just 5-5-2 vs. spread away since LY. Broncos 22-13-2 vs. line as home chalk since 2012.
    Tech Edge: Slight to broncos, based on team trends.


    MONDAY, OCT. 16

    NFL Matchups NFL Matchups


    INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)

    Colts have won 11 in a row SU in series. Colts “over” 9-1 last ten away from Lucas Oil. Titans “over” 8-3-1 last 12 as host.
    Tech Edge: “Over” and Colts, based on “totals” and series trends.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #302
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    TNF - Eagles at Panthers
    October 12, 2017


    Philadelphia at Carolina (-3.5, 45.5), 8:25 pm ET, CBS

    One of these teams is going to wake up on Friday morning filled with that Tony Montana "the world is yours" feeling, becoming the first NFC team with five wins. For the second straight week, we've got an attractive matchup, which will hopefully result in another decent game as the level of play picks up.

    The controversy he created for himself didn't end up hampering Cam Newton, who put together his best game of the season in a 27-24 upset win in Detroit. He's now thrown for over 300 yards and three touchdowns in each of Carolina's road wins this month, beating the Patriots and Lions. His completion percentage has improved each time out and he's been resilient in not letting a three-interception game against the Saints linger. He's going to be playing in Charlotte for the first time since that 34-13 loss and will also be out there for the first time since apologizing for chauvinistic comments towards one of the team's beat writers, so it will be interesting to see if he'll receive any backlash.

    Newton's throwing shoulder feels the healthiest it has been since returning from offseason shoulder surgery. After a dreadful debut in ugly, defense-fueled wins over the 49ers and Bills, Newton appeared headed in the wrong direction against New Orleans, getting his team beat. His success in New England came out of nowhere and was another indidictment of the Pats' lack of defense. He closed out the Lions with a huge third-down conversion to Kelvin Benjamin to keep Matthew Stafford from getting the ball back as Detroit attempted to rally from a 27-10 fourth-quarters deficit. Head coach Ron Rivera told NFL Network that the success is related to him finally finding a groove.

    "His shoulder is finally feeling like it doesn't get tired fast," Rivera said. "Part of it was he just had surgery. There was nothing minor about what he went through. Missed training camp, not getting a chance to develop some of the timing that you need. So now he's just kind of feeling good about himself."

    Philadelphia's pass defense, like New England's (last) and Detroit's (27th), ranks among the NFL's worst, coming in 29th in yards allowed through the air (283). Only the Patriots and Saints surrender more yards per completion than the 8.6 the Eagles allow, so Newton should be able to sustain his rhythm if his arm responds well despite the short week. That's going to be the big if, because the Eagles come in even with the Packers as the NFC's second-highest scoring team (27.4) behind the Rams and figure to test a Carolina defense that has struggled since those dominant first two wins against two of the least prolific offensive teams in football, San Francisco and Buffalo.

    The Panthers have been outscored 38-10 in the fourth quarter over their last three games, while the Eagles haven't surrendered a first-quarter touchdown yet, giving up just three points in the opening 15 minutes all season, so if either of those trends continue, Philadelphia has a chance to pull off an upset.

    Carson Wentz has soundly beaten any notion of a sophomore jinx, leading all NFL quarterbacks with a 137.8 rating on third down, throwing six touchdowns while racking up 30 first downs. He threw three TD passes in the first quarter in Sunday's 34-7 win over Arizona, a first in franchise history. He also became the 10th QB in league history to throw for over 5,000 yards in his first 21 games and enjoyed the first four-touchdown game of his career, all to different receivers. The Eagles didn't throw much in the fourth quarter due to their healthy cushion or his numbers would've been gaudier. It will be interesting to see how he responds on the road coming off the most prolific passing day of his young career.

    The Panthers rank fifth in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (194) despite facing Drew Brees, Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford in consecutive weeks. While that number pops out, they have come up with only one interception this season and have seen 69.8 percent of passes completed against them, the fourth-highest clip allowed. Wentz should have opportunities to continue his strong play on what is expected to be a clear conditions in Charlotte.

    Another major factor in Philadelphia's success since suffering its only loss in Kansas City is the incorporation of LeGarrette Blount in the run game. Despite being healthy, Doug Pederson only got Blount a single carry against the Chiefs, and that was nullified by a penalty. He caught one pass for 0 yards and was on the field for only six snaps. With Darren Sproles lost for the season, Blount has received 42 carries over the last three contests, racking up 277 yards on 6.6 yards per carry. Although he's only found the end zone once after scoring 18 rushing touchdowns for New England last season, he'll have a chance to add to that total if he stays healthy given how well the offense is performing. Philadelphia joins Kansas City as the only teams in the league to have scored 20 or more points in every game this season.

    The Bucs rank last in the NFL in third-down defense, allowing a 50 percent conversion rate that has to have Brady salivating. He's got the offense averaging 32 points over the last three games since the team's Thursday night loss to Kansas City to open the season, and has to be looking forward to going up against a team that has registered only a single sack through the first four games. This will be Brady's first time playing in Tampa Bay in his pro career, as two of the previous meetings came in Foxboro and the '09 game was played in London.

    Philadelphia Eagles
    Season win total: 8.5 (Over -120, Under +100)
    Odds to win NFC East:4/5 to 4/9
    Odds to win NFC: 10/1 to 8/1
    Odds to win Super Bowl: 20/1 to 16/1

    Carolina Panthers
    Season win total: 9 (Over -120, Under +100)
    Odds to win NFC South: 7/2 to 2/1
    Odds to win NFC: 15/1 to 7/1
    Odds to win Super Bowl: 30/1 to 14/1

    LINE MOVEMENT


    Both of these teams have seen the odds on them achieving success this season improve dramatically this month. Although the Falcons (4/5) are still favored to win the NFC South. the Eagles have replaced the Cowboys as the current NFC East favorite.

    Only Green Bay (9/4), Atlanta (4/1) and Seattle (5/1) have better odds than these teams to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.

    As far as this matchup is concerned, the Eagles were installed as a 3-point favorite when the Westgate's early numbers were announced, opening the week there but quickly moving to 3.5. The total opened at 45, climbed to 46 and is most widely available at 45.5.

    Carolina is -170/-180 on the money line, while Philadelphia will get you +160.

    ODDSMAKER'S TAKE

    Scott Cooley of Bookmaker.eu dropped knowledge on what his shop is seeing as of Wednesday afternoon.

    "We currently have 62 percent of the tickets on Philly, but of the sharp money we’ve taken, which isn’t an overwhelming amount, has been on Carolina," Cooley said. This feels like a good number, and it will probably dip back down to the opener of -3 at some point before kickoff. Should be a great game for all to see where these two teams really belong in the ratings."

    INJURY CONCERNS

    Lane Johnson, Philly's standout right tackle, suffered a head injury against Arizona and is sidelined with a concussion. He didn't make the trip and will be replaced by Halapoulivaati Vaitai, a second-year player who started six games as a rookie and fared very well upon taking over last week, playing 34 snaps without allowing so much as a hurry. Philadelphia went 2-4 in his starts last season. Carolina had six sacks last week in Detroit.

    The Eagles might get standout DT Fletcher Cox, one of the NFL's top defensive players, back from a two-game absence due to a calf injury, but the intention is to decide on his status an hour before game-time. RB Wendell Smallwood (knee) and defensive linemen Beau Allen (foot), Destiny Vaeao (wrist) and Chris Long (foot) are all listed as questionable. Top corner Ronald Darby (ankle) remains sidelined, but might return next week.

    The Panthers also have issues up front along the offensive line and in the Eagles. Five-time All-Pro center Ryan Kalil will miss another game with a neck injury, while younger brother Matt left the Lions win for a stretch but will play. RB Jonathan Stewart (ankle) and WR Devin Funchess (knee) will also be out there for Carolina. Tight end Greg Olsen remains sidelined after foot surgery and isn't likely to return to game action until late November. Safeties Kurt Coleman and Demetrious Cox are out, but banged up corners James Bradberry and Daryl Worley should play.

    RECENT MEETINGS (Philadelphia 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS last eight; OVER 5-3)


    10/25/15 Carolina 27-16 vs. Philadelphia (CAR -3, 45)
    11/10/14 Philadelphia 45-21 vs. Carolina (PHI -7, 48.5)
    11/26/12 Carolina 30-22 at Philadelphia (CAR -3, 42)
    9/13/09 Philadelphia 38-10 vs. Philadelphia (PHI -2.5, 43.5)
    12/4/06 Philadelphia 27-24 vs. Carolina (CAR -3, 37.5)
    10/17/04 Philadelphia 30-8 vs. Carolina (PHI -10, 42)
    1/18/04 Carolina 14-3 at Philadelphia (PHI -4, 36.5)
    11/30/03 Philadelphia 25-16 at Carolina (CAR -1.5, 37)

    PROPS


    Of the props available below at BetOnline.ag, I'd ride the OVER on field goals and do think we'll see a touchdown of 43 yards or more.

    Team to reach 10 points first: (Panthers -145, Eagles +125)
    Team to reach 20 points first: (Panthers -160, Eagles +140)
    Team to score first: (Panthers -130, Eagles +110)
    Team to score last: (Panthers -110, Eagles -110)
    First score: (Touchdown -160, FG/Safety +140)
    Total FGs made by both teams: (3.5, Over +120, Under -140)
    Longest FG made: (46, Over -120/Under +100)
    Total sacks by both teams combined: (5 Over -135, Under +115)
    Will there be a score in final 2 minutes of 1st half: (Yes -260, No +220)
    Will there be a defensive or special teams TD?: (Yes +220, No -260)
    Will there be a TD of 43 yards or more?: (Yes -125, No +105)
    Will there be a 1-yard TD?: (Yes -125, No +105)
    Will there be overtime: (Yes +1000, No -1500)
    Will there be 3 straight scores by either team: (Yes -200, No +170)


    PANTHERS AS A HOME FAVORITE

    The Panthers are 1-1 at home this season but haven't covered, pushing against Buffalo in a game they almost lost in the final seconds and getting rolled by the Saints. They were 4-3 (3-3-1 ATS) as the home chalk last season.

    Carolina played two Thursday night games, two Monday night games and a Saturday contest last season and went 2-3 but have played solely on Sunday afternoons thus far in '17.

    EAGLES AS A ROAD UNDERDOG


    Philadelphia has won just two of its last 10 road games, but snapped a run of seven straight losses in the season opener against Washington, prevailing as a 1-point favorite. The Eagles have been a dog in Kansas City and L.A., losing to the Chiefs and beating the Chargers. They went 1-5 as a road 'dog last year, but are 6-2 against the number in their last eight.

    Wentz won his only Thursday night game last season, beating the Giants at home in Week 16 a few days after Philadelphia was officially eliminated. That win started a run that has seen the Eagles win six of their last seven straight up.

    NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

    The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 7 currently has the Panthers as a 4.5-point road favorite against Chicago. The Eagles will be back on a national stage, hosting Washington for Monday night football to wrap up their season series early as they seek a sweep. Philadelphia is listed as a 6.5-point favorite.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #303
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    Thursday's Best Bet
    October 11, 2017


    NFL Week 6 TNF Best Bet (CBS, 8:25 p.m. ET)

    Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers


    A pair of 4-1 SU teams meet on TNF this week as the surging Philadelphia Eagles take their three-game winning streak on the road to Carolina.

    Both teams have looked rather impressive in recent weeks – specifically the resurgence of Cam Newton and the Panthers offense, but this is that dreaded short-week game and with both sides believing they've got a solid shot of going all the way this year after their respective starts, that extra time off after the game is that much sweeter off a win.

    HeritageSports.eu Odds: Carolina (-3); Total set at 45.5

    Philadelphia enters this week off a dominating 34-7 win over Arizona a week ago to make it three in a row in the standings (2-1 ATS). The Eagles jumped all over the Cardinals early in that game and never really looked back.

    Aside from getting the W, Philly fans have to be pleased with how their defense played as it was the first real game outside of forcing numerous turnovers in Week 1 that the Eagles defense locked things down. There was no real let up late in the game despite the big lead, and if Philadelphia wants to win the NFC East and make a deep playoff run, they'll need that defense to keep up with what the offense is doing.

    Philly has scored at least 20 points in all five games so far and four of the five saw 26+ scored.

    Cam Newton and the Panthers offense have put up 27+ in their last two games – both wins – after everyone was talking about how Newton wasn't anywhere near the same guy that won the MVP after some below average play to begin the year.

    But Carolina has seemingly found something on offense these days (albeit against the likes of New England and Detroit's defenses), and Newton himself looks a lot healthier then he did at the beginning of the year. Seeing how he and the rest of the Panthers offense comes out against this Eagles team that's filled with confidence right now will definitely be interesting.

    So, given those respective offense vs defense matchups and the fact that both teams have relatively lit up the scoreboard recently, at first glance this total of 45.5 seems a little low. Simply combining their average points per game this year gives you a number of 48.4 (27.4 for Philly, 21 for Carolina), and the majority of bettors – 80%+ according to VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers – have already taken a stance on the 'over.'

    The side money is basically split down the middle, but with the total being so heavily weighed to one side, I believe that's where we find our edge this week.

    There is no denying that both offenses have been playing well, but the Eagles commitment to defense for the entire 60 minutes last week didn't go unnoticed over here. Philly might have been 3-1 SU prior to that, but they were scraping by with 3 point wins over the likes of the Giants and Chargers because their defense was playing a soft prevent defense late in games.

    In those two wins over LA and New York, the Eagles were outscored 38-21 in the 4th quarters and that's not going to get it done against the better teams in this league. So last week, with the game very much in hand by halftime, Philly's defense made a conscious decision to not play soft the rest of the way and they ended up shutting out the Cardinals in the final two quarters.

    It's that type of play that will enable them to pile up the victories a little easier when everything goes according to plan, and I expect the same kind of defensive intensity this week. They've poured over two weeks of solid film by Carolina's offense having success, so even with it being a short week I expect them to be ready.

    Carolina had a similar problem last week when they entered the 4th up 27-10, played soft, and nearly coughed up the game. After shutting out Detroit in the 3rd frame, the Lions put up two TD's on the Panthers in the final 15 minutes to make it a game. That is not the type of defense a Ron Rivera coached team prides itself on, especially since the Panthers defense was lights out the first two weeks of the year.

    This will be the fourth straight week against a team that prefers to attack through the air, and while the points allowed numbers aren't the prettiest – 34, 30, 24, - the Panthers have improved in that regard each week. Being at home where they are 1-4-1 O/U in their last six games should help Carolina's defense even more this week, as they'll also look to control the ball with their running game and keep Carson Wentz and that Eagles attack on the sideline for as long as possible.

    With everyone jumping on their initial reaction of this total being too low for these two teams that have scored plenty of late, we've got to remember that this number is that low for a reason.

    TNF games aren't always the shootouts many expect them to be when two scoring units square off against one another – look at last week's New England/Tampa game – and with the Eagles on a 2-5 O/U run after winning by 14+, 3-8-1 O/U after allowing 15 or less, and Carolina 3-8 O/U after gaining 350+ yards, going against the grain and taking the low side of this total is the better betting option.

    Odds per - HeritageSports.eu

    Best Bet: Under 45.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #304
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    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 6

    Thursday, October 12

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (4 - 1) at CAROLINA (4 - 1) - 10/12/2017, 8:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NFL

    Week 6

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, October 12

    9:25 PM
    PHILADELPHIA vs. CAROLINA
    Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games


    *****************************

    NFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 6

    Thursday's game
    Eagles (4-1) @ Panthers (4-1)—Philly won its last three games, scoring 20+ points in all five games this year; Iggles are 2-1 on road, with only loss 27-20 at unbeaten Chiefs- they’re 34-73 on 3rd down this year (46.6%). Philly allowed only 138 rushing yards on 44 tries (3.1/carry) in its last three games- they’re 2-5 in its last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina scored 33-27 points in winning as a road underdog their last two games; Panthers are 34-68 on 3rd down this uear, also very good. Eagles won four of last six series games; they split four visits to Charlotte. NFC East teams are 6-7 vs spread outside the division, 3-2 as road underdogs; NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 2-3 as home favorites. Road team covered all five Carolina games this season.

    **************************

    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 6

    Thursday, October 12

    Philadelphia @ Carolina


    Game 103-104
    October 12, 2017 @ 8:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    137.997
    Carolina
    137.034
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    by 3 1/2
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (+3 1/2); Over


    ********************
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #305
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    NFL

    Thursday, October 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Thursday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Eagles at Panthers
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers (-3.5, 45.5)

    Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia Eagles were the darlings of the NFL during the first month of the 2016 season. That fast start was following by a lengthy tailspin, which is why the Eagles are not getting too far ahead of themselves as they prepare to visit the Carolina Panthers on Thursday night in a matchup of division leaders.

    “What we don’t know about ourselves is how we handle success. Which, I think, is more dangerous,” cornerback Malcolm Jenkins said after Philadelphia's 34-7 destruction of Arizona on Sunday. “It’s easy to start listening to the fans and the media about how good you are, but at the end of the day, it’s a race to improve every week.” The Eagles are sitting atop the NFC East with a 4-1 record, their lone loss coming at Kansas City -- the league's only unbeaten team. Like Philadelphia, the Panthers are 4-1 and alone in first place in the NFC South after squeezing out a pair of impressive three-point road wins at New England and Detroit. Cam Newton has bounced back from some early-season struggles with some superb play, but it has been overshadowed by his sexist remarks to a female reporter during a media session.

    TV:
    8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Eagles (+1.5) - Panthers (+1.5) + home field (-3) = Panthers -3

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Panthers opened as three-point home favorites and that pointspread has been bet up slightly to -3.5. The total hit betting boards at 45 and edged higher to 45.5.

    INJURY REPORT:


    Eagles - DT F. Cox (Probable, Calf), S J. Watkins (Questionable, Hamstring), DT D. Vaeao (Questionable, Wrist), DE C. Long (Questionable, Foot), DT B. Allen (Questionable, Foot), RB W. Smallwood (Doubtful, Knee), T L. Johnson (Out, Head), CB R. Darby (Out, Ankle), CB S. Jones (Out, Achilles), RB D. Sproles (I-R, Knee), RB D. Pumphrey (I-R, Hamstring), K C. Sturgis (Out, Quadricep), CB R. Goforth (I-R, Knee), WR D. Williams (I-R, Achilles).

    Panthers - CB J. Bradberry (Probable, Calf), DE M. Addison (Probable, Knee), DE J. Peppers (Probable, Shoulder), QB C. Newton (Probable, Shoulder), T M. Kalil (Probable, Ankle), RB J. Stewart (Probable, Ankle), WR D. Funchess (Probable, Knee), S D. Cox (Out, Ankle), C R. Kalil (Out, Neck), S K. Coleman (Out, Knee), TE G. Olsen (Out, Foot), DE D. Hall (Out, Knee), WR D. Byrd (Out, Forearm), CB C. Luke (Out, Ankle), CB C. Elder (I-R, Knee), T D. France (I-R, Concussion), CB T. Williams (I-R, Arm), DT D. Iddings (I-R, Shoulder), WR C. Johnson (I-R, Back).

    ABOUT THE EAGLES (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U):
    All but four of last week's 14 games were decided by six points or fewer, but Philadelphia was one of the exceptions as Wentz posted a perfect passer rating in the first quarter with three of his four touchdown passes. Tight end Zach Ertz continues to be Wentz's favorite target with 32 receptions and two touchdowns, but Torrey Smith and Nelson Agholor each hauled in long scoring strikes against a vaunted Arizona secondary. Running back LeGarrette Blount is providing balance to the offense, averaging 6.6 yards per carry over the past three games. The Eagles rank 29th against the pass but defensive tackle Fletcher Cox practiced fully Tuesday after missing the last two games.

    ABOUT THE PANTHERS (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U):
    Newton got off to a slow start while working his way back from offseason surgery on his throwing shoulder, but he has been spectacular in the past two games with a combined passer rating of 137.2 while throwing for 671 yards and six TDs. Tight end Greg Olsen was injured in Week 2 but Ed Dickson gave the position a boost with five receptions for 175 yards last week. Rookie running back Christian McCaffrey has 27 catches while wideout Devin Funchess is forming some chemistry Newton with 14 receptions and three scores over the past two games. Carolina's defense is surrendering 274 yards per game, ranking No. 1 in the NFC, while allowing 194.2 yards through the air.

    TRENDS:


    * Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
    * Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
    * Over is 13-3 in Eagles last 16 road games.
    * Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games in October.
    * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the road underdog Eagles at a rate of 55 percent and the Over is picking up 76 percent of the totals action.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #306
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    NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 6
    Monty Andrews

    The Jets can't hope to exchange offensive firepower with New England even with the Patriots struggling on the defensive end - but they certainly boast a more formidable secondary.

    New England Patriots at New York Jets (+9.5, 47.5)

    Patriots' putrid pass defense vs. Jets' shutdown secondary

    If you had told the majority of NFL bettors that the Patriots and Jets would have identical records through five games, you would probably get some strange looks. But that's exactly what has happened as the AFC East rivals do battle this Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium. Even more surprisingly, the team's point differentials aren't that far off - thanks in part to New England's strangely weak pass defense, and in part to the Jets effectively limiting opposing pass attacks.

    Nothing has come easily for the Patriots, who have seen each of their last three game decided by five points or fewer. They escaped Tampa with a 19-14 triumph over the Buccaneers, but still surrendered 319 passing yards in doing so and have allowed 1,615 yards through the air on the season, by far the most in the NFL. Opposing quarterbacks have recorded an average passer rating of 109.2 in five games against the Patriots; only the Cleveland Browns (112.4) have yielded a higher aggregate rating.

    The Jets can't hope to exchange offensive firepower with New England even with the Patriots struggling on the defensive end - but they certainly boast a more formidable secondary. The Jets rank in the middle of the pack league-wide in passing yards against per game (212), but are allowing the eighth-lowest passer rating (81.9). That number drops all the way to 56.2 at home, tied for the lowest passer rating in the league among visiting quarterbacks. If this trend continues, the Jets should keep this one close.

    Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders (OFF)

    Chargers' punishing pass pressure vs. Raiders' leaky O-line

    Things have gone sideways in Oakland, with the Raiders - pegged by some as the potential Super Bowl representative from the AFC - having lost three consecutive games and dealing with an injury to their star quarterback. Even if Derek Carr returns this week - and head coach Jack Del Rio believes he will - he'll need to get better protection than the quarterback position has received in recent weeks. That could be a big ask this week, as the Chargers bring their league-best pass pressure to town.

    Armed with two of the best young pass rushers in the game in Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, the Chargers have punished opposing quarterbacks all season long. Los Angeles enters the game with the best sack rate in the NFL, taking down the QB on 10.18 percent of opponent dropbacks through five games. The Chargers have been even more prolific on the road, registering a 12.33-percent sack rate in two games away from Los Angeles. They rank third overall in total sacks with 17; Bosa and Ingram have 12 of them.

    The Raiders haven't been able to keep the quarterback safe during their three-game losing skid. Oakland has given up a sack on 9.8 percent of dropbacks over that stretch; only five other teams have been worse at protecting the QB in that span. That dropped the team's sack allowed rate to 7.32 percent on the season, 20th-best in the league. And if the Raiders can't contain one of the top pass rushes in the league this weekend, they might struggle to end their losing ways.

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5, 46)

    Steelers' second-half woes vs. Chiefs' late scoring barrage

    It's officially panic time in Steel Town, with the Steelers looking for answers after last week's 30-17 beatdown at the hands of the visiting Baltimore Ravens. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is hinting at retirement after throwing five interceptions in the stunning loss, and things won't get any easier for him in hostile territory this Sunday. The Chiefs have been the class of the league so far, due in large part to an offense that has been much better than anyone expected it to be - particularly in the second half.

    The Steelers came into the season with high hopes on the offensive end - and having Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown on the roster doesn't hurt. But Pittsburgh is averaging fewer than 20 points per game with Roethlisberger looking like a quarterback on the downside of his career. The Steelers enter the weekend averaging a paltry 7.8 second-half points per game - sitting in the bottom quarter of the league in that category. It's a far cry from the 12 second-half points the Steelers averaged a season ago.

    Perhaps Roethlisberger and the Steelers could learn a thing or two from Alex Smith and the surprising Chiefs, who have scored a league-best 164 points through five games. Kansas City was a below-average second-half scoring unit in 2016 but has exceeded expectations so far this season, leading the league with 19.4 second-half points per game. With Pittsburgh reeling and the Chiefs rolling, Big Ben will need to be a lot better than he was last week if the Steelers have any hope of keeping things close.

    New York Giants at Denver Broncos (-11.5, 39.5)

    Giants' third-down woes vs. Broncos' drive-killing prowess

    You can find several reasons to fade the Giants this weekend at Sports Authority Field at Mile High - and it all starts with the state of the New York receiving corps. The Giants lost both Odell Beckham and Dwayne Harris for the season in last week's loss to the Chargers, while Brandon Marshall will miss multiple games and Sterling Shepard is also banged-up. The Giants were already having trouble converting on third down, and this won't make it any easier - especially against that vaunted Broncos defense.

    New York's offense has struggled for most of the season, particularly at extending drives. The Giants have converted just 36.4 percent of third-down opportunities to date, tied with Cincinnati for 24th in the NFL. It's an extension of a trend that plagued New York last season, when it placed 31st out of 32 teams in third-down conversion rate. And what's even more baffling: quarterback Eli Manning has been decent on third down this season, completing 70 percent of passes with two TDs and zero interceptions.

    He's going to need to be that accurate - or more so - this weekend as he faces a Broncos defense that has been positively brutal on opposing offenses facing third down. Denver has allowed foes to complete just 25.9 percent of third-down opportunities; only two other teams (Minnesota, Miami) have an opponent success rate below 30 percent. With most of his pass catchers on the sidelines and a fearsome Denver defense awaiting him, Manning will be in tough to improve his team's third-down numbers.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #307
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    Sunday, October 15

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    CLEVELAND (0 - 5) at HOUSTON (2 - 3) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY JETS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (2 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 1) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (3 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
    DETROIT is 131-171 ATS (-57.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 2-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GREEN BAY (4 - 1) at MINNESOTA (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (1 - 4) at BALTIMORE (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 5) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 59-92 ATS (-42.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA RAMS (3 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA RAMS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
    LA RAMS is 177-227 ATS (-72.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 177-227 ATS (-72.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    LA RAMS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    LA RAMS is 65-95 ATS (-39.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (2 - 2) at ARIZONA (2 - 3) - 10/15/2017, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 0) - 10/15/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 2-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 2-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CHARGERS (1 - 4) at OAKLAND (2 - 3) - 10/15/2017, 4:25 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
    OAKLAND is 4-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY GIANTS (0 - 5) at DENVER (3 - 1) - 10/15/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
    DENVER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
    DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
    DENVER is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday, October 16

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 3) at TENNESSEE (2 - 3) - 10/16/2017, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #308
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    Sunday, October 15

    2:00 PM
    SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
    San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    San Francisco is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games at home
    Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

    2:00 PM
    GREEN BAY vs. MINNESOTA
    Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay
    Minnesota is 3-11-1 SU in its last 15 games ,when playing Green Bay

    2:00 PM
    NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
    New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    New England is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games
    NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

    2:00 PM
    MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
    Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 13 games at home

    2:00 PM
    DETROIT vs. NEW ORLEANS
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 14 games at home

    2:00 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
    Cleveland is 2-12-1 ATS in its last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games

    2:00 PM
    CHICAGO vs. BALTIMORE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
    Chicago is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home
    Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

    5:05 PM
    LOS ANGELES vs. JACKSONVILLE
    Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games
    Jacksonville is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games

    5:05 PM
    TAMPA BAY vs. ARIZONA
    Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Arizona
    Arizona17-7-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

    5:25 PM
    PITTSBURGH vs. KANSAS CITY
    Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games at home
    Kansas City is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh

    5:25 PM
    LOS ANGELES vs. OAKLAND
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

    9:30 PM
    NY GIANTS vs. DENVER
    NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing Denver
    Denver is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
    Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


    Monday, October 16

    9:30 PM
    INDIANAPOLIS vs. TENNESSEE
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Indianapolis's last 24 games when playing Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
    Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Tennessee's last 24 games when playing Indianapolis
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #309
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    NFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 6


    Sunday's games
    Dolphins (2-2) @ Falcons (3-1)— Miami’s OL coach was fired Monday for off-field issues, which can’t help an offense that scored 3 offensive TD’s on 42 drives in their 2-2 start. Last 3 games, Miami averaged 4.1/4.0/2.8 ypa, which is hideous. Dolphins are 7-11 in last 18 games as a road underdog. Atlanta is 7-1 in its last eight post-bye games, covering five of last six; they’ve run ball for 147 ypg in last three games. Falcons are 4-11 as home favorites under Quinn. Fish are 8-4 in series, but lost 38-16/19-7 in their only two visits here in last 20 years- their last win in Atlanta was in 1980. AFC East road teams are 7-2 vs spread outside their division; NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 2-3 as home favorites. All four Miami games this year have stayed under total.

    Packers (4-1) @ Vikings (3-2)—
    Keenum played QB in 2nd half of Monday nite’s win in Chicago; Vikings haven’t allowed a first half TD in last three games (outscored foes 31-8)- they held last two opponents under 300 yards, last three opponents to 17 or less points. Minnesota is 12-3 in its last 15 games as a home underdog, 5-2 under Zimmer. Pack scored 35-35 points in last two games; Rodgers won game LW 35-31 in Dallas with last-minute drive- Green Bay is 9-7 vs spread in last 16 games as a road favorite, 5-2 in last 7 games on artificial turf. Last four GB games went over total. Green Bay is 11-3-1 in last 15 series games; they won 3 of last 4 visits to Twin Cities, but lost 17-14 in first visit to the Vikings’ new dome LY.

    Lions (3-2) @ Saints (2-2)
    — Detroit won last three series games, by 1-8-15 points; they beat Saints here the last two years, 35-27/28-13. Lions are 2-0 on road, beating Giants/Vikings, but they lost last two home games; Detroit is just 11-39 on 3rd down last three weeks- they’ve run 65 times for 218 yards (72.7 ypg) in last three games. New Orleans is 6-1-1 vs spread in its last eight post-bye games. Saints are playing only 2nd home game- they allowed total of 13 points winning last two games after an 0-2 start. NO is 5-13-1 in its last 19 games as a home favorite. NFC North teams are 8-6 vs spread outside their division, 2-1 as road dogs. NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 2-3 as home favorites.

    Patriots (3-2) @ Jets (3-2)
    — Teams are in 3-way tie with Buffalo atop AFC East. Patriots are 10-2 in last 12 series games, with both losses in OT- teams split last four meetings played here. Pats won last meeting 41-3 LY. Extra prep time for NE after Thursday night win; they’re 2-0 on foreign soil, winning 36-20 in Superdome, 19-14 in Tampa LW, first game this year Patriots held an opponent under 7.6 ypa. Jets won three in row after an 0-2 start, they’re 12-5 vs spread in last 17 games as a home underdog. Gang Green held opponents to 13 points on their last six red zone drives, but that was vs sub-par NFL QB’s (Bortles-Kizer-Hogan). NE is 8-1 in last nine games as a road favorite- they have 25 plays of 20+ yards, #2 in NFL behind Rams’ 29.

    49ers (0-5) @ Redskins (2-2
    )— Kyle Shanahan worked for Redskins with his dad from 2010-13; his 49ers lost in OT the last two weeks. Since 1997, favorites that lost the previous two weeks in OT are 4-2-1 vs spread in that 3rd game. Niners may be 0-5, but their last four losses were by 3-2-3-3 points- they’re 2-1 as road dogs. This is also their 3rd week in row on road, a historic soft spot for road teams. 49ers won last four series games, taking last two played here. Redskins’ last series win was in ’05. Redskins are 2-7 in last nine post-bye games; favorites covered 9 of their last 10 post-bye games. Washington is favored for first time this year; since 2013, they’re 5-10 vs spread as a home favorite.

    Bears (2-3) @ Ravens (3-2)
    — Trubisky was 13-26/159 passing in his NFL debut Monday night, throwing key INT in last 3:00 that cost Bears the game, but he was OK. This is his first road start- he started only 13 college games at North Carolina. Chicago is 12-36 on 3rd their last three games; they’re 0-2 on road, losing 29-7 (+7) in Tampa, 35-14 (+7) in Green Bay- they’re 12-17-1 vs spread in last 30 games as a road underdog. Ravens scored 20+ in their three wins, with a +8 TO ratio- they scored 7-9 in losses, with -5 TO ratio. Baltimore is 5-3 vs spread in its last eight games as a home favorite. Bears are 3-2 in last five series games; home side won four of last five meetings. Ravens lost 23-20 in OT in last visit here, in 2013.

    Browns (0-5) @ Texans (2-3)
    — Cleveland switched to Stanford alum Hogan at QB in 2nd half vs Jets LW- he led them on two TD drives in a 17-14 loss. Browns lost 24-10 (+7.5) at Baltimore, 31-28 (-1) at Indy in their two road games; they’re 6-11 vs spread in last 17 games as a road dog. Houston scored 33-57-34 points in last three games behind rookie QB Watson, but lost 2 of the 3; they allowed 29+ points in their three losses, 9-14 in their wins. Under O’Brien, Houston is 12-5-1 as a home favorite. Texans won five of last six series games, last of which was in 2014; Browns lost last three visits here, by 3-8-18 points. JJ Watt/Mercilus both need surgery for their injuries, big blow to the Houston defense. Since ’09, Texans are 5-3 as a double digit favorite.

    Buccaneers (2-2) @ Cardinals (2-3)
    — Arizona is 2-3 with wins by 3 points each over Colts/49ers; their losses are by 12-11-27 points- they scored two TD’s on 23 drives in their last two games, scored 14.5 ppg in last four games. Dirk Koetter returns to Phoenix (was ASU’s coach from 2001-06); his Bucs got crushed 40-7 in Week 2 here LY, Bucs’ 3rd loss in last four visits to desert- teams split last eight series games. Cardinals are 4-3 as home underdogs under Arians, 16-10 since ’07. Tampa Bay (-2.5) lost 34-17 at Minnesota, in its only road game, first time in four years they were road favorite. Bucs are 5-4 SU on road under Koetter. NFC West teams are 3-9 vs spread outside their division. NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 4-5 when favored.

    Rams (3-2) @ Jaguars (3-2)
    — Two teams having surprising success under new leadership. Jags ran ball for 155+ yards in 4 of their 5 games; their wins are by 22-37-21 points. Jags are +11 in turnovers in those three games, -1 in their two losses, giving up 37-23 points- their defense scored 3 TD’s in their last two games, same as their offense. LA scored 41-35 points in winning its two road games, throwing ball for 10.4/6.8 ypa. Rams lost 13-10 to division rival Seattle LW; they’re -5 in turnovers in two losses, +4 in three wins. Home team won all four series games; Rams lost 23-20 in OT in only visit here, in 2009. NFC West teams are 3-9 vs spread outside their division, 1-6 on road. AFC South teams are 6-5 vs spread outside their division.

    Steelers (3-2) @ Chiefs (5-0)—
    KC is best team in NFL right now, scoring 17 TD’s, trying 12 FG’s on 52 drives; none of their wins have been by less than 7 points. Under Andy Reid, Chiefs are 15-17 vs spread as home favorites, 2-0 this year. Pittsburgh is a road underdog for first time in three years; Steelers lost 2 of last 3 games, throwing five INTs in 30-9 home loss to Jaguars LW. Steelers won five of last six series games; they beat KC 18-16 here in LY’s playoffs, after crushing Chiefs 43-14 in Heinz Field during season. All five Steeler games stayed under the total; over is 3-0-2 in Chief games. Roethlisberger had one of his worst games LW, throwing five INTs with no TD’s- two of his INTs were run back for TD’s. He figures to bounce back here.

    Chargers (1-4) @ Raiders (2-3)—
    Oakland lost its last three games, scoring 10-10-17 points; their QB has a broken back, his backup lost his last six NFL starts and the defense has zero turnovers in their last two games. Raiders are 5-6 vs spread as home favorites under Del Rio. Chargers got their first win LW; four of their five games were decided by 5 or less points. Bolts are 2-0 as road underdogs this year; since ’08, they’re 30-17-2 as road dogs- four of their five games this year went over total. Oakland won last four series games, last three all by 3 points; Chargers lost 23-20ot/34-31 in last two visits here. NFL-wide, home favorites are 5-8-1 vs spread in division games. Raiders’ team total stayed under in four of their five games.

    Giants (0-5) @ Broncos (3-1)
    — New York is in freefall, starting 0-5 and now Beckham is done for the year. Maybe getting away from home will help. Giants’ last three losses are by 3-2-5 points- they ran for 152 yards LW, a positive step after averaging 59.3 ypg in first four games. Big Blue is 3-3-1 as road underdogs under McAdoo. Denver is 3-0 at home, winning by 3-25-6 points; since 2014, they’re 9-11-1 as a home favorite. Over is 3-1 in their four games. Four of five Giant games went over total. Denver won/covered six of last seven post-bye games. Giants lost four of five visits to Denver, losing last three by 14-11-20 points- their lone win in Mile High City was in ’89. This is first time since Manning retired that Denver is a double digit favorite.

    Monday's game
    Colts (2-3) @ Titans (2-3)— Status of Mariota (hamstring) makes handicapping this game dicey. Titans scored 14-10 points in losing their last two games, both on road; they split their two home games. Tennessee is 5-3 vs spread in its last eight games as a home favorite; over is 10-6-2 in their last 18 home games. Indy is 16-1 in its last 17 games with the Titans, winning last 11 in a row; they won last five visits to Nashville, by 6-3-17-2-8 points. Indy is 0-2 on road this season, losing big both times, 46-9 (+3.5) at Rams, 46-18 (+13) at Seattle- their three home games were all decided by 3 points each. Last three Colt games all went over. Colts are 30-65 on 3rd down in Brissett’s four starts, which is good, but winning on road is doubtful until Luck returns to lineup.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Sunday, October 15

    Cleveland @ Houston

    Game 251-252
    October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    127.473
    Houston
    135.559
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 8
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 10
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+10); Over

    New England @ NY Jets


    Game 253-254
    October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New England
    141.091
    NY Jets
    125.309
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 16
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 9 1/2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New England
    (-9 1/2); Over

    Miami @ Atlanta


    Game 255-256
    October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    124.045
    Atlanta
    140.892
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 16
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 11
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (-11); Over

    Detroit @ New Orleans


    Game 257-258
    October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    134.393
    New Orleans
    141.296
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 7
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4 1/2
    50
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-4 1/2); Over

    Green Bay @ Minnesota


    Game 259-260
    October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Green Bay
    141.279
    Minnesota
    129.978
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Green Bay
    by 11 1/2
    35
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Green Bay
    by 3
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Green Bay
    (-3); Under

    Chicago @ Baltimore


    Game 261-262
    October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    126.771
    Baltimore
    131.268
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baltimore
    by 4 1/2
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baltimore
    by 7
    39 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+7); Over

    San Francisco @ Washington


    Game 263-264
    October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Francisco
    126.525
    Washington
    132.174
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 5 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 10
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Francisco
    (+10); Under

    LA Rams @ Jacksonville


    Game 265-266
    October 15, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Rams
    126.743
    Jacksonville
    141.651
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 15
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 2 1/2
    42 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Jacksonville
    (-2 1/2); Over

    Tampa Bay @ Arizona


    Game 267-268
    October 15, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    131.553
    Arizona
    126.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 5
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-1); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Kansas City


    Game 269-270
    October 15, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    137.669
    Kansas City
    139.956
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 2 1/2
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    by 5
    46
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (+5); Under

    LA Chargers @ Oakland


    Game 271-272
    October 15, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Chargers
    129.935
    Oakland
    126.937
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 3
    38
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Chargers
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Chargers
    N/A

    NY Giants @ Denver


    Game 273-274
    October 15, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Giants
    128.000
    Denver
    135.984
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 8
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 12 1/2
    40
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Giants
    (+12 1/2); Under



    Monday, October 16

    Indianapolis @ Tennessee

    Game 275-276
    October 16, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indianapolis
    124.154
    Tennessee
    124.926
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 1
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tennessee
    N/A
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #311
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    NFL Record For Sept......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

    Totals...................41 - 30 - 1...........57.74%...........+ 40.00

    Best Bets:

    Best Bets Total.............7 - 6......+2.00............7 - 7.........- 3.50................- 1.50


    Dog Of The Month........1 - 0

    Total Of the Day...........1 - 0


    *******************************

    NFL Record For Oct......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

    10/09/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    10/08/2017 8-10-0 44.44% -15.00
    10/05/2017 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00
    10/02/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    10/01/2017 9-12-0 42.86% -21.00

    Totals............21 - 23 - 1....47.72%....-21.50


    Best Bets:...................ATS...................Unit s........... ..O/U.............Units...............Total

    10/09/2017.................1 - 0.................+5.00............1 - 0...........+10.00.........+10.00

    10/08/2017.................3 - 3.................-1.50.............2 - 4...........-12.00...............-13.50

    10/05/2017.................0 - 0 - 1.............0.00.............1 - 0...........+5.00................+ 5.00

    10/02/2017.................1 - 0................+5.00.............0 - 1............-5.50.................- 0.50

    10/01/2017.................4 - 4.................-2.00.............2 - 2............- 1.00.................- 3.00

    Totals.........................9 - 7 - 1............+ 6.50...........6 - 7............-8.50................-2.00

    Sunday Night 2 Team Parlay...........................0 - 2.................................-10.00


    Thursday Night 2 Team Parlay.........................

    Thursday Night Game of the month.................



    *****************************

    THURSDAY, OCTOBER 12

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    PHI at CAR 08:25 PM

    PHI +3.0 *****.......NFL Thursday Night Game of the Month


    O 45.5 *****.......Thursday night 2 team parlay
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #312
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    Wentz, Eagles hold off Panthers' late charge in win

    In a bout between two carbon-copy championship contenders, the Philadelphia Eagles (5-1) narrowly prevailed, besting the Carolina Panthers (4-2), 28-23, at Bank of America Stadium in Week 6. Here's what we learned from the close victory:

    1. Carolina had its chances. After pulling within five and forcing an Eagles punt with over five minutes to go, the Panthers embarked on a potential game-winning drive. But with Cam Newton noticeably bothered by something following his acrobatic touchdown attempt on the previous drive, the quarterback missed on multiple deep pass attempts, nearly getting picked off by Rasul Douglas on a deep overthrow and then tossing an interception to Jalen Mills on a deep overthrow of Kelvin Benjamin. After some poor clock management by Philadelphia, Carolina had another opportunity, but neglected to run the ball on third-and-short near midfield. Cam's third-down pass was deflected at the line and on fourth, the QB short-armed Christian McCaffrey across the middle. For a Panthers offense turned one-dimensional, Newton, who threw three interceptions on the night, couldn't deliver at the bell.

    2. Carson Wentz had another solid outing in a season full of them. The Eagles quarterback spread the ball around, completing a pass to eight different receivers, and continued his dalliances with tight end Zach Ertz (two more TDs) and wideout Nelson Agholor (55 yards, TD). Wentz has already mastered the ability to look off safeties and move quickly through reads, all the while proving agile in a pocket that collapsed often without right tackle Lane Johnson. Wentz took nine QB hits and three sacks, and was noticeably bothered when hurried, overthrowing his wideouts all too often. A late miss to a wide-open Ertz that would have salted away the win infuriated the second-year pro. But Wentz and his balanced Philly offense did enough against a top-tier defense to secure the victory and assume dominance atop the conference.

    "Having a full offseason under my belt, the game has really slowed down. There's still mistakes out there, there's still plenty of plays you want back. But I'm seeing things a lot quicker," Wentz said on the TNF Postgame set on NFL Network. "I'm feeling way more comfortable with the offense, with the checks and everything else that goes with it. And then also just as a team. We're all playing faster, we're playing together and ultimately, like I said, we're finding ways to win ballgames."

    3. Questionable coming into this game, Fletcher Cox was unquestionably the most dominant defender on the field on Thursday night. Cox tallied two QB hits and half a sacks and provided a crucial bull-rush of guard Trai Turner deep in Panthers territory and late in the second quarter that forced a Cam Newton interception and led to a tide-turning Eagles touchdown. The centerpiece of a Philly front seven that mauled a Carolina O-line missing starting center Ryan Kalil and eliminated the Panthers' rushing attack, holding Carolina's backs to nine (!) yards on the night, Cox, alongside Brandon Graham and Timmy Jernigan, deserves our respect.

    4. In the run game, McCaffrey has been used as a decoy, and not much else. The Panthers rookie runner (eight yards on four carries) enjoyed another quiet night on the ground. Heralded for his elusiveness coming out of Stanford, McCaffrey underwhelmed against Philly, who bottled him up and made him hesitant with his cuts on screens and punt returns. The first-year back was mostly good for opening up holes for Cam Newton on run-pass options -- though why ends and linebackers bite on the ineffective McCaffrey is beyond me. McCaffrey has been phased out of the ground game, averaging just 4.3 runs over the last four weeks, and is instead showing up as a short-yardage receiver (10 for 56 yards, TD).

    Unsurprisingly, Cam finished as Carolina's leading rusher with 71 yards. As evidenced by Newton's missed missiles at the end of the game, the quarterback can't afford to take the beating every week like he did on Thursday night. But if the ineffectiveness of McCaffrey and Jonathan Stewart (negative-four yards!) persists, that will be the inevitable outcome.

    5. Agholor is having quite a comeback season. One year after being briefly relegating to the bench, Agholor has thrived in the slot, thanks to the acquisitions of Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith. His comeback campaign continued on Thursday night, as Agholor caught four balls for 55 yards and turned on the burners on a fourth-quarter slant-and-score. Aside from Ertz, Agholor has been undoubtedly Philly's most valuable receiver this season.

    6. Speaking of valuable Eagles worthy of attention, why isn't Philadelphia riding LeGarrette Blount more? The back came into the game averaging 5.8 yards per carry and broke off multiple 10-plus-yard gains against Carolina, but too often, Doug Pederson put in third-string speedster Kenjon Barner in on first and second downs. Blount is built to create third-and-manageables; Barner is a gadget guy. Philly converted just 36 percent of their third downs on Thursday, a far cry from its league-best 53.4 percent coming in.

    7. Keep an eye on the health of Luke Kuechly. The essential Panthers linebacker suffered yet another concussion, his third in as many years, on an awkward block late in the second quarter. He was immediately placed into the concussion protocol and ruled out of the game.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  13. #313
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    NFL Record For Sept......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

    Totals...................41 - 30 - 1...........57.74%...........+ 40.00

    Best Bets:

    Best Bets Total.............7 - 6......+2.00............7 - 7.........- 3.50................- 1.50


    Dog Of The Month........1 - 0

    Total Of the Day...........1 - 0


    *******************************

    NFL Record For Oct......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )

    10/12/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    10/09/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    10/08/2017 8-10-0 44.44% -15.00
    10/05/2017 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00
    10/02/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    10/01/2017 9-12-0 42.86% -21.00

    Totals............23 - 23 - 1....50.00%....-11.50


    Best Bets:...................ATS...................Unit s........... ..O/U.............Units...............Total

    10/12/2017.................1 - 0.................+5.00............1 - 0 ..........+5.00.......+10.00

    10/09/2017.................1 - 0.................+5.00............1 - 0...........+5.00.........+10.00

    10/08/2017.................3 - 3.................-1.50.............2 - 4...........-12.00...............-13.50

    10/05/2017.................0 - 0 - 1.............0.00.............1 - 0...........+5.00................+ 5.00

    10/02/2017.................1 - 0................+5.00.............0 - 1............-5.50.................- 0.50

    10/01/2017.................4 - 4.................-2.00.............2 - 2............- 1.00.................- 3.00

    Totals.........................9 - 7 - 1............+ 6.50...........6 - 7............-8.50................-2.00

    Sunday Night 2 Team Parlay...........................0 - 2.................................-10.00

    Thursday Night 2 Team Parlay........................1 - 0.................................+12.50

    Thursday Night Game of the month................1 - 0.................................+5.00
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-13-2017 at 12:51 AM.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  14. #314
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    Sunday’s six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 6 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Atlanta Falcons, -11.5 (644)

    5) Los Angeles Rams, +2.5 (701)

    4) Denver Broncos, -11.5 (716)

    3) Detroit Lions, +5 (779)

    2) Green Bay Packers, -3 (970)

    1) Pittsburgh Steelers, +4.5 (993)

    Season record of top 6 picks: 13-17

    ***********************

    Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Rough week for big favorites:
    Syracuse (+24) 27, Clemson 24
    Boston College (+21) 45, Louisville 42
    South Alabama (+18) 19, Troy 8
    California (+14) 37, Washington State 3
    Tulsa (+13.5) 45, Houston 17
    Florida International (+13.5) 23, Tulane 10
    UConn (+9.5) 28, Temple 24

    12) Friday the 13th hijinx; If you put $10 on a Syracuse/Cal moneyline parlay Friday night, you cashed a ticket for $700.

    11) Washington State alum Klay Thompson was on the sidelines at Berkeley for the second half of the Coogs’ loss at Cal Friday night. Wazzu turned the ball over seven times; everything they tried went wrong. Just a very bad night, after they had beaten USC/Oregon their last two games.

    Warriors beat Sacramento at home earlier Friday night.

    10) South Carolina 15, Tennessee 9— Vols started a freshman QB, Vols didn’t score in second half. Vols play Alabama next; good luck with that. Just for the record, Butch Jones’ buyout is over $8M. You know someone dislikes your performance if they pay you $8M to go away.

    9) LSU 27, Auburn 23— Auburn led this game 20-0; LSU ran punt return back for a TD early in 4th quarter, then kicked two FG’s in last 2:36 for the upset win.

    8) Air Force 34, UNLV 30— Rebels led this game 30-7 in the 3rd quarter.

    7) South Florida 33, Cincinnati 3— Bulls have won their last ten games, the longest current win streak in college football.

    6) Rained so hard at the Akron-Western Michigan game that they postponed it until Sunday; the stadium had some damage with the heavy rains, they weren’t 100% sure they could play Sunday.

    5) Texas A&M 19, Florida 17— Not often you beat a good team on the road when your QB is 8-24 passing, but Aggies pulled this win out- they’re 5-2, after blowing a 44-10 lead in their opener, a hideous 45-44 loss at UCLA. At one point early in 2nd quarter, A&M had four true freshman playing in their secondary— you don’t see that very often.

    4) Ohio State 56, Nebraska 14— In its last two games, Ohio State outgained opponents 390-35 in the 1st quarter. Maybe Mike Riley can go back to Oregon State when Nebraska fires him.

    3) Oklahoma 29, Texas 24— Sooners blew a 20-0 lead, but pulled out a win; Longhorns covered the last four games in this rivalry. Two of Oklahoma’s three TD’s in this game came on plays of 50+ yards.

    2) USC 28, Utah 27— Utes scored a TD with 0:42 left to make score 28-27 USC, then went for two points and the lead— they failed on the attempt. I’ve said this before in this spot, but I really dislike this play— it is the macho thing to do, but if you’re the underdog, keep the game going as long as possible, plus this— YOU’RE ON NATIONAL TV!!!! National TV exposure is PRICELESS.

    1) Army 28, Eastern Michigan 27— Eagles did the same thing as Utah, except with 0:49 left; this is even more of a blunder against a service academy, since chances are you have a better kicker than they do, as far as overtime goes. Army didn’t complete one pass (0-5) in this game, so they weren’t gonna score in the last 0:49 of regulation.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    SuperContest Picks - Week 6
    October 14, 2017


    The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.

    Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

    The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

    This year's contest has 2,748, which is an all-time record.

    Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.

    Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5

    Week 6

    1) Pittsburgh +4.5 (993)
    2) Green Bay -3 (970)
    3) Detroit +5 (779)
    4) Denver -11.5 (716)
    5) L.A. Rams +2.5 (701)

    SUPERCONTEST WEEK 6 MATCHUPS & ODDS
    Away Team Selections Home Team Selections

    Philadelphia (+3.5) 298 Carolina (-3.5) 206
    Cleveland (+9.5) 449 Houston (-9.5) 415
    New England (-9) 521 N.Y. Jets (+9) 493
    Miami (+11.5) 181 Atlanta (-11.5) 644
    Detroit (+5) 779 New Orleans (-5) 579
    Green Bay (-3) 970 Minnesota (-3) 409
    Chicago (+6.5) 383 Baltimore (-6.5) 523
    San Francisco (+10) 516 Washington (-10) 358
    L.A. Rams (+2.5) 701 Jacksonville (-2.5) 493
    Tampa Bay (-2.5) 444 Arizona (-2.5) 558
    Pittsburgh (+4.5) 993 Kansas City (-4.5) 572
    L.A. Chargers (+3.5) 613 Oakland (-3.5) 186
    N.Y. Giants (+11.5) 244 Denver (-11.5) 716
    Indianapolis (+6.5) 263 Tennessee (-6.5) 173


    WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS
    Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage

    1 0-5 0-5 0%
    2 3-2 3-7 30%
    3 2-3 5-10 33%
    4 4-1 9-11 45%
    5 1-4 10-15 40%
    6 - - -
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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