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Thread: Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/7

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, August 7

    Good Luck on day #218 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Astros 7, Blue Jays 6— Houston scored four runs in bottom of the 9th.

    — Rays 2, Brewers 1— Tampa Bay scored 2 runs all weekend, salvaged this game.

    — Cal Poly basketball coach Joe Callero has 15 siblings; fifteen!!!!

    — A’s OF Matt Joyce loses two days’ pay (roughly $61K) for using a gay slur towards a fan who was heckling him. Seems a bit excessive, but that is today’s world.

    — RIP Darren Daulton 55, former Phillies’ catcher who passed away Sunday from cancer. Once saw him break his bat and hit an opposite field HR in the Eastern League, in a steady downpour. Strong guy. Good catcher. RIP.

    — If baseball playoffs started today (they do not), they would be:
    NL: Washington-Chicago-Los Angeles. Wild Cards: Colo-Ariz
    AL: Boston-Cleveland-Houston Wild Cards; NY/KC


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Random post-vacation thoughts

    13) Saw an underrated athletic feat this weekend; for some reason, the Saints had a portable basketball goal on the line in the back of the end zone. Drew Brees stood on the 10-yard line, 20 yards away, and swished three footballs in a row into the basket from the 10-yard line.

    20 yards is 60 feet; half court on a regulation court is 47 feet, so basically Brees made three shots in a row from the backcourt, using a football. Not bad.

    12) Rental car return at the Cleveland airport was ridiculously busy Sunday morning, even at 6am. Quick turnaround last night; speeches ended just before midnight, then I’m out of the hotel and off to the airport by 4:45 Sunday morning. Not great planning on my part.

    11) A college teammate of LaDanian Tomlinson said on Twitter this weekend that LT was so intense, he wore a mouthpiece while lifting weights. Never heard of that before.

    10) Terrell Davis played two years at Long Beach State, including a red-shirt year under the great coach George Allen, but a year after Allen passed away, Long Beach State dropped football and Davis transferred to Georgia, luckily for him.

    9) Dodgers are 44-7 in their last 51 games, the best 51-game stretch for any big league team since 1912.

    8) Unusual that Morten Andersen is the all-time leading scorer for both the Falcons/Saints, who have the most underrated rivalry in the NFL, having come into the league a year apart in the 60’s. Anderson’s speech Saturday night was full of good humor— former Michigan State football teammate, baseball star Kirk Gibson was in Canton to support him.

    No, I didn’t make an effort to meet Gibson, whose home run ruined the 1988 World Series for me.

    7) The fewest interceptions by any cornerback in the Hall of Fame? 40. Darrelle Revis only has 29 in his career, so he’ll have to buck a trend to make the Hall, either that or pick off a lot more passes the rest of his career.

    6) A’s traded 1B Yonder Alonso to Seattle for journeyman Boog Powell; Alonso played very well for the A’s for two years, but he is a free agent-to-be, which in Oakland means……..good-bye.

    5) Mitchell Robinson, one of the best incoming freshman basketball players this fall, got his release from Western Kentucky and will go to LSU, which also got the kid from Southern Utah who wants to be a graduate transfer. LSU should be pretty good this winter.

    Western Kentucky had hired Robinson’s godfather as an assistant coach, but he left earlier this summer and now the kid is gone too. Maybe WKU is better off.

    4) Listened to Alex Rodriguez for a while on TV this weekend, broadcasting on FOX; he does a good job analyzing baseball. I mean, the guy doesn’t need the money, so he must enjoy the work.

    3) Jay Cutler officially signed a 1-year deal with the Dolphins, delaying his broadcast career. I feel bad for Miami backup QB Matt Moore, who is a capable player, because Cutler didn’t sign up to sit on the bench. Moore could start for a few NFL teams.

    Cutler gets $10M for this season, by the way. Not bad.

    2) Justin Turner’s baseball career:
    2009-13, Orioles/Mets: 8 home runs/926 plate appearances, .322 OB%
    2014-17: Dodgers: 63 home runs in 1,737 plate appearances, .379 OB%

    1) Some writers were complaining Saturday night about the length of the Hall of Fame speeches; Kurt Warner’s speech didn’t start until after 11pm. Only suggestion I can think of is players-only give speeches. I don’t need to hear that Jerry Jones was hung over when he decided to buy the Cowboys, and I don’t need to hear him to thank Rupert Murdoch, either.

    All seven speeches lasted at least 19:30; Jones had the longest speech, at 36:46.

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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Monday, August 7



    St. Louis @ Kansas City

    Game 963-964
    August 7, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    (Mrtinez) 16.316
    Kansas City
    (Kennedy) 14.621
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -120
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-120); Over

    Milwaukee @ Minnesota


    Game 961-962
    August 7, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    (Suter) 13.371
    Minnesota
    (Santana) 15.901
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -125
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-125); Under

    Detroit @ Pittsburgh


    Game 959-960
    August 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    (Zmmrmnn) 13.376
    Pittsburgh
    (Williams) 16.059
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 2 1/2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -155
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-155); Over

    Baltimore @ LA Angels


    Game 957-958
    August 7, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baltimore
    (Bundy) 15.297
    LA Angels
    (Ramirez) 16.958
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Angels
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Angels
    -130
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Angels
    (-130); Under

    Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco


    Game 955-956
    August 7, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago Cubs
    (Arrieta) 17.089
    San Francisco
    (Moore) 14.032
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    by 3
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -200
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago Cubs
    (-200); Over

    San Diego @ Cincinnati


    Game 953-954
    August 7, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Diego
    (Chacin) 11.856
    Cincinnati
    (Adleman) 15.293
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 3 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cincinnati
    -125
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (-125); Under

    Miami @ Washington


    Game 951-952
    August 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    (O'Grady) 14.788
    Washington
    (Scherzer) 16.134
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    N/A
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2017 at 12:22 PM.

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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, August 7



    National League
    Marlins @ Nationals
    O’Grady is 2-1, 5.40 in five starts this year (under 3-2). Miami won both his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1-1

    Scherzer is 4-0, 2.56 in his last seven starts; he left his last outing with neck spasms. His last six starts went over. Washington is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-7-1

    Marlins are 7-4 in last 11 games; their last four games stayed under. Marlins are 8-10 in road series openers. Washington is 4-5 in last nine games; over is 6-3 in last nine home games. Nationals are 2-6 in last eight home series openers.

    Padres @ Reds
    Chacin is 5-0, 2.04 in his last six starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Padres are 5-2 in his last seven road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-3

    Stephenson is 0-2, 5.28 in three starts this year (under 3-0); Reds lost his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1-1

    San Diego lost three of last four games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight. Padres are 5-12 in road series openers. Cincinnati lost three of last four games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Reds are 8-6 in last 14 home series openers.

    Cubs @ Giants
    Arrieta is 2-1, 2.73 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Cubs are 4-7 in his last 11 road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-3

    Moore is 0-4, 6.45 in his last seven starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Giants are 1-6 in his last even home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-16-4

    Chicago lost four of last five games; their last four road games stayed under. Cubs are 6-2 in last eight road series openers. Giants lost five of last seven games; over is 4-1 in their last five.

    ——————————–

    American League

    Orioles @ Angels
    Bundy is 2-0, 4.19 in his last three starts; over is 8-1 in his last nine starts. Orioles are 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-2

    Ramirez is 3-2, 2.48 In his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Angels are 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-5

    Baltimore won seven of last nine games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Orioles are 2-5 in last seven home series openers. Angels won six of their last eight home games, but lost last two; five of their last seven games overall went over.

    __________________________

    Interleague
    Tigers @ Pirates
    Zimmerman is 2-1, 3.33 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Detroit is 3-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-10

    Williams is 1-1, 4.28 in his last five starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight. Pirates are 3-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-2

    Tigers won six of last nine games; under is 4-2 in their last six. Detroit is 4-7 in last 11 road series openers. Pittsburgh won three of last four games; under is 17-3-1 in last 21 home games. Pirates are 8-10 in home series openers.

    Brewers @ Twins
    Suter is 2-1, 2.80 in his last six starts (under 5-2). Brewers are 1-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-2-1

    Santana is 2-2, 3.97 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Twins are 4-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-3

    Brewers won three of last four games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Milwaukee is 10-8 in road series openers. Minnesota is 0-8 in game following its last eight wins; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Twins are 9-9 in home series openers.

    Cardinals @ Royals
    Martinez is 1-1, 4.88 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Cardinals are 3-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11-2

    Kennedy is 1-1, 7.07 in his last three starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven home starts. Royals are 4-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-11-3

    St Louis is 8-5 in last 13 games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Cardinals are 6-11 in road series openers. Royals lost five of last seven games; over is 3-1 in their last four. KC is 10-8 in home series openers.

    ______________________________

    Record with this pitcher starting:
    National League
    Mia-Wsh: O’Grady 4-1; Scherzer 14-8
    SD-Cin: Chacin 13-9; Stephenson 1-2
    Chi-SF: Arrieta 11-11; Moore 6-16

    American League
    Balt-LAA: Bundy 13-8; Ramirez 12-9

    Interleague
    Det-Pitt: Zimmerman 8-13; Williams 7-9
    Mil-Min: Suter 3-4; Santana 12-10
    StL-KC: Martinez 10-12; Kennedy 10-10

    Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
    National League
    Mia-Wsh: O’Grady 2-5; Scherzer 7-22
    SD-Cin: Chacin 8-22; Stephenson 1-3
    Chi-SF: Arrieta 6-22; Moore 8-22

    American League
    Balt-LAA: Bundy 3-21; Ramirez 10-21

    Interleague
    Det-Pitt: Zimmerman 8-21; Williams 5-16
    Mil-Min: Suter 0-7; Santana 4-22
    StL-KC: Martinez 9-22; Kennedy 4-20

    _________________________

    Umpires
    National League

    American League

    Interleague

    Interleague play
    NL @ AL– 58-44 AL, favorites -$653
    AL @ NL– 58-51 NL, favorites -$401
    Total: 109-102 AL, favorites -$1,054

    Totals in interleague games
    NL @ AL: Over 52-50-2
    AL @ NL: Over 61-45-4
    Total: Over 113-95-6

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/6/17
    Ariz 21-22-15……30-15–9……….51-37
    Atl 21-26-8……19-28-7………..40-54
    Cubs 25-26-4……25-21-9………..50-47
    Reds 18-32-5……..20-31–5……….38-63
    Colo 29-21-6…….31-21-3………..60-42
    LA 26-18-7…….38-16-6……….64-34
    Miami 23-25-6…….27-21-7………50-46
    Milw 28-19-8…….29-21-8………56-40
    Mets 24-26-3……..23-29-4………47-55
    Philly 13-33-12……20-24-7……….33-57
    Pitt 26-25-4…….21-26-9………47-51
    St. Louis 21-25-8……31-17-9…………52-42
    SD 16-32-6……..27-23–6……….43-55
    SF 12-37-8……..21-27-8……….36-64
    Wash 35-18-5……23-21-7………….58-39

    Orioles 19-29-4……..26-27-5………45-56
    Boston 21-27-7………27-27-2…….48-54
    White Sox 19-32-8……..18-29–3……..37-60
    Cleveland 27-20-6……..27-20-7……..53-40
    Detroit 22-27-9…….25-22-5……..47-49
    Astros 27-18-8……..36-19-4……..63-37
    KC 18-26-8………23-22-12…….41-48
    Angels 20-27-8………25-21-11………45-48
    Twins 29-16-8………24-28-6……..53-43
    NYY 22-31-5……….29-20-3…..…51-51
    A’s 21-28-7……..23-24-10……..44-52
    Seattle 19-28-8……..30-19-9……..49-47
    TB 28-20-10……..33-14-7……..61-34
    Texas 27-20-10……..24-22-8………51-42
    Toronto 23-32-3……..18-26-8……..41-58

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/6/17)
    Ariz 17-56……..21-54………..37
    Atl 12-55……..15-54………..27
    Cubs 14-55……..20-55……….34
    Reds 21-55……..22-55……….42
    Colo 14-56……..20-56..…….34
    LA 16-51……..22-59..……..38
    Miami 24-54……..18-55………42
    Milw 20-55……23-58…..…..43
    Mets 23-53……..18-56……….41
    Philly 16-58……..14-52……….30
    Pitt 16-55……..18-56……….34
    StL 12-54……..18-56………..30
    SD 21-54……..17-56…………38
    SF 14-57……..16-56…………30
    Wash 24-58……..22-51……….46

    Orioles 7-53……..19-59……….26
    Boston 17-56……..13-56………30
    White Sox 16-59……12-50……….28
    Clev 10-53……..19-56………29
    Detroit 14-58…….20-53………34
    Astros 17-53……..24-58……….41
    KC 11-53……..10-57………..21
    Angels 21-56…….15-57………..35
    Twins 12-51……..13-57……….25
    NYY 13-58……..15-52………28
    A’s 13-56……..19-57………32
    Seattle 18-54…….20-59………38
    TB 18-58……..20-55……..38
    Texas 21-57……..25-53………46
    Toronto 19-58……..12-54………31
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2017 at 12:23 PM.

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    MLB

    Monday, August 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:05 PM
    MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
    Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

    7:05 PM
    DETROIT vs. PITTSBURGH
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games at home
    Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

    7:10 PM
    SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
    San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing San Diego

    8:10 PM
    MILWAUKEE vs. MINNESOTA
    Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    8:15 PM
    ST. LOUIS vs. KANSAS CITY
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
    Kansas City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Kansas City is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis

    10:07 PM
    BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 16 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Angels's last 18 games when playing Baltimore
    LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

    10:08 PM
    CHI CUBS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
    Chi Cubs are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games
    Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing San Francisco
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
    San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2017 at 12:24 PM.

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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, August 7


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (52 - 57) at WASHINGTON (65 - 44) - 7:05 PM
    CHRIS O'GRADY (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 5-4 (+2.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

    CHRIS O'GRADY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
    O'GRADY is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    MAX SCHERZER vs. MIAMI since 1997
    SCHERZER is 6-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.044.
    His team's record is 8-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN DIEGO (49 - 61) at CINCINNATI (45 - 66) - 7:10 PM
    JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. TIM ADLEMAN (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN DIEGO is 117-155 (+1.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 35-38 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SAN DIEGO is 70-84 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 30-25 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CHACIN is 13-9 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    CHACIN is 10-5 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
    CHACIN is 10-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
    CINCINNATI is 397-365 (-85.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

    JHOULYS CHACIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
    CHACIN is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.021.
    His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)

    TIM ADLEMAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO CUBS (58 - 52) at SAN FRANCISCO (44 - 69) - 10:15 PM
    JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 58-52 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 13-18 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 262-315 (-68.2 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 808-764 (-158.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 115-66 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday since 1997.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 44-69 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 45-53 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 25-31 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 29-43 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 29-47 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 15-28 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    MOORE is 6-16 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    MOORE is 7-24 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO CUBS is 3-1 (+1.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

    JAKE ARRIETA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
    ARRIETA is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.97 and a WHIP of 0.942.
    His team's record is 4-3 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

    MATT MOORE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    MOORE is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALTIMORE (55 - 56) at LA ANGELS (55 - 57) - 10:05 PM
    DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. JC RAMIREZ (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    BALTIMORE is 54-79 (-25.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
    LA ANGELS are 55-57 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    LA ANGELS are 55-25 (+20.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
    LA ANGELS are 221-170 (+42.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
    LA ANGELS are 43-40 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    LA ANGELS are 31-25 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    LA ANGELS are 22-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 143-130 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 101-90 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 31-23 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    DYLAN BUNDY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
    No recent starts.

    JC RAMIREZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (51 - 59) at PITTSBURGH (54 - 57) - 7:05 PM
    JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 29-43 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 33-42 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 98-116 (-30.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 26-32 (-8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    ZIMMERMANN is 1-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.389.
    His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)

    TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. DETROIT since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (59 - 54) at MINNESOTA (53 - 56) - 8:10 PM
    BRENT SUTER (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 34-29 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 59-54 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 65-62 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 28-27 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 11-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 39-31 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 46-44 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 29-25 (+8.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    MINNESOTA is 112-159 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 35-55 (-21.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 25-33 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 124-145 (-41.6 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
    MINNESOTA is 9-18 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
    MINNESOTA is 22-44 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SANTANA is 2-9 (-10.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    SANTANA is 8-18 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    SANTANA is 3-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    SANTANA is 1-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    BRENT SUTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    No recent starts.

    ERVIN SANTANA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    SANTANA is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 7.41 and a WHIP of 1.941.
    His team's record is 0-3 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (55 - 56) at KANSAS CITY (57 - 53) - 8:15 PM
    CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 55-56 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ST LOUIS is 11-20 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 93-92 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 41-45 (-10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    ST LOUIS is 68-71 (-19.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    MARTINEZ is 11-17 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    KANSAS CITY is 57-53 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 79-52 (+26.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 32-25 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 22-13 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 38-35 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 43-34 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 32-25 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    ST LOUIS is 72-63 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 31-27 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 276-392 (-107.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    MARTINEZ is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    IAN KENNEDY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
    KENNEDY is 3-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.556.
    His team's record is 3-5 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.8 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2017 at 12:25 PM.

  7. #7
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    MLB Daily Line Drive: Monday's picks, betting odds and analysis


    Double-Play Picks

    Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-310, 8)


    The Marlins visit the nation's capital today for the first of four games against the National League East leading Washington Nationals. Welcome to town, Miami - here's Max Scherzer. Good luck.

    These two clubs met last week in Florida with the Marlins taking two of the three games and "Mad Max" only lasted one inning in his start during that series after being removed with a stiff neck. That can only mean bad news for The Fish today as Scherzer is well rested and will be more cranky than usual after having to endure a week of rehab/treatment.

    The Nats have lost both of Scherzer's starts against the Marlins this season, but it's certainly no fault of his. In his first outing against Miami he flirted with a no-no and last week he only participated in one inning. His combined numbers this season against the Marlins add up to nine innings pitched, zero earned runs, two hits allowed, 11 strikeouts, and one walk.

    Lefty hurler Chris O'Grady will get the start today for the Marlins and he has just five major league starts under his belt. O'Grady was actually the opposing starter in the game last week that Scherzer was removed from after only one inning. He didn't exactly run with the opportunity - instead he gave up six runs, seven hits, and two walks in only three innings of work.

    One thing to really watch for from O'Grady today is his walk total. In two career starts on the road he has an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.70 and a major contributing factor to these high numbers is that he has allowed eight bases on balls in just 10 innings of road work. That is 7.2 walks per nine innings - not a good number.

    The Nationals own the top run producing offense in the National League, averaging 5.486 runs per game and their team batting average is higher against left-handed pitching (.281) than against righties (.272).

    Pick: Nationals -1.5 (-110)

    San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds (-115, 9.5)


    The Padres and Reds open their four-game series Monday evening with a meeting of two starting pitchers headed in exact opposite directions.

    San Diego has won all three previous meetings with Cincinnati this season and will send their ace to the mound today on the road at Great American Ball Park. Jhoulys Chacin is as hot as they come in the category of major league starting pitchers right now. The Padres have won Chacin's last six starts and they closed as underdogs in every one of them. Guess What? They're dogs again today.

    Chacin has not allowed more than three earned runs in a start since May 23 and during his current six-game team winning streak he owns an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 1.0935.

    Critics of Padres backers today will point to Chacin's 7.35 road ERA this season, but over his last three starts on the road he has an ERA of just 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.982. He appears to have figured it out.

    The Reds will counter with right-hander Tim Adleman and he hasn't done much of anything right this season other than eat up innings and assist the Reds in securing a better draft position. Adleman's team win/loss this season is 7-12 and his ERA currently sits at 5.42. Over his last four starts he has an ERA of 8.27 and a WHIP of 1.742.

    Keeping the ball in the ballpark is a big issue for Adleman as he has surrendered at least one home run in 12 consecutive starts and has allowed 24 home runs in 20 starts this season.

    The Reds have lost eight of Adleman's last 10 starts and it won't get any easier today with an emerging star opposing him.

    Pick: Padres +105

    Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
    Season To Date: 106-97-12



    Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

    Streaking:
    JC Ramirez, Los Angeles Angels (10-9, 4.03 ERA, $476)

    This isn't exactly the highest profile Streaking Starter, but JC Ramirez has been very good for the Angels and deserves a bit of shine.

    The Halos have won two of his last three starts and during those three appearances he owns an ERA of 1.31 in 20.2 innings of work. His high walk rate continues to be a bit of an issue, but if he keeps inducing ground balls and double plays all will be forgiven.

    Ramirez and the Angels are -125 favorites at home against the Orioles tonight.

    Slumping:
    Matt Moore, San Francisco Giants (3-11, 5.80 ERA, $-1159)

    Giants' starter Matt Moore is a regular in the Slumping Starter section and with a team loss in his last start he has actually surpassed teammate Madison Bumgarner as the least profitable starting pitcher in all of baseball at $-1159.

    The Giants have lost 10 of Moore's last 13 outings and tonight he will get the National League Central leading Chicago Cubs as a big +165 home underdog.

    Monday's Top Trends

    * Over is 11-0 in the Detroit Tigers' last 11 vs. National League Central. Tigers/Pirates Total: 9.
    * Under is 12-3 in the Milwaukee Brewers' last 15 road games. Brewers/Twins Total: 9.
    * Over is 9-0 in the St. Louis Cardinals last nine interleague games. Cardinals/Royals Total: 9.
    * The Chicago Cubs are 11-1 in their last 12 road games. -185 today @ Giants.

    Weather To Keep An Eye On

    There is a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms late this afternoon/early this evening in D.C. where the Nats are scheduled to take on the Marlins. It's should clear out in time for first pitch, but thunderstorms are very unpredictable.

    As usual, the wind will be blowing straight out to center field tonight (12-16 miles per hour) at AT&T Park in San Francisco. The total for tonight's game between the Cubs and Giants is currently set at 8.

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