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Thread: Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/1

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, August 1

    Good Luck on day #212 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the college basketball national title next April……

    40-1— Gonzaga, Butler

    60-1— Notre Dame, Virginia

    80-1– Purdue, St Mary’s

    100-1— Minnesota, Syracuse

    200-1— Georgetown, Providence

    300-1— Tennessee


    **********

    Armadillo:Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) I went to a minor league baseball game with my friend Mike last night; Colorado Springs-Las Vegas, AAA teams of the Brewers-Mets. Solid entertainment for $11, and we sat under the misting machines, making it seem cooler than it was (100 degrees).

    12) Brett Phillips plays CF for Colorado Springs; he has a GREAT throwing arm. Threw out a guy at third from deep right-center. Damn near threw a guy out at the plate from the warning track in left-center. He went 8-35 in 15 games for Milwaukee; he had three hits last night, and looks like a good prospect down the road.

    11) Was hoping to see Mets’ SS prospect Amed Rosario play last night, but he got the call to the majors Monday and will be with the Mets in Denver tonight.

    10) White Sox 7, Blue Jays 6— Toronto scored 7 in bottom of the ninth to win 11-10 Sunday, then they blew a 6-0 lead in this game.

    9) LaDanian Tomlinson is getting into the Pro Football Hall of Fame this weekend, but the Chargers aren’t letting his longtime teammates Philip Rivers/Antonio Gates go to Canton for the ceremonies. Apparently it is normal for teammates to go to these events, but new coach Anthony Lynn wants his two veterans at practice Saturday.

    8) Landry Shamet, MVC Freshman of the Year last year, broke his foot and will be out until around Thanksgiving, tough news for Wichita State as they move up to the AAC this season.

    7) Orioles traded for pitcher Jeremy Hellickson last week, but he got into a car accident on the way to the airport and hasn’t pitched for Baltimore yet.

    6) Phillies are 21-19 against the NL East, 18-45 against everyone else. Oy.

    5) Braves fought like hell to get to .500 at 45-45, but they’re 3-11 since then and looked like a very tired team during their 7-6 loss in Philly Monday afternoon.

    4) It is widely assumed that David Ortiz will get into the Hall of Fame when the time comes, but I’m adamant that if Ortiz gets in, then Edgar Martinez should, too. Next year is the last year on the ballot for Martinez. Seattle isn’t a media hub like Boston- that shouldn’t penalize him.

    3) I’m wondering when trades are made in the major leagues, how similar is it to fantasy trades you make with your friends? Do guys call each other late at night to negotiate? Do they get mad if they think a team is busting their chops?

    Obviously the stakes are much higher but lot of these guys know each other; some teams trade a lot more with one team than others.

    2) Since I’m a longtime A’s fan (1965), some thoughts on the Sonny Gray trade:
    — I never would’ve traded with New York, just on principle. Screw them.
    — 2 of the 3 players the A’s got back are hurt; Fowler has a ruptured patellar tendon, the pitcher is recovering from Tommy John surgery. No bueno
    — I mentioned Brett Phillips earlier; would’ve liked to get him instead of someone who won’t be playing baseball until 2019 (Fowler).
    — Jorge Mateo is in AA, but gets high grades as a prospect, probably a center fielder.
    — When you root for a small market team, July 31 is a bad day. Plain and simple.

    1) Thought the Astros would do more than add Francisco Liriano; they put McCullers on the DL, so unless they can add a starter in a waivers deal in August, their pitching going into the playoffs is going to be extremely shaky.

  3. #3
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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, August 1


    National League
    Reds @ Pirates
    Bailey is 0-3, 9.56 in his last three starts (over 4-3). Reds split his four road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-5-1

    Taillon is 1-2, 10.54 in his last three starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven. Pirates are 3-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-5-3

    Reds lost six of last seven games, are 5-13 in road series openers. Over is 5-1 in their last six games. Pittsburgh lost four of last five games; 7-9 in home series openers. Under is 14-1 in their last 15 home games.

    Nationals @ Marlins
    Scherzer is 4-0, 2.63 in his last six starts, last five of which went over. Washington is 8-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-1

    O’Grady is 2-1, 3.68 in four starts this year (under 3-1). Marlins are 1-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1-1

    Nationals are 6-3 in last nine games; under is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Miami won four of last six games; over is 6-2 in their last eight.

    Dodgers @ Braves
    Maeda is 3-0, 2.40 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Dodgers are 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-5-1

    Sims is making his MLB debut; he was 7-4, 3.75 in 19 AAA starts this season.

    Dodgers won their last eight games, are 7-1 in last eight road series openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Atlanta lost three of last four games; they’re 12-5 in home series openers. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games.

    Cardinals @ Brewers
    Martinez is 1-1, 5.63 in his last four starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. St Louis is 3-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-10-2

    Nelson is 1-1, 4.18 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Milwaukee is 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-10-2

    Cardinals won five of last seven games, are 6-9 in road series openers. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Milwaukee lost four of last five games; they’re 10-7 in home series openers. Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games.

    Diamondbacks @ Cubs
    Corbin is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Arizona is 2-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-10-3

    Lester is 3-0, 2.05 in his last three starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Cubs are 7-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-10-4

    Arizona is 5-1 in game following its last six losses; they’re 10-6 in road series openers. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Cubs won five of last six games, are 6-11 in home series openers. Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

    Mets @ Rockies
    Matz is 0-3, 14.18 in his last four starts; his last three starts went over. Mets are 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-6-1

    Hoffman is 1-2, 9.90 in his last four starts, last three of which went over. Colorado is 3-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-5

    Mets lost four of last five games, are 9-7 in road series openers. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Colorado won six of last seven home games, are 12-4 in home series openers. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

    ——————————–

    American League
    Royals @ Orioles
    Kennedy is 3-0, 3.72 in his last six starts; over is 11-3-1 in his last 15. Royals are 6-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-3

    Bundy is 1-2, 8.55 in his last four starts; over is 8-0 in his last eight starts. Orioles are 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-2

    Royals are 10-2 in last 12 games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Baltimore is 9-5 in last 14 games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

    Detroit @ New York
    Sanchez is 1-1, 7.05 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Tigers are 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-2-1

    Sabathia is 2-0, 2.94 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. New York is 6-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-1

    Tigers are 4-8 in last 12 games; over is 6-2 in their last eight road games. New York is 9-2 in last 11 games- three of their last four games stayed under.

    Indians @ Red Sox
    Carrasco is 1-1, 3.91 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Indians are 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-1

    Sale is 5-1, 1.46 in his last seven starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Boston is 7-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-3-6

    Cleveland won nine of its last 11 games; over is 7-5 in their last 12. Boston lost six of last nine games; under is 14-3-1 in last 18 games at Fenway Park.

    Mariners @ Rangers
    Ramirez is making his first start for Seattle; he was 3-2, 6.52 in eight starts for the Rays, last of which was June 21. Over is 6-2 in his starts.

    Martinez is 3-0, 3.64 in his last three starts, last of which was June 25 (under 7-4). Texas is 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-6-1

    Mariners won seven of last eight road games; under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Texas lost six of last eight home games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games.

    Rays @ Astros
    Archer is 0-1, 4.21 in his last four starts; under is 7-5-1 in his last 13. Rays are 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-4-5

    Fiers is 2-2, 2.89 in his last five starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Astros are 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-3

    Rays lost five of last six road games; under is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games. Houston lost three of last five games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

    Blue Jays @ White Sox
    Stroman is 1-0, 2.77 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Toronto is 6-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-9-1

    Pelfrey is 0-4, 6.43 in his last six starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Chicago is 3-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-8-2

    Toronto won five of last eight games; four of their last five games went over. White Sox are 3-13 since All-Star Game; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

    __________________________

    Interleague
    Giants @ A’s
    Samardzija is 1-2, 6.29 in his last four starts; over is 6-4-1 in his last 11. Giants are 4-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-12-6

    Manaea is 1-1, 4.05 in his last four starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Oakland is 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-4

    Giants lost their last six road games; under is 3-2 in their last five games. Oakland won its last three games; over is 3-0-2 in their last five.

    Phillies @ Angels
    Nola is 5-1, 1.49 in his last seven starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Phillies are 3-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-3-5

    Nolasco is 0-3, 8.38 in his last four starts; under is 11-6-1 in his last 18. Angels are 3-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-11-4

    Phillies won last five games, are 7-10 in road series openers. Under is 9-6-1 in their last 16 road games. Angels lost four of last six games, are 5-12 in home series openers. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    Twins @ Padres
    Berrios is 2-3, 7.58 in his last six starts (under 10-3-1). Twins lost his last four road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-1

    Chacin is 4-0, 2.54 in his last five starts; over is 2-0-1 in his last three. San Diego is 7-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-2

    Twins lost six of last seven games, are 1-4 in last five road series openers. Over is 5-1-2 in their last eight games. San Diego won four of last five games; they’re 11-7 in home series openers- their last three games stayed under.

    ______________________________

    Record with this pitcher starting:
    National League
    Cin-Pitt: Bailey 2-5; Taillon 7-7
    Wsh-Mia: Scherzer 14-7; O’Grady 3-1
    LA-Atl: Maeda 12-4; Sims 0-0
    StL-Mil: Martinez 10-11; Nelson 11-10
    Az-Chi: Corbin 10-11; Lester 13-9
    NY-Colo: Matz 3-6; Hoffman 7-5

    American League
    KC-Balt: Kennedy 10-9; Bundy 12-9
    Det-NYY: Sanchez 4-3; Sabathia 13-4
    Clev-Bos: Carrasco 15-5; Sale 15-6
    Sea-Tex: Ramirez 0-0 (6-2); Darvish 9-13
    TB-Hst: Archer 11-11; Fiers 12-8
    Tor-Chi: Stroman 13-8; Pelfrey 6-11

    Interleague
    SF-A’s: Samardzija 8-13; Manaea 9-10
    Phil-LA: Nola 8-8; Nolasco 5-16
    Minn-SD: Berrios 9-5; Chacin 12-9 (5-0 last 5)

    Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
    National League
    Cin-Pitt: Bailey 5-7; Taillon 2-14
    Wsh-Mia: Scherzer 5-21; O’Grady 2-4
    LA-Atl: Maeda 6-16; Sims 0-0
    StL-Mil: Martinez 8-21 (5 of last 5); Nelson 3-21
    Az-Chi: Corbin 11-21; Lester 9-22
    NY-Colo: Matz 4-9 (4 of last 4); Hoffman 4-12

    American League
    KC-Balt: Kennedy 3-19; Bundy 3-21
    Det-NYY: Sanchez 1-7; Sabathia 4-17
    Clev-Bos: Carrasco 4-20; Sale 1-21
    Sea-Tex: Ramirez 6-8; Darvish 7-22
    TB-Hst: Archer 5-22; Fiers 6-20
    Tor-Chi: Stroman 5-21; Pelfrey 4-17

    Interleague
    SF-A’s: Samardzija 8-21; Manaea 5-19
    Phil-LA: Nola 3-16; Nolasco 8-21 (4 of last 4)
    Minn-SD: Berrios 3-14; Chacin 8-21

    _________________________

    Umpires
    National League
    American League
    Interleague

    Interleague play
    NL @ AL– 54-42 AL, favorites -$656
    AL @ NL– 56-49 NL, favorites -$366
    Total: 103-98 AL, favorites -$1,022

    Totals in interleague games
    NL @ AL: Over 50-46-2
    AL @ NL: Over 60-42-4
    Total: Over 110-88-6

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/31/17
    Ariz 19-20-13……30-15–9……….49-35
    Atl 21-26-8……19-25-4………..40-51
    Cubs 25-26-4……22-19-8………..47-45
    Reds 16-31-5……19-29–5…………35-60
    Colo 29-21-6…….27-20-2……….56-41
    LA 22-18-5…….38-16-6……….60-34
    Miami 22-25-4…….25-21-7……..47-46
    Milw 26-18-8…….27-20-8………52-38
    Mets 23-24-3……..23-27-3………46-51
    Philly 12-29-11……20-24-7……….32-53
    Pitt 26-25-4…….19-22-9………45-47
    St. Louis 18-22-8……31-17-9……….49-39
    SD 14-31-6……..27-22–5………41-53
    SF 11-37-8……..19-25-7……….33-62
    Wash 34-14-5……23-21-7………….57-35

    Orioles 19-29-4……..22-26-4………41-55
    Boston 21-27-7………24-25-2…….45-52
    White Sox 18-29-8……..18-27–3……..36-55
    Cleveland 26-20-6……..24-20-6……..49-40
    Detroit 19-25-8…….25-22-5……..44-47
    Astros 27-18-8……..32-17-4……..59-35
    KC 18-24-8………22-21-10…….40-45
    Angels 20-27-8………21-18-11………41-45
    Twins 28-16-6………22-26-6……..50-41
    NYY 22-28-4……….29-18-3…..…51-46
    A’s 18-26-7……..23-22-10……..41-48
    Seattle 17-26-6……..30-19-9……..47-45
    TB 26-19-10……..32-12-7……..58-31
    Texas 25-18-10……..23-21-8………48-39
    Toronto 21-29-3……..18-26-8……..39-55

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/31/17)
    Ariz 14-50……..21-54………..34
    Atl 12-55……..13-48………..25
    Cubs 14-55……..18-49……….32
    Reds 20-52……..19-52……….39
    Colo 14-56……..17-50..……..31
    LA 14-45……..22-59..……..36
    Miami 23-51……..17-53………40
    Milw 20-52……21-55…..…..41
    Mets 22-50……..17-53……….39
    Philly 15-52……..14-52……….29
    Pitt 16-55……..16-50……….32
    StL 12-48……..18-56………..30
    SD 20-51……..17-54…………37
    SF 13-56……..15-51…………28
    Wash 22-53……..22-51……….44

    Orioles 7-53……..17-53……….24
    Boston 17-56……..10-51………27
    White Sox 15-55……12-48……….27
    Clev 9-52……..17-52……….26
    Detroit 10-52…….20-52……..30
    Astros 17-53……..21-52……….38
    KC 11-51……..10-53………..21
    Angels 21-56…….12-50………..33
    Twins 12-49……..12-54……….24
    NYY 12-54……..15-50………28
    A’s 12-50……..18-56………30
    Seattle 16-48…….20-59………36
    TB 16-55……..20-52……..36
    Texas 17-53……..24-51………41
    Toronto 17-53……..12-54……….29
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-01-2017 at 09:52 AM.

  4. #4
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    MLB

    Tuesday, August 1


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:05 PM
    DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
    Detroit is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
    NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
    NY Yankees are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing Detroit

    7:05 PM
    KANSAS CITY vs. BALTIMORE
    Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
    Baltimore is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Kansas City

    7:05 PM
    CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
    Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

    7:10 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
    Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

    7:10 PM
    WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Washington's last 18 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
    Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
    Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home

    7:35 PM
    LA DODGERS vs. ATLANTA
    LA Dodgers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Atlanta is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers

    7:40 PM
    ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
    St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
    Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

    8:05 PM
    SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing on the road against Texas
    Seattle is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Texas
    Texas is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Texas's last 18 games when playing Seattle

    8:05 PM
    ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    Arizona is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Arizona
    Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

    8:10 PM
    TORONTO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
    Toronto is 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games at home
    Chi White Sox are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games at home

    8:10 PM
    TAMPA BAY vs. HOUSTON
    Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
    Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

    8:40 PM
    NY METS vs. COLORADO
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
    Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    10:05 PM
    SAN FRANCISCO vs. OAKLAND
    San Francisco is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
    Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing San Francisco

    10:07 PM
    PHILADELPHIA vs. LA ANGELS
    Philadelphia is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia

    10:10 PM
    MINNESOTA vs. SAN DIEGO
    Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Diego's last 17 games
    San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-01-2017 at 09:52 AM.

  5. #5
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, August 1



    Minnesota @ San Diego

    Game 979-980
    August 1, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    (Berrios) 12.143
    San Diego
    (Chacin) 15.730
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego
    by 3 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -115
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego
    (-105); Over

    Philadelphia @ LA Angels


    Game 977-978
    August 1, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    (Nola) 16.636
    LA Angels
    (Nolasco) 15.253
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Angels
    -115
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-105); Over

    San Francisco @ Oakland


    Game 975-976
    August 1, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Francisco
    (Smrdzja) 13.864
    Oakland
    (Manaea) 15.354
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oakland
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oakland
    -120
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (-120); Under

    Tampa Bay @ Houston


    Game 973-974
    August 1, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    (Archer) 15.960
    Houston
    (Fiers) 12.964
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 3
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -115
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-105); Over

    Toronto @ Chicago White Sox


    Game 971-972
    August 1, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    (Stroman) 13.319
    Chicago White Sox
    (Pelfrey) 15.247
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago White Sox
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -240
    10
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago White Sox
    (+200); Under

    Seattle @ Texas


    Game 969-970
    August 1, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    (Ramirez) 13.454
    Texas
    (Mrtinez) 14.660
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas
    by 1
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas
    N/A

    Cleveland @ Boston


    Game 967-968
    August 1, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    (Carrasco) 17.523
    Boston
    (Sale) 14.351
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 3
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -155
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+135); Under

    Detroit @ NY Yankees


    Game 965-966
    August 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    (Sanchez) 17.578
    NY Yankees
    (Sabathia) 14.057
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 3 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Yankees
    -180
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+160); Over

    Kansas City @ Baltimore


    Game 963-964
    August 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas City
    (Kennedy) 14.803
    Baltimore
    (Bundy) 16.899
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baltimore
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baltimore
    -120
    10
    Dunkel Pick:
    Baltimore
    (-120); Under

    NY Mets @ Colorado


    Game 961-962
    August 1, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Mets
    (Matz) 15.492
    Colorado
    (Hoffman) 14.489
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Mets
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -140
    12 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Mets
    (+120); Under

    Arizona @ Chicago Cubs


    Game 961-962
    August 1, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    (Corbin) 15.388
    Chicago Cubs
    (Lester) 17.782
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    by 2 1/2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -180
    No Total
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago Cubs
    (-180); N/A

    St. Louis @ Milwaukee


    Game 957-958
    August 1, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    (Mrtinez) 14.199
    Milwaukee
    (Nelson) 16.424
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    -120
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-120); Under

    LA Dodgers @ Atlanta


    Game 955-956
    August 1, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Dodgers
    (Maeda) 16.115
    Atlanta
    (Sims) 14.894
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -185
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    (-185); Over

    Washington @ Miami


    Game 953-954
    August 1, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    (Scherzer) 16.286
    Miami
    (O'Grady) 14.819
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -210
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-210); Under

    Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh


    Game 951-952
    August 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    (Bailey) 13.304
    Pittsburgh
    (Taillon) 15.264
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -165
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-165); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-01-2017 at 09:53 AM.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    67,856
    Credits
    108,939

    Default

    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, August 1


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (42 - 63) at PITTSBURGH (51 - 54) - 7:05 PM
    HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 3-16 (-12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 191-183 (+29.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
    PITTSBURGH is 623-553 (+64.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 419-394 (+43.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    PITTSBURGH is 87-104 (-28.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 97-113 (-26.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 6-1 (+6.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

    HOMER BAILEY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    BAILEY is 8-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.236.
    His team's record is 10-9 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-5. (+6.3 units)

    JAMESON TAILLON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
    TAILLON is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.409.
    His team's record is 2-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (63 - 41) at MIAMI (49 - 55) - 7:10 PM
    MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. CHRIS O'GRADY (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 34-19 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 43-19 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 25-9 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
    SCHERZER is 24-5 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    MIAMI is 49-62 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 42-52 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 3-4 (-0.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

    MAX SCHERZER vs. MIAMI since 1997
    SCHERZER is 6-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.058.
    His team's record is 8-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)

    CHRIS O'GRADY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA DODGERS (74 - 31) at ATLANTA (48 - 56) - 7:35 PM
    KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. LUCAS SIMS (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA DODGERS are 68-64 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 13-21 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 69-79 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 80-79 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 116-149 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 25-20 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    ATLANTA is 92-109 (+11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 55-72 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 26-29 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 74-31 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    LA DODGERS are 52-21 (+20.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    LA DODGERS are 29-8 (+16.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
    LA DODGERS are 36-11 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    ATLANTA is 36-58 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 2-2 (+2.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

    KENTA MAEDA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
    MAEDA is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.264.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

    LUCAS SIMS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (52 - 53) at MILWAUKEE (55 - 52) - 7:40 PM
    CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 138-129 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 4-11 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
    ST LOUIS is 17-25 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    ST LOUIS is 91-90 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 39-42 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    ST LOUIS is 67-69 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 55-52 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 36-30 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 68-72 (+7.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 69-60 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 30-25 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-56 (-21.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 6-5 (+2.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.7 Units)

    CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    MARTINEZ is 5-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.162.
    His team's record is 7-3 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+2.0 units)

    JIMMY NELSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
    NELSON is 0-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.71 and a WHIP of 1.663.
    His team's record is 3-7 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-7. (-5.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (60 - 45) at CHICAGO CUBS (56 - 48) - 8:05 PM
    PAT CORBIN (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CORBIN is 7-18 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    CHICAGO CUBS are 26-5 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
    LESTER is 28-7 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    ARIZONA is 60-45 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ARIZONA is 43-29 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 56-48 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 357-296 (-77.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 883-809 (-159.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 235-272 (-68.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 28-27 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 18-22 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    PAT CORBIN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    CORBIN is 3-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.053.
    His team's record is 3-0 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

    JON LESTER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
    LESTER is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.372.
    His team's record is 2-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY METS (48 - 55) at COLORADO (60 - 46) - 8:40 PM
    STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. JEFF HOFFMAN (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY METS are 48-55 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    NY METS are 36-44 (-17.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    NY METS are 9-23 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    COLORADO is 60-46 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 31-19 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    COLORADO is 19-12 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
    NY METS are 426-440 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY METS is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

    STEVEN MATZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
    MATZ is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 11.57 and a WHIP of 3.000.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

    JEFF HOFFMAN vs. NY METS since 1997
    HOFFMAN is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS CITY (55 - 49) at BALTIMORE (51 - 54) - 7:05 PM
    IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    BALTIMORE is 139-128 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 70-51 (+17.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 31-21 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 23-14 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 61-35 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 28-22 (+6.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 55-49 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 20-9 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 37-32 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 41-32 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 14-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

    IAN KENNEDY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    KENNEDY is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.17 and a WHIP of 1.885.
    His team's record is 1-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.7 units)

    DYLAN BUNDY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    BUNDY is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (47 - 57) at NY YANKEES (57 - 47) - 7:05 PM
    ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 47-57 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    DETROIT is 16-27 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    DETROIT is 26-42 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SANCHEZ is 4-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    NY YANKEES are 53-28 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    SABATHIA is 13-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    SABATHIA is 8-1 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
    SABATHIA is 21-8 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
    SANCHEZ is 4-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.139.
    His team's record is 4-2 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

    C.C. SABATHIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
    SABATHIA is 21-14 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.313.
    His team's record is 25-17 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 23-18. (+3.3 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (57 - 47) at BOSTON (58 - 49) - 7:10 PM
    CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 57-47 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 35-33 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    BOSTON is 12-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
    CLEVELAND is 80-43 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    CARRASCO is 21-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    BOSTON is 25-31 (-15.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    BOSTON is 51-53 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 220-225 (-65.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

    CARLOS CARRASCO vs. BOSTON since 1997
    CARRASCO is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.957.
    His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.7 units)

    CHRIS SALE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    SALE is 5-7 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.323.
    His team's record is 8-8 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-10. (-6.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (54 - 53) at TEXAS (50 - 55) - 8:05 PM
    ERASMO RAMIREZ (R) vs. NICK MARTINEZ (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 802-719 (-102.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 382-345 (-71.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
    TEXAS is 145-125 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 36-20 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 41-25 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 64-50 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 105-88 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 112-93 (+20.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 26-17 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 59-46 (+24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 47-38 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 7-3 (+4.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

    ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
    RAMIREZ is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.31 and a WHIP of 1.914.
    His team's record is 2-3 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

    NICK MARTINEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    MARTINEZ is 0-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.588.
    His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (49 - 57) at CHI WHITE SOX (41 - 62) - 8:10 PM
    MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 49-57 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    TORONTO is 27-39 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    TORONTO is 21-27 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    STROMAN is 13-17 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    STROMAN is 12-17 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHI WHITE SOX is 3-1 (+4.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

    MARCUS STROMAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
    STROMAN is 0-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.346.
    His team's record is 0-5 (-7.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

    MIKE PELFREY vs. TORONTO since 1997
    PELFREY is 2-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.271.
    His team's record is 3-2 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (54 - 53) at HOUSTON (69 - 36) - 8:10 PM
    CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 122-146 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 75-94 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 22-46 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    ARCHER is 22-33 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    ARCHER is 14-22 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    ARCHER is 9-19 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    ARCHER is 6-20 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    HOUSTON is 69-36 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 50-26 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    HOUSTON is 54-22 (+25.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 7-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday this season.
    HOUSTON is 37-35 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

    CHRIS ARCHER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    ARCHER is 4-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.68 and a WHIP of 0.724.
    His team's record is 5-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.0 units)

    MICHAEL FIERS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
    FIERS is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.146.
    His team's record is 3-0 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
    --------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN FRANCISCO (40 - 67) at OAKLAND (47 - 59) - 10:05 PM
    JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 40-67 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 41-51 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 9-18 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 18-38 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 26-41 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 26-40 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 14-32 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 26-33 (-24.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    SAMARDZIJA is 23-31 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    SAMARDZIJA is 9-21 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
    SAMARDZIJA is 4-11 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
    OAKLAND is 17-9 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
    OAKLAND is 184-246 (-53.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 99-118 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 5-14 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 77-106 (-31.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
    SAMARDZIJA is 1-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 10.06 and a WHIP of 2.059.
    His team's record is 1-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

    SEAN MANAEA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
    MANAEA is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.235.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (39 - 64) at LA ANGELS (51 - 55) - 10:05 PM
    AARON NOLA (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 39-64 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 19-43 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 27-49 (-17.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    LA ANGELS are 219-170 (+40.6 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
    LA ANGELS are 12-4 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
    LA ANGELS are 30-24 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    LA ANGELS are 18-9 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NOLASCO is 27-8 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
    PHILADELPHIA is 392-348 (+50.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
    NOLASCO is 5-16 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    NOLASCO is 44-59 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    AARON NOLA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
    No recent starts.

    RICKY NOLASCO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
    NOLASCO is 8-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.208.
    His team's record is 9-11 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-11. (-2.9 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (50 - 53) at SAN DIEGO (47 - 58) - 10:10 PM
    JOSE BERRIOS (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 109-156 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 60-96 (-27.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 115-152 (+2.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 67-68 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 37-29 (+15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 21-15 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    SAN DIEGO is 68-83 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 28-22 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CHACIN is 9-3 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
    MINNESOTA is 27-22 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 95-92 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
    MINNESOTA is 33-26 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 22-13 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    JOSE BERRIOS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
    No recent starts.

    JHOULYS CHACIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    CHACIN is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-01-2017 at 09:54 AM.

  7. #7
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    Totals bettors can expect jump in MLB scoring when calendar flips to August

    The New York Mets are one of the best Over teams in baseball but there's reason to believe their bats will really heat up in the month of August.

    August is a month when the mercury is bursting out of thermometers and big league pitchers are longing or offseason favorites like boating, beer and fried chicken. That’s because year after year, August proves to be a month where batters get the better of their counterparts on the mound.

    We examined the average number of runs scored per game in July compared to August over the last 10 years and found August outscored July in five of the last six seasons. The last two years have been the most pronounced in the trend.

    Last season the average number of runs scored in July 8.7 and the average in August was 9.2. In 2015, July games averaged 8.2 runs while August averaged 8.9 runs per game.

    The Over is 870-750-68 combined in the last two years in August and, conversely, 650-782-84 in July 2016 and 2015. Heading into Monday’s games, the Over is 308-347-34 this month in the majors.

    There could be a number of reasons for the bump in runs scored in August. The fatigue of the season could perhaps affect pitchers more than every day players. The weather is warm in August but not much if any hotter than July.

    The non-waiver trade deadline might be the most telling fact. Selling teams are trading away their best talent – often starting and relief pitching – to contenders and then have to fill those holes with minor leaguers who aren’t as good.

    Just look at the Chicago White Sox. They traded away their best starting pitcher (Jose Quintana) and their two of their top relievers (Dave Robertson and Tommy Kahnle) in just the last few weeks.

    “As we’ve made no secret about over the last several months, we’re preparing ourselves for the future,” White Sox GM Rick Hahn told reporters after trading away Melky Cabrera over the weekend.

    The trend for more runs scored in August is most dramatic for the following clubs over the last two seasons:

    New York Mets

    Combined Over/Under record in August 2015 and 2016: 37-19

    It’s hard to imagine the Mets becoming an even better Over bet this season. New York is cashing Over in 66.3 percent of its games and averaging 1.6 more runs per game than its average closing Over/Under line.

    Still, the Mets went from bottom third offenses in July in 2015 and 2016 to among the top 10 best scoring teams in the month of August of both years.

    Their sell-off started on deadline day with the Mets shipping their closer Addison Reed to the Boston Red Sox.

    Washington Nationals

    Combined Over/Under record in August 2015 and 2016: 32-22-2

    The Nats own the second best offense in the majors at 5.6 runs scored per game and they finished in the top 10 in runs scored in each of the last two seasons. The club scores a little over one run more per game in August than July over the last two years.

    Washington enjoys a comfortable lead in the NL East division which means staff ace Stephen Strasburg won’t be rushed back from the disabled list.

    Tampa Bay Rays

    Combined Over/Under record in August 2015 and 2016: 37-19

    The Rays changed their approach at the plate from cautious, work the count to now swing early and swing often. They’ve become one of the worst strikeout teams but also one of the best power-hitting sides in the majors.

    Tampa Bay is tinkering with its roster in the hopes of either catching up with the Yankees and Red Sox in the AL East standings or keep pace with the Kansas City Royals in the wildcard.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-01-2017 at 09:56 AM.

  8. #8
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    All systems go: Covers member explains his effective MLB betting strategy

    The Chicago White Sox are a prime candidate to fade in the last two months of the baseball season as they continue to trade away their best players.

    There are many different ways of betting on sports and there are many different types of sports bettors. Some scan the odds board, pick a side or total they like, and then place their bet (*raises hand*).

    Then there are others who prefer to incorporate more structure and strategy into how they wager on games.

    Dan Wiese, known as Danrules24 to the community, falls into the second group. Wiese likes to use systems with guidelines to build his bankroll.

    A betting system is something developed to find opportunities to either back or fade a team in a given situation. If you fade a football team traveling across country on a short week regardless of the spread – that’s a system play.

    One of Wiese’s systems is getting a lot of attention in the systems and strategies forum. Even though the system is explained at great length in the forum thread, Wiese was kind enough to take the time to explain how his popular MLB second-half strategy works.

    Wiese says he came up with the idea based off the success of another system of member CKP22. That scheme involved backing the top teams after the midsummer break on six or greater game homestands.

    Wiese had trouble making CKP22’s strategy work for him so he decided to make a variation: he started fading bad teams after the break that were on the road for five or more games at a time.

    “My thinking was that these teams have already given up for the year,” says Wiese, “will trade any valuable assets for prospects and will be willing to play younger players. The odds seemed to be a bit lower than betting on the top teams.”

    The point of the system is to pick up a one unit win from a road trip, discontinue the bet and wait for the next bad team to begin another long road trip.

    Here are the full parameters of system break down like this:

    • Fade MLB teams after the All-Star break with .435 winning percentage or worse
    • On road trips of five games or greater
    • Take the runline on the dog if your fade team is favored
    • Chase a loss but only if there are five or more games left on the road swing

    The chase is a procedure to recoup earnings when the fade team wins a game. So, if we were in Game 1 of a series and our one unit play came up snake eyes because the fade team won, we would bet two units plus the juice to get us back on track.

    “If Game 1 was -130 and unit size was $10, you’d lose $13,” Wiese explains. “Game 2 would be to win $23.”

    Wiese has been using the system since 2013 but he looked back to 2002 to make sure there was profit potential before putting it into play. His best seasons using the system are 2014 and 2016, in which he returned one unit of profit in 64 of 65 qualified series during those two years.

    As with any system, there’s always room for tweaking. Wiese included the Chicago White Sox in the fade group even though they their win percentage was above .435 at the break. It was clear from the trades the team was making that Chicago was bailing on this season and building for the long term.

    The White Sox went 1-4 on a recent five-game away stint and lost the first game of the trip – a win for the system. The Philadelphia Phillies went 3-3 on their six-game away trip but they lost the first game of their series – which again would have been a win for the system.

    Wiese says likes using system plays for baseball and hockey - the sports he does best in betting. He likes football but steers clear from betting on it.

    “I can’t pick a football game to save my life,” Wiese says with a laugh.

    He says that but the first game he can remember betting on was Super Bowl XXII. A work friend thought the Denver Broncos would kill Wiese’s Washington Redskins. The friend told him he could have the Redskins and 10 points. Washington won 41-10. The Vegas spread on that game: Denver -3.5. Talk about a value play.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-01-2017 at 09:57 AM.

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    MLB Daily Line Drive: Tuesday's picks, betting odds and analysis

    Double-Play Picks

    Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox (-155, 7.5)


    The Indians and the Red Sox collide Tuesday night for the second game of their three-game series as both teams battle for the lead in their respective divisions.

    The Sox took the opener 6-2 on Monday night when veteran starter Doug Fister tossed his best start in a long, long time scattering two earned runs over 7.2 innings of work.

    The logical question to be asking yourself this morning:

    If the Indians were only able to muster five hits against Fister, how can we, as bettors, expect anything out of them today against Chris Sale? Answer: We can't.

    Sale made five starts in the month of July and only allowed runs in one of them (four shutout performances) and is currently riding a shutout streak of 21.2 innings. At Fenway Park this season, Sale is 6-1 with a 2.07 ERA and a microscopic WHIP of 0.83.

    The Tribe will counter with one of their co-aces in Carlos Carrasco who has been hittable over his last serveral outings. Despite his team win/loss record of 8-3 on the road this season, the Indians have lost Carrasco's last two road starts and they were against below average opponents (Giants and Athletics). He also sports an ERA of 4.34 over his last three starts - give up four runs with Chris Sale on the other side and you're done.

    This line will likely move higher. Last night it was at -150 and now this morning we snatched it up at -155 (actually higher than that at a few books). Get it early if you can.

    Pick: Red Sox -155

    Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs (-165, 8.5)


    The Cubs seemed to be experiencing a World Series hangover for most of the first half of 2017, but since the All-Star break they have looked much more like the team that won the Fall Classic for the first time in 108 years last November.

    Since the All-Star break, Chicago has gone 13-3 to reclaim first place in the National League West, now leading the Brewers in the division by 2.5-games. The Cubs look to stay hot as they open a three-game set with the Diamondbacks at home on Tuesday night.

    Both the Cubs and D-backs are making a push for the postseason and both made their moves before yesterday’s trade deadline. The Cubs brought in lefty starter Jose Quintana from the White Sox across town, while the D-backs bolstered their lineup by adding outfielder J.D. Martinez from the Tigers.

    When it comes to Tuesday night’s matchup, it’s a southpaw showdown as Arizona’s Patrick Corbin takes on Chicago’s Jon Lester.

    Corbin has had an up-and-down season for the Diamondbacks, going 8-9 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.513 WHIP. The struggles for the 28-year-old lefty have come when he pitches on the road. Away from home he is 2-6 with a 6.19 ERA and a 1.625 WHIP in nine starts this season and the D-backs have lost 12 of his last 14 road starts overall.

    Corbin should have his hands full with a Cubs lineup that is averaging 5.3 runs per game since the All-Star break.

    The Cubs counter with Lester, who is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 2.05 ERA and an 0.545 WHIP, while racking up 20 strikeouts and just two walks.

    Lester faces a D-backs lineup that is dynamite at home scoring 5.8 runs per game, but manage just 4.2 on the road.

    Pick: Cubs -165

    Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
    Season To Date: 101-92-10



    Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

    Streaking:
    Kenta Maeda, Los Angeles Dodgers (9-4, 4.09 ERA, $507)

    With the addition of Yu Darvish to the Dodgers' starting rotation at the trade deadline, it looks like they are unquestionably the team to beat in the National League.

    When everyone is healthy, Kenta Maeda will be their fifth or sixth starter...and he is a pretty good arm for that point in the rotation. The Dodgers have won 12 of Maeda's last 15 starts and over his last three outing he is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.80 and a rock-solid WHIP of 1.27.

    The Dodgers are big -175 road favorites today in Atlanta against the Braves.

    Slumping:
    Steven Matz, New York Mets (2-4, 5.51 ERA, $-318)

    Ah, what better cure for a slumping starter than a trip to Coors Field in Denver?

    Steven Matz looked great when he returned from the disabled list for the Mets back in June, but over his last four starts he has started to look like a pitcher with arm issues. Matz has only logged 13.1 innings over those last four outings and owns a lofty ERA of 14.18 and a WHIP of 2.70.

    Matz and the Mets are +115 dogs today at high altitude against the Rockies.

    Tuesday's Top Trends

    * Yankees are 9-1 in C.C. Sabathia's last 10 home starts. Yankees -182 vs. Tigers.
    * Under is 20-5-2 in Pirates' last 27 home games. O/U: 9 vs. Reds.
    * Under is 7-0 in Brewers last seven vs. National League Central. O/U: 8.5 vs. Cardinals.
    * Over is 7-0 in the last seven meetings between the Astros and Rays. O/U: 8.5.

    Weather To Keep An Eye On

    The only precipitation in the baseball forecast for Tuesday is in San Diego (shockingly) where there is a 30-40 percent chance of a thunderstorm late this evening. This system may impact the end of the game between the Padres and Twins if the contest runs long.

    The most notable wind today will be in Oakland where there is expected to be a 10-13 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field for tonight's game between The A's and the visiting Giants. The total for tonight is currently set at 8.

    Ump Of The Day

    Chris Guccione: There has bit of a home team bias in Guccione's recent outings behind home plaet. The home team is 12-3 in his last 15 games calling balls and strikes. In games Guccione has officated this season the home team is scoring 1.59 more runs per game and has made bettors $659. Luckily for the A's he'll be calling balls and strikes tonight in Oakland when they host the Giants. The A's are currently -120 home faves.

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