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  1. #1
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    Default Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 6/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, June 19

    Good Luck on day #169 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — No left-handed golfer has ever won the US Open.

    — One of the appeals of golf; Justin Thomas is 5-10, 145 pounds. He shot a 63 at US Open.

    — NHL announced a salary cap of $75M next season, with salary floor set at $55.4M.

    — Felix Hernandez will be back in Seattle’s rotation Friday after a strong rehab outing for AAA Tacoma Saturday night.

    — Major leagues used baseballs with blue seams Sunday to promote cancer awareness.

    — Dodgers 8, Reds 7— Kike Hernandez made a great catch to save the game, crashing into the leftfield fence. Cincinnati has now lost nine games in a row.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

    13) After the Markelle Fultz trade goes thru, the Celtics will have eight first round picks in the next three drafts— seriously, I’m not sure what they’ll do with all of them.

    12) Fultz played 35:00+ in 11 of 13 Pac-12 games for Washington last winter, but sat out six of the Huskies’ last eight games with “a sore knee”; wonder how that knee is now. He played 30-31 minutes in the two games he played less than 35:00 in.

    11) Paul George told the Pacers he won’t re-sign with them next summer; sounds like he is headed back to LA to play for the Lakers. Helps Lonzo Ball’s chances of being drafted by the Lakers, since it decreases chance that LA will draft Josh Jackson this week.

    10) On December 19, 2014, this baseball trade was made:

    Padres sent Joe Ross and Trea Turner to Washington.
    Padres sent Jake Bauers, Rene Rivera and Burch Smith to Tampa Bay.

    Rays sent Ryan Hanigan, Wil Myers and two minor leaguers to San Diego.

    Washington sent Steven Souza Jr and a minor leaguer to Tampa Bay.

    Unusual trade: all three teams got a very good player in the deal; Tampa Bay probably got the worst of it, unless Bauers develops into a good big leaguer.

    9) Steven Souza Jr and Colorado’s Pat Valiaka homered on both Mother’s Day and Father’s Day this season.

    8) Movie trivia: The quarterbacks from Varsity Blues and Friday Night Lights both wound up in Fast & Furious movies- there have been at least eight of those movies made. Just discovered ‘em, so I’m withholding comment until I’ve seen them all.

    7) June 26, Ice Cube’s 3-on-3 basketball league debuts on TV; I’ll watch it once out of curiosity, but it is up to them if I watch it more than once.

    6) Submitted for your perusal, as Rod Serling used to say at the start of the Twilight Zone: The day Johnny Miller shot 63 at the US Open at Oakmont. three players broke 70. On Saturday, with Justin Thomas also shooting 63, 18 players broke 70.

    5) Western Kentucky football coach Mike Sanford Jr has his dad on his staff as special teams coordinator and running backs coach – the elder Sanford was head coach at UNLV from 2005-9.

    4) Pitcher Brock Stewart warmed up for the Dodgers late in the game Sunday; his agent picked him up at the Cincinnati airport in the fifth inning, after his call-up from AAA Oklahoma City. Not a lot of time for stretching there. The agent’s name is Joe Speed, by the way, which is a tremendous name.

    3) In five games batting leadoff for the Cubs, Anthony Rizzo is 9-22 with three homers, five runs scored, eight RBI. We’re going to see more of this, elite hitters moving to the top of the order.

    2) They were talking on TV the other day about some major league infielders practice with flat gloves, which forces them to use two hands to field grounders.

    I actually tried this coaching Little League in 1998, with the kids using their winter gloves, but we only did it one day, I can’t remember why. It went pretty well and it is a good idea. Got the idea from an umpire who recommended it to m

    1) Rockies 7, Giants 5— Not only did Nolan Arenado hit a walk-off homer for first-place Colorado, he hit for the cycle. Rockies are having a storybook season with a lot of young starting pitchers. Will they hold up?

  3. #3
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Monday, June 19



    Cincinnati @ Tampa Bay

    Game 921-922
    June 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    (Feldman) 15.496
    Tampa Bay
    (Odorizzi) 14.321
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -140
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+120); Over

    Detroit @ Seattle


    Game 919-920
    June 19, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    (Sanchez) 14.352
    Seattle
    (Gaviglio) 15.872
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    -140
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (-140); Over

    Houston @ Oakland


    Game 917-918
    June 19, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Peacock) 16.422
    Oakland
    (Gossett) 14.951
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    N/A

    Boston @ Kansas City


    Game 915-916
    June 19, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    (Velzquez) 14.884
    Kansas City
    (Hammel) 17.647
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    -110
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (-110); Under

    Toronto @ Texas


    Game 913-914
    June 19, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    (Estrada) 16.194
    Texas
    (Bbens-Drkx) 13.055
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 3
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -125
    10 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-125); Over

    Cleveland @ Baltimore


    Game 911-912
    June 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    (Kluber) 16.984
    Baltimore
    (Bundy) 13.511
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 3 1/2
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    -150
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-150); Over

    NY Mets @ LA Dodgers


    Game 909-910
    June 19, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Mets
    (Wheeler) 13.910
    LA Dodgers
    (Kershaw) 15.441
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -300
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    (-300); Under

    San Diego @ Chicago Cubs


    Game 907-908
    June 19, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Diego
    (Richard) 16.152
    Chicago Cubs
    (Lester) 14.508
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -230
    No Total
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego
    (+200); N/A

    Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee


    Game 905-906
    June 19, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    (Cole) 12.857
    Milwaukee
    (Garza) 16.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -115
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-105); Under

    San Francisco @ Atlanta


    Game 903-904
    June 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Francisco
    (Cueto) 14.351
    Atlanta
    (Dickey) 15.516
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Francisco
    -150
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+130); Over

    Washington @ Miami


    Game 901-902
    June 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    (Roark) 16.278
    Miami
    (Niclino) 13.974
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -115
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-115); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-19-2017 at 10:12 AM.

  4. #4
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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, June 19


    National League
    Nationals @ Marlins
    Roark is 0-2, 9.82 in his last two starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Washington is 4-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-1

    Volquez is 3-0, 2.08 in his last four starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Miami is 4-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1

    Washington is 11-3 in its last 14 road games, 9-3 in road series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Miami won its last five home games, is 4-7 in home series openers. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

    Giants @ Braves
    Cueto is 0-2, 5.94 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four road starts. Giants are 4-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-3

    Dickey is 1-2, 8.10 in his last four starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Braves are 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-2

    Giants lost eight of last nine games, are 6-6 in road series openers. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Atlanta won three of last four games, is 5-5 in home series openers. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Pirates @ Brewers
    Cole is 2-2, 8.31 in his last five starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Pirates are 2-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-10-3

    Garza is 1-2, 7.20 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Milwaukee is 3-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-2-2

    Pirates lost three of last four games, are 3-8 in road series openers. Four of their last five games stayed under. Milwaukee won five of its last six games; they’re 6-6 in home series openers. Five of their last six games went over.

    Padres @ Cubs
    Richard is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. San Diego is 3-1 in his last four road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-8-2

    Lester is 1-2, 5.82 in his last four starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11. Cubs are 5-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him:

    San Diego lost seven of last nine road games; they’re 2-9 in road series openers. Over is 5-1 in their last six road games. Cubs are 4-7 in their last 11 games, 4-7 in home series openers. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

    Mets @ Dodgers
    Wheeler is 0-2, 6.00 in his last four starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine starts. Mets are 3-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5

    Kershaw is 5-0, 1.94 in his last eight starts; over is 4-3 in his home starts. LA is 6-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-2-3

    Mets lost four of their last six games, are 1-4 in last five road series openers. Five of their last six games went over. Dodgers won nine of last ten games; they’re 8-3 in home series openers. Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

    ——————————–

    American League
    Indians @ Orioles
    Kluber is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1). Indians are 2-2 in his road starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-5

    Bundy is 2-4, 5.00 in his last six starts; under is 5-2 in his home starts. Orioles are 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-5-1

    Indians won their last five games, are 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Baltimore is 3-2 in its last five games, 10-2 in home series openers. Last six Oriole home games went over.

    Blue Jays @ Rangers
    Estrada is 0-3, 12.08 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Toronto is 3-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-7-3

    Dirkx is 1-0, 3.09 in two starts (11.2 IP) this year (over 1-1). Rangers’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-0-2

    Toronto is 2-3 in its last five games, 1-4 in last five road series openers. Three of their last four games went over. Texas won seven of last nine games; they’re 7-5 in home series openers. Over is 11-1-1 in their last 13 home games.

    Red Sox @ Royals
    Velazquez allowed six runs in five IP (101 PT) in his first ’17 start, May 18 in Oakland. Boston’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1

    Hammel is 2-0, 2.21 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Royals are 2-6 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-8-1

    Red Sox is 7-3 in its last ten games; they’re 4-8 in road series openers. Three of their last four games stayed under. Kansas City won seven of last eight games; they’re 5-6 in home series openers. Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games.

    Astros @ A’s
    Peacock is 2-1, 4.37 in five starts this year (under 3-2); Astros’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-2

    Gossett allowed seven runs in 3.1 IP (62 PT) in his first ’17 start, at Miami. Oakland’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-1

    Astros played a 4-hour game at home last night; they’re 4-8 in last 12 games- they won their last nine road series openers. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten road tilts. Oakland won its last four games; they’re 6-5 in home series openers. Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 home games.

    Tigers @ Mariners
    33-year old Sanchez is making his first ’17 start; he allowed 26 runs in 21 IP in 11 relief stints this year. He’s started 245 big league games (87-87, 4.00).

    Gaviglio is 4-0, 5.06 in his last four starts (under 2-1-3). Seattle’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-2

    Tigers lost seven of last ten games, are 6-5 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Mariners lost six of last nine games; they’re 9-2 in home series openers. Over is 4-1-2 in their last seven games.

    __________________________

    Interleague

    Reds @ Rays
    Feldman is 3-1, 4.72 in his last five starts; over is 3-2-1 in his road starts. Reds are 2-4 in his road outings- their first 5-inning record with him: 6-6-2

    Odorizzi is 1-1, 10.80 in his last three starts (over 3-0); Rays are 3-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-4-4

    Reds lost their last nine games; they’re 5-6 in road series openers. Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Tampa Bay won five of last six home games; they’re 4-7 in home series openers. Rays’ last five home games went over the total.

    ______________________________

    Record with this pitcher starting:
    National League
    Wsh-Mia: Roark 9-5; Volquez 5-8 (4-0 last 4)
    SF-Atl: Cueto 8-6; Dickey 7-6
    Pitt-Mil: Cole 7-7; Garza 5-4
    SD-Chi: Richard 6-8; Lester 7-7
    NY-LA; Wheeler 5-7; Kershaw 12-2

    American League
    Clev-Balt: Kluber 6-3; Bundy 9-5
    Tor-Tex: Estrada 6-8; Dirkx 1-1
    Bos-KC: Velazquez 0-1; Hammel 3-10
    Hst-A’s: Peacock 3-2; Gossett 0-1
    Det-Sea: Sanchez 0-0; Gaviglio 5-1

    Interleague
    Cin-TB: Feldman 5-9; Odorizzi 5-7

    Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
    National League
    Wsh-Mia: Roark 6-14; Volquez 6-13
    SF-Atl: Cueto 5-14; Dickey 5-13
    Pitt-Mil: Cole 3-14; Garza 2-9
    SD-Chi: Richard 3-14; Lester 5-14
    NY-LA; Wheeler 5-12; Kershaw 4-14

    American League
    Clev-Balt: Kluber 1-9; Bundy 1-14
    Tor-Tex: Estrada 6-14; Dirkx 1-2
    Bos-KC: Velazquez 1-1; Hammel 1-13
    Hst-A’s: Peacock 1-5; Gossett 0-1
    Det-Sea: Sanchez 0-0; Gaviglio 2-6

    Interleague
    Cin-TB: Feldman 3-14; Odorizzi 5-12

    _________________________

    Umpires
    National League

    American League

    Interleague

    Interleague play
    NL @ AL– 38-21 AL, favorites -$46
    AL @ NL– 37-35 AL, favorites -$629
    Total: 75-56 AL, favorites -$675

    Totals in interleague games
    NL @ AL: Over 37-26-1
    AL @ NL: Over 41-26-2
    Total: Over 78-52-3

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/18/17
    Ariz 12-14-9……21-9–5…….32-23
    Atl 15-16-4……10-19-4……..25-35
    Cubs 13-18-1……16-14-5……..29-32
    Reds 8-20-3……14-20–2………22-40
    Colo 24-9-5…….18-14-2……….42-23
    LA 15-16-4……22-11-2……….37-27
    Miami 14-19-2…….18-10-4……..32-29
    Milw 17-9-6…….18-15-6…….35-24
    Mets 16-11-1……..17-21-2……33-32
    Philly 9-21-6………9-17-5……18-38
    Pitt 13-17-2…..13-17-7…….26-34
    St. Louis 14-14-2……..20-10-6……..34-24
    SD 8-22-5…….16-15–4………24-37
    SF 8-24-7……..13-15-4……..24-39
    Wash 25-10-2……17-12-3………..42-22

    Orioles 11-19-4……..17-15-2………28-34
    Boston 14-19-4………15-15-2…….29-34
    White Sox 13-22-6……..14-11–2……..27-33
    Cleveland 17-15-3……..15-14-3……..31-29
    Detroit 14-16-4…….16-14-4……..30-30
    Astros 15-10-6……..22-15-2…….37-25
    KC 12-17-6………16-13-5…….28-30
    Angels 12-18-6………17-13-6……29-31
    Twins 17-8-3………13-19-6……..30-27
    NYY 16-17-3……….20-9-1…..…36-26
    A’s 10-19-4……..17-11-7……..27-30
    Seattle 12-21-5……..17-12-4……..29-33
    TB 16-12-8……..22-9-5……..38-21
    Texas 17-10-5……..14-14-7………31-24
    Toronto 12-18-2……..11-17-6……..23-34

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/18/17)
    Ariz 12-35……..15-35……….27
    Atl 8-35……..8-33…………16
    Cubs 9-33……..15-35………..24
    Reds 12-31……..16-37………28
    Colo 9-38……..9-34..……….18
    LA 9-35……..14-34..…….23
    Miami 13-35……..12-32………25
    Milw 12-32……17-39…..…..29
    Mets 11-28……..15-39……….26
    Philly 12-37……..7-31…………19
    Pitt 9-32……..12-37……….21
    StL 9-31……..10-36………..19
    SD 16-35……..10-35………..26
    SF 8-42……..9-32………….17
    Wash 14-37……..14-32………28

    Orioles 4-34……..13-35……….17
    Boston 12-37……..8-31……….20
    White Sox 12-41…….9-27……….21
    Clev 8-36……..11-32……….19
    Detroit 7-34…….16-34………23
    Astros 9-31……..17-39……….26
    KC 5-35……..5-33…………10
    Angels 15-37…….10-37………25
    Twins 6-29……..10-39……..16
    NYY 9-36……..12-31……….21
    A’s 5-34……..11-36………16
    Seattle 15-38…….13-33………28
    TB 10-36……..18-36……..28
    Texas 9-33……..15-35………24
    Toronto 10-32……..7-36………..17

  5. #5
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    MLB

    Monday, June 19


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:05 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 16 games when playing Baltimore
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games

    7:10 PM
    CINCINNATI vs. TAMPA BAY
    Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Cincinnati is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
    Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati

    7:10 PM
    WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
    Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Washington's last 21 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami's last 21 games when playing Washington
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    7:35 PM
    SAN FRANCISCO vs. ATLANTA
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
    San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home

    7:40 PM
    PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

    8:05 PM
    SAN DIEGO vs. CHI CUBS
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chi Cubs's last 23 games

    8:05 PM
    TORONTO vs. TEXAS
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games
    Texas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

    8:15 PM
    BOSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
    Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 15 games when playing Boston

    10:05 PM
    HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Houston is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
    Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    10:10 PM
    NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
    NY Mets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
    NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing NY Mets

    10:10 PM
    DETROIT vs. SEATTLE
    Detroit is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
    Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-19-2017 at 10:13 AM.

  6. #6
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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, June 19


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (42 - 27) at MIAMI (30 - 37) - 7:10 PM
    TANNER ROARK (R) vs. JUSTIN NICOLINO (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 8-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    WASHINGTON is 38-53 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 29-10 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MIAMI is 35-44 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 81-101 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

    TANNER ROARK vs. MIAMI since 1997
    ROARK is 5-7 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.297.
    His team's record is 6-7 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.7 units)

    JUSTIN NICOLINO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
    NICOLINO is 0-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 8.62 and a WHIP of 1.595.
    His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

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    SAN FRANCISCO (26 - 45) at ATLANTA (31 - 37) - 7:35 PM
    JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 26-45 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 12-27 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 74-83 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 16-30 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 6-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    ATLANTA is 16-9 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 215-193 (+36.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 201-149 (+42.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
    CUETO is 22-8 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    ATLANTA is 30-53 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

    JOHNNY CUETO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
    CUETO is 2-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.232.
    His team's record is 3-5 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.8 units)

    R.A. DICKEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
    DICKEY is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.091.
    His team's record is 3-3 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

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    PITTSBURGH (31 - 38) at MILWAUKEE (38 - 33) - 7:40 PM
    GERRIT COLE (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 41-56 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 16-29 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 81-101 (-31.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-33 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 52-48 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-27 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 26-19 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 30-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

    GERRIT COLE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    COLE is 2-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.280.
    His team's record is 4-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

    MATT GARZA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    GARZA is 3-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.539.
    His team's record is 5-9 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN DIEGO (28 - 42) at CHICAGO CUBS (34 - 34) - 8:05 PM
    CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    LESTER is 91-37 (+33.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
    SAN DIEGO is 72-85 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 34-34 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 876-802 (-154.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 787-841 (-186.1 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 792-755 (-160.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO is 3-0 (+5.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

    CLAYTON RICHARD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    RICHARD is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.172.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

    JON LESTER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
    LESTER is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.110.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY METS (31 - 37) at LA DODGERS (44 - 26) - 10:10 PM
    ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY METS are 31-37 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    NY METS are 7-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    KERSHAW is 32-7 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    NY METS are 31-11 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 95-78 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ZACK WHEELER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    No recent starts.

    CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. NY METS since 1997
    KERSHAW is 8-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.49 and a WHIP of 0.915.
    His team's record is 11-2 (+6.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-10. (-7.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (36 - 31) at BALTIMORE (34 - 34) - 7:05 PM
    COREY KLUBER (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 23-32 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 18-23 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 123-108 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 23-11 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 20-6 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 17-6 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 17-7 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
    BALTIMORE is 15-6 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
    CLEVELAND is 31-13 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 103-78 (+40.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    COREY KLUBER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    KLUBER is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.230.
    His team's record is 2-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.4 units)

    DYLAN BUNDY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (33 - 35) at TEXAS (34 - 34) - 8:05 PM
    MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 18-25 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    TEXAS is 129-104 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 35-19 (+16.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 73-45 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 28-14 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 94-72 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 99-77 (+23.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS is 93-85 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

    MARCO ESTRADA vs. TEXAS since 1997
    ESTRADA is 4-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.828.
    His team's record is 5-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.3 units)

    AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX vs. TORONTO since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (39 - 30) at KANSAS CITY (33 - 35) - 8:15 PM
    HECTOR VELAZQUEZ (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 668-601 (-81.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
    KANSAS CITY is 220-188 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 67-47 (+19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 122-81 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 11-5 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 90-61 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 50-31 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 61-53 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 21-15 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HAMMEL is 74-65 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
    KANSAS CITY is 268-388 (-111.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    HECTOR VELAZQUEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    No recent starts.

    JASON HAMMEL vs. BOSTON since 1997
    HAMMEL is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.517.
    His team's record is 2-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (46 - 24) at OAKLAND (31 - 38) - 10:05 PM
    BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. DANIEL GOSSETT (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 4-1 (+2.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

    BRAD PEACOCK vs. OAKLAND since 1997
    PEACOCK is 1-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.578.
    His team's record is 2-7 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+1.0 units)

    DANIEL GOSSETT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (32 - 36) at SEATTLE (34 - 37) - 10:10 PM
    ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 324-410 (-90.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
    SANCHEZ is 2-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    SEATTLE is 40-44 (-23.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 611-562 (-94.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 90-104 (-28.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 790-714 (-105.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

    ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    SANCHEZ is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.421.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

    SAM GAVIGLIO vs. DETROIT since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (29 - 39) at TAMPA BAY (37 - 35) - 7:10 PM
    SCOTT FELDMAN (R) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    FELDMAN is 84-113 (-36.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
    FELDMAN is 2-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    FELDMAN is 27-60 (-32.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
    TAMPA BAY is 29-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 105-129 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 15-30 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 65-84 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    SCOTT FELDMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
    FELDMAN is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.128.
    His team's record is 4-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-0. (+7.0 units)

    JAKE ODORIZZI vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-19-2017 at 10:13 AM.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
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    Credits
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    Default

    MLB Daily Line Drive: Monday's picks, betting odds and analysis


    Double-Play Picks

    New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (-300, 7)


    The New York Mets are headed west and will open a tough four-game series in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Monday night. The Mets are coming off losing three-of-four to the Washington Nationals while the Dodgers are fresh off a three-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds and have won nine of their last 10 games overall.

    The Mets will send Zack Wheeler to the mound and he hasn't been great this season. In his last start, at home against the Chicago Cubs, Wheeler was lit up by a struggling Cubs' offense to the tune of eight earned runs over 1.2 innings of work. I'm sure the Dodgers have seen the tape of that start and will be looking to do similar things at the plate tonight.

    The Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw...he's pretty good. Kershaw is doing his usual dominant things in 2017 with a team win/loss record of 12-2, ERA of 2.23, and a WHIP of 0.92.

    Kershaw gets the ball tonight against the National League team that he has dominated more than any other in his career. He has made 11 career starts against the Mets and he has held them to a team batting average of .181 and a team OPS of a ridiculous .477 - both numbers are Kershaw's lowest career stats against any other National League opponent.

    The team win/loss results are the numbers that we are most interested in for the purpose of picking this game. In Kershaw's 11 career starts against the Mets he is 7-0 and the Dodgers own a team win/loss of 9-2 in those games. In those nine wins by the Dodgers they covered -1.5 each and every time.

    Obviously, -300 is a ridiculous moneyline and we would never suggest you lay that sort of chalk - but if ever a game screams runline, this is the one.

    Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-140)

    Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners (-140, 9.5)


    Just like the Mets, the Detroit Tigers are headed west for a four-game series against a tough opponent. The Tigers' west coast trip will start a little further north in Seattle against the Mariners. Detroit is struggling as losers of the final two games at home against the Tampa Bay Rays and losers of seven of their last 10 games overall. The Mariners return home to Safeco Field after a tough seven-game road trip and it must be nice to be back in Seattle where they own a tidy 20-13 record this season.

    Rookie starter Sam Gaviglio gets the ball for the Mariners and he's off to a great start to his career. The M's own a team win/loss of 5-1 in his six career starts, including 3-0 at home with a very impressive 1.12 ERA.

    The real factor in this game that left us giddy with excitement is the return to the starting pitcher ranks of the Tigers' Anibal Sanchez. One of our favorite fades from last season has lost 18 of his last 24 starting assignments (most as favorites or slim underdogs) and will be making his 2017 starting pitching debut tonight in Seattle.

    To be given this opportunity, Sanchez must be throwing really well out of the bullpen for the Tigers...wrong! In 11 relief appearances this season, Sanchez owns an ERA of 10.71, an opponent's on base percentage of .415, and a WHIP of 2.10. And his splits on the road are even worse at 13.94 ERA, .474 OBP, 2.61 WHIP.

    We can't believe Sanchez is back!

    Pick: Mariners -140


    Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
    Season To Date: 66-56-7


    Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

    Streaking:
    Jason Hammel, Kansas City Royals (3-6, 5.05 ERA, $-584)

    It's difficult to believe that Jason Hammel would make it into our Streaking Starter section of the article, but here we are. The pickings are slim today and we don't like to use starting pitchers who are involved in our picks (above).

    Over his last three starts, Hammel is 2-0 with a very tidy 2.21 ERA and he has only surrendered one walk to go along with 15 strikeouts. This is the pitcher the Royals were expecting to get when they signed him in the offseason.

    Hammel and the Royals are -110 at home against the Boston Red Sox.

    Slumping:
    Marco Estrada, Toronto Blue Jays (4-5, 4.54, $-258)

    Blue Jays' starter Marco Estrada throws more change-ups than any other pitcher in Major League Baseball and opposing hitters have finally started to notice. Hitters are sitting on his change-up and if he misses his spot it is being clubbed a very long way.

    It's been a problem for most of this season, but over his last three outings Estrada has been particularly bad at 0-3 with an ERA of 12.08. Over those three starts he's only lasted a total of 12.2 innings but has allowed 28 hits, including four home runs.

    Estrada and the Jays are -125 favorites on the road against the Texas Rangers today.

    Monday's Top Trends

    * Over is 12-2 in the Baltimore Orioles' last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians/Orioles Total: 9.
    * The Miami Marlins are 1-11 in Justin Nicolino's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. +100 today vs. Nationals.
    * The San Francisco Giants are 18-5 in Johnny Cueto's last 23 starts vs. a team with a losing record. -135 today @ Braves.
    * The Chicago Cubs are 21-5 in Jon Lester's last 26 home starts. -230 today vs. Padres.

    Weather To Keep An Eye On

    Rain and thunderstorms will likely be an issue today in Baltimore where the Orioles will welcome the Cleveland Indians. There is a 90-100 percent chance of rain this evening but will taper off after the t-storms move out late in the evening. Officials may just decide to push this one until Tuesday.

    There is also a chance of thunderstorms developing in Atlanta for tonight's game between the Braves and the San Francisco Giants. It's looking like only a 45-50 percent chance of rain at SunTrust Park but the threat will remain all evening.

    There isn't much in the way of wind across Major League Baseball on Monday, so we'll just take our daily look at Wrigley Field on the North Side of Chicago. Good news for the Rizzos and Schwarbers of the world as there will be a 7-10 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field tonight. The total for this evening's game against the visiting Padres has been set at 8.5.

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