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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 6/4

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 6/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, June 4

    Good Luck on day #154 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Over/under win totals for college football teams this fall:

    — Purdue 2.5, over -$125

    — Notre Dame 7.5, under -$120

    — Oregon 7.5, over -$125

    — Penn State, 10

    — Rice 3.5, over -$120

    — Ohio State 10.5, over -$120

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a spring Sunday……

    13) Edinson Volquez was in a nasty-looking collision while covering first base in the first inning Saturday- it was the first batter of the game. Who knew he would go on to no-hit Arizona, in a very gutty performance- he walked only two batters in a 3-0 Miami win. Impressive.

    Volquez threw 98 pitches, the first no-hitter with less than 100 pitches since Philip Humber’s perfect game five years ago.

    12) Scalpers in Nashville were charging very high prices for Game 3 of the Stanley Cup finals, the first NHL finals game in Predators’ history; as of 2pm Saturday, cheapest seat in the sold-out house was being scalped for $1,200.

    11) Phil Mickelson is skipping the US Open to attend his daughter’s high school graduation. His daughter is giving the commencement address at her graduation— she is going to college at Brown University in the fall, which is a long way from her San Diego home.

    10) Wish they’d put the World Series of Poker back on ESPN; the events have started out in Las Vegas already— watching poker was lot better than most of the drivel ESPN has on now during late night and daytime hours.

    9) There is actually a movie called I Spit on Your Grave, which must’ve done well at the box office, since they’ve made two sequels. Think I’ll pass on all three of them.

    8) Aaron Rodgers’ last 18 games against the Vikings: (12-6 W-L record); he’s thrown 40 TD’s with only six INT’s.

    7) Good news for people who watch baseball on the dish; Hawk Harrelson is retiring— he will work White Sox games on Sunday next year, but otherwise, Jason Benetti will be the voice of the White Sox, which is great news, because Benetti is really good and Harrelson isn’t— he is the old guy yelling at kids to get off his lawn.

    I liked The Hawk when he worked Red Sox games on WSBK in the late 70’s/early 80’s, but now he crabs about the umpires and yearns for the good ol’ days way too much.

    6) Last year in the NFL, Bucs’ WR Mike Evans was targeted 39 times on passes of 20+ yards, most in the league. Next-highest were TY Hilton (33) and Terrell Pryor (32).

    5) If you pinch-run in a game, it doesn’t count as a game played, unless you stay in the game. So if Cal Ripken had just pinch-run in a game during his great streak, it would’ve ended the streak. If you pinch-hit, the streak is extended, but not if you pinch-run.

    4) Albert Pujols made his 600th home run a big one– he hit a grand slam in the 4th inning Saturday night, giving the Angels a 7-1 lead.

    Pujols is just the 9th big leaguer to hit 600 home runs.

    A 30-ish fan in LF bleachers caught Pujols’ grand slam; they put him on TV for half an inning, but the guy seemed like he was hyperventilating he was so excited- he didn’t have a lot to say. Wonder if he was thinking about what he was going to ask Pujols for, in exchange for the 600th home run baseball.

    Two innings later, Angels unveiled the Pujols 600th home run bobblehead they’re giving away on July 1st. I’d ask for one of those, for a start.

    3) Garrett Cole is the Pirates’ best pitcher; they’re 6-6 in his starts this year, but a closer look shows that if you bet the Pirates in a “first 5 innings” bet in his starts, you’d be 1-9-2- they’ve led only one of his 12 starts after five innings. Was very surprised to see that.

    2) Red Sox entered Saturday hitting .213 as a team when they have two strikes on them; that is the best two-strike batting average of any major league team. Important for pitchers to get ahead in the count.

    1) Friday afternoon, former big leaguer Luis Gonzalez helped pull a woman from a car that was in an accident and was next to another car that was in flames. Good for him.

    Gonzalez got the game-winning hit in the clinching game of the 2001 World Series for the Diamondbacks.

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    Sunday's NBA Finals Game 2 Betting Preview: Cavaliers at Warriors

    Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors (-8.5, 220.5)

    Warriors lead series 1-0

    The Golden State Warriors sent a harsh message to the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 1 of the NBA Finals and will try to take a 2-0 lead in the series when they host Game 2 on Sunday. The Warriors thrashed the Cavaliers 113-91 in Thursday's opener as Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry had little trouble navigating the Cleveland defense.

    Durant is making his first Finals appearance since losing to LeBron James and the Miami Heat as a member of the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2012, and he certainly looked right at home in his return trip with 38 points, eight rebounds, eight assists and zero turnovers in the win. "To have a game like that when he's playing that way, it's tough to beat," Golden State forward Draymond Green told reporters. "Thirty-eight, eight, eight, zero turnovers? I mean that's -- we're real tough to beat when he's doing that. ... We're going to seek him out, get him the ball, and guys got to defend him. He was amazing (in Game 1), and I expect nothing less in the rest of the games." The Cavaliers lost Game 1 at Golden State last spring and fell down 3-1 before coming back to win the series, and James is not panicking. "Just get focused on Game 2," James told reporters. "We made a lot of mistakes. There's nothing really needs to be said. We know we're capable of playing a lot better. We didn't play as well as we know we're capable of, so we look forward to the next one."

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

    LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 8-point home chalk for Game 2 and, was bet up as high as 9 until fading down half-point to 8.5. The total sit the betting board as 221.5 and has dropped down to 220.5.

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Quality teams off a blowout loss normally bounce back in the next game, but that was not the case last year. Cleveland lost Game 1 of the 2016 NBA Finals by 15 points at Golden State last season and then the Cavaliers lost Game 2 by 33 points. Despite that, Cleveland won Game 3 by 30 points and overcame a 3-1 series deficit to still win the championship. It will be interesting to see if history repeats itself this year. Golden State is a different team now with Kevin Durant on board. The betting market does not think Cleveland will bounce back in Game 2 on Sunday night. The line is a full basket higher than Game 1." - Covers Expert Steve Merril.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Cavaliers - C Edy. Tavares (Out For Season, hand)

    Warriors - SF Kevon Looney (Out Indefinitely, hip)

    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (63-33 SU, 44-48-4 ATS, 56-39-1 O/U): Cleveland imported talent during the regular season in an effort to get James the help he desired but point guard Deron Williams, shooting guard Kyle Korver and power forward Derrick Williams combined to go scoreless on 0-of-9 shooting off the bench in Game 1. James contributed 28 points, 15 rebounds and eight assists but also committed eight of the team's 20 turnovers. "I know we will play better," Cavaliers coach Tyronn Lue told reporters. "When we're not making shots and they get off in transition off of rebounds and stuff like that, they're tough to guard. So, I know we can play better. We will play better."

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS (80-15 SU, 49-43-3 ATS, 41-54-0 O/U): Golden State committed just four turnovers in the romp and pulled away easily despite All-Stars Green (3-of-12) and Klay Thompson (3-of-16, 0-of-5 from 3-point range) enduring tough shooting nights in the opener. Durant (14-of-26) and Curry (11-of-22, 10 assists) picked up the scoring slack while the team defensive effort held Cleveland to 34.9 percent shooting. "Our defensive effort allowed us to work through that struggle on the offensive end and keep a lead and just build the flow up," Curry said during an ESPN interview. "As the game went on we got more comfortable, shots started to fall and the ball was hopping, and that's the formula for us to be successful against this Cavs team. We have to defend, try to make it tough, knowing they have great scorers."

    TRENDS:

    * Cavaliers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.

    * Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.

    * Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

    * Under is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings in Golden State.

    * Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

    CONSENSUS: 54 percent of users are siding with the road underdog Cleveland Cavaliers and 62 percent are on the Over.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, June 4



    Cleveland @ Golden State

    Game 703-704
    June 4, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    134.258
    Golden State
    137.320
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 3
    229
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 9
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+9); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, June 4


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (63 - 33) at GOLDEN STATE (80 - 15) - 6/4/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 107-88 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 100-84 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 86-64 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when leading in a playoff series this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 64-48 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-9 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 12-8 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA

    Sunday, June 4


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    8:00 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-04-2017 at 10:38 AM.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, June 4



    Phoenix @ New York

    Game 609-610
    June 4, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    106.705
    New York
    114.947
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New York
    by 8
    155
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New York
    Pick
    160
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    Under

    Atlanta @ Washington


    Game 607-608
    June 4, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    111.626
    Washington
    114.309
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 2 1/2
    164
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 6
    156
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+6); Over





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, June 4


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (4 - 1) at WASHINGTON (4 - 2) - 6/4/2017, 3:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (4 - 2) at NEW YORK (3 - 3) - 6/4/2017, 3:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Sunday, June 4


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    3:00 PM
    ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
    Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Atlanta is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Washington is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games

    3:00 PM
    PHOENIX vs. NEW YORK
    Phoenix is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of New York's last 12 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-04-2017 at 10:26 AM.

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