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  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, May 16

    Good Luck on day #135 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Miami Marlin pitchers have hit a batter in 10 consecutive games, tied with ’09 Phillies for longest such streak since 1913.

    — DL update: Outfielders AJ Pollock, Carlos Gomez, Hunter Pence all hit the shelf Monday.

    — Arizona 7, NY Mets 3– Over last four games, Mets were outscored 16-7 from 7th inning on.

    — Giants 8, Dodgers 4– San Francisco won five of its last six games.

    — Indians 8, Rays 7– Chris Archer gave up five runs in the first inning.

    — Celtics 115, Wizards 105– Home team won all seven series games. Boston plays the Cavaliers next.

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but………

    13) Week 1 of the NFL season, ESPN has a Monday night doubleheader; this year, one of the announce teams that night will be Beth Mowins/Rex Ryan, an unusual pairing.

    Mowins has done college football on ESPN for years; she is highly competent but she isn’t getting this gig because she is good, she is getting it because she’s a woman- that’s the world we live in now.

    Look at the people ESPN fired this month; they’re working on evening out the demographics of their workforce.

    This will be Ryan’s first-ever NFL game behind a microphone and he gets it in primetime, which is odd. If he is outspoken he should be good– he acted in an Adam Sandler movie couple years ago and was very good at it. Thing is, he has to be outspoken and not hold back on criticizing people he knows. We’ll see.

    12) Someone on Twitter (a media professional) was critical of Kenny Albert getting national TV gigs, which is ridiculous, but again typical of the world we live in. If you prepare really well, set up your partner to look good and have no shtick, then some people won’t like you, because they care more about style than substance. Albert is everything a play-by-play guy should be.

    11) For a good part of this weekend, the Cubs’ outfield was Kyle Schwarber, Javier Baez and Ian Happ, a catcher and two infielders. At some point, this will hurt you defensively.

    10) Mets blew a 7-1 lead Sunday, lost 11-9 in Miller Park; Neil Walker’s baserunning didn’t help them any.

    When the Mets were up big, they had a half-inning end on a first-to-second double play, when Walker was a runner on third base. He coasted towards the plate; had he sprinted, he would’ve scored before the third out was made on a tag at second base. But he didn’t, the run didn’t count and it turned out to be a run the Mets really needed later on.

    9) Texas Rangers are 6-0 when AJ Griffin starts; they scored 52 runs in the six games.

    8) Kyle Stanley birdied the 17th hole island green at the PLAYERS Championship all four days this past weekend, just the second person ever to do that (Paul Azinger).

    7) Former big league catcher David Ross makes his ESPN analyst debut on Wednesday night’s Boston-St Louis game, with Jon Sciambi and Aaron Boone.

    6) Duke landed PG recruit Trevon Duval, a 5-star recruit. He’ll be in college from Labor Day until the Blue Devils get KO’d from the NCAA tournament. Duke will be a very young team next season.

    5) There are now 58 billionaires living in Los Angeles County; hope they all buy suites in the Rams’ new stadium.

    4) To people who are complaining about Colin Kaepernick being a free agent, what about Jay Cutler? You don’t think Cutler is better than Kaepernick? If a team had shown interest in signing Cutler, no way would he be working on TV this fall.

    3) New idea in marketing: Florists were running ads Monday to sell Mother’s Day stuff to people who forgot to send flowers/gifts on Sunday. Balloons with “I’m really sorry!!!” on them?

    2) Toronto Blue Jays have 14 pitchers, 11 position players right now; that means they have only one bench player, other than the backup catcher. Nobody better get ejected.

    1) Would Gregg Popovich make a good President? Our country needs someone who is respected by most everyone– there is too much hatred/divisiveness these days. We need someone who can do the right thing without a political agenda. Hard to find people like that nowadays.

  3. #3
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    Tuesday’s NBA Western Conference Finals Betting Preview: Spurs at Warriors

    Head coach Steve Kerr watched the game from the locker room on Sunday and delivered the team a pep talk during halftime with the Warriors down 20 points.

    San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors (-13.5, 208.5)

    Warriors lead series 1-0

    The San Antonio Spurs were on their way to a shocking win in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals until star small forward Kawhi Leonard went down with a sprained left ankle in the third quarter and the Golden State Warriors responded with a big rally. The Warriors will try to stay undefeated in the postseason and take a 2-0 lead in the series when they host Game 2 on Tuesday.

    The Spurs led by as much as 25 points and were up 23 when Leonard landed on Golden State center Zaza Pachulia's foot after attempting a jump shot with 7:53 left in the third quarter, forcing him out of the game for good. The Warriors immediately went on an 18-0 run and outscored San Antonio 58-33 after Leonard's exit en route to a 113-111 triumph. "I think it was the pressure," Spurs point guard Patty Mills told reporters of the difference, according to ESPN.com. "They upped their defensive pressure, and we kind of got rattled from that, not knowing what to go to and being organized. For the majority of the game, we were organized. We were trying to take the air out of the gym. But they upped their aggressiveness defensively, and it kind of caught us out of rhythm." The Spurs can look to recent history when starting a game without Leonard after crushing the Houston Rockets 114-75 with the star on the bench in the clinching game of the conference semifinals.

    TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

    LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 12-point home favorites for Game 2 and the total hit the board at 211, but all of that was thrown out the window Monday afternoon when Spurs' head coach Greg Popovich declared Kawhi Leonard OUT for Tuesday night. When the books reposted the numbers the Dubs were up to -14 and the total was down to 208.5. During the day Monday the public bet the Spurs enough to force the spread down to -13.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Spurs - SF Kawhi Leonard (Doubful, ankle), PG Tony Parker (Out For Season, quadricep).

    Warriors - SG A. Iguodala (Questionable, knee), SF Kevon Looney (Out Indefinitely, hip).

    ABOUT THE SPURS (69-26 SU, 49-44-2 ATS, 53-40-2 O/U): Leonard originally suffered the injury in the last round and aggravated the ankle by stepping on the foot of one of his own teammates on the bench earlier in Game 1 before landing on Pachulia and leaving the contest. "I feel good," Leonard told reporters after the game. "I’ll get back healthy. I have faith in my teammates, and we’re going to see what happens [in] Game 2." Leonard scored 26 points in 24 minutes before leaving and power forward LaMarcus Aldridge tried to pick up the slack while posting 28 points but missed a tying 3-point attempt in the final seconds.

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS (76-15 SU, 45-43-3 ATS, 38-53 O/U): Golden State is being led by assistant coach Mike Brown while head coach Steve Kerr continues to deal with complications from back surgery, but Kerr watched the game from the locker room on Sunday and delivered the team a pep talk during halftime with the Warriors down 20 points. “It’s always great to hear coach Kerr’s voice and give his perspective,” Curry told reporters. “It’s actually a fresh perspective from somebody who is watching the game, so he sees a lot of different angles and he sees how things are developing from a broader perspective. So, that’s obviously huge for us." Curry scored 26 of his 40 points after the break while Durant, who was hounded by Leonard for the first 28 minutes of the contest, saw things open up on the offensive end in the second half as well.

    TRENDS:

    * Spurs are 6-2 ATS this season without Kawhi Leonard in their lineup.
    * Warriors are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.
    * Over is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 overall.
    * Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
    * Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

    CONSENSUS: 74 percent of users are siding with the road underdog Spurs and Over is picking up 71 percent of the totals wagers.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-16-2017 at 10:48 AM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 16



    San Antonio @ Golden State

    Game 719-720
    May 16, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    128.292
    Golden State
    134.781
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 6 1/2
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 14
    208 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+14); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, May 16


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (69 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (76 - 15) - 5/16/2017, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 103-88 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 148-120 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 84-64 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1004-876 ATS (+40.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 152-106 ATS (+35.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Short Sheet

    Tuesday, May 16


    Western Conference – Finals – Best of 7 – Game 2 – GSW Leads 1-0

    San Antonio at Golden State, 9:00 PM ET
    San Antonio: 18-7 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent
    Golden State: 34-15 OVER in home games after a close win by 3 points or less




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, May 16


    Warriors blew a 25-point 3rd quarter lead, lost Game 1, now Leonard is out for this game, as well as Parker (out for year). Spurs are 8-1 in last nine games Leonard missed, but this is tough. Warriors are 6-5 in last 11 games vs San Antonio, 2-2 this year- they lost four of last six visits to Oakland. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Spurs are 3-4 on road in playoffs; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Golden State is 9-0 (5-4 vs spread) in playoffs; road team is 8-1 vs spread in those games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    Conference finals:
    San Antonio-Golden State
    GState 113-111, -10, O209.5




    NBA

    Tuesday, May 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    9:00 PM
    SAN ANTONIO vs. GOLDEN STATE
    San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Golden State is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing San Antonio


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-16-2017 at 10:50 AM.

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