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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/8

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, May 8

    Good Luck on day #127 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Mountain West football title this coming fall:
    3-2: Boise State
    5-2: San Diego State
    3-1: Colorado State
    5-1: Wyoming
    6-1: Utah State
    8-1: Air Force
    12-1: Hawai’i
    15-1: New Mexico
    25-1: Nevada
    30-1: UNLV
    50-1: Fresno State, San Jose State

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) Rough times for the Mets; Matz/Syndergaard are injured pitchers, Cespedes is on the DL and now struggling pitcher Matt Harvey was suspended for three days, for what sounds like an accumulation of actions, dating back to last year.

    Harvey was sent home Sunday after he didn’t show up Saturday; Mets started Adam Wilk, a non-roster pitcher who has a 5.69 ERA in AAA- he got pounded by Miami. Tough times for Terry Collins, in the final year of his contract as manager.

    12) Watching Wilk pitch to Giancarlo Stanton, you wonder if Stanton would want to hire Wilk as his pitcher for Home Run Derby at the All-Star Game in July, in Miami.

    11) ESPN had the Bronx Bombers on last nite, has them on again at home next week against Houston, their 3rd Sunday nite game in five weeks. Five of their first seven Sunday night telecasts will be from NYC or Boston. Awesome.

    10) Wizards 121, Celtics 102- Washington had a 26-0 run in third quarter; why do they play so much better at home than on the road?

    9) Seattle Mariners have already used 20 pitchers this season; that’s hard to believe. They lost two pitchers to injury in a 3-pitch stretch in extra innings Friday night.

    8) Bad teams are also often unlucky teams; Brandon McCarthy tweaked his back or something lifting weights, so his start was changed from Saturday to Sunday and Clayton Kershaw was moved up to pitch Saturday against the Padres.

    Just San Diego’s luck; they get rained out at home Sunday for only the third time in Petco Park history, meaning that they would’ve missed facing Kershaw had McCarthy not gotten hurt.

    7) A’s 8, Tigers 6—Before Saturday, Oakland was only MLB team that hadn’t won a game where the GW run scored after the 6th inning- then they had walk-off wins both Saturday/Sunday, making my house a happier place.

    Yonder Alonso has been a big leaguer for 8 years; his career high in homers is 9, in 2012 with San Diego. Alonso hit his 9th homer this year on Sunday- May 7. He’s been a very good player in his 1+ seasons in Oakland.

    6) John Daly won on the Senior Tour Sunday, his first tournament win in 13 years. Someone should make a movie on his life—I’m guessing it would be entertaining. I’m also guessing his travelling party had a lot of fun last night.

    5) I find this surprising: Leonardo DiCaprio’s character died in nine of his first 36 movies.

    4) Edmonton led Anaheim 5-0 after the first period Sunday, coasted to an easy 7-1 Game 6 win. Not a stellar effort by the Ducks; very few NHL games are ever 5-0 in the first period.

    3) Bryce Harper, Mike Trout both have minor leg injuries; Harper didn’t play all weekend. Trout missed three of the Angels’ last four games.

    2) Rockets 125, Spurs 104—Not lot of fun games to watch in these playoffs. At least this series is 2-2, like Celtics-Wizards. Just no close games.

    1) San Francisco Giants were outscored 31-5 in three games against the (first place) Reds this weekend, then their team bus broke down on the way to the airport Sunday. At 11-21, been a rough spring for Bruce Bochy’s ballclub.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, May 8



    Washington @ Pittsburgh

    Game 1-2
    May 8, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    9.582
    Pittsburgh
    12.772
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -125
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-125); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, May 8


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    WASHINGTON (61-23-0-9, 131 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (57-23-0-12, 126 pts.) - 5/8/2017, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 7-12 ATS (-10.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 121-77 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 24-7 ATS (+13.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 78-45 ATS (-2.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 27-13 ATS (+7.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 52-28 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 36-14 ATS (+15.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 30-10 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 41-26 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 123-64 ATS (+25.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 13-11 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 13-11-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-1.5 Units)

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    NHL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, May 8


    Home side won last two Washington-Pittsburgh games, after visitors won first three; Penguins can wrap up series with win here. Capitals lost four of last five games in Steel City; four of those five games went to OT. Under is 5-2 in last seven Washington games. Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last ten games, winning four of last five at home; over is 5-3 in their last eight games overall. Caps are 3-17 on power play in series, Penguins are also 3-17. Over is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

    Second round NHL series
    NY Rangers (-$150) vs Ottawa (+$130)
    Ottawa 2-1
    Ottawa 6-5 OT
    NYR 4-1
    NYR 4-1
    Ottawa 5-4 OT

    Pittsburgh (+$110) vs Washington (-$130)
    Penguins 3-2
    Penguins 6-2
    Wash 3-2 OT
    Penguins 3-2
    Wash 4-2

    St Louis (+$110) vs Nashville (-$130)
    Nashville 4-3
    St Louis 2-1
    Nashville 3-1
    Nashville 2-1
    St Louis 2-1
    Nashville 3-1
    Predators win series, 4-2

    Anaheim (-$135) vs Edmonton (+$115)
    Edmonton 5-3
    Edmonton 3-2
    Anaheim 6-3
    Anaheim 4-3 OT
    Anaheim 4-3 2OT
    Edmonton 7-1

    Home: 11-11 (31-33)
    Over: 10-10-2 (23-31-10)





    NHL

    Monday, May 8


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:30 PM
    WASHINGTON vs. PITTSBURGH
    Washington is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
    Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
    Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-08-2017 at 01:20 PM.

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    Monday’s Stanley Cup Playoffs betting preview: Capitals at Penguins

    Ovechkin's detractors appear to come out en masse during the postseason due in large part because the three-time Hart Trophy winner has yet to guide the Capitals past the second round.

    Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins (-125, 5.5)

    Pens lead series 3-2

    Alex Ovechkin's detractors appear to come out en masse during the postseason due in large part because the three-time Hart Trophy winner has yet to guide the Washington Capitals past the second round. After recording his 10th goal and 20th point in 19 contests in which the Capitals face elimination, Ovechkin looks to temporarily quiet the critics once again on Monday when his team visits the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game 6 of their series.

    "We're still down. We take good moments in the game (Saturday) and move forward," said Ovechkin, who capped Washington's three-goal third period in Saturday's 4-2 triumph with his eighth point (five goals, three assists) of the playoffs. While the 31-year-old Russian has been impressive versus Pittsburgh with 26 points (12 goals, 14 assists) in 18 career postseason games, the Penguins have enjoyed the last laugh by winning seven of the previous eight series - and going on to capture the Stanley Cup after the last two (2009, 2016). Pittsburgh coach Mike Sullivan isn't interested in history, whether it dates back to last season's second-round series versus Washington - the Penguins won in six games, by the way - or the events of Saturday's Game 5. "We have to have a short memory," Sullivan said. "We just have to reset our mindset and go home and try to put our very best on the ice."

    TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVAS

    LINE HISTORY: The Penguins opened as -120 home favorites for this crucial Game 6 and that moneyline bumped up slightly on Sunday evening to -125. The total opened at 5.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Capitals - No injuries to report.

    Penguins - D C. Ruhwedel (Out Indefinitely, upper body), G M. Murray (Out Indefinitely, lower body), D K. Letang (Out For Season, neck).

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (61-22-5-5, 41-37 O/U): While Ovechkin often gets the headlines, countryman Evgeny Kuznetsov continues to be one of the main stories of this series after scoring a goal in each of the past three games to tie Nicklas Backstrom and Ovechkin for the team lead with five. The affable 24-year-old Russian is often one to make outlandish statements, too, but played it close to the vest with reporters when he shared the team's mindset. "We talked about winning (Game 5) and then going to Pittsburgh and win another game," Kuznetsov said. "Now we have to focus on the second game. We can't think about Game 7. We just focus on Game 6 right now."

    ABOUT THE PENGUINS (57-23-7-5, 52-35 O/U): Captain Sidney Crosby and fellow forward Conor Sheary returned on Saturday from respective one-game absences due to a concussion, with the former notching his franchise high-tying 96th assist for his 12th point (four goals, eight assists) in nine playoff contests in 2017. Crosby told reporters that his team needs to focus on puck possession as a means to overcome a huge shot discrepancy in the series (Washington leads 174-115). "I would say just a little bit more zone time," the two-time Hart Trophy finalist said. "If we can hold onto the puck a little bit more, we should get more shots. I think we'll generate a little bit more from that."

    TRENDS:

    * Capitals are 4-10 in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games.
    * Penguins are 22-6 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    * Under is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 games following a win.
    * Under is 6-1-1 in Penguins last 8 home games.
    * Capitals are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-08-2017 at 01:22 PM.

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