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  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/20

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, April 20

    Good Luck on day #109 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Valero Texas Open this week:

    16-1— Matt Kuchar

    18-1— Charley Hoffman

    22-1— Adam Hadwin, Branden Grace, Brooks Koepka, Brendan Steele

    25-1— Jimmy Walker

    26-1— Ryan Moore

    28-1- Billy Horschel

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Random odd fact: in the next FIVE NBA drafts, the 76ers have the Knicks’ 2nd-round pick. The Knicks are bad, so their 2nd round pick is fairly close to the first round.

    12) Shareef O’Neal, Shaq’s son, will be playing ball at Arizona starting in the fall of 2018; he is a 6-9 forward who is ranked 31st in the Class of 2018 by one analyst.

    11) Bryce Harper homered twice in first two innings last nite, is 15-for-33 with seven HR’s and 17 RBIs off Julio Teheran, who is no chump.

    10) Umpire CB Bucknor had a rough night behind the plate Tuesday working the Nats-Braves game; plus the Fox Trax thing that shows whether a pitch is a ball or a strike wasn’t working well on TV, so it made Bucknor look even worse. Washington players were upset afterwards and they won the game.

    9) Cardinals 2, Pirates 1— Third day in a row St Louis beat the Bucs by a 2-1 score.

    8) Maple Leafs are in the playoffs, Blue Jays are off to a 2-11 start; there were tickets for the Red Sox-Jays game in Toronto last night selling online for as little as $2.

    7) Memphis Grizzlies coach David Fizdale was fined $30,000 by the NBA for his comments about the refs in Game 2— the Memphis players are paying the tab for him.

    6) Ichiro Suzuki, in what was probably his last at-bat in Seattle, homered in the 9th inning of the Marlins’ 10-5 loss. Suzuki was a great player for the Mariners and is a sure-fire Hall of Famer.

    5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be featured on HBO’s Hard Knocks this summer.

    4) LIU hired former UMass coach Derek Kellogg to lead its basketball program; took them over a month to hire a new coach.

    3) Mets’ 1B Lucas Duda hyperextended his elbow taking a throw last nite and left the game- was reminiscent of the play long time ago where Cliff Floyd’s elbow got totally messed up reaching into the baseline to field a throw.

    2) Quote of the Day, part 2, from Florida Atlantic’s new football coach Lane Kiffin, on how he will deal with his assistant coaches:

    “No, that’s not really how I do it. Greg (McElroy) knows about those. Those things come up, and everybody has different ways of dealing with them. It’s just not really how I do it. I’m not really big on humiliating assistant coaches in front of everybody. I write down notes. In the staff meeting, I explain what we want to get done.”

    1— NFL releases the 2017 schedule tonight, so we’ll be talking about that Friday. Remember, it isn’t as much about who you play as much as when you play them.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, April 20


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    CLEVELAND (53 - 31) at INDIANA (42 - 42) - 4/20/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in April games this season.
    INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 11-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 10-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TORONTO (52 - 32) at MILWAUKEE (43 - 41) - 4/20/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all playoff games over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 185-229 ATS (-66.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-46 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 362-433 ATS (-114.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 8-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 10-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (63 - 21) at MEMPHIS (43 - 41) - 4/20/2017, 9:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 998-871 ATS (+39.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 87-73 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
    MEMPHIS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a division game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 10-8 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Short Sheet

    Thursday, April 20


    Eastern Conference – Round 1 – Best of 7 – Game 3 – CLE Leads 2-0

    Cleveland at Indiana, 7:00 PM ET
    Cleveland: 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) as a road favorite
    Indiana: 14-4 ATS in home games after a combined score of 225 points or more

    Eastern Conference – Round 1 – Best of 7 – Game 3 – Series Tied At 1-1

    Toronto at Milwaukee, 8:00 PM ET
    Toronto: 15-6 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games
    Milwaukee: 25-16 OVER in home games

    Western Conference – Round 1 – Best of 7 – Game 3 – SAS Leads 2-0

    San Antonio at Memphis, 9:30 PM ET
    San Antonio: 44-29 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games
    Memphis: 27-13 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, April 20


    Cleveland won first two games of series by 1-6 points; Indiana covered both of them. Cavaliers won their last five games with Indiana, with last three wins by total of 12 points.Teams split last four games played here. Indiana won five of its last seven games, covered last eight- over is 12-4 in their last 16 games. Cleveland was 24-59 on arc in first two games. Eight of Cavaliers’ last ten games went over the total- they shot 53.8/55.3% from floor in first two games. Indiana won/covered its last three home games.

    Bucks were 14-29 on arc in Game 2 win, after going 5-23 in Game 1 loss; Toronto shot 58 foul shots in first two games, Raptors 34. Toronto won three of last four visits to Milwaukee (favorites 4-0 vs spread)- they’re 8-2 overall in last ten games against the Bucks. Milwaukee is 0-6 in playoff series the last 15 years- their last first round series win was in 2001. Toronto is 4-2 vs Milwaukee this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Bucks’ last seven games, 6-5 in Toronto’s last 11. Raptors are 13-3 in their last 16 games. Milwaukee was -12 in the 6:00 Antetokounmpo was off the floor in Game 2, (+6 when he was on floor).

    Home side won last six series tilts; San Antonio lost last two visits here, by 15-8 points. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Memphis was 13-15 on foul line in Game 2; Leonard was 19-19, by himself. What effect will Tizdale’s post-game tirade have on Game 3 refs? Grizzlies lost 11 of last 14 games (under 9-5) overall, after losing first two in this series, by 29-14 points (0-2 vs spread). Four of Spurs’ last six games went over total. Memphis subs are -98 in first two series games; starters are -67. Memphis lost three of its last four home games.

    First round playoff series:
    Boston-Chicago
    Chi 106-102, +7, O207
    Chi 111-97, +7.5, O206.5

    Cleveland-Indiana
    Clev 109-108, -9, O208.5
    Clev 117-111, -9, O210

    Toronto-Milwaukee
    Mil 97-83, +7.5, U197.5
    Tor 106-100, -8, O195

    Washington-Atlanta
    Wash 114-107, -5.5, O209.5
    Wash 109-101, -6.5, U211.5

    Golden State-Portland
    GState 121-109, -15.5, O220
    GState 110-81, –12, U219

    San Antonio-Memphis
    SA 111-82, -9.5, O190.5
    SA 96-82, -10.5, U189

    Houston-Oklahoma City
    Hst 118-87 -7.5, U227.5
    Hst 115-111, -7.5, O225.5

    LA Clippers-Utah
    Utah 97-95, +6, U198.5
    LAC 99-91, -9, U200

    Favorites: 6-10 vs spread

    Over: 9-7




    NBA

    Thursday, April 20


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
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    7:00 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. INDIANA
    Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
    Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

    8:00 PM
    TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
    Toronto is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing Toronto
    Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    9:30 PM
    SAN ANTONIO vs. MEMPHIS
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games
    San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games at home
    Memphis is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing San Antonio


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2017 at 12:14 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA

    Thursday, April 20


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Thursday's NBA Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds
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    Cleveland Cavaliers at Indiana Pacers (+2.5, 211.5)

    Cavs lead series 2-0

    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (53-31 SU, 36-45-3 ATS, 49-34-1 O/U): Cleveland averaged 113 points while winning the first two games and All-Star forward LeBron James is impressed with what he's seeing. Point guard Kyrie Irving (37 points), power forward Kevin Love (27) and James (25) combined for 89 points in the 117-111 victory in Game 2, becoming the first trio to each score 25 points or more in the franchise's playoff history. James (5,629) is 12 points away from passing Kobe Bryant for third place on the NBA's all-time playoff scoring list and he is pleased with the team-first showing the club is displaying. "Our mindset is what we can do to help each other to be successful out on the floor," James said. "We have a game plan from our coaching staff and we just try to execute that. We can't worry about what the opponent is feeling or if they feel like they lost composure."

    ABOUT THE PACERS (42-42 SU, 41-42-1 ATS, 43-41 O/U): Paul George is being vocal about his teammates but he clearly is the only player capable of keeping the Indiana Pacers in the best-of-seven first-round series against the Cleveland Cavaliers. George is on edge and criticized Miles for taking the last shot in Game 1 - "I got to get the last shot," George asserted - and then he ripped swingman Lance Stephenson's antics and power forward Myles Turner's subpar play after Game 2. The 21-year-old Turner is averaging 8.5 points in the series - six below his regular-season average - while giving an effort George doesn't feel is up to par. "He needs to make himself available down low in the post," George told reporters of Turner. "He needs to know at this point he has to take it to the next level. We'll continue to work with him. I've been in his ear all the way up until this point - you know, that next step."

    LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened Pacers as 3.5-point home underdogs for Game 3, but some early action on the home team reduced that number to +2.5 by Wednesday night. The total hit the betting boards at 211.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Cavaliers - SG J.R. Smith (Questionable, hamstring), PG K. Felder (Questionable, leg).

    Pacers - PG J. Teague (Probable, wrist), C A. Jefferson (Questionable, ankle).

    TRENDS:

    * Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
    * Pacers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
    * Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
    * Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Cavaliers are 2-10-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.




    Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5, 196)

    Series tied 1-1

    ABOUT THE RAPTORS (52-32 SU, 45-38-1 ATS, 45-39 O/U): Milwaukee wrestled homecourt advantage away by winning the opener in Toronto but the Raptors regained momentum with a solid 106-100 victory in Game 2. Lowry's solid Game 2 performance was much-needed after he tallied just four points on 2-of-11 shooting in the opener. He has traditionally struggled in the postseason and the Game 1 showing prompted reminders of last season's poor postseason play but coach Dwane Casey insists he was unconcerned about Lowry. "I've been in the trenches with him before and he's always bounced back," Casey told reporters. "That's just who he is. He's a fighter. I just knew he wasn't going to be satisfied the way he played in the first game. He's human. Everybody has a night like that. We just can't panic every time a guy has a night like that. It's a tough league."

    ABOUT THE BUCKS (43-41 SU, 38-46 ATS, 42-40-2 O/U): The Milwaukee Bucks haven't won a playoff series since the 2000-01 campaign and can take another step toward ending their drought when they host the Toronto Raptors in Thursday's Game 3 of the Eastern Conference series. Antetokounmpo is averaging 26 points and 11.5 rebounds in the series and realized after Game 2 he would need to make adjustments to deal with Toronto's change in defensive tactics. "They didn't allow me to go in the paint," Antetokounmpo told reporters. "Every time I drove the ball, everybody was sucking into the paint. They were more physical. I still have to make the right plays and try to find my teammates." Antetokounmpo could use sustained help from shooting guard Khris Middleton, who scored 20 points in Game 2 after struggling to 10 on 4-of-15 shooting in the opener.

    LINE HISTORY: The spread for this Game 3 matchup in Milwaukee opened as a Pick 'Em at some shops and was all over the place early on. By Wednesday evening the spread seems to have settle in at Bucks -1.5. The total opened at 197 and came down slightly to 196.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Raptors - No injuries to report.

    Bucks - PF J. Parker (Out For Season, knee).

    TRENDS:

    * Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
    * Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    * Under is 12-3 in Raptors last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    * Under is 5-1-1 in Bucks last 7 overall.
    * Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.




    San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies (+3.5, 185)

    Spurs lead series 2-0

    ABOUT THE SPURS (63-21 SU, 43-39-2 ATS, 44-38-2 O/U): The San Antonio Spurs opened the Western Conference first-round series with impressive victories and aim to take a commanding 3-0 lead when they visit the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Memphis has been unable to control Spurs All-Star small forward Kawhi Leonard, who is averaging 34.5 points on 20-of-28 shooting from the field while knocking down all 28 free-throw attempts. Leonard is a force and continues to improve offensively and now appears ready to explode and obliterate the previous best scoring postseason of his six-year career of 22.5 set last season. Second-seeded San Antonio revolves around Leonard, who has raised his exploits despite opponents routinely double-teaming him in hopes of slowing his down. "It's a gift and a curse," Leonard told reporters of the double teams. "You want to get to this level, and then you start getting double-teamed but it's all fun. It's a game. You just have to approach it that way."

    ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (43-41 SU, 41-43 ATS, 39-42-3 O/U): This might be Memphis' one chance to make it a series after the Grizzlies scored just 82 points in each of the defeats in San Antonio. Seventh-seeded Memphis will be seeking a rebound from All-Star center Marc Gasol, who scored 32 points in Game 1 before dropping to 12 on 4-of-15 shooting in Game 2. Memphis coach David Fizdale was fined $30,000 on Wednesday for unleashing a memorable rant about the officiating after Game 2 and one of his points was that Leonard attempted more free throws (19) than his entire team (15). Point guard Mike Conley understood his coach's frustration and said the Spurs' long history of winning is a factor. "The Spurs are champions. They've won many times. They've done a lot of great things," Conley told reporters. "We haven't earned that yet. We have to get to that mountaintop, and we understand that. I understand that. That's why I'm not going to complain about it. I'm just going to keep my head down, keep focused, try to play through it the best I can and keep my teammates from letting it affect them mentally."

    LINE HISTORY: The Grizzlies opened as four-point home underdogs and by Wednesday evening that number was down to +3.5. The total opened at 185, made a brief stop at 185.5, before returning to the opening number.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Spurs - No injuries to report.

    Grizzlies - SF C. Parsons (Out For Season, knee), SG T. Allen (Out Indefinitely, calf).

    TRENDS:

    * Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Grizzlies are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Over is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
    * Under is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2017 at 12:15 PM.

  5. #5
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, April 20



    San Antonio @ Memphis

    Game 713-714
    April 20, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    122.580
    Memphis
    115.229
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 7 1/2
    195
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 3 1/2
    185
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Toronto @ Milwaukee


    Game 711-712
    April 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    122.955
    Milwaukee
    116.494
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 6 1/2
    193
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 1 1/2
    196 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+1 1/2); Under

    Cleveland @ Indiana


    Game 709-710
    April 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    118.926
    Indiana
    124.356
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 5 1/2
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 2 1/2
    211 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+2 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2017 at 12:16 PM.

  6. #6
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    NBA

    Thursday, April 20



    Updated NBA Playoffs 2017 Betting Stats: Favorites 12-4 straight up
    Favorites 6-10 ATS O/U 9-7


    Updated 2016-17 Durant-less Warriors betting stats:
    17-4 SU
    12-8-1 ATS (11-1-1 ATS in last 12)
    5-16 O/U
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2017 at 12:17 PM.

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