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  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, April 19

    Good Luck on day #108 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Six batters who have knocked in highest %age of baserunners so far this month (minimum 20 AB):

    6) Marcell Ozuna, 31.7% (13-41)

    5) Travis d’Arnaud 31.8% (7-22)

    T3) Scooter Gennett 35% (7-20)
    T3) Asdrubel Cabrera 35% (7-20)

    2) Eric Thames 35.7% (5-14)

    1) Nomar Mazara 36.4% (12-33)

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

    13) College basketball has an under-reported problem; high level teams are openly recruiting players from other teams to transfer. This is total BS, scummy behavior.

    They were talking on Twitter Monday that Utah State’s Koby McEwen was being recruited by a team, and Utah State coach Tim Duryea had to be “stern” with the school. McEwen will be back in Logan next winter- he was Mountain West Freshman of the Year this year.

    12) There were four OT games in the NHL playoffs Monday nite, first time that happened since 1985. Of all the pro sports, NHL has the most exciting playoffs.

    11) Free throw breakdown from Game 2 in the Memphis-San Antonio series:
    Memphis (whole team) 13-15
    Kawhi Leonard 19-19
    Rest of the Spurs 12-13 (31-32 total)

    This is why Memphis Coach Fizdale was snippy in his post-game press conference; his team got hosed and it is his job to protect his team from that happening again.

    10) New Mexico State hired former Bowling Green coach Chris Jans as its new basketball coach. Jans comes from the Wichita State coaching tree- he went 21-12 in his one season coaching the Falcons two years ago (their only 20+-win season since 2002), but was fired after an incident in a bar where he was hitting on a woman while drunk and the incident was captured on someone’s phone.

    9) Do the Angels need to trade Mike Trout? They’re not a good team; Trout would bring back a lot of talent, but would it be enough talent to make them good again? And if they were still bad despite trading their best player, would that put a dent in home attendance?

    Baseball America ranked the Angels’ farm system as worst in the major leagues, so not lot of help coming up from the minors anytime soon.

    8) Good news for those of us in beautiful upstate New York; the first weekend of the NCAA tournament is coming to Albany in 2020- think it will be the third time Albany has hosted March Madness.

    7) Ad behind the plate at Safeco Field; “Leafless in Seattle” for a leaf blower to put your leaves on other people’s lawns. Solid play on words/movie titles.

    6) It gets annoying when national baseball writers start speculation on trades in April; could we let teams fall out of contention before we make them sellers? Milwaukee is 8-7, not a bad start, but you read lot of Ryan Braun-to-Dodgers stuff.

    5) Pirates lost CF Starling Marte for 80 games for a PED offense; Andrew McCutchen was back in centerfield Tuesday night. Adam Frazier takes over in right.

    4) Pirates lost 2-1 in St Louis the last two nights; their pitchers threw only 177 pitches in 16 innings, an average of 11.1 per inning, not a lot. Whats wrong with the Cardinals?

    3) Toronto 106, Milwaukee 100— Raptors scored the last six points of the game, evened series 1-1.

    2) Imagine being a major leaguer who is off to a bad start; when you come to bat, they put your batting average on those huge scoreboards— if you’re hitting under .200, it puts lot of pressure on you to do better. Even great athletes have crises of confidence.

    1— Get well soon, Bruce Bochy; the Giants’ skipper had a minor heart procedure this week, isn’t managing the ball club in Kansas City.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, April 19



    Portland @ Golden State

    Game 705-706
    April 19, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland
    116.038
    Golden State
    137.549
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 21 1/2
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 13 1/2
    219 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-13 1/2); Under

    Oklahoma City @ Houston


    Game 703-704
    April 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    118.154
    Houston
    122.020
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 4
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 8
    223
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (+8); Under

    Atlanta @ Washington


    Game 701-702
    April 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    119.011
    Washington
    121.055
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 2
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 5 1/2
    210 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+5 1/2); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, April 19


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (43 - 40) at WASHINGTON (50 - 33) - 4/19/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
    ATLANTA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 78-57 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 10-8 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 10-9 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OKLAHOMA CITY (47 - 36) at HOUSTON (56 - 27) - 4/19/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-75 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-37 ATS (+4.3 Units) in all games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 177-131 ATS (+32.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 10-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (41 - 42) at GOLDEN STATE (68 - 15) - 4/19/2017, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 155-127 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 143-117 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 83-61 ATS (+15.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 124-91 ATS (+23.9 Units) in April games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 87-64 ATS (+16.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-6 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 15-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    13 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, April 19


    Wizards won their last four games with Atlanta, by 3-26-4-7 points; Wiz won game 1 by 7, with +7 turnover ratio (19-12). Hawks were 32-39 on foul line but also had nine shots blocked. Washington is 4-5 in its last nine games overall. Hawks won four of their last six games, under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Washington is in playoffs for third time in last four years, after a 5-year drought; they won last two first round series. Atlanta is in playoffs for 10th year in row; they’re 5-4 in last nine first round series, winning in first round last two years. Four of Wizards’ five starters were +18 or better in Game 1- their subs were -53.

    Houston won four of five games with Oklahoma City this year; three of the five were decided by 3 or less points, with Rockets winning last four- they won Game 1 by 31, outscoring OKC 59-33 in second half, holding Westbrook to 6-23 from floor. Thunder is 4-3 in its last seven games, with last five staying under the total. Houston is in playoffs for fifth year in row, making Western final two years ago, but since 1998, the Rockets are 2-9 in first round series. Oklahoma City won 8 fewer games this year than last; they won their last five first round series, but without Durant, they’re obviously not as good a team now.

    Warriors swept Portland this season, winning five games by 23-45-8–2-12 points; Golden State won Game 1 by 12 -it was tied after 3rd quarter. Lillard/McCollum combined for 75 points, but no other Blazer scored more than 12. Golden State won 16 of its last 17 games overall, win 10-4-2 vs spread in last 16 games- over is 6-3 in their last nine. Portland won nine of its last 13 games; they covered six of their last seven road games. Golden State won NBA title in 2015, lost Finals LY, added Durant last summer. Since 2001, Portland is 2-7 in first round series, with wins coming in last three years (2-1).

    First round playoff series:
    Boston-Chicago
    Chi 106-102, +7, O207
    Chi 111-97, +7.5, O206.5

    Cleveland-Indiana
    Clev 109-108, -9, O208.5
    Clev 117-111, -9, O210

    Toronto-Milwaukee
    Mil 97-83, +7.5, U197.5
    Tor 106-100, -8, O195

    Washington-Atlanta
    Wash 114-107, -5.5, O209.5

    Golden State-Portland
    GState 121-109, -15.5, O220

    San Antonio-Memphis
    SA 111-82, -9.5, O190.5
    SA 96-82, -10.5, U189

    Houston-Oklahoma City
    Hst 118-87 -7.5, U227.5

    LA Clippers-Utah
    Utah 97-95, +6, U198.5
    LAC 99-91, -9, U200

    Favorites: 4-9 vs spread
    Over: 8-5




    NBA

    Wednesday, April 19


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:00 PM
    ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    8:00 PM
    OKLAHOMA CITY vs. HOUSTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Houston is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

    10:30 PM
    PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Portland's last 16 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Golden State's last 16 games when playing Portland
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-19-2017 at 12:51 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA

    Wednesday, April 19


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Wednesday's NBA Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In Game 1 of the "MVP Battle" James Harden and the Rockets ran Russell Westbrook and the Thunder out of the gym. Houston is 7.5-point chalk for Game 2.

    Atlanta Hawks at Washington Wizards (-5, 210.5)

    Wizards lead series 1-0

    ABOUT THE HAWKS: Atlanta needed to control the tempo and hang onto the ball in Game 1, but instead committed 21 turnovers and allowed 25 fast-break points in the setback. "We were ahead at halftime and 17 fast-break points (in the first half) was something we felt we could really improve on," Hawks coach Mike Budenholzer told reporters. "To some degree we did that. The game obviously changed. It will continue to be an emphasis. It's not the only thing. We have to do a lot of things well." Budenholzer started rookie Taurean Prince at small forward instead of veteran defensive stopper Thabo Sefolosha, who did not get off the bench, and intents to stick with that lineup moving forward.

    ABOUT THE WIZARDS: All-Star point guard John Wall scored a playoff career-high 32 points to go with 14 assists and led the charge in the third quarter when Washington came out with a faster tempo. "Just being aggressive," Wall told reporters. "We started to get a lot of stops out in transition and I got into a rhythm of knocking down shots and being more aggressive." Power forward Markieff Morris joined Wall in the aggressive tone, getting in the face of Millsap while pouring in 21 points and recording four blocks.

    LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Wizards as 6-point home favorites for Game 2, but they have been faded a bit to sit at the current number of Washington -5. The total hit the board at 212 and that has resulted in Under money coming in, moving the number to 210.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Hawks- No injuries to report.

    Wizards - SF K. Oubre Jr. (Questionable Wednesday, knee), PF J. Smith (Questionable Wednesday, knee), C I. Mahinmi (Late April, calf).

    TRENDS:

    * Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss.
    * Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last seven first round games.
    * Over is 6-0-1 in Hawks last seven games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
    * Over is 8-1 in Wizards last nine home games vs. a team with a losing road record.




    Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets (-7.5, 224)

    Rockets lead series 1-0

    ABOUT THE THUNDER: Westbrook's off-shooting outing in Game 1 was bad enough but several members of the supporting cast had poor showings as well. Shooting guard Victor Oladipo was the biggest culprit with a 1-of-12 shooting performance while the frontcourt trio of Steven Adams, Taj Gibson and Enes Kanter combined for just 19 points and were the prime reason why Oklahoma City was outrebounded 56-41. "We got to play and do a better job, starting with myself," Westbrook told reporters. "I got to do a better job of taking care of the basketball and making some shots."

    ABOUT THE ROCKETS: While Harden did his typical damage in Game 1, backcourt mate Patrick Beverley frustrated Westbrook and was a star in his own right with 21 points and 10 rebounds. "That's the reason we're in the position we're in," Harden told reporters. "He brings it every game. Whether his shot is falling or not, he brings that intensity, that resolve." Post players Nene (15 points on 7-of-8 shooting) and Clint Capela (14 points on 7-of-9) operated at will against the Thunder in Game 1.

    LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened Game 2 as 7.5-point home favorites and the line has yet to move off that number. The total for Game 2 hit the board at 224 and has been bet down to 223 after Game 1's total easily went Under the 228.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Thunder - No injuries to report.

    Rockets - SF S. Dekker (Early May, hand).

    TRENDS:

    * Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on two days rest.
    * Rockets are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
    * Under is 5-0 in Thunder last five overall.
    * Under is 5-0 in Rockets last five games following a SU win.




    Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors (-15, 220.5)

    Warriors lead series 1-0

    ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS: Damian Lillard, who before the series predicted Portland would win in six games, scored 34 points and CJ McCollum added 41 but the rest of the team combined for 34 points on 12-of-39 shooting in Game 1. "It's going to take a team to beat (the Warriors)," Trail Blazers coach Terry Stotts told reporters. "Damian and CJ are talented scorers and they both had great offensive nights. ... But we need everybody. Guys have to be ready to make shots. (Golden State is) good defensive help team, so when the ball is swung out, they've got to be able to take advantage of those opportunities." Portland is still awaiting word on the return of center Jusuf Nurkic, who is out with a fractured leg and is considered questionable for the series.

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Kevin Durant sat out 19 games with a knee injury before easing his way back into the flow in the final three games of the regular season and did not appear rusty in his Golden State playoff debut. "The game ratchets up when you get into the playoffs, so it definitely felt good out there," Durant told reporters after pouring in 32 points on 12-of-20 shooting and grabbing 10 rebounds. "I didn’t worry about not playing 20 games in the regular season. I just tried to get out there and be me. Physically, I felt great." Durant averaged 29.3 points on 60 percent shooting in four regular-season meetings with the Trail Blazers.

    LINE HISTORY: The Warriors were able to pull away late in Game 1, but not enough to cover the 15-point chalk and despite this the Dubs are once again currently 15-point favorites for Game 2. Oddsmakers opened the total at 221.5 and it has been bet down slightly to the current number of 220.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Trail Blazers - C J. Nurkic (Questionable Wednesday, leg), SG T. Quarterman (Questionable Wednesday, concussion), C F. Ezeli (Our for season, knee), PF E. Davis (Out for season, shoulder).

    Warriors - SF K. Durant (Porbable Wednesday, calf), SF K. Looney (Questionable Wednesday, hip), SF M. Barnes (Doutbful Wednesday, ankle).

    TRENDS:

    * Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. Pacific Division opponents.
    * Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
    * Over is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last seven games playing on two days rest.
    * Over is 5-1 in Warriors last six games following a straight up win.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-19-2017 at 12:52 PM.

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