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  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/18

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, April 18

    Good Luck on day #107 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Six batters who have come to bat with most men on base this season, and %age of those runners they knocked in:

    6) Christian Yelich 41 (14.6%)

    T4) Carlos Santana 42 (19.0%)
    T4) Kris Bryant 42 (11.9%)

    3) Carlos Correa 43 (4.7%)

    2) Robinson Cano 44 (15.9%)

    1) Pablo Sandoval 46 (13.0%)

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) They ran the Boston Marathon Monday; I’m thinking it isn’t healthy to run 26 miles.

    A marathon is an event that was established “…….in commemoration of the fabled run of the Greek soldier Pheidippides, a messenger from the Battle of Marathon to Athens, who reported the victory.”

    Unfortunately for Pheidippides, as soon as he reported the victory, he collapsed and dropped dead. Like I said, running 26 miles at once might not be good for you.

    12) That said, it does take serious onions to run that far; it is demanding, both physically, mentally. Monday, a retired Marine who lost the lower part of his left leg by stepping on an IED in Afghanistan in 2011. ran on his prosthetic leg while carrying a large American flag for the entire 26.2-mile race, finishing in 5:46:13.

    That is one tough human.

    11) I’m probably not the best person to discuss running; if I drive 26 miles, I’m looking for the drive-thru window at Wendy’s or McDonald’s.

    10) Rough start to the year for my A’s; their two best pitchers (Gray/Graveman) are both hurt already, now SS Semien has a broken wrist and is done for couple months. Not like he is Ozzie Smith or anything, but unless they bring highly touted prospect Franklin Barreto up from AAA, best they can do is move Lowrie back to SS and bring a 2B up from Nashville. Oy.

    9) Toronto 4, Washington 3 OT— All three series games have gone OT, second time in Washington’s franchise history that has happened. Caps are 1-5 in those six games.

    8) Cole Hamels has started three games for Texas this month; Rangers led all three games after the fifth inning. Texas bullpen, however, has allowed 14 runs in 9.2 innings in those games and Texas lost all three.

    7) A 17-year old basketball prospect named Kevin Knox was offered $1.4M to play basketball for a Chinese pro team next year, but declined the offer. He’ll announce his college choice next week; most of top programs are involved.

    6) Angel Hernandez is a bad umpire; he just is. You watch him work the plate and there is always a lot of crabbing by players during his games there.

    5) Carlos Martínez pitched for the Cardinals in the Bronx Saturday; he lost 3-2. Martinez faced 30 batters; 19 of them either walked (8) or struck out (11).

    Martinez threw 118 pitches, 25 were called strikes, 19 were swinging strikes, 16 were fouled off, 47 were balls and 11 were put in play. Of the 11 balls put in play, four were hits. Very odd line for him.

    4) Brewers 6, Cubs 3— World Champs have lost four in row, are 6-7 overall, 2-5 at home.

    3) Cavaliers 117, Pacers 111— Indiana was down 18 after three quarters, but covered thru the backdoor. Kevin Love was +!7; Cavaliers were -11 with him off the floor.

    As I type this, Spurs are up 56-30 over Memphis. Not a lot of competition there.

    2) NFL schedule gets released Thursday night, the draft is next week. It is freakin’ April, but the NFL has an amazing ability to stay in the news.

    1— Utah Jazz have a problem, with Rudy Gobert out for Game 2 with the Clippers, but this year, Jazz are +102 with Derrick Favors on the floor, if they didn’t play the night before. When they played the night before, Favors was -45. No back/backs in the playoffs, good for Utah.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, April 18



    Utah @ LA Clippers

    Game 529-530
    April 18, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    124.906
    LA Clippers
    129.852
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 5
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 9
    195 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (+9); Over

    Chicago @ Boston


    Game 527-528
    April 18, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    123.106
    Boston
    122.740
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    Even
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 7
    205 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+7); Over

    Milwaukee @ Toronto


    Game 525-526
    April 18, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    113.879
    Toronto
    125.470
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 11 1/2
    196
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 7 1/2
    193
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-7 1/2); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, April 18


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    MILWAUKEE (43 - 40) at TORONTO (51 - 32) - 4/18/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 37-46 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 361-433 ATS (-115.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 45-37 ATS (+4.3 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 73-48 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 128-94 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    TORONTO is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
    TORONTO is 178-221 ATS (-65.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
    TORONTO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all playoff games over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 185-228 ATS (-65.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 8-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 9-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (42 - 41) at BOSTON (53 - 30) - 4/18/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 6-6 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 7-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (52 - 31) at LA CLIPPERS (51 - 32) - 4/18/2017, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 207-260 ATS (-79.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 6-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 9-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, April 18


    Milwaukee won 97-83 on road in Game 1, holding Raptors to 36% from floor; Toronto shot twice as many FT’s (33-15) but they were held to 32 second half points by Bucks squad that is in the playoffs for first time since 2015; they’re 0-6 in playoff series the last 15 years- their last first round series win was in 2001. Toronto is 3-2 vs Milwaukee this season but lost last two meetings, by 7-14 points. Under is 5-0-1 in Bucks’ last six games, 6-4 in Toronto’s last ten. Raptors are 12-3 in last 15 games, but a loss here and they head to Wisconsin down 2-0.

    Celtics are now 2-9 in playoffs under Stevens; Boston star Thomas is playing under cloud of his 22-year old sister dying Saturday- he goes to her funeral tomorrow. Celtics were 14-38 on arc in Game 1 loss; they’re 9-4 in last 13 games overall, but are also 1-7 vs spread in last eight home tilts. Chicago is now 8-2 in its last ten games; five of their last six games stayed under the total. Home side won four of five Chicago-Boston games this season. Of previous 11 #8-seeds to upset a #1-seed in Game 1 of a series, three of the 11 wound up winning the series.

    Utah big man Gobert (knee) is out for this game, which forces Favors to play more, and then Jazz has to play smaller. Utah is +102 this season with Favors on floor, if they didn’t play night before. Jazz are 2-3 against the Clippers this year, 1-2 here, with both losses by 13+ points. Clippers won seven of their last eight games (4-3-1 vs spread); over is 7-6 in their last 13 games. LA was just 8-24 on arc in Game 1; they need to play with desperation here, to avoid going to Salt Lake City down 2-0. Six of last nine Utah games stayed under the total.

    First round playoff series:
    Boston-Chicago
    Chi 106-102, +7, O207

    Cleveland-Indiana
    Clev 109-108, -9, O208.5
    Clev 117-111, -9, O210

    Toronto-Milwaukee
    Mil 97-83, +7.5, U197.5

    Washington-Atlanta
    Wash 114-107, -5.5, O209.5

    Golden State-Portland
    GState 121-109, -15.5, O220

    San Antonio-Memphis
    SA 111-82, -9.5, O190.5
    SA 96-82, -10.5, U189

    Houston-Oklahoma City
    Hst 118-87 -7.5, 227.5

    LA Clippers-Utah
    Utah 97-95, +6, U198.5

    Favorites: 4-6 vs spread
    Totals: over 6-4




    NBA

    Tuesday, April 18


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:00 PM
    MILWAUKEE vs. TORONTO
    Milwaukee is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Milwaukee is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
    Toronto is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games

    8:00 PM
    CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Chicago

    10:30 PM
    UTAH vs. LA CLIPPERS
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    LA Clippers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Utah
    LA Clippers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-18-2017 at 12:33 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA

    Tuesday, April 18


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Tuesday’s NBA playoffs betting preview and odds
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The NBA Playoffs continue Tuesday night with a pair of games in the Eastern Conference followed by a single Western Conference matchup. All three games feature favorites who lost the openers and are looking to rebound on home court.

    Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors (-7.5, 193)

    Bucks lead series 1-0

    ABOUT THE BUCKS (43-40 SU, 37-46 ATS, 41-40-2 O/U): The Bucks didn't look like a team that lost 13 of their past 15 regular-season games to the Raptors when it carried play and produced a 97-83 victory in the opener. The series is seen as a time for the 22-year Antetokounmpo to shine and he did that by making 13-of-18 shots, collecting eight rebounds and playing his typical team-style brand of basketball. "I'm going to find open guys," Antetokounmpo told reporters. "If I start thinking about who they're going to put on me, it's not going to work. I don't even think about who they're going to put on me." Rookie guard Malcolm Brogdon contributed 16 points and made four 3-point baskets in Game 1 while center Greg Monroe contributed 14 points and 15 rebounds off the bench.

    ABOUT THE RAPTORS (51-32 SU, 45-37-1 ATS, 44-39 O/U): The Game 1 defeat pushes the third-seeded Raptors in recognizable territory as they have dropped eight consecutive playoff series openers. All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry missed all six 3-point attempts and tallied just four points in the opener as he continues to be a dismal performer in the postseason. Lowry experienced major shooting issues last year while finishing at 30.4 percent from long range in 20 games and he was already surly with reporters while claiming it is time for some of his teammates to step up. "That's one thing about the playoffs, teams are gonna game plan for me and DeMar," Lowry told reporters. "We gotta figure out ways to make tough shots or everybody else gotta help us. We gotta get other guys to get even more open looks."

    LINE HISTORY: The Raptors opened as 7.5-point home favorites for Game 2 and the total hit the board at 193.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Bucks - PF J. Parker (Out For Season, knee).

    Raptors - PF S. Ibaka (Probable, ankle).

    TRENDS:

    * Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    * Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
    * Under is 6-0-1 in Bucks last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    * Under is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.




    Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics (-7, 205.5)

    Bulls lead series 1-0

    ABOUT THE BULLS (41-41 SU, 43-40 ATS, 33-49-1 O/U): Chicago had a 53-36 rebounding advantage and hauled in 20 on the offensive end, including 16 in the first half. Jimmy Butler scored 23 of his 30 points in the second half and helped guard Thomas down the stretch. Bobby Portis provided a huge lift for Chicago off the bench in Game 1 by recording 19 points, nine rebounds and two blocked shots in 29 minutes. "He was one of our new, young guys that hasn't had any playoff experience that I wasn't worried about," coach Fred Hoiberg told the media. "Because he's going to go out there and play with unbelievable confidence, he's going to play with swagger, he's just a kid that's going to go out there and lay it on the line." Veteran Dwyane Wade had 11 points and six assists in his fourth game back from an elbow injury and he will move into the top 25 in NBA history when he plays in his 168th career playoff game Tuesday.

    ABOUT THE CELTICS (53-29 SU, 40-41-2 ATS, 40-39-4 O/U): Isaiah Thomas and the Boston Celtics will try to rebound from an emotional Game 1 loss when they continue their Eastern Conference first-round series with the visiting Chicago Bulls on Tuesday. Hours after learning that his sister died in a car accident in Washington, Thomas bravely led the Celtics with 33 points, but his team was dominated inside as the Bulls stole the opener 106-102 on Easter Sunday. Coach Brad Stevens told reporters that he would let Thomas decide whether he wants to play Game 2 or be with family in Washington, stating: "Whatever he needs to do, he needs to do, and we'll help in any way." Regardless of the status of their leader, Boston needs more of a support system on the court, as six reserves combined to score 22 points on 8-of-22 shooting in Game 1. Starting forward Jae Crowder, who scored at least 11 points in 13 of his final 14 regular-season games, was limited to nine while shooting 4-for-12 on Sunday.

    LINE HISTORY: The Celtics opened as six-point home favorites for Game 2 and that spread was quickly bet up to -7 by Monday night. The total hit the board at 205 and currently sits at 205.5.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Bulls - No injuries to report.

    Celtics - PG I. Thomas (Probable, personal).

    TRENDS:

    * Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    * Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
    * Over is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    * Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 Tuesday games.
    * Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.




    Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers (-9, 196.5)

    Jazz lead series 1-0

    ABOUT THE JAZZ (52-31 SU, 37-42-4 ATS, 42-41 O/U): Veteran reserve Joe Johnson's buzzer-beater lifted the Jazz to a 97-95 victory in the opener of the best-of-seven set as the squad overcame a difficult injury. Center Rudy Gobert, whose breakout season helped Utah return to the playoffs for the first time since 2012, suffered a knee injury on the opening possession of the contest, leaving his status for the rest of the series in doubt. Forward Derrick Favors was summoned off the bench when Gobert was hurt and he - along with Johnson - should see an uptick in minutes with the team's big man sidelined. Favors finished with 15 points on 7-of-10 shooting in 32 minutes while Johnson was the team's top scorer with 21 points on 9-of-14. It will take a committee approach on the boards without Gobert - who was fourth in the NBA in rebounding (12.8) during the regular season - and All-Star forward Gordon Hayward did his part with 10 rebounds in Game 1, his best single-game total since Dec. 21.

    ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (51-32 SU, 40-42-1 ATS, 44-38-1 O/U): The Clippers were forced to wrestle with the loss of home-court advantage and know that they can ill afford to go back to Utah down 2-0 in the series.Los Angeles is insisting there is no need to panic following the Game 1 loss, and its own playoff history is helping the players understand that it's a long haul. "A lot of guys have played enough playoff games to know it's truly a series," forward Blake Griffin told the Los Angeles Times. "Everybody says that. But we've been up 2-0 several times and lost a series [to Portland]. We've been up 3-1 and lost a series [to Houston]. We've lost a first game and won a series. So it doesn't really matter, you know?" Griffin scored a game-high 26 points and center DeAndre Jordan had 10 and 15 boards, but the Clippers struggled to free up their shooters, as guards J.J. Redick and Jamal Crawford combined for 15 points on 7-of-19 shooting, including 1-of-7 from 3-point range.

    LINE HISTORY: The Clippers opened as 7.5-point home favorites for Game 2 but that line was bumped to -9 after Gobert's status was confirmed. The total opened at 196.5 and dropped a full point to 195.5 before returning to the opening number by Tuesday morning.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Jazz - PG R. Neto (Questionable, ankle), C R. Gobert (Out, knee).

    Clippers - PG A. Rivers (Out, hamstring), C D. Stone (Out Indefinitely, knee).

    TRENDS:

    * Jazz are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
    * Under is 14-3 in Clippers last 17 games playing on 2 days rest.
    * Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-18-2017 at 12:35 PM.

  5. #5
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    NBA
    Short Sheet

    Tuesday, April 18


    Eastern Conference – Round 1 – Best of 7 – Game 2 – ML Leads 1-0

    Milwaukee at Toronto, 7:00 PM ET
    Milwaukee: 31-17 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3
    Toronto: 27-14 OVER after playing a home

    Eastern Conference – Round 1 – Best of 7 – Game 2 – CHI Leads 1-0

    Chicago at Boston, 8:00 PM ET
    Chicago: 30-18 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5
    Boston: 35-19 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

    Western Conference – Round 1 – Best of 7 – Game 2 – UTH Leads 1-0

    Utah at LA Clippers, 10:30 PM ET
    Utah: 47-33 UNDER when the total is between 190 and 199.5
    Los Angeles: 14-5 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-18-2017 at 12:36 PM.

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