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  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, January 11

    Good Luck on day #11 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Longest shots to win the 2017 World Series:

    150-1— Cincinnati Reds

    100-1— Brewers-Rays-Diamondbacks

    80-1— A’s-Padres-Twins

    75-1— Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies

    60-1— Los Angles Angels

    50-1— Colorado Rockies, Chicago White Sox

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) Milwaukee Bucks came into the NBA in 1968; they went 27-55 in their first season, but 56-26 in their second season, then 68-16 with an NBA title in their third season.

    This is fairly graphic evidence that Kareem Adbul-Jabbar is the greatest basketball player ever; they won a coin flip with the Phoenix Suns for the top pick in the ’69 draft and the right to select Kareem. Add in his 88-2 record as a college player, and you get the point.

    They outlawed the dunk in college basketball because of Kareem.

    No one dominated the sport like Abdul-Jabbar did, but because he has a surly personality, doesn’t do a lot of commercials, he fell out of public consciousness, unlike Michael Jordan, whose Jordan Brand shoes/apparel is still a huge money maker for Nike.

    Then there is this: freshmen were ineligible to play college ball back then. UCLA won the national title when Kareem was a senior in high school— his freshman team beat the UCLA varsity by 20 that year, and the UCLA varsity was the defending national champs.

    12) Underdogs were 25-15-1 vs spread in bowl games this season.

    11) ACC went 9-3 in bowl games; they were underdog in seven of the 12 games.

    10) Alabama RB Josh Scarbrough broke his leg in Monday night’s game, which no doubt will be brought up next year if/when a running back sits out a bowl game to keep himself healthy for the NFL Draft.

    9) Wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if college football scrapped the rule that says the clock stops after every first down. National title game took over four hours to play and ratings were a bit down, even though it was a great game. Knee-jerk reaction will be to shorten games.

    My theory on the ratings being down? Two teams from the south played; people in other regions of the country aren’t as interested if their teams aren’t playing.

    8) College football coaches don’t go on vacation now that the games are over; National Signing Day is February 1, three weeks from today, so coaches will be working their butts off on the phone between now and then, recruiting players who will win games down the road.

    Games that will be played from 2018-2021 will be partially determined by who signs where on February 1st. Football recruiting is a big. big business.

    7) Giants’ DE Jason Pierre-Paul says he won’t sign a 1-year contract next season; what happens if no one offers him a multi-year deal? Will he retire?

    6) March is going to feel a little different this year; the ACC tournament is in Brooklyn, for some reason. The Big 14 tourney is in Washington DC because of Maryland being in the league, but it doesn’t make much sense. Big 14 should have their tournament in the midwest; the ACC tourney should be somewhere on Tobacco Road.

    5) I worked for New York State for 34 years in a mundane office job; if I needed a day off that I hadn’t asked for previously, had to call in sick and tell a person in charge that I wasn’t coming in that day. Failure to do so meant you went LWOP (Leave With-Out Pay), meaning there would be no pay for that day— I never did that once in 34 years.

    My job wasn’t very important, certainly not as critical to my agency as a point guard is to an NBA team. Derrick Rose didn’t bother to call/text the Knicks Monday, when he flew to Chicago and missed their game; when they called him, he couldn’t be bothered to answer the phone.

    I’m very curious how much the team fined him, but no one is saying. Rose makes a little over $260,000 PER GAME- he is a free agent this summer. I’m curious where he’ll wind up.

    4) Quick work-related story from my mediocre career with New York State- this happened back in the late 80’s. I was 28 or 29 at the time.

    In mid-afternoon on a Thursday, this is in mid-October, my boss’ boss calls me into her office. She was kind of a stern woman, we had very little interaction, but she had a job for me to do.

    “We need a World Series pool and I want you to run it. You think you can do that?”

    I’m trying not to laugh as I sat there, but quickly agreed and went about my duty and we had a good World Series pool that year. Sometimes, working for the government was fun.

    3) Tuesday’s college hoop:
    — West Virginia 89, Baylor 68— Bears lasted one day at #1- they had 29 turnovers.
    — Villanova 79, Xavier 54— Surprisingly easy win for the Wildcats.
    — Kentucky 87, Vanderbilt 81— Commodores had their chances in last minute.
    — Florida State 88, Duke 72– Seminoles are 4-0 in ACC for first time.

    2) Oakland Raiders let OC Bill Musgrave walk after his contract expired, promoted QB coach Todd Downing to OC, telling the world they think Downing was more responsible for Derek Carr’s improved play than Musgrave was. Interesting decision.

    1— Remember Warrick Dunn, the running back for the Buccaneers? His mom was a police officer who was killed in the line of duty, when Dunn was 18. He used her life insurance to buy a house for himself and four younger siblings- there was no father in the picture.

    After Dunn became an NFL player, he started a charity that has put 152 families into affordable homes, just great work. If there was a People Hall of Fame, Dunn would be in it.

    Back in 2006, one of the families Dunn’s charity gave a home to was Clemson QB Deshaun Watson’s family.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, January 11


    Orlando @ LA Clippers

    Game 711-712
    January 11, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    107.355
    LA Clippers
    126.312
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 19
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 9 1/2
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (-9 1/2); Under

    Cleveland @ Portland


    Game 709-710
    January 11, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    119.307
    Portland
    125.160
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 6
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    N/A

    Houston @ Minnesota


    Game 707-708
    January 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    125.120
    Minnesota
    121.024
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 4
    235
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    N/A

    Memphis @ Oklahoma City


    Game 705-706
    January 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    122.336
    Oklahoma City
    124.174
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 2
    193
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 4 1/2
    205
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Washington @ Boston


    Game 703-704
    January 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    119.621
    Boston
    124.284
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 4 1/2
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    N/A

    New York @ Philadelphia


    Game 701-702
    January 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    118.038
    Philadelphia
    112.983
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New York
    by 5
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New York
    by 2
    209 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (-2); Over

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, January 11


    Knicks lost eight of last nine games, are 1-1 as road favorites. Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Philly won three of last four games (4-0 vs spread); they’re 10-6 as home underdogs. 76ers’ last four home games stayed under the total. 76ers lost their last five games with New York (1-4 vs spread); Knicks won by 10-7 points in last two visits here. Four of last five series games went over.

    Wizards won six of last eight games, are 6-4 as road underdogs. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Boston won four of last five games, covered four of last five as a home favorite. Over is 9-1-1 in their last eleven games. Celtics won four of last five games with Washington; three of last four series games stayed under total. Wizards lost last three visits to Beantown (0-3 vs spread).

    Grizzlies are 3-5 in last eight road games, 6-3 in last nine games as a road underdog. Four of their last five games went over. Thunder won/covered four of last five home games; they’re 9-2 in last 11 games as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went over. Favorites covered last seven Memphis-OkC games; Grizzlies are 5-3 in last eight series games, but they lost three of last four visits here (0-4 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over total.

    Rockets won their last nine games; they’re 9-4 as road favorites. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Minnesota lost four of last five games; they covered last five tries as a home underdog. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Houston won its last eight games with Minnesota but Wolves covered four of last five; Rockets won last four visits to Twin Cities, by 12-2-24-2 points. Nine of last ten series games went over the total.

    Cavaliers split their last four games; they’re 6-3 in last nine road games, 0-4 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 4-2 in their last six road games. Portland lost nine of last 11 home games; they’re 1-4 as home underdogs. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Home side won last six Cleveland-Portland games; Cavaliers lost last three visits to Portland, by 12-19-29 points. Four of last six series games stayed under total. Note: Both teams played last night, both had issues flying into Portland due to a snowstorm there- Cavs got there very late last nite. Far as I know, Blazers will travel to Portland Tuesday morning.

    Magic lost five of last six games; 11-7 as road underdogs- their last three games stayed under the total. Clippers won/covered their last four games; 9-7-1 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Clippers won their last six games with Orlando (4-1-1 vs spread); Magic lost their last three visits here (0-2-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games stayed under.

  5. #5
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    NBA

    Wednesday, January 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:00 PM
    NEW YORK vs. PHILADELPHIA
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
    New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing New York

    8:00 PM
    HOUSTON vs. MINNESOTA
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Houston
    Minnesota is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

    8:00 PM
    MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
    Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
    Oklahoma City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis

    8:00 PM
    WASHINGTON vs. BOSTON
    Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

    10:30 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. PORTLAND
    Cleveland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

    10:30 PM
    ORLANDO vs. LA CLIPPERS
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    LA Clippers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games when playing Orlando
    LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Orlando


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  6. #6
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, January 11


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (17 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 25) - 1/11/2017, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 112-155 ATS (-58.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (19 - 18) at BOSTON (23 - 15) - 1/11/2017, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (24 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (23 - 16) - 1/11/2017, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 165-121 ATS (+31.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (31 - 9) at MINNESOTA (12 - 26) - 1/11/2017, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 8-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (28 - 9) at PORTLAND (17 - 23) - 1/11/2017, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (16 - 23) at LA CLIPPERS (26 - 14) - 1/11/2017, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  7. #7
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    NBA
    Short Sheet

    Wednesday, January 11


    New York at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
    New York: 7-0 ATS off a home loss
    Philadelphia: 12-25 ATS vs. division opponents

    Washington at Boston, 8:05 PM ET
    Washington: 36-21 ATS after playing a home game
    Boston: 57-87 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more

    Memphis at Oklahoma City, 8:05 PM ET
    Memphis: 8-18 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
    Oklahoma City: 19-8 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

    Houston at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
    Houston: 17-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
    Minnesota: 6-17 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite

    Cleveland at Portland, 10:35 PM ET
    Cleveland: 13-5 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 210
    Portland: 5-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite

    Orlando at LA Clippers, 10:35 PM ET
    Orlando: 23-10 ATS in road games in non-conference games
    LA Clippers: 25-49 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games

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