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  1. #61
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
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    Pittsburgh
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    Looks like Wash is a big play today....
    Best of Luck Everyone

    2012 Record:

    1 unit = $100


    ***All sides and totals -110 unless noted***

    ***Teasers are -120 & 7 Points on Sides and 5 Points on Totals ties push****

  2. #62
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    CHICAGO
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    Hey guys...have a favor to ask of you. I simply have no time..not being lazy..working about 70 hrs a week...if anyone has done these or is willing to do them please help a brother out..i did these and posted them for 3-4 yrs in a row..if ayone has the time and would like to return the favor plz help a brother out:

    P.S...INCLUDE THE GAMES THAT HAVE ALREADY BEEN PLAYED SO WE CAN SEE HOW EACH SYSTEM IS DOING !!
    PPS...PLEASE MAKE SURE TO DISTINGUISH WHO TO PLAY "ON" OR "AGAINST"





    2 Units-Bet the dog if the teams have exactly the same won lost record






    3 Units and 5 Units
    Bet the team with the worst season record for 3 Units if a dog.
    If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units:






    5 UNIT PLAYS: If that team is a favorite, play them on the money line for a risk of 5 Units





    Lower Ranked Teams as a dog to higher Ranked Teams





    Lower Ranked Teams as a favorite vs Higher Ranked Teams





    A team not Ranked as a dog to a Ranked Team:







    A team not Ranked that is a favorite over a Ranked Team





    Teams that hit in more than one system without opposition hit a high percentage last year





    RUNNING DOG SYSTEM





    BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS

    PLAY OKLAHOMA






    Play underdogs with higher Sagarin strength-of-schedule ratings than their opponents







    Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls






    Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31







    Play Against FAVS that are 3-0 su,ats L3 gms, covered by 3 or more pts last gm, vs opp off Loss that allows 27 or less pts/gm.






    Play Against Pre-New Years Day FAVS who won 8 or less gms, avg 121.5< rush/gm, vs opp who rushes for 140>ypg







    Play Against teams (not dog of 6 >pts), seeking revenge for SU loss of 24+ pts in last match-up and not off Win 10







    Play on FAVS of 4 or less pts w/less than 39 days rest off SU win scoring 46+pts.





    Play Against FAVS of more than 6pts that won its last bowl gm, and not off 4 favored Wins vs opp not off conf RF SU win,ats Loss





    From 12/22 on, Play Against FAVS of 1.5 to 8.5pts, w/less than 43 days of rest off 3 wins and not an ATS loss of 8+pts in last gm vs opp not off shut-out W





    Play Against FAVS w/less than 8 wins, has at least 20+ days of rest, and are off 3 wins.





    Play On Big 10 teams (not fav of 10+pts or dog of 14+ pts), w/less than 43 days of rest vs Big 12 opp not off conf RF su,ats Win of more than 6pts.





    Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf





    Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

    1) PLAY ON Favs of 3.5< pts






    2) PLAY THE OVER...Totals of 63.5> pts





    Bowls from 12/25 to 12/31:

    1) PLAY ON Double Digit dogs






    Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:

    1) PLAY ON Favs in LOWER TIER Bowl games





    2) PLAY AGAINST MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )




    PLAY ON: Dogs in bowl games that won the previous year vs. an opponent that won 8 or less games last year





    Play on a non-New Year's Day bowl team that are 15' point + dogs.






    PLAY AGAINST: Any bowl favorite that has covered in three consecutive games
    Tighten It: Any Double-Digit Favorite






    Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs
    PLAY ON:




    ...
    Last edited by GOLDENGREEK; 12-27-2012 at 02:19 AM.
    Follow me on twitter !


    http://twitter.com/#!/gg_goldengreek

    .

  3. #63
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
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    PA
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    158

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    Annual bump....so I don't have to dig again

  4. #64
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
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    PA
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    Quote Originally Posted by soxx9 View Post
    Dogs in bowl games that won prior year (* - playing team that won 8 or less games last year)

    Toledo*
    SMU*
    Baylor*(may not be a dog)
    Ohio*
    Rutgers
    Texas*
    MichiganSt
    NCState*
    Purdue
    Michigan
    NIllinois
    Oklahoma*
    Dogs in bowl games that won prior year - playing team that won 8 or less games last year (looking above at the * games - this was 6-1 on the ML last year)

    UL Lafayette
    Ohio
    Syracuse
    BYU
    Cincinnati
    Georgia Tech
    Texas Tech
    Rice
    South Carolina
    Central Florida
    Oklahoma St.


    (for those that would want the non * games trend from prior years - BoiseSt, UtahSt, Texas, VirginiaTech, MichiganSt, ArkansasSt)

  5. #65
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    Mar 2005
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    Higher ranked Sagarin teams that are dogs....

    UtahSt.
    Georgia Tech
    Houston

  6. #66
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    Mar 2005
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    PA
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    Play UNDER, 2 teams in Non-BCS conf (under went 8-2 last year...always seems to be an annual winner)

    Buffalo-SJState
    Tulane-ULLafayette
    EastCarolina-Ohio
    NIllinois-UtahSt
    Navy-MidTennSt
    NorthTexas-UNLV
    BallSt-ArkansasSt

  7. #67
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    bfe
    Posts
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    2,594

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    thanks for your work on this!

  8. #68
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Midwest
    Posts
    76
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    11

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    This is awesome!! Thanks!

  9. #69
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    Jan 2009
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    Bowls from 1/1 to 1/10:

    2) PLAY AGAINST MAC teams are 1-8-2 ATS L11 ( 0-3-2 IN 2009 )
    The only game 1-1 to 1-10 is Arkansas St against Ball St fyi

    Take San Diego St over Buffalo
    Take East Carolina over Ohio
    Take Pittsburgh over Bowling Green
    Take Utah St over N. Illinois
    Take Arkansas St over Ball St

  10. #70
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    Jan 2009
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    bfe
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    Play on a non-New Year's Day bowl team that are 15' point + dogs.

    Rutgers vs Notre Dame is currently 14.5 to 15.5 point dog depnds on the book
    Okahoma vs Alabama is currently 15-16 point dog depends on book

  11. #71
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    Jan 2009
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    BUCKING THE HEISMAN WINNER IN THE BOWLS

    PLAY Auburn

  12. #72
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    Jan 2009
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    Play on Dogs of 4-11 pts from 12/25 to 12/31
    Pittsburgh
    Syracuse
    Michichan is +3.5 to 4 depending on the book
    Middle Tennessee St
    Boston College
    Virginia Tech
    Rice

  13. #73
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    Bowls from 12/15 to 12/24:

    1) PLAY ON Favs of 3.5< pts
    San Diego St
    Tulane
    Oregon St
    2) PLAY THE OVER...Totals of 63.5> pts
    CO St/WA St 66
    Oregon St/Boise ST Over 63.5 to 65 depending on book

  14. #74
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    Jan 2009
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    Play underdogs of 7.5 or more points in December Bowls
    Ohio
    Rutgers
    Texas
    Texas Tech
    Boston College Depending on book 7 to 7.5
    Duke

  15. #75
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    Arlington, Va
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    Default

    Once all the plays are figured out can we put all of them in one post?

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