BattersUp. I live in Biloxi, MS, the LV of the South and I can tell you one thing for certain. If you are gambling at casinos for entertainment that's fine, and you will have some winning sessions and some losers. But, if you are trying to do your best to actually have more winners than losers...there's only one way to go. From a purely statistical perspective, apart from poker where there is actual skill involved in beating your other non-house competitors, craps is the only way to go. In BJ, even with relatively advanced game theory AND maintaining a mid-level counting strategy, you can reduce the houses edge only to around 4.2%. Craps, on the other hand affords you much better odds. The casino edge in craps, depending upon max odds, can be reduced to less than 2%. In rare cases where 100X odds are allowed you can get this down to less than 1.1%. Most are now at a 10X max odds. STay away from ALL prop bets. The maximum return strategy in craps is really very, very simple. Play minimum allowed on all pass bets and /or come bets and play MAX odds behind..ALWAYS! The odds you take is the ONLY BET IN THE HOUSE where the player is paid exactly what they should be paid, i.e., TRUE odds. For example, after the comeout let's look at a point of 4. There are exactly THREE ways to make the four 3/1, 2/2, and 1/3 that will make you a winner. There are SIX ways to roll that nasty 7 out, i.e., 1/6, 2/5, 3/4, 4/3, 5/2, and 1/6. So, after the comeout, the statistical probability of hitting the 4 is exactly one half the chances of seeing the 7. When you win on the 4, they pay you even money of your, say, $5 line bet, but they pay you 2 to 1 on your odds bet. With $5 on the line and $50 behind, the 4 winner 4 will return a profit of $105 since they pay you TRUE odds of 2:1 on your bet behind. Odds are paid at true odds regardless of whether the point is 4, 10, 5, 9. or 6,8. This odds bet IS THE ONLY BET IN A CASINO IN WHICH THEY PAY YOU EXACTLY WHAT YOU SHOULD BE PAID WHEN YOU WIN. You will hear people talk about having a great BJ strategy which will will more often than it loses. WRONG. Since casino have stopped running more than a 1/3 to 1/2 of a shoe before reshuffling, BJ, like most casino games cannot be beaten over the long haul. Neither can craps (since you don't get true odds returned on your line bet AND the casino can count on net winning from ALL prop bets), but you do have a better chance. Hope this helps.
|