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ez winners
09-12-2005, 01:22 PM
I jumped on this one this morning. This will be my strongest play for next Sunday. I would hit it now at this nice number if you are going to play it.



<b>5 STAR: TAMPA BAY (-2)</b> OVER Buffalo
<b>Line from BetJamacia on 9/12</b>


The Bills won their opener 22-7 against the Texans and Buffalo quarterback JP Losman had a pretty nice day throwing for 170 yards and a touchdown in his first NFL start, but I don't think things will be as pretty this week. The Bills offense will be up against a Bucs defense that totally dominated the Minnesota Vikings and pro bowl quarterback Daunte Culpepper on the road at Minnesota. Losman will be making his first road start in the NFL, and he will be facing a much tougher defense than he saw from the Texans last week. Houston only sacked Losman once last week and he had plenty of time to pick apart the Texans secondary. The main target was Phillip Buchanan. Houston made a mistake by releasing the aging Aaron Glenn (who made the game winning interception last week for Dallas) in favor of the younger Buchanan. Buchanan was regularly burned last season in Oakland and he was picked on by the Bills in week one. Tampa Bay will not allow Losman to be comfortable this week and the Tampa Bay pass defense is very good as they showed by picking off Culpepper three time last week. The Bills setup their passing by running Willis McGahee and setting up play action. I see the Bucs stuffing the run here and forcing Losman into making plays with his arm and in turn making mistakes. We all know how a young quarterback can look like a pro bowler one week and a guy that should be holding the clip board the next. The Bills 22-7 win also looks very impressive on paper, but it should have been by a much wider margin. Buffalo was on Houston's side of the field all day, but had to settle for field goals most of the day. This won't cut it against Tampa Bay. On the other side of the ball the Bills defense is very good as well. But I like the veteran quarterback Brian Griese and the workhorse Cadillac Williams at running back to do enough for Tampa to cover this small number. I can see the Bucs cashing in some easy points on Buffalo turnovers in this one. This is also a nice technical spot for the Bucs, as Tampa Bay is 5-0 against the spread in the last five meetings with Buffalo and favorites in the first two weeks of the season that closed out the previous year with three or more straight losses against the spread are 39-14 against the number. I like the Bucs here!


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yuri
09-12-2005, 01:24 PM
I love this pick EZ. Great info.

thesandman
09-12-2005, 01:49 PM
Nice writeup John. It convinced me.

frankb03
09-12-2005, 01:54 PM
John GL

kbsooner21
09-12-2005, 01:56 PM
Good luck on the call EZ!

moondog22
09-12-2005, 02:03 PM
good luck EZ

griffey_mojo
09-12-2005, 02:08 PM
Gl Ez!

uconnplayer
09-12-2005, 03:07 PM
john u like the football game tonight?

Luv2Play2
09-12-2005, 06:33 PM
Ez I Liked It Too... Being Here In Tampa Bay If Memory Serves Me Well I Believe The Bucs Hold Their Best Record Over The Bills.. Bol Im Getting Some Too..

mgdog96
09-12-2005, 06:34 PM
I'm Lovin The Pick GL

drugstuntman
09-12-2005, 07:23 PM
perfect timing on this one EZ....LOVE going against QB's in first road game !!!!