View Full Version : Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/24

09-24-2017, 08:48 AM
Trends and Indexes

Sunday, September 24

Good Luck on day #266 of 2017!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

Matchup Links

<a href="http://stats.5dimes.eu/Stats/Matchups/Basketball/WNBA"><b>WNBA Matchups</b></a>

<a href="http://stats.5dimes.eu/Stats/HotandNot5/Basketball/WNBA"><b>WNBA Hot and Not</b></a>

<a href="http://stats.bodog.eu/WNBA/matchups.asp?affid=533013"><b>WNBA Injuries</b></a>

09-24-2017, 08:49 AM
Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

6 most popular picks for Week 3 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Dallas Cowboys, -3, 577

5) Seattle Seahawks, +3, 586

4) New Orleans Saints, +5.5, 653

3) Kansas City Chiefs, -3, 665

2) Denver Broncos, -3, 795

1) Oakland Raiders, -3, 924

Season record of top 6 picks: 3-9


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

13) TCU 44, Oklahoma State 31— Horned Frogs score a TD with 2:37 left to go up 43-31; they kick the PAT— why?!?!?!? At that point, 44-31 is the same as 43-31, but 45-31 is a lot better.

Up 44-31 with 2:37 left, Oklahoma State could’ve still scored two TD’s to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat, and then would some faces be red. It didn’t happen, but as a coach, you have to guard against all kinds of unlikely events.

12) Florida 28, Kentucky 27— Talk about a gut punch; Kentucky led this game 27-14 with 8:30 to play, but let it slip away in last minute— they’ve now lost 31 games in a row to Florida. Wildcats cover the spread here, just 2nd time they’ve done it in last 11 series games, but this game will sting a lot longer than most losses do.

Wildcats ran the ball into field goal range with 0:05 left to play, but a holding call against them nullified the run and pushed them out of field goal range. Kentucky gets favorable calls in basketball, but not in football.

Kentucky missed a 57-yard field goal on the last play of the game.

11) Texas A&M 50, Arkansas 43 (OT)— A&M is playing a ton of freshmen; this was a wacky game that was fun to watch, if you didn’t care who won (or covered). Arkansas led 21-7 in the second quarter.

10) South Carolina 17, Louisiana Tech 16—- WR Edwards made a great catch on a 41-yard bomb that set Gamecocks up for a short FG that won game with 0:05 left.

Tech coach Skip Holtz once worked for his dad at South Carolina, but was passed over for the head coaching job when the Gamecocks hired Steve Spurrier (wise move) to replace Lou Holtz. This would’ve been sweet revenge for Skip, but it wasn’t to be.

9) Central Florida 38, Maryland 10— Terps have played three games, are already down to their #3 QB, which is a disaster. This isn’t the NFL, where you can go sign another QB if you need one. Maryland may be installing a Wildcat package soon with a RB or WR-turned-QB.

8) UL-Monroe 56, UL-Lafayette 50 (OT)— Warhawks blew a 43-22 lead with 8:00 to play in game, but won in OT, beating their in-state rivals for just second time in last 10 meetings. There were 1,119 yards of offense in this game, with no turnovers.

7) Idaho 29, South Alabama 23 (OT)— These teams are in same league, despite being located 2,578 miles from each other. How did that happen?

Idaho’s QB is Matt Linehan, whose dad Scott is the Dallas Cowboys’ offensive coordinator.

6) Upsets of the Week:
Arizona State (+15) 37, Oregon 35— Week’s biggest upset happened after midnight.
TCU (+13) 44, Oklahoma State 31— What a difference a week makes for OSU, who led 49-14 at halftime last week.
Virginia (+12) 42, Boise State 23— Big upset on Friday night.
NC State (+11) 27, Florida State 21— Seminoles are 0-2 for first time since 1989.
New Mexico (+10.5) 16, Tulsa 13— Tulsa lost 54-51 last week. No bueno.

5) Tennessee 17, UMass 13— Vols were a 27.5-point favorite; they won, but this still ain’t going to sit well with the fanbase. UMass had been 0-4 against the spread before covering here.

4) Marlins 12, Diamondbacks 6— Giancarlo Stanton hit his 57th home run.

3) San Diego State 28, Air Force 24— Most of first half was played in a monsoon, until game was finally stopped for an hour because of lightning, with Air Force leading 9-0. Rain stopped after the delay and game became more normal.

Look at the Stanford score down below; Aztecs held Cardinal to 8 first downs last week.

2) Penn State 21, Iowa 19— McSorley threw a 7-yard TD pass on the last play of the game, as the Nittany Lions avoid an upset in Iowa City.

Total yardage in game was 571-273 Penn State; those last seven yards were the difference.

1) Stanford 58, UCLA 34— It is September 24 and UCLA has already allowed 44+ points in three games this season. Gonna be a long season in Westwood; when does hoop practice start?

09-24-2017, 08:54 AM
Cheat Sheet - WNBA Finals

(1) Minnesota vs. (2) Los Angeles

Best-of-Five (2-2-1 Format)

Game 1 – Sunday, Sept. 24
Game 2 – Tuesday, Sept. 26
Game 3 – Friday, Sept. 29
Game 4 – Sunday, Oct. 1
Game 5 – Wednesday, Oct. 4

Series Price – per BookMaker.eu

Minnesota -160
Los Angeles +140

Betting Notes - Minnesota

-- Minnesota swept Washington 3-0 in the semifinals, winning all three games by double digits. The Lynx went 2-1 against the spread in the series.

-- Including the playoffs, the Lynx have won six straight games by 10-plus points and they’ve covered the number in four of those games.

-- The ‘over’ went 2-1 in the semifinals.

-- Minnesota has gone 17-2 SU and 9-10 ATS at the Xcel Energy Center this season while the ‘under’ produced a 10-9 record.

-- The Lynx were 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS on the road this season.

-- The ‘under’ has gone 6-1 in the last seven away games for Minnesota.

Betting Notes – Los Angeles

-- Los Angeles advanced to the WNBA Finals with a three-game sweep over Phoenix in the semifinals.

-- The Sparks went 2-1 versus the number and only failed to cover Game 3 as they nipped the Mercury 89-87 as 4 -point road favorites.

-- Los Angeles will bring a 10-game winning streak into the finals and the club has gone 9-1 ATS during this run while the ‘under’ is 7-3 over this span.

-- The Sparks went 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS at home this season.

-- Los Angeles went 11-9 SU and 10-8 ATS away from home this season.

-- Similar to Minnesota, the ‘under’ has been a solid wager for L.A. on the road lately with a 5-2 mark in its last seven.

2017 Regular Season Encounters

July 6 – Minnesota 88 (-6.5) vs. Los Angeles 77 (Under 166.5)

August 11 - Los Angeles 70 (+5.5) at Minnesota 64 (Under 161.5)

August 27 – Los Angeles 78 (-2.5) vs. Minnesota 67 (Under 155.5)

2016 WNBA Finals

Game 1 – Los Angeles 78 (+6.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 161)

Game 2 – Minnesota 79 (-7) vs. Los Angeles 60 (Under 159)

Game 3 – Los Angeles 92 (+1) vs. Minnesota 75 (Over 159.5)

Game 4 – Minnesota 85 (+1) at Los Angeles 79 (Over 160)

Game 5 – Los Angeles 77 (+5.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 156.5)

WNBA Finals History – 1997-2016

-- The league went to a best-of-five format during the 2005 season. In the 12 series, we’ve seen five sweeps (3-0), four matchups go to a decisive Game 7 and three series end in four games (3-1).

-- The Sparks have won the WNBA Championship three times, including last year’s victory over Minnesota.

-- The previous title for the Sparks came in 20012 when the franchise pulled off the rare repeat.

-- Los Angeles failed to three-peat in 2003 as it was defeated by the now defunct Detroit Shock.

-- Since the 2011 season, Minnesota has won three championships and finished runner-up twice. The victories included two sweeps.

-- The Lynx have alternated titles the last six years and if that trend continues, they’ll be champions this seasons.

09-24-2017, 08:59 AM

Sunday, September 24

Los Angeles @ Minnesota

Game 663-664
September 24, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
by 2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
by 4 1/2
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+4 1/2); Over

Long Sheet

Sunday, September 24


LOS ANGELES (29 - 8) at MINNESOTA (30 - 7) - 9/24/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 10-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-8 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



Sunday, September 24

Trend Report

3:30 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles