View Full Version : The Bum's Monday's Best Bets !

StarDust Bum
02-15-2010, 01:51 PM
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

02/14/10 20-15-1 57.14% +1960 Detail

Monday, February 15Game Score Status Pick Amount

Connecticut - 7:00 PM ET Villanova -9.5 300
Villanova - Under 155 300

Rider - 7:00 PM ET St. Peter's -4.5 400
St. Peter's - Under 126 300

Western Carolina - 7:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro +6.5 300
NC-Greensboro - Over 144 300

Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Fairfield -1.5 300
Manhattan - Over 133 300

Jacksonville St. - 8:00 PM ET Jacksonville St. +8.5 300
Austin Peay - Under 145 300

Youngstown St. - 8:00 PM ET Wis.-Milwaukee -9 300
Wis.-Milwaukee - Under 137.5 300

Virginia - 8:00 PM ET Maryland -9 300
Maryland - Over 133.5 300

Louisiana-Monroe - 8:05 PM ET Arkansas St. -7.5 300
Arkansas St. - Under 135 300

Tennessee Tech - 8:30 PM ET Tennessee Tech +1.5 400
Tennessee St. - Over 147 400

Hawaii - 9:00 PM ET New Mexico St. -11 300
New Mexico St. - Over 146 300

Kansas - 9:00 PM ET Texas A&M +7 500 ( BIG 12 POD )
Texas A&M - Over 140 500

Good Luck Gang !

02-15-2010, 02:51 PM
gl Stardust

02-15-2010, 03:07 PM
Best of luck to you SDB!! :)

02-15-2010, 03:38 PM
Good luck Stardust!!

02-15-2010, 03:54 PM
gl dust

02-15-2010, 06:41 PM
good luck sdb...

02-15-2010, 07:03 PM
gl pal

StarDust Bum
02-15-2010, 07:28 PM
Big Monday

Gamblers get a little break on Monday with the Presidents Day holiday. Not much on the tote board tonight except college basketball, which is highlighted by the weekly Big East and Big 12 double-header on ESPN or what’s now known as Big Monday.
Every week the two conferences are featured on the network and based off this year’s outcomes, we’ve seen some nice patterns for both groups.

In the Big East, the road team has posted a 4-2 record and the ‘over’ has gone 4-2 in the first six matchups. UConn has only been featured once and they were one of the two teams to lose on the road, at Louisville (69-82) on Feb. 1. Villanova has played twice on Big Monday and they captured two road wins as live ‘dogs too.

Big East on Big Monday
Date Matchup ATS Result
Jan. 4 Pittsburgh (-4.5) 74 at Cincinnati 71 Underdog-Over (126)
Jan. 11 Villanova (+3) 92 at Louisville 84 Underdog-Over (156)
Jan. 18 Syracuse 84 (-3) at Notre Dame 71 Favorite-Under (158)
Jan. 25 Georgetown 56 at Syracuse (-6) 73 Favorite-Under (146)
Feb. 1 Connecticut 69 at Louisville (-6.5) 82 Favorite-Over (144)
Feb. 8 Villanova (+5) 82 at West Virginia 75 Underdog-Over (150)
Feb. 15 Connecticut at Villanova
Feb. 22 West Virginia at Connecticut
Mar. 1 Georgetown at West Virginia

The Big 12 has played one less game and that’s probably a good thing for the Sportsbooks, since the ‘chalk’ has covered all five contests on ESPN. Fortunately for the books, the ‘under’ has cashed in all five. Kansas has played twice, and both times they scored double-digit wins. This will be the first and only appearance for Texas A&M on Big Monday.

Big 12 on Big Monday
Date Matchup ATS Result
Jan. 11 Oklahoma State 57 at Oklahoma (-1) 62 Favorite-Under (146)
Jan. 18 Texas 62 at Kansas State (-1) 71 Favorite-Under (159)
Jan. 25 Missouri 65 at Kansas (-12) 84 Favorite-Under (151)
Feb. 1 Texas 72 (-2.5) at Oklahoma State 60 Favorite-Under (152)
Feb. 8 Kansas (-2) 80 at Texas 68 Favorite-Under (152)
Feb. 15 Kansas at Texas A&M
Feb. 22 Oklahoma at Kansas
Mar. 1 Oklahoma at Texas

Let’s take a closer look at both games in more detail!

Connecticut (14-11 SU, 8-14 ATS) at Villanova (22-2 SU, 16-7 ATS)

“I thought it was one of the worst performances I’ve had here at UConn in 24 years,” said Connecticut head coach Jim Calhoun. “I’m really incredibly disappointed by the performance, and I’m embarrassed by it, quite frankly.”

Calhoun’s comments came after Cincinnati beat UConn 60-48 on Saturday as a seven-point road underdog. The Huskies couldn’t buy a shot, which resulted in their season-low point total. Even though 48 points is tough to register for a top-notch program like UConn, Calhoun has to be aware that this isn’t one of his best squads.

After shooting 55 percent in an 88-74 upset win over then No. 1 Texas at home, the Huskies have been ice cold. They haven’t cracked 70 points since then and they’ve played some teams that like to push the tempo. During the drought, UConn has gone 1-5 both SU and ATS, the lone win at home against DePaul (64-57) on Feb. 6.

Whether or not Calhoun’s words translate into production will be seen Monday when the school faces Villanova on the road. VegasInsider.com handicapper Brian Edwards is real high on the Wildcats and their guard oriented attack.

“Villanova has been a money-making machine all season,” Edwards said. “The Wildcats are 16-7 ATS. They are very explosive offensively, as evidenced by 81 points or more in nine straight games. ‘Nova does a great job of creating turnovers off its press and the pace that creates always bodes well for ‘over’ plays. In turn, bettors have seen the ‘over’ go 14-8 for the Wildcats.”

“Jay Wright had to be thrilled with the way his team responded to the loss at Georgetown, immediately bouncing back to win rather comfortably at West Virginia. That was just a terrible situation for the Wildcats, going into one of the country’s most raucous environments in Morgantown 48 hours after a draining defeat against the Hoyas. Yet Villanova controlled the game from the get-go. Give Wright credit and also Scottie Reynolds, the senior leader who had 19 of his 21 points against the Mountaineers in the second half.”

“Although ‘Nova didn’t cover against Providence, bettors should’ve known to avoid that ‘chalky’ spot. Monday’s game vs. UConn isn’t as a big a number, but it’s still rather healthy. I think it’s hard to gauge what type of effort we’re going to get from UConn after Saturday’s disastrous home loss. The Huskies are desperate so perhaps they give a strong effort, but something tells me they left their season on the court at the Carrier Dome last week. We’ll see.”

The Huskies and ‘Cats have met five times in the last four years and the recent history sides with Villanova, who has posted a 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS mark during this stretch. The ‘over’ has gone 3-2.

Villanova opened as a 10-point favorite against UConn, while the total is hovering between 156 and 157. The Huskies haven’t won on the road (0-6, 3-3), but four of their six setbacks were by five points or less. Jay Wright’s squad is 11-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in games played in Philadelphia.

Kansas (24-1 SU, 10-10 ATS) at Texas A&M (18-6 SU, 12-8 ATS)

The Jayhawks jumped to 10-0 in conference play on Saturday after stopping Iowa State 73-59 in Lawrence. The team didn’t cover the 21-point spread but the victory was the 400th for head coach Bill Self. The ATS loss was the fourth in the last five games for Kansas.

It’s going to take a tough effort to beat Kansas considering the talent and depth the team has but it did happen once, at Tennessee (68-76) on Jan. 10. The Jayhawks came out flat in that game, plus the Vols lit it up from downtown (9-of-18) en route to the upset. If you toss out that game, the Jayhawks have posted a 9-0 SU and 4-4 ATS mark in their other road affairs, including last Monday’s 80-68 victory against Texas in Austin.

Does Texas A&M have what it takes to knock off Kansas? The Aggies are on a roll right now, winners of four straight and six of their last seven. The most impressive victory during this stretch came at home against Baylor (78-71) on Feb. 6. The victory over the Bears helped A&M improve to 3-4 against ranked teams this year, which isn’t too bad since that was the first outing at home against a school in the Top 25. Monday will be the second battle from Reed Arena against a ranked opponent.

Speaking of Reed Arena, Texas A&M is undefeated this season at home (13-0 SU, 5-4 ATS). In conference play, the Aggies have gone 5-0 (3-2 ATS). The ‘under’ has gone 3-2 in these Big 12 affairs.

The two teams met in Lawrence last year and Kansas posted a 20-point victory (73-53) against Texas A&M. Including this win, the Jayhawks have gone 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 encounters against the Aggies. Four of those wins happened in College Station and three were by double digits. Tonight, most books have KU listed as an eight-point favorite.

StarDust Bum
02-15-2010, 07:32 PM

Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Fairfield -1.5 500

StarDust Bum
02-15-2010, 09:51 PM
UPGRADE: Total on this game from 3 units to 5 units or 500

Hawaii - 9:00 PM ET
New Mexico St. - Over 146 500