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BettorsChat - View Single Post - Friday Trends and Indexes 7/10 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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Old 07-10-2009, 04:06 AM
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CFL
Week 2 Schedule


Thu Jul 9

7:30 PM
Edmonton 16 @ Montreal 50

Fri Jul 10

7:30 PM
Calgary @ Winnipeg

10:30 PM
Hamilton @ BC

Sat Jul 11

1:00 PM
Saskatchewan @ Toronto

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CFL
Dunkel Index


FRIDAY, JULY 10

Game 403-404: Calgary at Winnipeg

Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 115.609; Winnipeg 107.933
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5 1/2); Under

Game 405-406: Hamilton at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 101.622; BC 111.780
Dunkel Line: BC by 10; 57
Vegas Line: BC by 13; 50
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+13); Over

SATURDAY, JULY 11

Game 407-408: Saskatchewan at Toronto

Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 108.969; Toronto 112.231
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Over

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CFL
Long Sheet

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Friday, July 10
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CALGARY (0 - 1) at WINNIPEG (0 - 1) - 7/10/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 2-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 2-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HAMILTON (0 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 1) - 7/10/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 11
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SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 0) at TORONTO (1 - 0) - 7/11/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 127-97 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 127-97 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 85-52 ATS (+27.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in July games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-up

Friday, July 10

Calgary (0-1) @ Winnipeg (0-1)-- Defending champ Stampeders gave up 27 points in first half last week, lost 40-27 at home to Montreal-- they were outgained 431-301 and had just 54 rushing yards. Bombers had an 162-33 edge in rushing yards at Edmonton last week, but lost 19-17.

Hamilton (0-1) @ BCLions (0-1)-- TiCats were down 30-3 to Toronto at half last week in their home opener- they allowed Argos 7.6 yards per rush, and were -2 in turnovers. Lions had just 103 passing yards in loss at Regina, a sloppy game (BC had six turnovers, 10 penalties/90 yards).

Saturday, July 11

Saskatchewan (1-0) @ Toronto (1-0)-- Roughriders also turned ball over six times last week, and had 128 penalty yards, but they escaped with a win, outgaining Lions 314-217. Hard to tell if Argos pulled in reins after crushing Hamilton in first half last week- they completed just 14 of 29 passes, which isn't good, but they didn't turn ball over either.

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CFL

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Trend Report
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Friday, July 10

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. WINNIPEG
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary

10:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Hamilton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Hamilton is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
British Columbia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home


Saturday, July 11

1:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. TORONTO
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan

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CFL

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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 2 preview and picks
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Friday, July 10

Calgary Stampeders (0-1) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (0-1)

The Blue Bombers defence showed nice things in the loss to the Edmonton Eskimos in Week 1. But young QB Stefan LeFors didn’t convince us he has what it takes to bring Winnipeg to the highest level.

This said, the defensive front of the Stampeders didn’t look good against the Alouettes and quick running backs like Fred Reid and Lavarus Giles could have a field day.

But even if they do, it is quite difficult to imagine Henry Burris and the Stampeders having another sloppy game like the one they had against the Montreal Alouettes. Even if Ken-Yon Rambo was to miss a second game due to injury, Burris can throw the ball with confidence to the amazing Titus Ryan or reliable receivers Nik Lewis, Jeremaine Copeland and Brett Ralph. The Stampeders are just too strong to fall in Winnipeg’s trap.

Prediction: Calgary -6


Hamilton Tiger Cats (0-1) at B.C. Lions (0-1)

It is always very tough for any team from the Eastern Conference to win in the West, let alone Vancouver. It’s even worse when you have to face a Lions team that just lost its previous game.

Quarterback Quinton Porter has a lot to prove yet after running nine times instead of passing, like he did against the Argos. The Lions offensive line still looks pretty fragile but we can’t envision the defensive front of the Ti-Cats taking advantage of it to unsettle Buck Pierce like the Saskatchewan Roughriders managed to do last week.

The Lions running game is also their Achilles’ heel but their passing game should cut the Tiger Cats secondary in pieces. No team in the East won against the Lions in Vancouver since 2004. The Tiger Cats won’t reverse that trend in Week 2.

Prediction: B.C. -13


Saturday, July 11

Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0) at Toronto Argonauts (1-0)

This will probably be the most exciting game of the week - one where the winner will be decided in the last seconds of the fourth quarter, if not in overtime.

The Roughriders stunned bettors by beating B.C. last week and Darian Durant was more than instrumental in that win. But the Argos have an improved offensive line and QB Kerry Joseph has many good targets to choose from, starting with Arland Bruce III. Running back Jamal Robertson has also been impressive in Week 1.

Despite the nice victory against B.C., they are still too many question marks regarding the Roughriders to think they could win this one in Toronto. This being said, the spread between the winner and loser will probably be minimal.

Prediction: Toronto -3

Last week: 2-2

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